The Sydney Morning Herald today reports on the bi-monthly New South Wales state polling numbers from its regular Resolve Strategic series, in a report that does not appear to be online at the time of writing, although the results can be found on the website’s Resolve Monitor feature. This records little change on the previous result, with Labor unchanged at 29%, One Nation unchanged at 25%, the Coalition up a point to 24%, and the Greens unchanged at 11%. With Mike Newman now anointed as One Nation’s prospective parliamentary leader, there is now a three-way preferred premier question which has Chris Minns at 27%, Kellie Sloane at 15% and Newman at 8%, compared with Minns’ 36-16 lead over Sloane two months ago.
The poll combines the New South Wales results from the pollster’s last two monthly national surveys for an overall sample of 1100. The 550 respondents to the more recent monthly survey were asked about the federal-state agreement on tighter gun laws, finding 63% in support with 19% opposed.
Further New South Wales state election news:
• The Australian reported on Tuesday on a poll of 1000 respondents conducted for the Minerals Council of Australia by Insightfully, which had Labor and One Nation each on 29%, with the Coalition on 18% and the Greens on 13%. The poll was conducted August 5 to 12 from a sample of 1000.
• The Sydney Morning Herald reported a fortnight ago that a “recent private poll” in Cessnock, which will be contested for One Nation by leadership hopeful Mike Newman, had One Nation leading Labor by 50% to 24%.
• James Griffin, who succeeded Mike Baird as Liberal member for Manly in 2017, announced a fortnight ago that he will not seek re-election. The Daily Telegraph’s The Sauce column reports candidates for Liberal preselection could include upper house member Natalie Ward; Adelaide Cuneo, who “works in the energy sector”; and Northern Beaches deputy mayor Georgia Ryburn. Alexandra Smith of the Sydney Morning Herald reports Elouise Massa, who has campaigned for a government takeover of Northern Beaches Hospital since failures were identified by a review into the death of her son, will run as an independent.
• A week on from James Griffin’s announcement, Liberal colleague Alister Henskens announced that he too will bow out at the election as the member for one of the party’s safe seats. Henskens entered parliament as the member for Ku-ring-gai in 2015, transferring to the successor seat of Wahroonga after it was abolished in 2023.
• The Byron Shire Echo reports Byron Shire councillor Janet Swain has won a Labor preselection ballot for the seat of Ballina, which will be vacated at the election with the retirement of Greens member Tamara Smith.
Hastie reminds me of the comment about one of the Gallery journos many years ago saying “I was wanting a left wing former Prime Minister to come and launch my auto-biography, but Malcolm Fraser wasn’t available’. People like me 10 years ago were bemoaning the lurch to the right that brought people like Hastie in, now he might be the only thing left to stop the Libs merging with ON.
Token NSW comment to keep post relevant: Am at least looking forward to seeing the NSW Nats die the death, nothing saving them from being swamped by ON.
OMG nadia
You targeted 3 moderate women in your post.
Atleast I targeted the women who said nasty things and was still lampooned by the noble and ethical souls of PB.
Sprockett @ 9.43am, Saturday.
I share your cynicism regarding this all prepared for the Minerals Council.
Futhermore, I am intrigued as to the location of these massive, commercially available Uranium deposits in NSW.
Macca, while uranium itself isn’t mentioned, it’s worth considering Mr Moohkey and NSW Treasury’s comments on mineral resources in NSW, talking with respect to the current GST carve up favouring Western Australia:
“If we don’t get change, then in 10 years’ time, 20 years’ time, 30 years’ time, you will see the benefit of a massive subsidy that compounds over time in the difference in living standards between one group of Australians and another.”
But Mookhey said the system made it more difficult.
He said while WA claimed it was a mining powerhouse, NSW itself was a major mining state and could be even larger if it were able to develop its vast array of critical mineral deposits. But the way the GST was being carved up worked against NSW’s interests.
“I’m told by NSW Treasury that if we theoretically were able to extract all critical minerals, they would be worth a current market value of about $2 trillion,” he said.
“They are in hard-to-realise places of NSW that require substantial investments in our road networks and rail networks, amongst others.
“In order for us to properly understand whether or not we can meet the national objective of becoming a world-trusted supplier of critical minerals, we also have to factor in all the like costs that are similar to bringing on a resource industry online at scale.”
Which is a curious thing for a NSW Treasurer to say, NSW Government having just spent $70 billion on Sydney Metro services.
There could be significant uranium deposits in NSW, we wouldn’t know, there’s been no significant exploration because mining uranium is banned in NSW.