Galaxy: Labor ahead in NSW marginals

The Daily Telegraph today runs a poll from the prolific Galaxy, who have repeated their exercise of aggregating four Coalition-held marginals into one survey. This time it’s the New South Wales seats of Lindsay (2.9 per cent), Dobell (4.8 per cent), Paterson (6.3 per cent) and Robertson (6.9 per cent), where Labor is given a collective lead of 54-46 on two-party preferred. The two major parties have exchanged about 8 per cent on both primary and two-party preferred, suggesting all four seats would fall to Labor.

Elsewhere, Paul Bongiorno gave figures from an Ipsos Mackay poll on the two parties’ tax policies on yesterday’s Meet the Press. The figures were highly alarming for the Coalition: 12 per cent said they were more likely to back the Coalition following their tax policy against 11 per cent less likely, compared with 22 per cent and 8 per cent for Labor’s policy.

• Apologies for last night’s service interruption, which was caused by my own laziness/miscalculations. I have received more than enough in donations that I should not have allowed it to happen.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

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