The Sunday Mail and Courier Mail seem to be in a pattern of producing Galaxy polls of Queensland state voting intention every six weeks or so, and the latest provides no reprieve for a Labor government that seems scarcely more popular than the one south of the border. The Liberal National Party has increased its two-party lead to 55-45 from the 54-46 recorded in the poll published on September 14. Unfortunately, the only primary vote figure provided is for the Greens, who as might be expected are doing well out of the flight from Labor: they are now at 15 per cent, up from 12 per cent in the previous poll and 8.4 per cent at the March election. Anna Bligh’s approval rating has fallen to a dangerous 30 per cent, which is three points lower than Opposition Leader John-Paul Langbroek, and her lead as preferred premier has slumped from 45-33 to 40-39.
They can conduct all the polls they like but the one that counts is a long way off.
[They can conduct all the polls they like but the one that counts is a long way off.]
Only when the polls are 55-45 to LNP instead of to Labor? 🙂 Reminds me of the federal Liberal supporter catchcry of 2007…
Possum shows that QLD Labor is travelling far worse than NSW Labor (with something like minus 20% to 30% net satisfaction), the only thing stopping it is the ineptness of the LNP. But we all know that governments lose elections, oppositions don’t win them.
Agree with Gary that the election is a long way off but it does show a significant level of voter dissatisfaction. When a state government is at this level for a significant period of time it may start to rub off on the feds – the last state by state voting intention showed a tiny <1% to the ALP in Qld. 6- 9 months more of this and the swings may be 0 or the other way.
Anna Blighs MasterChef stunt may have been quite counterproductive as it just demeans the office. The LNP advertising ambush was quite a master stroke.
“They can conduct all the polls they like but the one that counts is a long way off.”
HA, now theres a laugh. I wonder why you don’t have the sameopinion about the national polls.
Blight was done for the minute she dropped the fuel subsidy, the coalition in Queensland simply need to get organised and make sure they look like a competent team before the next election.
[They can conduct all the polls they like but the one that counts is a long way off.]
Indeed. If there’s ever a good time to be down in the polls it’s when an election is so far off.
Still, it’s amazing that the Bligh govt has sunk so quickly after being returned.
Explain to a non Qlder, what did Bligh do to be so unpopular. Unlike NSW, I don’t recall any major scandals, questions of basic competence etc. Unpopular actions are made all the time (you can’t please everyone) it’s usually no like this.
“Explain to a non Qlder, what did Bligh do to be so unpopular. Unlike NSW, I don’t recall any major scandals”
She scrapped the 9 cent fuel subsidy about a month after her re-election.
Done like a dogs dinner next election assuming the Libs/Nats can get their stuff together.
Labor should have lost the last election, but to win Govt. in Qld you have to win seats in Brisbane.
Has there been a large swing in Brisbane? I doubt it.
Never under-estimate the LNP talent for losing. 🙂
Going on Masterchef was a bad idea in retrospect!
[Done like a dogs dinner next election assuming the Libs/Nats can get their stuff together.]
You’re funny. That’s like saying “my footy team would have won .. if they hadn’t have lost …”
As I said before the last QLD election, QLD Labor is only 2 years behind NSW Labor, if they won the last election, they will get comprehensively thrown out at the next.
When you have almost no talent, cannot balance the budget, cannot provide any service, you cannot do much more
[HA, now theres a laugh. I wonder why you don’t have the sameopinion about the national polls.]
Let me tell you something for nothing I do. Argument over.
[Only when the polls are 55-45 to LNP instead of to Labor?]
Ah, the strawman bob. Good one.
[They can conduct all the polls they like but the one that counts is a long way off.]
Any time bob you want to explain what is incorrect with what I said you let me know. You haven’t so far.
The challenge for Labor is to keep themselves together and not dissolve into a NSW-style rabble, the realistic objective is to minimize the scale of defeat. Ideally they could try to give people a positive reason for voting Labor but the ALP seems to have little idea how to do this
She listened to bad advice.
First she went early, which is a big no no. To get people to return you when you go early, you better have a bloody good reason. She didn’t, but they still put her back in because whilst the QLD voters wanted to boot out the ALP, they wanted to keep Anna Bligh. As this was impossible, and the L-NP was a rabble, she got the benefit of the doubt.
Having won the election, she cut the fuel subsidy straight away which was a poke in the eye of the voters. She took their goodwill for granted and now she is paying for it.
If she needed to remove the subsidy, which sounds like sensible policy to me, she should have staged the reductions over time, over three to four years, and started it maybe next year.
Instead she’s told the voters, stick it up your jumper, and they’ll stick it to her next chance they get, and next time the L-NP will be electable.
If you treat the public as mugs, they’ll pay you back in spades, and you deserve it.
I agree that the only poll that really counts is that on election day yet the polls have not been this bad for the ALP in Queensland for some time. The question is, what to people in Brisbane think, given that Queensland elections seem to be won or lost in Brisbane. This result seems to be largely due to the proposed privatisations. Governments generallys eem to make the unpopular decisions and actions early in te term and make the popular ones closer to an election.
[This result seems to be largely due to the proposed privatisations.]
I’m sure this had some impact but I’d be surprised if the ending of the petrol subsidy wasn’t by far the main reason for this polling. Anna will have to do a lot of fast talking to get out of this that’s for sure.
And Qld folk have a special right to subsidised fuel?
Why?
Should have lost the last election but the LNP was unelectible. Went early because unpopular desicions were on the way as was GFC and no one really knew how this would pan out. Had it hit hard, whoever was left holding the hot potatoe would get their hands burnt. Next year will go into problem solve mode, clear it all up to leave a 1+ year run to the election
QLD Labor mps don’t have the skill, talent or ambition to stand up for themselves and knife each other NSW style.
Anna Bligh is no Beattie who could BS anything, say he was sorry and promise to fix it. Labor voters fell for it every time. Bligh is more like Rudd who likes to be correct and comes across all smug and narky. Unfortunately for Bligh she got in after Beattie had bled the state dry and done nothing with the money. Rudd is lucky he can make all the promises he wants and splash the cash around – for a few years…
@John Bennetts the former QLD government was know for its low tax status. One of those tax benefits was lower fuel prices than all other states. This is now gone and QLD has more of a reputation like NSW with just as shameful government.