Federal polls: Newspoll and RedBridge Group (open thread)

One new federal poll has One Nation a point ahead of Labor, while another has it one point behind.

The Australian reports Newspoll has One Nation edging back into the lead on the primary vote, gaining one point on three weeks ago to 30% while Labor holds steady on 29%, with the Coalition up a point to 19% and the Greens down one to 13%. Anthony Albanese was up a point on approval to 38% and steady on 59% disapproval, Angus Taylor was down one to 33% and up four to 50%, and Pauline Hanson was up one to 47% and down one to 48%. Albanese’s lead over Taylor on preferred prime minister was out from 44-37 to 44-35, while a three-way question was entirely unchanged on last time with Albanese on 46%, Taylor on 23% and Pauline Hanson on 31%. The poll also has a question on housing prices which differs from others showing support for a fall in including a “stay about the same” option, which was favoured by 32%, with 30% favouring an increase and 32% a decrease. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1243.

The latest monthly RedBridge Group/Accent Research poll for the Financial Review has Labor edging back in front of One Nation on the primary vote, holding steady at 29% while One Nation drops three to 28%, with the Coalition steady on 22% and the Greens up two on an unusually weak result last time to 12%. Labor’s two-party lead over One Nation is in from 53-47 to 52-48; the Coalition retains a 52-48 lead over Labor on respondent-allocated preferences (which suggests RedBridge Group is finding more One Nation voters favouring the Coalition than is Roy Morgan), while Labor leads 52-48 on previous election preferences compared with a 50-50 result last time. A three-way preferred prime minister result is little changed, with Anthony Albanese down a point to 31%, Pauline Hanson steady at 24% and Angus Taylor steady at 15%. There are also approval ratings that I will hold back on reporting until I see the full results. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1006.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,198 thoughts on “Federal polls: Newspoll and RedBridge Group (open thread)”

Comments Page 23 of 24
1 22 23 24
  1. Fubar

    How much should a railway service lose annually before it gets shut down?

    I don’t mind public transport being partially subsidised, but country railway lines that became massively expensive because of the rise of cars and the fall in the size of rural populations can’t be justified.

    Excellent. Now that we have established the principle we can apply it.

    Private commercial television is struggling these days despite receiving government payments. Shut them down? Good idea. ABC and SBS should be enough.

    The Austal and Civmech shipyards in Perth have struggled on several projects despite large government assistance. Shut them down too? Great news for Adelaide.

    And so on.

  2. Kirsdarkesays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 4:37 pm
    A dark thought, maybe most of the ruling class think a mass-death event that wipes out billions of people would be a good thing, so they push for such things to happen.

    I bet a lot of them would love to just Thanos-snap half of all life out of existence, as long as they’re immune to it of course.

    Slaves and serfs are expendible Kirsdarke. Once Hanson becomes PM, if the polling and election results till now after last election are anything to go by, then the Left, Brown and Black people could become slaves and serfs.

  3. Thomas Brian Muttersays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 5:36 pm
    When will the South Australia poll be on DemosAU’s website?

    There is no need for that because Labor is leading comfortably in that state.

  4. Vensays:

    Slaves and serfs are expendible Kirsdarke. Once Hanson becomes PM, if the polling and election results till now after last election are anything to go by, then the Left, Brown and Black people could become slaves and serfs.
    _______________________
    Tough but fair.

  5. Mavis@4:40 pm

    Tim Wilson:
    “Their budget, and the dodgy numbers that underpin it are catching up with the government, and that’s why Chalmers had such a tetchy and cranky press conference, because the numbers simply don’t stack up with what Australians are living,” Wilson said on News24 (formerly Sky News).

    Projection by Tim Wilson because Wilson knows about “L-NP governments budget, and the dodgy numbers that always underpin it”

  6. nathsays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 5:50 pm
    Vensays:

    Slaves and serfs are expendible Kirsdarke. Once Hanson becomes PM, if the polling and election results till now after last election are anything to go by, then the Left, Brown and Black people could become slaves and serfs.
    _______________________
    Tough but fair.

    As you said in a previous comment that you would ingratiate yourself to Hanson government by becoming one of its whipping boys.

  7. Socrates says:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 5:27 pm
    “Yet more proof if it is needed that privatisation of essential services is a bad idea.”

    The story you linked to is nothing of the sort. It is a story about the failure of Local Government and State Government to maintain infrastructure.

  8. The Wombatsays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 5:02 pm
    Australia would do relatively OK in the event of a nuclear war. Most nuclear weapons these days are smaller, and throw fallout up much lower than the huge weapons of the early Cold War, which means little to no contamination of the southern hemisphere. We’d take a couple of hits, much of the northern hemisphere would be wiped out, the global economy would cease to exist, but life would carry on in the southern hemisphere. I don’t mean to underplay the effects on us, it would be completely catastrophic, the economy would collapse, there would not be fuel or fertiliser, there’d be no export markets for our resources. But most of us would pull through OK. We could feed ourselves.

    It will happen one day. You can’t have all those weapons and think that one day they won’t get used.

    Good onya ‘The Wombat’ that Australia and Australians survive nuclear catastrophe. Am I glad that I am an Australian citizen or what?

  9. Yeah, bully for you, Fubar.

    I think you are confusing HEH with the much newer Australian Defence Satellite Communications Station at Kojarena near Geraldton. That would be a likely nuclear target, but HEH is of little value.

    A good way to work out what matters is to look up who operates stuff.

    ADSCS, Pine Gap and Shoal Bay are operated by ASD. Humpty Doo is part of HMAS Coonawarra. Air Force operates the JORN stations.

    Guess who operates HEH? The Defence Materiel Organisation. Ever worked for them, Fubar? It won’t do my credibility any good by mentioning that I have.

  10. The Nerd Reich wants to ‘destroy’ democracy, and its mask has slipped.

    “Billionaires have become radicalised against democracy,” the American independent journalist Gil Durán tells the ABC.

    “We have to realise how much power we have, and to stop being tuned out from the very real threat we face from a billionaire class that has gone off the edge of sanity into an altered reality.

    The Nerd Reich (2026) has debuted as an instant New York Times bestseller.
    “But we also need to realise where we’re at, how we got here, and who’s paying for it all.

    It’s not just Trump anymore. It’s a regime. And it’s a regime that is funded and supported and strengthened by the oligarchs of Silicon Valley.”

    That is Durán’s warning to Australians.

    He was speaking to the ABC about his new book, The Nerd Reich: Silicon Valley Fascism and the War on Democracy.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-09-02/the-nerd-reich-silicon-valley-fascism-war-on-democracy-abc-2026/?

  11. Kirsdarkesays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:00 pm
    @nath at 5:50pm

    Tough but fair.

    Excuse me, what do you mean by that?
    ____________________________
    Slavery has gotten a bad name courtesy of Hollywood films and Leftist propaganda.

  12. First the polling turns against you, then the media goes more feral.

    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has hit out at criticism of the fact just five leaders from outside the Pacific have confirmed their attendance at Australia-organised United Nations climate events in Fiji and Tuvalu next month, branding it disrespectful to regional leaders.

    The pre-COP leaders event in Tuvalu was organised as part of a compromise deal between Australia and Turkey that will see the main event held in Antalya, Turkey, rather than Adelaide.

    Asked about the lack of attendance by world leaders, Albanese told a reporter that “you are being so disrespectful to the Pacific leaders who are here” by focusing solely on non-Pacific leaders.

    “Well, you’ve been very disrespectful here in the Pacific,” Albanese said on the sidelines of the Pacific Island Forum in Palau, noting that the pre-COP events will be strongly attended by Pacific leaders.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/just-five-nations-outside-the-pacific-to-attend-australian-climate-event-20260902-p60tov.html

  13. B. S. Fairmansays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 5:19 pm
    Boerwar – Yes, the shed is the HQ apparently. It is registered for all their material too.
    ====================================

    Maybe Rudy Giuliani organised it for them?

    It doesn’t happen to be called Four Seasons Total Landscaping ?

  14. Kirsdarkesays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:04 pm
    @nath at 6:01pm

    Slavery has gotten a bad name courtesy of Hollywood films and Leftist propaganda.

    Are you being serious here?
    _____________________
    Totally. And I’ve even started up a company specializing in slave attire in anticipation of a ON victory.

    Force your troublesome slaves into iron collars while the well trained slaves can be decked out in leather collars.

    I’m looking for investors.

  15. Tim Wilson on Sky News, as quoted by Mavis @4:40 PM.

    Australians on average are having up to $100,000 wiped off their wealth…

    That makes no sense. An average is a number, not a range. “Up to” suggests an upper limit to a range, a worst case scenario if you think house prices reducing is bad.

    Wilson is either misrepresenting whatever data that statement is based upon or he doesn’t understand it. Given the loaded language he uses, probably the former.

  16. Give Gina a call. Slaves would be a perfect match for her wishes.
    ________________
    She would claim the manacles and chains as a business expense!

  17. Steve777 at 6:18 pm
    Beware of pollies using the word “average”. A room full of poor people and a bazillionaire makes for an excellent ‘average’. Median income ? Not so good. It is why our pollies love averages. Median figures are far less impressive.According to the Grattan Insitute 75% to 80% of we peasants earn less than the “average”.

  18. Fastwheelssays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 5:59 pm
    The Nerd Reich wants to ‘destroy’ democracy, and its mask has slipped.

    “Billionaires have become radicalised against democracy,” the American independent journalist Gil Durán tells the ABC.

    “We have to realise how much power we have, and to stop being tuned out from the very real threat we face from a billionaire class that has gone off the edge of sanity into an altered reality.

    The Nerd Reich (2026) has debuted as an instant New York Times bestseller.
    “But we also need to realise where we’re at, how we got here, and who’s paying for it all.

    It’s not just Trump anymore. It’s a regime. And it’s a regime that is funded and supported and strengthened by the oligarchs of Silicon Valley.”

    That is Durán’s warning to Australians.

    He was speaking to the ABC about his new book, The Nerd Reich: Silicon Valley Fascism and the War on Democracy.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-09-02/the-nerd-reich-silicon-valley-fascism-war-on-democracy-abc-2026/?

    And it appears nath wants to be cog in the ‘Nerd Reich’ regime.
    Come to think of it to being a loan shark to whipping boy is a good skill set to transfer.
    Maybe nath thinks that nerd dictators are benevolent dictators. I don’t know.

  19. Talk of us lucky wee Australians surviving a nuclear holocaust because it would be confined to the northern hemisphere smacks of something of the wishful thinking 60-odd years ago.
    A more likely scenario is what was outlined by Nevil Shute in his apocalyptic novel, On the Beach, where the world’s surviving humans gather in Melbourne as the radiation from a nuclear war gradually spreads and they wait for the end.
    One thing not envisaged in that story was “nuclear winter”, in which the debris thrown up by nuclear explosions into the atmosphere would block out the sun’s rays and how such a “cloud” would spread across the globe, much as happened when an asteroid struck the earth 66 million years ago, causing the extinction of the dinosaurs. Hard to see how many humans could survive that.
    Of course we can’t be sure how much of the world could survive a nuclear war or whether such a post-nuclear world would be worth surviving in. But let’s hope we don’t find out.
    So far the world has avoided such a catastrophe, because not even the crops of lunatics in possession of nuclear weapons have wanted to destroy themselves along with the only world we are able to live in.
    We have to keep working on making our planet nuclear weapons-free. I don’t know how we’re going to do that, but I know of no other way than to plead that we do.

  20. Gardner is famously and apocryphally quoted as calling Melbourne “the perfect place to make a film about the end of the world.”Historical research shows this sharp remark was actually a journalistic fabrication created by a local reporter to spice up coverage after Gardner famously refused to give interviews or court the local press

  21. Soaring oil prices have triggered a global bond market meltdown with borrowing costs hitting multi-decade highs, pressuring central banks to do more to stamp out inflation and raising the prospect of two more interest rate rises in Australia this year.
    Government bond yields have been pushed to levels not seen since the global financial crisis in 2008 after an escalation in the Iran war this week sent Brent crude back above $US95 a barrel, fanning fears of runaway inflation.
    https://archive.is/gT6yo

  22. Confessionssays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:03 pm
    First the polling turns against you, then the media goes more feral.
    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has hit out at criticism of the fact just five leaders from outside the Pacific have confirmed their attendance at Australia-organised United Nations climate events in Fiji and Tuvalu next month, branding it disrespectful to regional leaders.
    _______________________
    Maybe if he stopped being disrespectful to world leaders then maybe more of them would show up. Especially the female ones.
    After tit gate why would they even bother. You don’t know what he is going to say down the track.

  23. @Taylormade

    I bet you giggled when Tony Abbott made a remark about the Costa Concordia disaster, “Well that was one boat that was stopped”.

  24. With everything going on in the US, I can certainly understand being anxious about the future of our country if One Nation do continue surging in support, but I think some of you need to chill out a little.

    I’m pretty confident that Australia’s robust democratic systems will not allow One Nation to go to the full Trump, not without them spending a decade in office both federally and in multiple states eroding said systems.

    We place far more restrictions upon our governments than the US does
    (the amount of executive power the US President and their cabinet have is insane), have a much fairer electoral process that is (mostly) free of gerrymandering and malapportionement, and a largely apolitical and independent High Court.

    The danger of electing a government that One Nation will play a substantial role in is that they are a bunch of bumbling incompetents and grifters (and Barnaby, I suppose) with crazy, ill-thought-out policies that they can’t even agree on half time, not that they will plunge us into fascism. Don’t get me wrong, their election will be terrible for the country, but it won’t be the end of democracy. At least, not in their first few terms.

    And, to be honest, I would really caution against hyperbole about serfs and summary executions and all that, as I think that sort of stuff ultimately plays right into One Nation’s hands.

  25. Holdenhillbilly says:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:36 pm

    Soaring oil prices have triggered a global bond market meltdown with borrowing costs hitting multi-decade highs, pressuring central banks to do more to stamp out inflation and raising the prospect of two more interest rate rises in Australia this year.
    Government bond yields have been pushed to levels not seen since the global financial crisis in 2008 after an escalation in the Iran war this week sent Brent crude back above $US95 a barrel, fanning fears of runaway inflation.
    https://archive.is/gT6yo

    …not to speak of the contribution of so many nations which are in the ‘pay now’ phase of ‘fly now and pay later’. And not forgetting Trump’s tariffs and Bessent’s interesting approach to his job. The latter includes rolling over something like a quarter of the US debt within the next six months or so.

    Strap yourselves in, folks.

  26. The PM edition:

    ‘‘This bloke needs to be destroyed’: Hadley’s explosive texts about Jones revealed.

    Former talkback giant Ray Hadley said in a text message to an alleged victim of unwanted kissing and touching by Alan Jones that the broadcaster “needs to be destroyed” and vowed to tear his supporters apart, a court has heard.

    In explosive evidence on Wednesday in Jones’ criminal trial, Hadley agreed he texted a man who had made allegations against Jones to The Sydney Morning Herald in 2023: “That c— will be in the foetal position when he reads the story in the morning. It’s been 50 years in the making.”

    Hadley, a former long-time colleague of Jones at 2GB, has testified in the Downing Centre Local Court that one of Jones’ accusers, dubbed complainant “C”, told him in October 2019 that Jones had “put his hand on my c— and kissed me” on a number of occasions some years earlier.

    Hadley agreed during cross-examination by Jones’ barrister, Gabrielle Bashir, SC, that he said in a message about Jones to “C” on October 19, 2019: “This bloke needs to be destroyed.”

    The court heard Hadley texted “C” before the 2023 Herald article that “one by one I’ll tear his supporters apart”, with a “special mention for one bloke who said he never saw any evidence of the behaviour”.

    Asked if this was a reference to the former 2GB host Jason Morrison, Hadley said: “I can’t recall. I don’t know.”

    He agreed that in a later message, he referred to Morrison as a “f—ing dog”.

    Morrison has given evidence in the trial and has vehemently denied witnessing an alleged incident involving Jones touching “C” on the penis over his clothing at a lunch in Sydney almost 20 years ago.

    Ray Hadley offered to take Alan Jones accuser to police, court hears
    Hadley agreed he had not produced to the court his text messages with “C” after being subpoenaed for the communications. However, “C” had produced that material, the court heard.

    The court heard that Hadley appeared to say in one text message to “C” in 2019: “… and Jones outed as … (a gay slur).” “I don’t usually use that word,” Hadley said, but he agreed he appeared to use it in this message. Asked if he harboured animosity towards Jones at this time, he said that he “wasn’t happy with him” and “probably, yes”.

    Earlier in his evidence, Hadley told the court he inked a “secret contract” in December 2018 to take over Jones’ breakfast radio slot from July 2019 and double his salary to $4 million.

    The former 2GB host rejected a suggestion by Bashir that he regarded the breakfast slot as the pinnacle of radio positions, saying his increase in value from $2 million to $4 million was the lure.

    “The money made me do it,” he said. “I didn’t pursue it, they came to me.” Asked if it was a secret contract, Hadley said: “It was indeed.” He denied he coveted the breakfast slot.’

    – SMH

    Hadley would not have had an ulterior motive to expose Jones’s alleged aberrant behaviour; he (Hadley) is not that sort of bloke. They certainly played rough at 2GB in the era of Jones & Hadley.

    Roll on the ICAC inquiry. Dear Charles, P will be in the hot seat again tomorrow. Damn it, I’ll be otherwise engaged.

  27. @Asha That, and the fact that since state governments will mostly be Labor and Liberal, that will also really moderate One Nation as well wether they like it or not, plus a left-wing blocking majority in the Senate won’t help them either.

  28. Taylormadesays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:36 pm
    Confessionssays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:03 pm
    First the polling turns against you, then the media goes more feral.
    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has hit out at criticism of the fact just five leaders from outside the Pacific have confirmed their attendance at Australia-organised United Nations climate events in Fiji and Tuvalu next month, branding it disrespectful to regional leaders.
    _______________________
    Maybe if he stopped being disrespectful to world leaders then maybe more of them would show up. Especially the female ones.
    After tit gate why would they even bother. You don’t know what he is going to say down the track.
    ================================================

    LOL the hypocrisy, as nath suggested once you have more front than an Amazon warehouse.

  29. Oakeshott Country:

    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:32 pm

    ‘As Ava Gardner said, If you are making a movie about the end of the world, Melbourne is the place to be.’

    You’d probably recall that in those days, the first thing a VIP would be asked by the assembled media was, “What do you think of Australia?” – this, before they had even left the tarmac. When Joan Sutherland arrived back in Oz in ’65, after making her debut at the ROH in ’59, in the role of Lucia, one journo asked her (wwtte), why haven’t you returned to Oz earlier? She responded by singing a truncated aria. Here’s a clip of her arrival, but absent the exchange:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0yHwuwRYfds

  30. Mavissays:
    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 7:14 pm
    Oakeshott Country:

    Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:32 pm

    ‘As Ava Gardner said, If you are making a movie about the end of the world, Melbourne is the place to be.’
    ===============================================
    You’d probably recall that in those days, the first thing a VIP would be asked by the assembled media was, “What do you think of Australia?”
    ==============================================

    While Melbourne just relied on high profile Hollywood actors like Peter Lorre talking about visiting there.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uKdDZU3i7y4

  31. Rats leaving the sinking ship…

    Liberal frontbencher James Griffin has announced he will exit politics at the upcoming NSW election, the first senior MP to abandon ship before one of the party’s most difficult polls.

    The resignation of Griffin – the shadow energy minister who considered himself a future Liberal leader – six months before the election offers a bleak assessment of the Coalition’s prospects.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/liberal-frontbencher-announces-exit-ahead-of-nsw-election-20260902-p60tsg.html

  32. Interesting developments in the Swans Pullman Five case, with the number dwindling after police interviews…

    Sydney Swan Riley Bice has been cleared of any criminal conduct in the unfolding police investigation into the alleged sexual assault of exotic dancers at a Melbourne hotel last month.

    A source with knowledge of the Victoria Police inquiry, but not authorised to speak publicly, also confirmed that detectives have finished a round of voluntary interviews with the four other Swans players but revealed some had not taken part in the process.

    The source said Bice, 25, is now being treated as a potential witness in the case, which is now in its third week.

    The other Swans stars at the centre of the incident – Isaac Heeney, Chad Warner, Nick Blakey and James Jordon – all remain part of the police investigation.

    The developments follow reporting by this masthead of the appointment by the players of different lawyers to represent their diverging interests, with at least three separate counsels now working for the men.

    The source connected with the investigation said some in the group had declined to provide voluntary accounts of the fateful night at the Pullman Hotel in East Melbourne last month. Police can seek to interview them again at any time.

    …..

    In a statement on Wednesday, Victoria Police confirmed three women had made a report about the night and detectives had this week travelled to Sydney to speak to four people.

    “That process has now concluded,” the statement read.

    “Investigators also spoke to or will speak to three men believed to be in the hotel room at the time of the incident, who are being treated solely as witnesses at this time.

    https://www.smh.com.au/sport/afl/sydney-swan-riley-bice-not-a-suspect-in-police-sexual-assault-investigation-20260902-p60tsj.html

Comments Page 23 of 24
1 22 23 24

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *