Advertiser: 55-45 to Labor in Bright

The Advertiser’s latest marginal seat poll covers the southern coastal suburbs electorate of Bright, and it finds Labor incumbent Chloe Fox set to be easily re-elected against a Liberal swing of 2 per cent. After distribution of the 4 per cent undecided, the primary votes are 44 per cent for Labor, 41 per cent for Liberal, 9 per cent for the Greens, 2 per cent each for Family First and Save RAH, and 1 per cent for the Fair Land Tax Party. Nonetheless, Isobel Redmond is found to lead Mike Rann in the electorate as preferred premier by 47 per cent to 45 per cent. Interestingly, the poll finds Fox – who had a baby in January and has declined to publicly name the father – trailing among women voters, although the margin of error on the gender breakdowns is around 5.5 per cent. The margin of error overall is around 4 per cent.

In other news, the upper house preference tickets have been published, and can most easily be viewed at ABC Elections. I hope to get an upper house election guide happening at some point next week.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

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