Nothing succeeds like succession

The first word to reach the Poll Bludger on the matter of Geoff Gallop’s likely successor as WA Premier comes from the inimitable Andrew Landeryou, whose sources tell him that "Labor moderate State Development Minister and tough guy Alan Carpenter is likely to prevail". That would have been my tip if anyone had told me this morning that Gallop was about to pull the plug, which I would never have believed. The rest of Landeryou’s analysis sounds similarly on the money:

Deputy Premier and harmless Treasurer Eric Ripper seems much less likely, with the Left’s cunning powerbroker Health Minister Jim McGinty also a distant prospect (at least in his own mind) if there’s a split in the Right which seems unlikely. Carpenter has a comfortable lead in early caucus head-counting, largely on factional grounds. Right leader and Steve Smith ally in the New Right part of the Right, Police Minister Michelle Roberts is also a prospect and is reportedly testing her support, while Carpenter is unfortunately stuck in London and is presumably at Heathrow right now showing a degree of passenger anxiety that would normally see one detained.

As they say in the classics: Game on …

Geoff Gallop to resign?

Perth radio is suddenly abuzz with rumours that WA Premier Geoff Gallop is about to announce his resignation on health grounds. Developing …

UPDATE (12.48pm WST): NineMSN reports "BREAKING NEWS: Gallop to resign as WA Premier due to illness".

UPDATE (1.04pm WST): Gallop has delivered a press conference announcing he has decided to quit politics as he has been battling depression. This means a by-election will be held for his safe south-of-the-river seat of Victoria Park. Treasurer Eric Ripper will become Acting Premier but the Poll Bludger’s understanding is that he has never been considered a likely successor. Those who have been include State Development Minister Alan Carpenter and Police Minister Michelle Roberts.

UPDATE (1.10pm WST): Reports at ABC Online and NineMSN (thanks Chris).

UPDATE (1.22pm WST): Gallop’s media statement now online here.