QUEENSLAND ELECTION 2017

Poll Tracker

Trend measure of Queensland state election polling conducted since the January 2015 election. Trend calculations use Newspoll and Galaxy trends as a baseline for bias adjustments applied to other pollsters. Two-party preferred is based on estimated flows of 80% of Greens votes to Labor, and 60% of all other minor party and independent votes to the LNP. Raw poll results are listed in the table at the bottom.

Primary vote

Two-party preferred

Poll results

Primary Vote Two-Party*
Median Date Pollster Labor LNP Greens PHON Labor LNP
22/11/2017 Trend latest 36.5 34.1 9.6 13.7 52.1 47.9
22/11/2017 Newspoll 36 34 10 13 52.5 47.5
21/11/2017 Galaxy 37 35 9 12 52 48
20/11/2017 ReachTEL 34 30 10 17 51 49
13/11/2017 ReachTEL 32.7 32.2 9.5 17.7 48 52
2/11/2017 Galaxy 35 32 9 18 52 48
11/10/2017 Newspoll 37 34 8 16 52 48
28/09/2017 ReachTEL 34.8 33.2 8.1 19.6 48 52
15/09/2017 Essential 35 35 10 13 53 47
15/08/2017 Essential 37 33 8 14 55 45
15/08/2017 Newspoll 37 34 8 15 53 47
3/08/2017 Galaxy 35 36 7 15 51 49
15/07/2017 Essential 34 34 12 12 54 46
1/06/2017 ReachTEL 31.9 35.3 9.4 17 49 51
27/04/2017 Galaxy 36 34 7 17 52 48
9/02/2017 Galaxy 31 33 8 23 51 49
15/12/2016 Essential 33 35 10 13 50 50
15/11/2016 Essential 37 32 10 12 47 53
10/11/2016 Galaxy 35 37 8 16 51 49
15/10/2016 Essential 36 35 9 10 50 50
1/10/2016 Morgan 35.5 33.5 12 10.5 52 48
20/08/2016 Morgan 36.5 38.5 9.5 8.5 50 50
3/08/2016 Galaxy 33 38 8 16 50 50
15/06/2016 Essential 38 43 9 49 51
21/05/2016 Morgan 35.5 40.5 10.5 50 50
15/05/2016 Essential 36 45 9 47 53
15/05/2016 Newspoll 38 40 8 51 49
13/05/2016 Galaxy 36 44 9 48 52
26/04/2016 ReachTEL 36.9 42.8 10.8 48 52
15/04/2016 Essential 36 43 10 48 52
14/04/2016 Galaxy 37 41 10 49 51
27/03/2016 Morgan 37.5 40 12.5 52 48
10/03/2016 Galaxy 39 43 8 49 51
11/02/2016 Galaxy 37 43 9 48 52
31/01/2016 Morgan 36.5 45.5 9 48 52
15/12/2015 Essential 37 45 7 47 53
6/12/2015 Morgan 38.5 40.5 10 51.5 48.5
18/11/2015 Galaxy 37 42 9 49 51
15/11/2015 Essential 39 41 9 51 49
15/11/2015 Newspoll 41 39 8 52 48
15/10/2015 Essential 40 42 8 51 49
12/10/2015 Morgan 34.5 42 11.5 49 51
1/09/2015 Newspoll 41 38 9 53 47
30/08/2015 Morgan 38.5 41.5 12 52 48
20/08/2015 Galaxy 40 39 10 52 48
22/05/2015 ReachTEL 37.6 45.6 9.4 48 52
20/05/2015 Galaxy 40 39 9 52 48
31/01/2015 Election result 37.5 41.3 8.4 51.1 48.9

* ReachTEL uses respondent-allocated preferences. Other pollsters use various methods of estimating preference flows based on previous election results.