The fortnightly YouGov Sky News Pulse poll joins RedBridge Group and DemoAU in recording a primary vote lead for One Nation, who have surged four points in the second such poll since the budget to 29%, with Labor down two for the second fortnight in a row, to 26%. The Coalition has more than lost the two-point gain it made in the post-budget poll, being down three to 20%, while the Greens are steady on 13%. Two-party measures have Labor leading One Nation 52.5-47.5, in from 53-47, and the Coalition 51.5-48.5, in from 52-48.
Anthony Albanese has taken a hit on his personal ratings, down three on approval to 34% and up four on disapproval to 60%. He holds a 47-41 lead over Pauline Hanson on preferred prime minister, in from 50-38, and 41-39 over Angus Taylor, in from 41-38. Forty-six per cent of all respondents said they believed the Coalition and One Nation should work together to form government with 31% opposed, breaking down to 45% and 28% among Coalition voters and 53% and 25% among One Nation voters. The poll was conducted last Tuesday through to yesterday from a sample of 1471.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has One Nation drawing level with Labor on the primary vote at 27%, with Labor down half a point and One Nation up one-and-a-half, with the Coalition down three to 20% and the Greens steady on 13.5%. Labor’s lead over One Nation on respondent-allocated two-party preferred is unchanged at 53.5-46.5; against the Coalition, Labor’s lead improves from 53-47 to 55.5-44.5 on respondent-allocated preferences, and from 52-48 to 53.5-46.5 on previous election flows. The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1542.
Alot of bedwetters here tonight.
I would say that the biggest fear I have of a future federal government where One Nation plays a substantial role is the possibility that they do a Playford / Bjelke-Peterson and reintroduce malapportionment to favour rural electorates.
Question for those who know these kinds of things: can the federal government still do that simply by passing a bill through both houses of parliament, or are there constitutional limitations now?
SMH
Rich mates, secret mansions: Australia’s millionaire Nazi-backers revealed
Wealthy backers are helping Australia’s neo-Nazis plot their next move into politics from a secret multimillion-dollar compound. We tracked it down – along with Thomas Sewell’s rich mates.
Among Sewell’s rich associates are a race-car driver turned failed political candidate who owns a fleet of planes; the son of a gun dealer and inventor in regional Victoria; a jet-setting “manfluencer” friend of Andrew Tate who sells penis supplements to teenagers; a property development heir turned provocateur, and a stockbroker mixing with MAGA influencers overseas.
& the winner is…..
Featherstone, 45, has inherited his family’s trucking company wealth and owns millions of dollars in property in the state’s north-east, including another $3.5 million mansion just minutes down the road from the compound where Sewell is living.
The private school-educated Featherstone describes himself as a “white nationalist” and “racist” online, and has been pictured marching alongside neo-Nazis at recent rallies.
Well said, Wat.
In 2025 One Nation preferences split about 3:1 between Coalition and Labor. Historically it was more like 2:1 or even 3:2. All this is with the One Nation vote varying between about 6% and a rounding error.
Now that the One Nation vote is about 25%, who knows how preferences would split. There would be some very rich and powerful players who would want to see the Coalition and One Nation tightly preferencing each other and which I’m sure they would work towards that end.
Man, the times have definitely changed when Mundo of all people is telling people not to be bedwetters!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/06/03/trumps-pick-iowa-governor-concedes-gop-primary-upset/
I don’t know about the constitutionality of that and am not going to pretend so but I will say that scenario, as outrageous as it seems, isn’t that implausible. A part of the recent shtick of quite a few in the One Nation ranks has been to question the integrity and legitimacy of the AEC and their state level counterparts. Mostly because conspiracy fuels populism but I could see a scenario where they favour a system that abolishes the commissions and replaces them with one they (hypothetically being in power) have direct control over seat apportionment
And Schumer’s candidate for the Dems in the Iowa senate race got up.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/06/03/seven-takeaways-big-primary-night-iowa-california-more/
A reminder of the shadow war currently at play.
The Australian: Senex Energy boss calls Labor’s gas reservation scheme ‘nationalisation by stealth’
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/senex-energy-boss-calls-labors-gas-reservation-scheme-nationalisation-by-stealth/news-story/d2efa9b99fe05b62373a9ac928ec32eb
AFR: ‘A good policy choice’: Chevron boss backs some One Nation ideas on gas
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/a-good-policy-choice-chevron-boss-back-some-one-nation-ideas-on-gas-20260603-p603iv
And in California things are tight.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/06/03/us/california-primary-elections-midterms
What happens at the next election when it comes to debates if the polling remains about the same? Would Hanson be keen on being on the big stage with Angus and Albo?
Steve777 says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:37 pm
There would be some very rich and powerful players who would want to see the Coalition and One Nation tightly preferencing each other and which I’m sure they would work towards that end.
They can plot all they like.. in the end the punters will decide & go Labor or Teal, thats the beauty of 2PP .. its easily applied & the punters aren’t all totally as stupid as Abbott thinks.. as proof they gave he the big shove
davidwh
I desperately hope that Labor can put something together with the Teals, if needed.
A Labor / Coalition government with the present Coalition will not happen.
If Labor is forced to minority, then it will be because of the “Teal waterside edge” that it can even form a minority government. If the Coalition is a deal maker, I expect them to go with One Nation.
But, we are living through a time of abrupt realignments in political allegiances, as well as in geopolitical alliances and allegiances. Uncertainty seems to push Homo Sapiens Sapiens towards authoritarian, and therefore seemingly secure, outcomes in politics.
I keep saying we are trying to redo the politics of the 1920 and 1930, hoping for a different outcome.
Asha says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:38 pm
Man, the times have definitely changed when Mundo of all people is telling people not to be bedwetters!
_______
Mundo gets post of the day for me. No correspondence will be entered into 🙂
Tricot says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:13 pm
Was it just a few weeks ago that we had a terrible massacre in Bondi and the world in Oz as we know it was coming to an end?
Was it just 4/5 weeks ago that the fuel shortage was going to be the end of Oz as we know it? You know, the farmers who could not get their fuel/fertilizer and we were all going to die of starvation?
Was it just a few weeks ago that properties that the young could not afford were being sold after 10 days on the market, now the gripe is going up that “buyers” are fleeing the market?
Meanwhile there are some here predicting two years into the future, two years in which two budgets will be on the table, two years in which Trump could help destroy the world as we know it, that PH will be PM of Oz, leading the nation.
================
Tricot,
The polling figures out of Victoria are not good. Yes, I know I was rabbiting on about Victoria last cycle, but the recent YouGov has not only One Nation ahead of Labor, but the Libs are also ahead of Labor. (ie: labor polling third in the so called Massachusetts of Australia.)
Link: https://www.pollbludger.net/2026/06/03/federal-polls-yougov-and-roy-morgan-open-thread-3/comment-page-5/#comment-4728614
Just reading the political play in Victoria, from 1800 kms away…
* Jess Wilson has promised a Royal Commission into CFMEU/Big Build alleged corruption
* Albo would prefer to avoid this, as he doesn’t want RC findings playing out during the next Federal election (Remember the Federal ALP holds 27 of 38 divisions in Victoria). It’s a lot of seats to lose.
* Somehow $3.8b of GST funding has been sent to Victoria to prop up a railway line in Melbourne’s eastern suburbs (SRL east?). The money was apparently ripped from NSW & QLD, for which Premier Minns was unhappy.
* The extra money will probably avoid a credit downgrade in Victoria, which is the last thing Premier Allan would want to deal with in the middle of a re-election campaign.
My “gut feel” is that the Federal gov’t is doing everything in it’s power to save the Vic gov’t from defeat in November.
The current polling for the Vic Labor gov’t is not the best.
BT Victoria has the following from 29-Apr.
* ALP 26.0
* LNP 25.9
* ON 24.4
* GRN 11.7
* Oth/Ind 12.0
We should get a Resolve Victoria poll on/around 16-Jun.
Last nights YouGov was not good for the Vic ALP.
Considering his posting history, I suspect Mundo’s post was ironic. Making reference to that dreadful term that defined the hubris of many on here back in 2019.
Lots of Russian shit blowing up around St Petersburg today for the launch of ‘Russian Davos’
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/03/ukraine-drones-st-petersburg-russia-economic-forum
Asha
Fair enough.
But it was correcting a Sco Mo bribe.
Douglas and Milko says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:44 pm
The difference for Australia is the compulsory preferential voting system. I have come to value the democratic ballast it provides.
Mundosays:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:34 pm
Alot of bedwetters here tonight.
========================================
Great post Mundo.
“Eat, drink, and be merry for tomorrow we die.”
subgeometersays:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:47 pm
Lots of Russian shit blowing up around St Petersburg today for the launch of ‘Russian Davos’
===========================================
That’s what happens when you forget to ask Zelenskyy’s permission to hold an economic forum. It’s just lucky they remembered to ask for that permission for their sad victory day excuse for a parade. Otherwise it would have turned out like this too.
Asha, last page:
Lazy analysis: pretend that’s a 2cp ON-ALP swing in a hypothetical future SA election, in seats where that was the top two: they’d pick up seven seats off Labor (with another few just beyond that range). Assuming all others stay put (Chaffey and Flinders would be wobbly), that would be ALP 27, ON 11, Lib 5, Ind 4 – still a Labor majority, with One Nation the clear opposition.
Apply that back to a federal election: Labor’s seat count would be somewhere in the 70s, either a majority or close enough to one that the Greens would make the difference. There’ll be no more boasting round here about “94 SEATS”, but they’ll still be in government.
No it won’t, unless Labor abandons all of its principles like the Liberal “Moderates”, or lets the Liberal rump wag the dog like the Nationals in Coalition Governments. The Liberals have much more in common with One Nation, the main difference being that they are less flaky, have a long history as a serious party of Government and actual governing experience.
Griff
Same here! And because voting is compulsory, the various electoral commissions therefore need to provide the means for all citizens to vote, nearby to where they live or work.
It really does diminish the ability to suppress votes.
Griff says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:49 pm
Proof that its a brilliant idea is that its opposed by Pawleen .
Claude..
Criticisms and Limitations
However, the system also has drawbacks that prevent it from being universally considered “the most democratic”:
It can be complex — Ranking many candidates requires voters to make numerous choices, which some argue reduces accessibility.
It doesn’t guarantee proportional representation — In multi-member electorates, it can still produce disproportionate results compared to the overall vote share.
Strategic voting exists — Voters might rank candidates tactically rather than sincerely.
It’s not used in most democracies — Countries like Germany, Sweden, and New Zealand use proportional systems that many argue better reflect voter preferences across parties.
The Bigger Picture
No single voting system is objectively “most democratic.” Different countries prioritize different democratic values: majority rule, proportionality, local representation, simplicity, or encouraging coalition-building. Australia’s system excels at some of these goals while trade-offs exist on others. Democratic quality depends on many factors beyond voting mechanics—including institutional checks, freedoms, rule of law, and civic participation.
But it does promote stability…?
2019 is ancient history, skeleton.jpg territory. Assuming that polls always just tell the truth is what got folks into trouble in the week before the ’25 federal election.
WT: “There’s two years to go. ”
It was one year ago. 94 seats. The largest election landslide in Australia in 80 years. It was in the news.
Entropy, Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:55 pm:
Puts a smile on my dial. 🙂
The Coalition won the TPP in 1990. Labor won the TPP in 1954 and 1961 and 1998. (Though 1954 and 1961 also had other factors in play, with the territory seats not counting towards a majority at the time and Labor’s vote being inflated by there being several seats that weren’t contested by the Coalition.)
We shouldn’t be ignoring the two-party preferred, but it is not the only thing that decides elections held in single-member parliamentary systems. It is simply a measure we can use to determine how the two biggest parties are performing in relation to each other nationwide once preferences are taken into account.
https://archive.is/20260603065526/https://www.theage.com.au/national/rich-mates-secret-mansions-australia-s-millionaire-nazis-revealed-20260428-p5zrm6.html
Investigative journalism still exists. Yay!
Very worth reading, and glad to have the names of the Nazi scum out there so they can’t keep playing games in public pretending to be what they’re not.
Several long-range drones crashed into oil storage facilities after Russian air defences tried unsuccessfully to shoot them down. There were loud explosions and black smoke rose high above the city from the blazing oil terminal.
The St Petersburg’s governor, Alexander Beglov, said the Kirovsky and Krasnoselsky districts were targeted. Ukraine also struck the Kronstadt naval base and shipyard in Leningrad oblast, the port home to Russia’s Baltic fleet. Vessels were reportedly damaged.
The strikes will be deeply embarrassing for the Kremlin, taking place about 10 miles from the forum, where Putin is due to make a keynote speech on Friday. Guests arrived for Wednesday’s opening ceremony under a pall of thick smoke. Others were unable to fly in after St Petersburg’s airport was temporarily closed.
About 20,000 visitors from 130 countries are expected to attend the three-day annual summit, which has been described as Russia’s answer to Davos. They include the former German chancellor Gerhard Schröder, the far-right American influencer Candace Owens and the Tate brothers.
Putin offers rapists & misogynists a warm welcome, why isn’t Trump attending?
BoP:
A win’s a win and all, but that’s close enough to make my own bed pretty moist, I have to say.
Looking forward to seeing the ups, downs, ins and outs of the polling over the next two years. As for the takeaway from this week:
PAULINE HANSON OPPOSES YOUR PAY RISE.
PAULINE HANSON OPPOSES YOUR TAX CUT.
And the Jolly Jumbucks of this world avoid that uncomfortable fact like the plague.
Entropysays:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:00 pm.
_______________________
D- and that’s being generous. But I have to admit it is an impossible ask to come up with excuses to try and defend Allan’s inaction. At least you had a go.
Andrews supports Sayers who I think is a creep. That’s enough for me to have a crack at him. You can tell a lot about a person by the company they keep.
Mundo’s the one that posts “I got a bad feeling about this” every day for a month or so before a major election yeah
The world will get weaned off Russian oil sooner rather than later. Ukraine is seeing to that.
Sceptic:
None of us know what “the punters” will be thinking in 2028.
Think back to early June 2025, when Albanese had just trounced Dutton in a historic, unexpected landslide after his government had seemingly been on the nose for half a term, and then imagine someone predicting that BludgerTrack would look like it does now in a year’s time. We’d all laugh in their face.
Rupert always traded on ignorance..
Dumbing It Down on Fox News
Sam Fulwood III explores why Rupert Murdoch’s propaganda machine is making its viewers less aware and knowledgeable of current events…
Researchers with Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind Poll asked 612 New Jersey residents a variety of questions to test their awareness and knowledge of current events that dominated the news between October 17 and October 23. The poll’s shocking conclusion was that people who described themselves as heavy Fox News viewers tended to be “even less informed than those who say they don’t watch any news at all.”
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/race-and-beyond-dumbing-it-down-on-fox-news/
Page 3 & Samantha Fox is as elevated as Rupert gets
Thanks Arange @ 8.27pm
I’ll flip and put myself down for an LNP win in Vic (probably in minority with O.N.).
I don’t think the Labor gov’t in Victoria will hang on in November. I sense desperation.
We should start getting some Vic polling soon (around mid June). Quite frankly there was more S.A. polling in the lead up to their election, than in Victoria, but I’m sure this will change soon.
Thanks for getting back.
Pi:
Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
List the seats that the ALP is going to lose then.
Fox viewers and the like are more than ill informed. They are being actively diseducated
nadia says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 9:17 pm
Nah.. Labor will hang on, the punters will come to their senses, especially if Liberals & ON swap preferences & they will.
In the rural and regional seats in QLD and NSW with Labors put ON.last philosophy I can see Labor running 3rd in many seats with LNP 2nd and LNP winning on Labor and Green preferences or have I got this wrong.
The 2025 result is why I refuse to dismiss the Albanese Government as finished. As I said, 2028 is two years away. The numbers do look bad but definitely not terminal (historical low primaries would be alarming if that wasn’t the norm across the board.) There are countless examples of governments that have experienced mid-term slumps and bounced back.
However, we should be mindful of our survivor bias when we look back at the last term and the 2025 election. Just because Labor got through its doldrums last time and triumphed, it doesn’t mean it will happen every time.
“Andrews supports Sayers who I think is a creep.”
——————————————–
There is no evidence whatsoever that Andrews or any of Sayers many Liberal party mates either. Have made any statement supporting him over his wife in the current civil action.
Europe really needs to come up with its own ballistic missile defense systems given the US is unreliable and also pissing theirs away in the middle east with their own idiotic war of choice. It’s Ukraine’s main weakness ATM
Some amusing revelations on AUKUS today …
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-06-03/two-optimal-pathways-aukus-submarines/106755658
Are we at the stage yet of realizing we are probably going to end up paying $368 billion for a couple of Trump’s used rubber ducks? Or is that something we still have to look forward to?
I used to believe it was our government that was so stupid, but I have to admit now that it must be us, because we apparently believe the utter nonsense this government says.
Taylormadesays:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 9:13 pm
Entropysays:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:00 pm.
_______________________
D- and that’s being generous. But I have to admit it is an impossible ask to come up with excuses to try and defend Allan’s inaction. At least you had a go.
Andrews supports Sayers who I think is a creep. That’s enough for me to have a crack at him. You can tell a lot about a person by the company they keep.
=====================================================
Do you apply that philosophy equally to everyone whose company he keeps?
https://theklaxon.com.au/frydenbergs-curse-lingers-over-feuding-sayers/
https://www.consultancy.com.au/news/8767/luke-sayers-faces-heat-over-pwc-whistleblower-complaint