|
Vote |
Swing |
2PP |
Grace Grace (Labor) |
50.7 |
0.2 |
61.1 |
Anna Boccabella (Greens) |
33.2 |
14.9 |
38.9 |
Mark A. White (Family First) |
7.9 |
|
|
Ian Nelson (One Nation) |
2.1 |
|
|
Erik Olaf Eriksen |
3.2 |
|
|
Ronald Davy |
2.8 |
COUNT |
76 % |
7.54pm. Wilston added. Labor wins. That’s me done for the evening.
7.43pm. Kelvin Grove added, leaving only Wilston.
7.30pm. St Pauls Terrace booth added.
7.29pm. As for turnout: 14,893 formal votes have been counted compared with 15,698 at the same booths last year.
7.26pm. New Farm School added.
7.25pm. Brisbane booth added.
7.22pm. Merthyr booth added. I’m also now using a real-world preference split of 27 per cent Labor, 11 per cent Greens and 62 per cent exhaust. The exhaustion figure I cited earlier was obviously a miscalculation.
7.16pm. Windsor booth added.
7.13pm. I’ve changed the Labor and Greens vote from “raw” to “adjusted”.
7.10pm. New Farm added.
7.09pm. Although there are in fact only 38 per cent exhausting.
7.07pm. Two-party results from four booths at the ECQ suggest Stephen L’s preference guess was pretty much spot on.
7.04pm. Ballymore booth added.
6.59pm. Newmarket, Newmarket South and Swan Hill booths added.
6.57pm. I have installed Stephen L’s suggested preference distribution, and corrected an error that had my 2PP calculation flattering the Greens.
6.51pm. Slightly larger Fortitude Valley has the Labor vote up a little.
6.49pm. Tiny Herston booth indicates a quite strong performance by the Greens, but with Labor still on track for a primary vote over 50 per cent.
6.43pm. Once again, above figures are for test purposes.
6.35pm. I’m just going to split non-Labor and Greens preferences 50/50. Anyone disagree?
6.34pm. Figures above are for test purposes only.
6.22pm. Welcome to my live coverage of the Brisbane Central by-election. Results should start coming in in about 15 minutes or so, time I will need to spend debugging the above table.