The monthly poll from Essential Research has Labor down a point to 30%, the Coalition steady on 24%, One Nation up a point to 25% (overtaking the Coalition for the first time in this series) and the Greens up a point to 11%, with a further 5% undecided. The Coalition continues to have its nose ahead of Labor on this pollster’s 2PP+ measure, which has the Coalition up two to 49% and Labor up one to 47%, with the balance undecided. Anthony Albanese is up two on approval to 41% and steady at 51% disapproval, while Angus Taylor is down one on approval to 34% and up one on disapproval to 34%.
Further questions find 26% approving and 42% disapproving of the US and Israeli military action on Iran, with 34% approving and 26% disapproving of Australia’s response. Twenty-one per cent said they would support sending troops if requested by the US and Israel with 50% opposed; 32% supported and 35% opposed the government’s actual policy of sending weapons and equipment to countries like the United Arab Emirates; and 37% said they would support and 31% oppose offering refuge to displaced civilians.
Questions on international relationships find sentiment towards China softening considerably as compared with 2021: where 12% then felt Australia should get closer to China “in terms of diplomatic and trade relationships” compared with 51% for “become less close”, the respective numbers are now 21% and 26%. For the United States, “get closer” is down from 32% to 21% and “become less” close up from 14% to 34%. The Guardian’s report says the sample was 1067, and the field work dates were presumably last Wednesday to Monday.
The sometimes volatile weekly series from Roy Morgan is little changed this week, with Labor down half-a-point to 30%, the Coalition down half-a-point to 23%, One Nation up one to 22.5% and the Greens up half-a-point to 14%. Labor holds two-party preferred leads over the Coalition of 54.5-45.5 on respondent-allocated preferences, in from 55.5-44.5 last week, and 54-46 on previous election preferences, in from 54.5-45.5 The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1587.
newy boy at 11.56 pm
Armenia is further east away from Europe than Turkey, which has been in stalled accession negotiations with the EU for over 20 years. There is zero chance for Armenia of EU membership. Ukraine has a serious prospect of EU membership, but ultimately because of Putin’s invasion. Without that Ukraine would have remained behind Turkey.
Dr D – coincidentally, I just had a conversation with someone, where we agreed EU accession for Armenia is pie in the sky for another 30 years at least. However, my main hope isn’t for that (Armenia should get in line behind Ukraine and Moldova, then some Balkan countries) but for security & trade cooperation with Ukraine. I really hope Armenia and Azerbaijan can throw some sort of spanner in the works of overland goods transport between Russia and Iran.
Apologies for the long post but this comes from facebook and was put there by a former work colleague who has higher than average intelligence.
Not only is the content crap but I am intrigued as to why an Australian would post something obviously written in Chumpistan and then why would a bunch of other Australians post about its brilliance.
If I didn’t want the best for my kids, my grandkids, and great grandchild I would wish for a Hanson led victory in both houses of parliament so these idiots could find out what the mad right has in store for them.
Anyhow, read this and despair. (By the way, before posting I fixed the spelling errors, and that goes to the intelligence of the person who wrote it)
“Now you know why the globalist cabal has been deathly afraid of Trump for the last 10 years. It’s why Obama tried to use the Russian hoax to derail Trump’s Presidency before it began. It’s why Biden tried to use lawfare to prevent a second Trump Presidency.It’s why the deep state stalled his first administration & impeached him twice in his first term. It’s why the GOP establishment intentionally tanked the 2018 midterms. World events under Trump 2.0 is what they feared & why they pushed to stack his cabinet with traitors during his first term.This is why the entire Democrat party & certain people on the Right counter message everything coming out of his administration. It’s why they are melting down, daily. Donald Trump is changing the country and the world for the betterment of the people. He is proving that we don’t have to live the way liberal globalists & their media harlots tell us we must.He is shining a light on “unfixable problems” that it turns out could be easily fixed. They have no defense for that truth. Turns out the border could always have been secured in days if they wanted to do it. Turns out, yes we can deport illegals if they wanted to do it. Turns out we don’t have to live with mass migration if they wanted to stop it. Turns out we don’t have to hollow out fly over country and force our citizens to learn to code if they didn’t want it to happen. Turns out we don’t have to pay for the world’s research and development cost for prescription drugs if they cared about our welfare. Turns out we can manufacture our own stuff if we want to. Turns out we have plenty of energy and don’t need to import much if we don’t want to. Turns out, yes, we can require companies to not put poison into our food if they wanted to do it. Turns out we don’t need to tolerate crime. Turns out we don’t need to let private equity firms destroy good companies. Turns out we don’t have to allow widespread fraud in welfare programs if they dont want it. Turns out we don’t have to fear terror loving countries plunging the world into a new dark age if we have a set of balls. Turns out we don’t have to allow other countries to rip us off in trade if they cared about Americans. Turns out we don’t have to bend to insane wokeness to protect minority rights.Turns out we don’t have to let mentally ill men destroy women’s institutions.Turns out elimination of DEI from our armed forces ethos results in a more lethal military.Now you know why they feared Trump, they feared he’d expose the truth & we’d stop believing the lies making the globalists more powerful & wealthier. The truth was out there all along & now you know.”
@GrannyAnny
Sounds like a rant from a defendant at Nuremberg in 1946.
Ven says:
Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 9:38 pm
Bezos Met Gala in NY is an abomination during these times. The theme slogan is “party like it is 1939”.
Understand that each Met Gala ticket could be anywhere between $100000 and $350000
___________________________________
Geez that’s as subtle as Elon’s salute. But 1939? nothing much happened until September. 1938 would be a better choice, annexation of Czechoslovakia, anschulss of Austria, false hope of the Peace in Our Time, lots of ‘Deals’ and treaties.
newy boy at 12.20 am
Strictly speaking the Western Balkans group of countries have been in the EU queue for almost as long as Turkey.
Before Putin’s war the queue became permanently stalled. There was an EU meeting in Copenhagen in 1993 that formalised criteria for EU accession.
The last criterion had nothing to do with aspirant countries. It was the EU’s capacity to absorb new states. It was a potentially permanent red light on further expansion in the future.
Before Putin’s war Ukraine was an aspirant country with no real prospect of EU membership. It was in response to their inability to stop Putin that the EU made an exception for Ukraine and disregarded their strict Copenhagen criteria for Ukraine. But the criteria still apply like a red light to all other aspirants.
Azerbaijan and Armenia are unlikely to cooperate to block trade between Iran and Russia. There is a sea route across the Caspian Sea.
Kirsdarke:
This is why I reckon that seat poll for Farrer was a little bit high for One Nation in the 2cp. If they’re right on primary votes, with the gouge ON have taken out of the Lib vote, those who remain would be less likely to preference them than the average Lib – their vote isn’t homogeneous.
Obviously I’m seeing what I want to see here. Nobody’s ever seen a ON/Ind 2cp federally before so we’re all flying blind. I think Milthorpe can win this, though.
@GrannyAnny
Have no doubt, the talking points have gone to the masses, I get the same rants, Biden this, Immigrants, stolen elections all that impotent rage. As a bonus I get the UK version, immigrant invasions, free houses for illegals, brown people everywhere, islamic gangs…
my response, to both is ‘so what – I don’t live there? ‘ – then I get all the hate at Albo, almost Dan Andrews levels of hate really quite disturbing.
Doc D:
Azerbaijan and Armenia aren’t cooperating on anything full stop. Ever since the Soviet Union broke up those two countries have been at war or close to it. That whole region is just as much of a mess as the Middle East, we just hear less about it because three different versions of the one true God don’t come from there.
Dr D – I was thinking more like the sort of ‘cooperation’ involved in the strikes on the Russian shadow fleet vessel, Arctic Metagaz off Libya and Malta, but on rail and road freight and pipelines. Ukraine can strike – and has struck – vessels in the Caspian Sea.
rhwombat (and Griff)
says:
Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 12:39 pm
This has also been my experience. As you say, rhw, it is not all Greens voters. But as Griff says, these Greens voters are strongly concentrated in universities.
And in inner city Sydney where I live.
I have told this story before on this blog, but at the 2016 Federal election I was handing out at Alexandria Park Community School for Labor. Some people who I had worked hand-in-glove with at the NTEU (National Tertiary Education Union) at my place of work a few years earlier, were there to hand out for the Greens and the Socialist Alliance. I knew them both, from my union work. I smiled at them and said hello, thinking that we were generally on the same side. Not at all. I was basically hissed at. With the two looking towards each other, one said the other “we always thought she was Labor”. My volunteer labour for the union meant nothing. I will add that the two people who hissed at me had drawn salaries from the union, which my dues had paid for.
I still always absolutely vote 1 Labor and then 2 Green in the senate, federally, and at the state level, because I know that there are Greens like MABWM and Wat Tyler who do not think that destroying Labor (unlike Bronstein, Lev Davidovich & Ulyanov, Valdimir Ilyich) is necessary to bring on some sort of revolution, which will overturn capitalism.
But when you live near the People’s Republic of Balmain and Newtown, you tend to come across the Trotsky and Lenin types.
The most frightening part of my longish life and my fear for the future.
And driven by both the contagious old tree media and the subsequent versions of media.
As though much of history as known is being ignored by a torturous strangulation of mis information to satisfy particular outcomes.
Has the “thingie” calling itself so inaccurately, the United States, the “gun toting” monstrosity that it’s become, ever been any of the platitudes it adores its leaders and population with ?
The contorted mind set of a rather disturbing portion of Australia voters is beyond interpretation.
Much money is spent on education yet we find Australia with such a disturbingly masticated set of beliefs!
A great story D & M and so relatable!
(and their superannuation)
I’m more surprised Socialist Alliance and the Greens were friendly – most capital-S socialists I’ve met hate the Greens because they’re too capitalist. (Or to use a Melbourne slang term, “bougie”.) Or is that Socialist Alternative that do that? I always mix them up. The only thing we hate more than the Romans, etc.
The culty types who hang around uni campuses on O-week trying to sign people up for Socialist Archipelago do more damage to the cause than they understand. Thanks to them, the only exposure to the word “socialism” most people have is those whack jobs, which permanently poisons the ground for any properly left-wing party to get established. (Well, that and half a century of propaganda from the Libs and also their fellow travellers, Labor Right. You haven’t seen someone truly hate the concept of workplace unionism until you’ve met an SDA rep.)
The educated left so called have been shown to be morally bankrupt so them whining about what they describe as “deplorables”is laughable.
Educated Left Want Iran to get the bomb,ignore 40,000 brave Iranians slaughtered by its corrupt regime and decades of war causing.
Also the so called educated left love this….
https://unwatch.org/outrage-at-un-democracies-enable-iran-china-cuba-to-oversee-human-rights-bodies/
The so called educated left love Cuba,so watch Trump deal with them next.As he should.Also loved completely open borders,high crime and mass drug use.
New thread.