Galaxy: 50-50 in Wentworth

The ABC reports that Galaxy’s poll of Wentworth, which we first heard about on Thursday, shows Malcolm Turnbull and George Newhouse locked at 50-50 on two-party preferred. The only further detail provided is that Turnbull leads by 8 per cent on the primary vote, and that the sample size was 800. All will be revealed in tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph.

UPDATE: Sunday Telegraph article here. Primary vote figures are Liberal 44 per cent, Labor 36 per cent and Greens 14 per cent.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

423 comments on “Galaxy: 50-50 in Wentworth”

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  1. [ 396
    Fulvio Sammut Says:
    November 11th, 2007 at 1:51 am

    What does “incorporated funds” mean? ]
    They’re more or less accusing her of money laundering.

  2. I wonder if the Federal Police are watching any groups, some Liberal party members, the EB and Liberal support groups, journalists… the temptation to criminal behavior must be there when people get desperate and believe power may protect them later.

  3. What’s the bet Howard anounces a maternity leave package on Monday. I reckon 2 months at 70% pay. Firstly skimming the baby bonus and then another 10billion.
    If you don’t go back to work within a year you have to pay it back

  4. Kina, please, please, please.

    The history wars, Howard as author of Oz history, as we are to learn it.

    Such grandiosity.

    The librarian????

  5. Steady boys and girls. The sins of Howard are manyfold and obvious . We don’t need to get into the snide innuendo game which detracts from the provable truth about this loathsome fellow.
    And whatever you think of his family, last time I looked none of them were candidates in this election

  6. I hope this election follows the last two weeks of the 2004 election according to Nielsen. LNP lost a few points, Labor picked up a point.

  7. The Labor candidate in Wentworth comes from one of Sydney’s most promoinent zionist families. Like the odious Michael Danby in Melbourne Ports he would be a constant spokesmen for the Israeli warmongers..better keep Malcolm I think!!

  8. On another computer:

    14 days to go.

    If we have reached peak Howard as there is a hint of and Rudd’s remaining campaign is a good one then maybe he can maintain something close to the current lead. A 53/47 would be great; 54/46 would be brilliant, 55/45 unbelievable. A win by a few seat would be equally welcome.

    Time to watch the MSM very carefully.

  9. Nice to see the Extreme Right can take time out to join us this morning. I must admit, I had assumed that the pool of drool that collects in their laps as they idiotically bash on the keyboard would have shorted it out, so I surprised to see an online presence.

    But there you go, enough monkeys and enough typewriters can apparently churn out a sentence, bile filled as it may be. Mind you, just as likely to be Extreme Left (I find it gets confusing where pro-Palestinians are concerned).

    I had the displeasure of meeting a couple of proto-Nazis in a bar a few months ago. They got on the subject of race, all the white supremacist cr*p. I told one of them I was a black supremacist (I am paler than they were).

    You could actually see the pause as they thought (I use the term loosely) it through. “But…but…you’re not black”, he said. Well spotted, I thought.

    The young girl was very proud of the swastika tattoo on her thigh. I asked why she would want an Indian sun symbol tattooed if she was a White Supremacist.

    Bit silly really, they’re not known for their tolerance of dissenting political opinion. But neither are they brave when they are not in packs. As Homer says “Alcohol, the cause of, and solution to, all of life’s problems.”

  10. Re 325,

    Blackbird Says:

    November 11th, 2007 at 12:05 am
    Isabella, you remind me of republicans in the US before their elections last year. So completely warped in the idea that your side is simply too entrenched, has such a great campaign team yadayadayada…

    Ditto the situation in 1992 as well. The Republicans then denied the oncoming train wreck until after it happened. The morning after the 1992 election wasn’t pretty. Libs were photographed walking Washington in varying states of morning after drunkenness crying in the streets 😀

  11. Turnbull will win this seat, this poll will help make it so but as for the rest my advice is better not to look up because the trains a coming!

  12. Its going to be very close obviously and the extra 17,000 votes coming in from some lower income earners in Kings X and Woolloomooloo will be pivotal. Especially when the Turnbull camp were so scathing of the proposed boundary changes to include the ‘riff-raff’ from these areas: “they aren’t true representatives of Wentworth, not Bondi (Beach) people” or something to that effect. Even the Daily Telegraph pinged them on that one. Hope the punters in these areas are being reminded of this true blue Liberal Party thinking, it could be the final nail in Malcom’s political coffin.

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