Two federal polls this evening show improved results for Labor, with The Australian reporting its primary vote at 33%, up three points on three weeks ago, with One Nation down two to 29%, the Coalition down one to an all-time low of 17%, and the Greens up two to 13%. Anthony Albanese is up four on approval to 40% and down three on disapproval to 57%, while Angus Taylor takes a solid hit, down four on approval to 31% and up six on disapproval to 51%. The question was posed of Pauline Hanson for the first time, with results of 46% approval and 49% disapproval. Albanese’s lead over preferred Taylor on prime minister is out from 44-38 to 47-36, while a three-way result has Albanese on 49%, Hanson on 31% and Taylor on 20%. When those favouring Taylor were then asked to choose between Albanese and Hanson, and the uncommitted excluded, Albanese records a lead of 57-43.
Respondents were asked which of three considerations loomed largest in their vote choice, with One Nation supporter being distinctive in breaking 38% for “they understand people like me”, compared with 13% or 14% for the other parties, and being less likely to choose “they have clear and realistic policies” (42% compared with 54% to 61%) and “the leader’s character and values” (19% compared with 23% to 31%). The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1235.
The Financial Review has a RedBridge Group/Accent Research poll is the first poll in a while that doesn’t have One Nation leading on the primary vote, although the gap between them and Labor is well inside the margin of error. Labor is up two on the primary vote to 30%, with One Nation down two to 29%, the Coalition down two to 18% and the Greens up two to 14%, their best result from this pollster for the term. Labor’s two-party leads are substantially increased: 56-44 over One Nation and 54-46 over the Coalition on respondent-allocated preferences, in both cases out from 51-49; and 55-45 over the Coalition on previous election preference flows, out from 52-48.
The three-way preferred prime minister question also records movement favourable to Labor, with Anthony Albanese up two to 33%, Pauline Hanson down two to 23% and Angus Taylor down three to 11%. Albanese’s favourable rating is up two to 31%, with neutral down two to 16% and unfavourable down one to 49%; Taylor is down four on favourable to 17%, up five on neutral to 28% and up one on unfavourable to 26%; and Hanson is down three on favourable to 37%, down three on neutral to 11% and up seven on unfavourable to 47%. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1006.
Maybe TM forgot to press M for map like he sometimes forgets to press W for weather
@nath
Oh noes, nath is going back to stooge insults again, whatever will I do!
That there are legitimate criticisms of the Vic government doesn’t make The Age less rabid. If anything the rabid, as demonstrated by this latest brainfart about how no evidence just means everyone is afraid to provide the evidence, has undercut any legitimate reporting they do. It’s been obvious for a few election cycles that The Age has zero impact on the zeitgeist in Victoria, seeing as a big majority of Victorians emphatically rejected the Age’s campaigning against Andrews and endless carping about COVID restrictions.
Buy one, take away three, Tuesday night specials and no charge for delivery.
Go to this web sight to estimate your build costs.
https://www.mcgqs.com.au/sqm-rate-finder/#calc
Pick your project. Go down the page and note that build costs per sq meters. Victoria is the second lowest in Australia only Canberra in cheaper.
I can tell you why, for all the bullshit in the press, Victorian tradesman get paid well thanks to the CFMEU, which is why the CFMEU is tolerated by the member, but they work.
The nonsense in the Age is actually quite sickening.
So there’s a poll with One Nation still leading the way, not ideal
Interesting that Morgan was the only poll with a bounce in support for the LNP
Combined “majors” still below 50 in YouGov. Along with all the other recent polls
No increase in the Greens vote yet
Who will be the first pollsters to separate out Community Strong Australia?
Didn’t The Age endorse Labor at the 2022 election? I believe they did. And everyone in Victoria knows about the corruption in the building industry. It’s no great shock to anyone that it has been endemic for years.
Of course there should be witnesses lining up down the street to give evidence against Outlaw Motorcycle Gangs but I sure wouldn’t.
You don’t want that knock on your door at 2am when you are in your slippers.
And Peter Dutton, for all his faults, which are many, was pointing out the OC infiltration of the CFMEU back in 2014 or thereabouts. But no one wanted to hear about it.
If I were a witness to the murder of an elected official by a member of an outlaw motorcycle gang I would probably agree to give evidence and just sweat the inevitable bullet HOWEVER if I were a witness to a mediation between the cfmeu and a construction company involving mick gatto regarding the necessity of shifts being allocated to trafZzzzzZzzZZzzzZZZzZ…zzzzz
The mid winter ball in Canberra should provide some answers despite the fact that no one will be prepared to talk for fear of intimidation and reprisal.
The renditions of the great idealistic monocultural anthem “we are one we are many” shall prevail at ball’s end.
In the meantime speculation as to the identity of Pauline’s partner will be revealed, most not so be forthcoming for fear of the now hysterical fear of intimidation and reprisal.
The Moira Deeming phonomena at large.
Fear and Loathing in Las State Circle.
What I’m trying to say is, the ‘problem’ the police are facing is that no-one gives a shit about these non-crimes. The criminals don’t have to violently threaten people not to snitch on them about the non-crimes because no-one cares.
You don’t care about corruption ok, but don’t mind if others take an interest.
“You don’t want that knock on your door at 2am when you are in your slippers.”
Is that the preferred operational procedure as performed by the gangs.
They’ve probably fearing the reprisals these days and allow the slippers to be discarded.
Moira has them frightened!
gollsays:
Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at 12:27 am
“You don’t want that knock on your door at 2am when you are in your slippers.”
Is that the preferred operational procedure as performed by the gangs.
_______________________
I believe it’s a bullet in your mailbox as an introduction. Visits may occur afterwards if the message is not received.
Did Taylormade receive a bullet in the mailbox?
That would explain his fear of arriving home after footy training.
Certainly the names of the members in Moira’s gang would be revealing.
but nath I’m the only one who comments on even a quarter of TMs posts. This story has less cut-through than the time I burnt out the motor of an anko coffee grinder trying to chop up a bowl of icky adelaide hydro. I do have an interest, so to speak, but my angle is different to yours.
@Landlord of the Year
Okay, let’s take a look at those seats.
Sunbury (Outer Northwest Suburbs) currently held 56-44 to Labor: Yes, that could indeed flip, Labor electrified their railway line too far along for the Liberals to cancel it back in 2012, so, not much further promised out that way.
Ashwood (Eastern Suburbs) currently held 56-44 to Labor: This is one of the seats that swung to Labor in 2022, and would be directly affected by the Suburban Rail Link, which the Liberals want to cancel as a “fuck you” to Labor for cancelling their East-West Link (which they kinda screwed themselves). I don’t think this one will flip so easily.
Melton (Outer Western Suburbs) currently held 55-45 to Labor: Yeah, this one is tricky for Labor to hold, will probably flip. Building a hospital here probably won’t be enough, they should have done more to build city infrastructure here in the time they had.
Yan Yean (Outer Northern Suburbs) currently held 54-46 to Labor: Tricky to predict. They had a massive swing against Labor of 13% last election against the new MP Lauren Kathage, so she’d at least get a bit of a Sophomore Surge, but with this district extending outside of Melbourne there’s the whole complicated mess of One Nation, so, probable Labor loss.
Glen Waverley (Eastern Suburbs) currently held 53-47 to Labor: See Ashwood above, but it’s a narrower margin.
Hastings (Outer South-Eastern Suburbs) currently held 51-49 to Labor: Honestly yeah, I think this one’s gone. Labor hasn’t really done much for this area south of Frankston railway station, so, the Liberals will probably gain this.
Pakenham (Outer Eastern Suburbs) currently held 50.4-49.6 to Labor: This one might be harder for the Libs to flip. Emma Vulin would have a Sophomore Surge and they have had huge investment in the redevelopment of the Pakenham train station, which has been fully active for over a year now.
Bayswater (Outer Eastern Suburbs) currently held 54-46 to Labor: Might also be hard for the Libs to flip. Sophomore Surge and all that.
Bass (Outer South-Eastern Suburbs) currently held 50.2-49.8 to Labor: Yeah, this one’s pretty much gone. The only way Labor could have retained this is to promise a railway extension to Clyde and they didn’t do it, so, that’s flipped to either Liberals or One Nation.
“ Russian attacks kill 13, injure 109 across Ukraine over past day”
https://kyivindependent.com/russian-attacks-kill-13-injure-109-across-ukraine-over-past-day/
@kirsdarke, I note your concerns about the ALP in Victoria.
Relax.
These polls are when people are not yet considering their actual vote. Outside elections, most people hate the gumment. It doesn’t matter who it is. We are such a bunch of entitled whingers that everything is the Gumment’s fault.
The unique situation in Victoria is that there is no alternative.
As soon as we enter the election period it will be blatantly obvious to everyone that the LNP are a hopeless rabble, and ON don’t actually exist.
The ALP will be returned easily, with or without Jacinta!
The bulldozer of bureaucracy…..
We are about to see, yet again, contrary to the erroneous but popular adage, the opposition losing an election as opposed to the government winning one.
New thread.