Gallop poll

Yet another shocking opinion poll for Geoff Gallop’s Labor government, this time from Roy Morgan, which can always be relied upon to paint a rosier picture for Labor than its rivals. Today’s results show a 3.5 per cent shift to the Coalition since the poll taken two months ago, reducing Labor to 49.5 per cent of the two-party preferred vote. On the primary vote, Labor are down 3 per cent to 39.5 per cent and the Coalition are up 2 per cent to 43.5 per cent. Family First have been given a separate entry for the first time, although their 1 per cent support may not justify it. The trend from all three polling organisations is hard to miss:

Westpoll Morgan Newspoll
December 40 51 5 39.5 43.5 8 34 49 7
Oct/Nov 41 50 6 42.5 41.5 9
Aug/Sept 46 47 5 47.5 38 7 38 41 9
Election 10/2/01 37.2 34.4 7.3 37.2 34.4 7.3 37.2 34.4 7.3

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.