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The Poll Bludger

Analysis and discussion of elections and opinion polls in Australia

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Tasmanian election

Live election results
Results and projections from the election count, updated live

Election guide
Guide to the May 1 state election, including overviews and reviews of the five lower house regions and two upper house contests

Upper Hunter by-election

By-election guide
Guide to the New South Wales state by-election for Upper Hunter, to be held on May 22

Western Australian election

Live election results
Results and projections from the election count, updated live

Election guide
Complete guide to the March 13 state election, including overviews and reviews of each of the 59 lower house seats and six upper house regions


Voting intention trend measures based on polling published since the 2019 federal election. Click here for a clearer view, plus leadership approval trends and detailed polling data.

Recent Posts

  • Essential Research leadership ratings and preselection latest
  • Tasmanian election endgame
  • Upper Hunter by-election minus twelve days
  • Miscellany: election timing, Victorian ALP turmoil, compulsory super
  • UK local, Scottish and Welsh elections live

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Site archives

Repository of links to past election guides and poll trends for previous terms.

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