TASMANIAN ELECTION 2018

Franklin


ELECTORATE MAP
PARTY VOTE AT 2014 ELECTION
# % Quotas Swing
LIBERAL 33,443 49.8% 2.99 +8.7%
Sue Bastone 623 0.9% 0.06
Paul Harriss* 3,646 5.4% 0.33
Will Hodgman* 23,589 35.2% 2.11 +3.5%
Jacquie Petrusma* 4,463 6.7% 0.40 +2.7%
Nic Street 1,122 1.7% 0.10
LABOR 19,200 28.6% 1.72 -1.9%
Heather Chong 760 1.1% 0.07
Julie Dick 1,372 2.0% 0.12
Lara Giddings* 11,035 16.4% 0.99 +1.4%
Russell Mitchell 413 0.6% 0.04
David O'Byrne 5,620 8.4% 0.50 +0.8%
GREENS 11,265 16.8% 1.01 -10.6%
Richard Atkinson 334 0.5% 0.03
Simon Burnett 454 0.7% 0.04
Zoe Kean 354 0.5% 0.03
Nick McKim* 9,013 13.4% 0.81 -10.7%
Rosalie Woodruff 1,110 1.7% 0.10
Palmer United 2,498 3.7% 0.22
Socialist Alliance 364 0.5% 0.03
Nationals 333 0.5% 0.03
HISTORICAL VOTE RESULTS
HISTORICAL SEAT RESULTS
CANDIDATES
Shooters Fishers Farmers
BRENDON HEXT
Greens
RICHARD ATKINSON
HOLLY EWIN
LACHLAN HATFIELD
ROSS LINCOLNE
ROSALIE WOODRUFF
Labor
KATHRYN BARNSLEY
HEATHER CHONG
KEVIN MIDSON
DAVID O'BYRNE
ALISON STANDEN
Liberal
CLAIRE CHANDLER
SIMON DUFFY
WILL HODGMAN
JACQUIE PETRUSMA
NIC STREET

Franklin includes the Hobart suburbs on the eastern side of the Derwent River, small towns south of the city, and the unpopulated southern part of the World Heritage area to the west. Labor typically held four of seven seats until their stocks plunged amid the Franklin Dam controversy, and they were reduced to two seats in 1986 when the Liberals won four seats, and the electorate joined Denison in returning a “Green independent”. The Greens have since been denied only in 1998, the first election held after the change from seven-member to five-member electorates.

It was also at this time that Labor re-established its dominance, which has crumbled over the past two elections with consecutive seat losses to the Liberals. Two of three Labor incumbents failed to win re-election in 2010, when newcomer David O'Byrne was elected to join Lara Giddings as Labor's second member, and a third Labor seat was lost to Jacquie Petrusma, who joined Will Hodgman as the electorate's second Liberal. Labor lost a third seat to the Liberals in 2014 when O'Byrne lost out to Paul Harriss.

At federal level, Franklin was usually held by the Liberals on modest margins from 1946 until 1993, when Harry Quick gained it for Labor. The Labor margin blew out during Quick's time as member, and he bequeathed it in 2007 to Julie Collins, who was the only Tasmanian Labor member to retain her seat in 2013.

Liberal candidates

CLAIRE CHANDLER


SIMON DUFFY


WILL HODGMAN


JACQUIE PETRUSMA


NIC STREET

The three Liberal incumbents, of which two were elected in 2014 and one filled a mid-term vacancy, are all seeking re-election. Will Hodgman has held his Franklin seat since 2002, serving alongside father Michael Hodgman, a member for Denison, up to the latter's retirement in 2010. The Hodgman political dynasty also included his grandfather, Bill Hodgman, and brother Peter Hodgman, a former member of the state upper house. Arriving in parliament after his party's drubbing at the 2002 election, Hodgman moved straight to the deputy leadership, and was elected leader unopposed after Rene Hidding resigned after the 2006 election. Over his two elections as leader, the Liberals advanced from seven seats to ten in 2010, and then to fourteen with the sweeping victory of 2014. Hodgman expanded his workload in September 2017 by assuming the Attorney-General portfolio, vacated by the retirement of Vanessa Goodwin.

The Liberals' second seat gained in 2010 was won by Jacquie Petrusma, a former nurse who ran as Family First's lead Senate candidate in 2004 and 2007, coming close to unseating Greens incumbent Christine Milne on the former occasion with help from the same preference arrangements that elected Steve Fielding in Victoria. Petrusma has maintained her social conservative credentials as a Liberal, and is reportedly close to Senator Eric Abetz. Since the 2014 election victory she has served as Minister for Human Services and Women.

The third Liberal winner in 2014 was Paul Harriss, a former upper house independent who won immediate promotion to cabinet as Resources Minister. Harriss retired from parliament in February 2016, citing family reasons, and was succeeded on a countback by Nic Street, a former Kingborough councillor and Blackmans Bay business owner. Street has twice lined up against the party's conservative tendency by voting for a motion in support of same-sex marriage, and being the only Liberal to vote in favour of a voluntary euthanasia bill.

Rounding out the Liberal ticket are Claire Chandler, an analyst at Deloitte Australia who has also nominated for Senate preselection, and Simon Duffy, a staffer to Jacquie Petrusma.

Labor candidates

KATHRYN BARNSLEY


HEATHER CHONG


KEVIN MIDSON


DAVID O'BYRNE


ALISON STANDEN

Labor has no sitting members defending seats in Franklin, as its only winner in 2014 was Lara Giddings, is retiring. Lara Giddings was first elected at the age of 23 in Lyons at the 1996 election, but was squeezed out when the size of parliament was reduced in 1998. She returned in Franklin in 2002, and achieved such seniority that she was unopposed to succeed David Bartlett as leader on his resignation in January 2011. After leading Labor to a heavy defeat in 2014, she has served a full term on the back bench, despite frequent suggestions she might facilitate a comeback for David O'Byrne by retiring mid-term.

David O'Byrne is now Labor's presumed front-runner, having spent a term as a parliamentarian and cabinet minister after winning election in 2010, before failing to win re-election in the face of the 2014 landslide. O'Byrne accumulated wide-ranging portfolio responsibilities, and was said to have had union backing to depose Lara Giddings as leader in late 2011, had he wished to proceed. Prior to his term in parliament, he was secretary of the Left faction Liquor Hospitality and Miscellaneous Workers Union and Labor's state president; after it, he spent a year as the Sydney-based national secretary of another Left union, United Voice, before returning to Tasmania and taking a position with the Beacon Foundation. O'Byrne's sister, Michelle O'Byrne, the former Health Minister and long-standing federal and state member for Bass.

The other Labor candidates are Heather Chong, a Clarence alderman and owner of an apricot-growing business, who also ran in 2014; Kevin Midson, an organiser with the Right faction Australian Workers Union; Alison Standen, state manager of the Department of Social Services; and Kathryn Barnsley, a medical research and anti-tobacco campaigner.

Other candidates

The Greens' seat in Franklin is held by Rosalie Woodruff, a former Huon Valley councillor. Woodruff came to the seat in August 2015 after winning the countback to succeed Nick McKim when he filled Christine Milne's vacancy in the Senate, having comfortably outpolled the other three non-incumbent Greens candidates at the 2014 election. McKim in turn had been a member since 2002, the party's parliamentary leader since July 2008, and a cabinet minister under the Labor-Greens government agreement from after the 2010 election until it was terminated in January 2014.

The only other party in the field in Franklin is Shooters Fishers Farmers, whose sole candidate is Brendon Hext, an armoured truck operator.