Newspoll, Morgan and Galaxy

Three new polls have provided three doses of good news, in varying degrees, for a Labor Party desperate for a boost from last Sunday’s debate. Most encouraging is tomorrow’s Newspoll, which shows Labor leading 52.5-47.5 after two successive weeks at 50-50. News Limited tabloids today ran a poll from Galaxy, whose results have previously been renowned for an apparent bias towards the Coalition, which had the Coalition with a relatively slender 51-49 lead. After being caught on the hop at the start of the campaign, Roy Morgan conducted a face-to-face poll over the weekend with an unusually small sample of 933, showing Labor ahead 53-47. Labor would not be disheartened that the result shows a 1.5 per cent improvement for the Coalition on the previous poll, which was partly conducted before the election had been announced.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.