As concerns over Campbell Newman’s capacity to retain his seat of Ashgrove intensify, another Queensland state opinion poll points to a huge but not-quite-decisive swing to Labor.
The Seven Network has this evening released a ReachTEL poll of state voting intention in Queensland showing the Liberal National Party government leading Labor by 51-49 on two-party preferred, down from 52-48 in the previous such poll. The primary votes are 41.2% for the LNP (up 0.2%), 36.0% for Labor (up 1.6%), 9.5% for Palmer United (down 3.1%) and 6.0% for the Greens (up 0.5%). More detail to follow. HT: GhostWhoVotes.
Author: William Bowe
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.
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Palmer United is on 9.5 (-3.1).
This poll is not surprising. Undoubtedly Queenslanders feel tasered by Newman, Dumb Dumb and Sir Clive.
Sounds like the statewide poll announced on the 7 news. LNP primary was a little over 40% and Labor a touch more than 34%.
ReachTEL Poll QLD
Primary Votes: LNP 41.2 (+0.2) ALP 36.0 (+1.6) PUP 9.5 (-3.1) GRN 6.0 (+0.5)
https://au.news.yahoo.com/qld/video/watch/24919846/clawing-back/
[Yahoo!7 Pty Ltd September 7, 2014, 6:36 pm
An exclusive 7News and Sunday Mail poll shows the LNP has managed to stop voters turning away from the Newman government. Geoff Breusch reports.]
Primaries
LNP 41.2%
ALP 36%
GRN 6%
PUP 9.5%
OTH 7.2%
Well perhaps people are waking up to the fact that Newman hasn’t really done much.
Early days though.
I wonder where half of the lost Palmer (3%) is going as it wasn’t picked up by any other parties listed.
Tail end of the 7 News item has a question on:
“Does the super decision make you more or less likely to vote for Palmer United Party at the next election?”
More likely 10.4%
Less likely 46.3%
No change 43.2%
I’d be surprised if voters were answering this question all that honestly.
Kevin
That response to the super question seems to match the EMC polling on approval of super from a few years ago. People really like the idea of super and they don’t like the idea of adverse changes to it
Full ReachTEL details are now online.
https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7news-sunday-mail-queensland-the-state-were-in-2014-infrastructure