ReachTEL: Liberal 48, Labor 29, Greens 16 in Tasmania

An automated telephone poll finds Tasmania’s Liberal government retaining most of the support that swept it to power in a landslide in March.

The Sunday Tasmanian today carries results from a ReachTEL automated phone poll of 2646 respondents in Tasmania, which puts state voting intention at 48.1% for the Liberals, 28.7% for Labor and 16.0% for the Greens. This is better for Liberal and worse for Labor than the EMRS poll published a fortnight ago, but is three points lower for the Liberals than their election result, one-and-a-half points higher for Labor, and two points higher for the Greens. The poll also finds Premier Will Hodgman leading Opposition Leader 54.6-25.3 as preferred premier. Our man Kevin Bonham is quoted in the accompanying article, and his analysis of the innards of the poll will be available on his blog if you’re reading this after 8:30am eastern time. The article also has results on questions dealing with the budget and job creation, and a separate report covers response to the policy to extend all the state’s high schools to year twelve.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

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