Trend measure of Tasmanian state election polling conducted since the March 2014 election. Trend calculations use bias-adjusted measures based on pollsters' performance in past pre-election Tasmanian state polling. Pollsters other than Newspoll are given half its weighting, except for Morgan's small sample polls, for which the weighting is one-tenth.
Primary vote
Poll results
| Median Date | Pollster | Sample | Liberal | Labor | Greens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2018 | Trend latest | Sample | 45.1 | 31.6 | 12.9 |
| 25/02/2018 | EMRS | 1000 | 46 | 34 | 12 |
| 22/02/2018 | ReachTEL | 3179 | 46.4 | 31.1 | 12.1 |
| 14/02/2018 | ReachTEL | 952 | 43.5 | 31.8 | 11.5 |
| 6/02/2018 | MediaReach | 1500 | 44.2 | 29.9 | 13.6 |
| 3/12/2017 | EMRS | 900 | 34 | 34 | 17 |
| 5/08/2017 | EMRS | 900 | 37 | 34 | 16 |
| 1/05/2017 | EMRS | 900 | 39 | 34 | 15 |
| 3/03/2017 | EMRS | 900 | 35 | 29 | 19 |
| 10/11/2016 | ReachTEL | 2934 | 45.5 | 30.9 | 15.1 |
| 2/11/2016 | EMRS | 900 | 40 | 28 | 18 |
| 1/10/2016 | Morgan | 367 | 39 | 33 | 16 |
| 25/08/2016 | EMRS | 900 | 41 | 31 | 15 |
| 20/08/2016 | Morgan | 321 | 37.5 | 36 | 15.5 |
| 13/07/2016 | EMRS | 900 | 37 | 32 | 17 |
| 21/05/2016 | Morgan | 355 | 41 | 34.5 | 17 |
| 18/05/2016 | EMRS | 900 | 41 | 29 | 21 |
| 27/03/2016 | Morgan | 295 | 40 | 33 | 21.5 |
| 28/02/2016 | EMRS | 900 | 46 | 27 | 18 |
| 1/02/2016 | Morgan | 358 | 43 | 30.5 | 21.5 |
| 6/12/2015 | Morgan | 369 | 44.5 | 25.5 | 25 |
| 3/11/2015 | EMRS | 900 | 48 | 25 | 20 |
| 12/10/2015 | Morgan | 228 | 42 | 29.5 | 23.5 |
| 30/08/2015 | Morgan | 314 | 38 | 35.5 | 21.5 |
| 11/08/2015 | EMRS | 900 | 40 | 29 | 21 |
| 21/05/2015 | EMRS | 900 | 46 | 29 | 15 |
| 22/02/2015 | EMRS | 900 | 42 | 34 | 15 |
| 19/11/2014 | EMRS | 900 | 42 | 31 | 19 |
| 11/09/2014 | ReachTEL | 2646 | 48.1 | 28.7 | 16 |
| 25/08/2014 | EMRS | 900 | 52 | 28 | 15 |
| 12/05/2014 | EMRS | 900 | 48 | 25 | 21 |
| 15/03/2014 | Election | 3000 | 51.2 | 27.3 | 13.8 |