The Australian brings us the latest quarterly result of state voting intention from South Australia, which offers yet more bad news for a beleaguered Liberal Party. Jay Weatherill’s Labor government is credited with a two-party preferred lead of 54-46, up from 53-47 in the final quarter of last year. Given that the election dudded the Liberals by failing to give them a parliamentary majority despite a commanding win on the two-party vote, this amounts to a swing to Labor of 7%.
On the primary vote, Labor is up one on the previous poll to 36%, with the Liberals and Greens steady on 33% and 10%. Others has been an extremely popular option in both federal and state polling from South Australia of late, which I can only assume has something to do with Nick Xenophon’s efforts to assemble his own party. The combined others vote is at 21%, down a point on last time.
Despite the dismal result on voting intention, Liberal leader Steven Marshall has recorded a surprising surge in his personal ratings, with approval up six to 41% and disapproval down five to 37%. Jay Weatherill is respectively down three to 43% and one to 41%, and his lead as preferred premier is down slightly from 47-29 to 47-31. Hat tip: GhostWhoVotes.