ReachTEL: 51-49 to LNP in Queensland

As concerns over Campbell Newman’s capacity to retain his seat of Ashgrove intensify, another Queensland state opinion poll points to a huge but not-quite-decisive swing to Labor.

The Seven Network has this evening released a ReachTEL poll of state voting intention in Queensland showing the Liberal National Party government leading Labor by 51-49 on two-party preferred, down from 52-48 in the previous such poll. The primary votes are 41.2% for the LNP (up 0.2%), 36.0% for Labor (up 1.6%), 9.5% for Palmer United (down 3.1%) and 6.0% for the Greens (up 0.5%). More detail to follow. HT: GhostWhoVotes.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

10 comments on “ReachTEL: 51-49 to LNP in Queensland”

  1. Tail end of the 7 News item has a question on:

    “Does the super decision make you more or less likely to vote for Palmer United Party at the next election?”

    More likely 10.4%
    Less likely 46.3%
    No change 43.2%

    I’d be surprised if voters were answering this question all that honestly.

  2. Kevin

    That response to the super question seems to match the EMC polling on approval of super from a few years ago. People really like the idea of super and they don’t like the idea of adverse changes to it

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