EMRS: Liberal 46, Labor 27, Greens 18 in Tasmania

Tasmanian pollster EMRS delivers state voting intention result that sources familiar with the matter consider surprisingly favourable for Will Hodgman’s Liberal government.

The latest quarterly reading of state voting intention in Tasmania from EMRS has the Liberals down two points to 46%, Labor up two to 27%, and the Greens down two to 18%. Will Hodgman’s lead over Labor’s Bryan Green as preferred premier has narrowed from 56-19 to 52-21. Kevin Bonham, who would know better than me, reckons these “surprisingly harmless” results for the government come despite there have been “many reasons to suspect this poll could be a shocker”. The poll was conducted by telephone between last Friday and this Tuesday, from a sample of 1000.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

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