The Seven Network had a poll this evening from ReachTEL, which records a Coalition lead of 53-47 – a substantial shift on the 50-50 result it recorded on September 15, the evening after the leadership change. That’s all there is from that poll at this stage, but there were some headline-grabbing results today from a Morgan poll, conducted by telephone from a fairly small sample of 574. Bill Shorten could manage only fourth place on the question of preferred Labor leader, with Tanya Plibersek leading on 27% (up a point since July), Anthony Albanese second on 23% (up four), Wayne Swan third on 10% (steady) and Shorten down three to 9%. By contrast, Malcolm Turnbull’s first result for preferred Liberal leader as prime minister has him gaining from 44% to 64%, with Julie Bishop on 12% (down three), Tony Abbott on 8% (down five) and Scott Morrison on 4% (down one). The current leaders’ ratings were 66% approval and 16% disapproval for Turnbull, 25% approval (up one) and 62% disapproval (up two) for Shorten, and Turbull leading 76-14 as preferred prime minister.
UPDATE: GhostWhoVotes relates that ReachTEL has Turnbull leading Shorten 68.9-31.1 on preferred prime minister, with 40.2% saying Labor should replace Shorten as leader versus 26.0% opposed.
UPDATE 2: Full results from ReachTEL here. The sample was 3574 – big even by ReachTEL’s standards – with primary votes of 46.7% for the Coalition (up 3.4%), 33.0% for Labor (down 2.9%) and 11.3% for the Greens (down 0.6%).
Tony Jones is on a week off. They only get about 10 weeks off at the end of the year.
Tom Ballad did a good job in the special edition of Q&A half a year ago. Will be interested to see if he’ll do more of this.
Question one of Q&A: Elect more Cathy McGowans, and you’ll get better regional representation.
Who is Tony Jones?
Oh Qanda. Completely forgot about that show.
confessions@1505
Too sophisticated for you?
[Question one of Q&A: Elect more Cathy McGowans, and you’ll get better regional representation.[Question one of Q&A: Elect more Cathy McGowans, and you’ll get better regional representation.vQuestion one of Q&A: Elect more Cathy McGowans, and you’ll get better regional representation.vtest
Oh beautiful sorry, my comments aren’t showing up when I type them, so as a result I have no clue what I’m typing.
[Question one of Q&A: Elect more Cathy McGowans, and you’ll get better regional representation.]
On point.
Hard to imagine a studio discussion program being as poorly done as Q&A. It really is appalling – or was: I haven’t watched it for a few years.
[Hard to imagine a studio discussion program being as poorly done as Q&A.]
It’s for numpties who like to rail against something.
Intelligent people who want a more interesting discussion with way more capable facilitation watch Insight.
http://www.sbs.com.au/news/insight
Sohar .. Apparently a recent commercial TV effort to do something Q&A-like was a complete disaster. Made Q&A look astonishingly good, so I read (as I didn’t see offending programme).
Sohar@1510
But without watching it you know it is still appalling?
Uh huh….
Phillip Coorey reports the redistribution might cause Anthony Albanese to shift from Grayndler to Barton.
http://www.afr.com/news/politics/chris-bowen-anthony-albanese-joel-fitzgibbon-eye-new-seats-20151025-gki91d?stb=twt
I would say Q&A varies from predictable politician-based slanging to quite brilliant, informative and engaging television. On balance, I would say there is more up the latter end of the spectrum than the former.
I would say Q&A varies from predictable politician-based slanging to quite brilliant, informative and engaging television. On balance, I would say there is more up the latter end of the spectrum than the former.
The Greens will go rabid over that opportunity if it’s true
blackburnseph@1491
Can’t explain the seeming boundary stuff, but a fleeting knowledge of Polish recent history will tell you the modern state of Poland did not come into existence until 1918.
For a good part of the inter-war years Poland was essentially a military dictatorship and one of the first acts of the modern state of Poland was to fight the Red Army in the early 1920s led by Pilsudski on the Polish side.
The Home Army supported by the allies in WW2 was likely made up of those with sympathies on the right and the massacre of Polish soldiers and intellectuals by the Russians at Katyn would hardly make Poles think to vote for Communism/Socialisms at the time.
The role of the Catholic Church in Polish politics is also another factor why the Poles are quite happy on the right hand side of politics from time to time.
Oz website has story on Newspoll but I can’t open:
Bill Shorten’s standing with voters has tumbled to his lowest level as the PM’s support hits new highs
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/archive/national-affairs/newspoll-true-measure-of-labors-fall-as-coalition-surges-on-pms-gains/story-fnc6vkbc-1227583198842
[Newspoll: True measure of Labor’s fall as Coalition surges on PM’s gains
THE AUSTRALIANOCTOBER 26, 2015 10:00PM
Phillip Hudson Bureau Chief Canberra
Bill Shorten’s standing with voters has tumbled to his lowest level as Malcolm Turnbull’s support hits new highs and the Coalition enjoys its strongest lead in two-party terms in almost two years.
The latest Newspoll, taken exclusively for The Australian, reveals the Coalition leads Labor by 52 per cent to 48 per cent in two-party terms, having regained its lead after the parties were deadlocked at 50-50 a fortnight ago.
Mr Turnbull’s massive lead as the preferred prime minister grew further, with his support leaping to 63 per cent while Mr Shorten fell to his worst result of 17 per cent.
The Coalition’s primary vote rose two points to 45 per cent over the past fortnight to be at its highest since November 2013 and almost back at the 45.6 per cent achieved in its 2013 election victory. It is up six points since Mr Turnbull replaced Tony Abbott as Prime Minister last month.
Labor’s primary vote is 10 points lower than the government at 35 per cent. After falling four points, it has been steady at this level for the three Newspolls since Mr Turnbull won the leadership, despite an Ipsos/Fairfax poll last week saying it had fallen to a historic low of 30 per cent.
Newspoll shows weaker support for the Greens, which fell one point to 11 per cent, while other minor parties and independents also fell one point to 9 per cent.]
New thread.
The honeymoon period continues….
Bill Shorten’s standing with voters has tumbled to his lowest level as Malcolm Turnbull’s support hits new highs and the Coalition enjoys its strongest lead in two-party terms in almost two years.
The latest Newspoll, taken exclusively for The Australian, reveals the Coalition leads Labor by 52 per cent to 48 per cent in two-party terms, having regained its lead after the parties were deadlocked at 50-50 a fortnight ago.
Mr Turnbull’s massive lead as the preferred prime minister grew further, with his support leaping to 63 per cent while Mr Shorten fell to his worst result of 17 per cent.
More stunning results.
From gold bricked Newspoll report in the GG.
[The latest Newspoll, taken exclusively for The Australian, reveals the Coalition leads Labor by 52 per cent to 48 per cent in two-party terms,]
I am not interested in preferred PM poll results at this time. It is meaningless. It might even be useful to have Malcayman in the stratosphere and Bill down in the trenches. Down in the trenches is where the next election will be won.
67% lead in net approval…..is that some kind of record for Newspoll?
Has the Newspoll stunned everyone?
Or Australians just stupid Because it’s not voting for new PM, it’s voting for same Policies?
Van Badham @vanbadham 5m5 minutes ago
Richest PM in Australian history promotes tax on poor.
And other non-surprises.
#gst #auspol
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