Three new polls of federal voting intention:
• The Australian reports the first Newspoll in four weeks has Labor down a point to 31%, the Coalition up one to 21%, One Nation down one to 26% and the Greens up one to 12%. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 39% and up two on disapproval to 57%, while Angus Taylor is down two to 35% and up one to 42%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 45-37 to 44-36. As with other recent Newspoll results showing One Nation leading the Coalition, no two-party preferred result is provided. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1232.
• The monthly RedBridge Group/Accent Research poll for the Financial Review sets new records for One Nation, up a point to 29%, and the Coalition, down two to 17%, with Labor steady on 32% and the Greens up one to 13%. Labor holds two-party leads over both One Nation and the Coalition of 53-47, respectively in from 54-46 and steady. Anthony Albanese’s favourable rating is down three to 29% and his unfavourable rating is up one to 46%; Angus Taylor is steady on 19% and up two to 22% (24% had not heard of him, only one point down on a month ago); and Pauline Hanson is up two to 38% and up three to 43%. A three-way preferred prime minister question has Albanese down a point to 33%, Taylor up four to 14% and Hanson steady on 23%. The poll finds 61% holding Donald Trump most responsible for rising petrol prices compared with 14% for Anthony Albanese and 16% for neither. It was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1003.
• The monthly Fox & Hedgehog poll for the News Corp tabloids has Labor steady on 30%, the Coalition down one to 23%, One Nation down two to 23% and the Greens up one to 13%. The pollster’s three-party preferred measure has Labor up two to 46%, the Coalition steady on 27% and One Nation down two to 27%. Labor’s two-party lead over the Coalition is unchanged at 51-49, and its lead over One Nation is out from 53-47 to 56-44. Anthony Albanese is down two on approval to 30% and up two on disapproval to 49%, Angus Taylor is down two to 24% and up one to 24%, and Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 40-35 to 39-35. The government’s handling of the fuel crisis is rated good by 18% and poor by 57%, but 55% hold disruption from war in the Middle East as the factor most responsible compared with 24% for the federal government and 15% for stations and suppliers. The full release has regular personal ratings on a range of political figures other than the two leaders. The poll was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday from a sample of 1810.
The Australia Institute also has polls from three teal seats conducted as part of its campaign for a gas exports tax. When a forced-response follow-up for the initially undecided is included, the results are as follows:
• In Kooyong, independent Monique Ryan 29.7%, Liberals 34.8%; One Nation 13.4%; Labor 12.8% and Greens 5.7%. A respondent-allocated two-candidate preferred result has Ryan and the Liberals at 50-50. The poll was conducted March 17 and 18 from a sample of 1184.
• In Mackellar, independent Sophie Scamps 31.4%, Liberal 25.0%, One Nation 21.7%, Labor 14.7%, Greens 4.7%, with Scamps holding a 56.7-43.3 two-party lead over the Liberals. The poll was conducted March 17 to 19 from a sample of 1046.
• In Wentworth, independent Allegra Spender 30.6%, Liberal 25.7%, One Nation 16.3%, Labor 16.4%, Greens 7.9%, with Spender holding a 59.4-40.6 two-party lead over the Liberals. The poll was conducted March 17 to 19 from a sample of 1190.
Miskal says:
Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 8:22 pm
I dont like Star Trek Acadamy because of dismal plot lines and lousy writing.
Youtube commentators dont like STA because a klingon wears a dress and its too inclusive.
We are not the same.
And thats not getting started on Andy Weirs comments about how he prefers Star Trek when its just Romulans and Star Fleet shooting each other, and non of the social commentary stuff…
I mean, its not like OG Trek has an episode about racism where half a planet was black and white, and the other half was white and black. Or the planet turned into nazis. Or the planet where people were fighting over a mistranslated copy of the deceleration of independence. Or Spocks Brain…
_________
A heavy stream of posts today from Miskal and I can find one which which I agree. Another skerrick of evidence for the infinite monkey theorem 🙂
A secretive contingent of elite soldiers have been quietly deployed to the Middle East amid fears the conflict in the region could escalate.
Exclusive: Australia has sent SAS troops to the Middle East to be on standby in case the Iran war escalates.
A small contingent of around 90 Special Air Services members were sent to the region two weeks ago, sources have revealed.
The elite soldiers were likely to have travelled to the Al Minhad Air Base in the United Arab Emirates, 15km south of Dubai.
https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/national/australia-deploys-elite-sas-troops-to-middle-east-on-standby-for-iran-war/news-story/0a965580b66ff1bd92a013eb22682d71?amp
Leaving aside the Constitutional issues of birthright citizenship, if, for example, a Canadian woman crossed the border to have her child in the US, that child would automatically be eligible for US citizenship. Is this fair? It’s probably not, but a literal interpretation of the US Constitution
permits it. My point is that those justices on the US Supreme Court who claim to be literalists (or originalists) can’t have it both ways: one either interprets a statute by focusing strictly on the ordinary meaning of the words in the law at the time it was enacted, or one interprets them to include other factors such as socio-econmic conditions, described by some as judicial activism.
Difficult says:
Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 8:57 pm
Whether one agrees with it or not, you don’t go around trying to put your military in further danger, do you? An interesting ethical dilemma.
Difficult, you, Taylormade and Corporal Shoebridge can relax…. (There’s that anti-Labor horseshow again)…
Iran does not stand a chance now.
It is all over Red Rover.
The whole balance of power in the Middle East is being turned on its arse.
The War is being Widened!!!!!!!
The BAM and the SoH will be open tomorrow.
And all you need to do in your fever dream of blind Labor hatred is to think of a few SAS as the Greens Light Mobile Force.
The Sydney Easter Show tickets have paid for a lot of fireworks tonight. The dog is not happy.
Not for the Greens there isn’t. There is probably not a single Greens voter in the 90 SAS. That said, the original public advice when the Wedgetail was sent over was that around 85 Australian uniforms would be going over.
Boerwar says:
Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 7:03 pm
….
That said, there are some strange assertions in the video and some strange gaps in the logic. For example he does not mention that around three quarters of Ukraine War casualties are the result of artillery fire. It just does not fit with his thesis so out it goes.
…
I’d be interested in how that has changed as the war has progressed. In the beginning there was no drones, now there are few tanks.
AI
As of April 2026, Australia has deployed approximately 90 SAS troops and ADF personnel to the Middle East. This deployment, including specialized counter-terrorism soldiers, is stationed at Al Minhad Airbase on standby for potential emergency rescues of Australian diplomats and citizens, particularly amid rising tensions regarding Iran and the evacuation of civilians
Bizzcansays:
What’s your thoughts on getting this one done? Gas reservation wasn’t until 2027 I thought:
“And we will pursue every option to ensure that increases that might be there in coal and gas prices do not flow into electricity prices.”
And separately, does the EFA stockpiling role extend to petrol (beyond underwriting cargo)?
________________
A month or so ago, I thought it might have been a good idea to rush the Gas Reservation Scheme. From the transcripts of Mad. King I’ve read, she doesn’t share my enthusiasm.
There are still the existing instruments they can use. For example, the Gas Market Code (legislated for the last energy crisis in 2023) requires wholesale gas to be sold at or below $12/GJ, although it has quite a few loopholes. They could stiffen that up or legislate something else – at the moment with all the talk about gas taxes, the exporters will probably play nice.
The EFA stockpiling, as it was intended for Critical Minerals, was more of an administrative stockpile of contracts than a physical stockpile. However, the bill that was passed is incredibly broad. It seems to include all fuels and:
Similarly, the measures that are included seem to be a wishlist of every possible financial tool:
https://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/search/display/display.w3p;query=Id%3A%22legislation%2Fems%2Fr7472_ems_9676c004-5e01-4c93-a987-b66c5da61575%22
Sprocket
I don’t know what will come out of this but I hope it succeeds. Everyone other than Israel wants a negotiated settlement in the Gulf. An ongoing conflict is costly to the world.
The best chance of a negotiated settlement is if other affected countries can negotiate with Iran without Israel and USA present. They would only be spoilers.
frednk
Yep. It would be interesting to know the trends.
The number of shells used by both sides are, IMO, staggering.
The numbers are a bit iffy but between them Russia and Ukraine are firing between 32,000 and 43,000 shells a day.
Drones can be an artillery amplifier by identifying targets. That said, the vast majority of shells do not kill anyone.
Russia is firing two to three times the number of shells that Ukraine is firing.
Any commentary, or generalizations, on the Ukraine War which do not integrate artillery are probably going to be seriously lacking in balance.
Cue: massive pearl clutching by the Greens.
Admiral Shoebridge you ever heard the phrase loose lips sink ships?
Maybe Albo doesn’t want to publicise a deployment of our most elite special forces troops for a good reason.
A possible scenario is:
1. Trump declares victory and buggers off to fully enjoy his increasingly miasmic dementia.
2. Netanyahu is advised that every favourable trade deal with the 32 countries is dead if he does not call an immediate halt to the Iran War. (A third of Israel’s trade is with the EU and that is on favourable terms.) Netanyahu gets to keep all land up the Litani River as a reward for his efforts. This eventually, maybe in years, turns into the usual bleeding sore and the Israeli’s eventually bugger off back into Israel.
3. Iran is advised that the 32 countries will forcibly halt all oil shipments out of Iran if Iran does not open the SoH and does not stop firing missiles.
4. BAU.
Ah, Shoebridge. The man of many hats.
Arsehats.
SLsays:
Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 9:12 pm
Similarly, the measures that are included seem to be a wishlist of every possible financial tool.
____________________
There is probably a PHD in charting EFA’s journey from an export lending desk to Australia’s strategic external facing investment bank.
Saudi and the gulf states want the USA to crush weak Iran.
An African state this week also said it wants to go Iran.
Iran is a terrorist state, excellent news is that its military is heading for the Stone Age and also that buys Israel time to deal with the trash called Hezbollah who are getting smashed.
Winning!
Not trump fault Albo did nothing for four years on petrol.
And Labor blew inflation before the war not Trump!
Should of done a deal Iran now they are decimated.
Demented Donny is going to do a runner. Trump, Pauline and PP. Weak, weak, weak. Losers.l
‘Small and underwhelming’: Albanese’s gambling reforms won’t do much to reduce harm
https://theconversation.com/small-and-underwhelming-albaneses-gambling-reforms-wont-do-much-to-reduce-harm-279847
“Perhaps most concerning is what these reforms do not include.
There is no comprehensive ban on gambling advertising, despite this being a central recommendation of the Murphy report. Without such a ban, the industry retains significant freedom to continue promoting its products – simply shifting strategies across platforms, time slots and formats to maintain reach.
:::
Young people consistently tell us that influencer content embedded into their social media feeds can be even more powerful than traditional celebrity endorsements. They say influencer promotions feel more relatable, more authentic, and are often harder to recognise than advertising.
They are exactly the kinds of strategies the industry will continue to lean into.
The most fundamental problem with partial regulation is that industries adapt. Online gambling is a high-tech industry that has demonstrated on multiple occasions that when one channel is restricted, marketing spending flows into another.
Without a comprehensive approach, including a national regulator to set the rules, these reforms risk creating an illusion of action.
:::
What we are seeing is not a bold public health response but a cautious, politically palatable compromise. It allows the government to claim it is acting, while avoiding more substantive reforms that would likely face resistance from the gambling industry, sporting codes, and broadcasters.
Peta Murphy was serious about protecting young Australians from gambling industry harm. The government’s proposed reforms fail the Murphy test.”
It’s no shock that the same group who ignore “well regulated militia” in the 2nd Amendment want to completely ignore the entire 14th Amendment’s text.
If the crafters of the 14th Amendment wanted to restrict citizenship to people born from people who already had it, they could have done that. If the GOP wanted to change it, they should have attempted to make an amendment to the Constitution.
It’s also complicated by Indian tribal sovereignty as they weren’t US Citizens because they weren’t considered subject of the USA.
One of the more frustrating aspects of the rise of AI is the tendency for people online to rely on notoriously unreliable AI summaries to prove their points rather than putting a little effort into actually finding primary sources.
Fair enough. Nothing is every good enough, of course. They shouldn’t be done then.
Revolutionary Quislingsays:
Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 9:09 pm
AI
As of April 2026, Australia has deployed approximately 90 SAS troops and ADF personnel to the Middle East. This deployment, including specialized counter-terrorism soldiers, is stationed at Al Minhad Airbase on standby for potential emergency rescues of Australian diplomats and citizens, particularly amid rising tensions regarding Iran and the evacuation of civilians
_____________________
That AI summary seems to be taking material from the DT article itself, though notably not the line:
“However, it is understood that the Australian SAS troops would not be involved in any potential US attacks.”
What’s most like is that Shoebridge’s office doesn’t have a Daily Telegraph account and is relying on limited slice news aggregators to get context-light headlines.
The Atlantic..
The manosphere helped Donald Trump win the 2024 election. Now that he’s started a war with Iran and failed to keep some core campaign promises, the coalition cemented by podcast bros and Austin-area commentators is starting to crack. The Atlantic staff writer Elaine Godfrey has been tracking the political shifts among a small but influential group of manosphere podcasters.
Do tell again they are too stupid to realise how stupid they are… it’s worth looking at how the manosphere is intertwined with evangelical christians… Dog tells them to keep women in their place … whackers
The Rising Intersection of the Manosphere and Conservative Christianity: A Backlash Against Gender Equality
https://www.skogan.org/the-rising-intersection-of-the-manosphere-and-conservative-christianity-a-backlash-against-gender-equality/
Socrates
I think that’s an annual figure – otherwise if petrol is 1/3 of that amount Australians use 600 liters of it each day per capita
I just asked AI what one of the more frustrating aspects of AI online was and…:
‘One of the most frustrating aspects of AI online is its tendency to produce
convincing but incorrect information, often referred to as “hallucinations,” or providing generic, uninspired content that lacks human insight. This issue makes it increasingly difficult to find reliable information, as AI-generated content floods websites and search results, replacing genuine human experience and expertise.’
To be fair to David Shoebridge, who in their right mind would ever want to have a Daily Telegraph account?
Even if one did want to subject themselves to that pathetic rag, they give the dead tree versions away for free at the local newsagents.
PP says.
“Not trump fault Albo did nothing for four years on petrol.”
——————-
That’s untrue.
Three points:
* Trump closed the Strait of Hormuz by invading Iran.
* The need to locally “do something” didn’t suddenly magically appear four years ago. The preceding government right royally stuffed it up by allowing four refineries to close and pretending to hold a fuel reserve overseas, and
* The current government has legislated to establish a fuel reserve in Australia and had succeeded in increasing local stockholding for all three main fuel types.
Your’re a spoilsport, geometer.
Are you sure that that is an annual figure?
We use around 40 million litres of petrol a day and around 90 million litres of diesel a day.
Why would anyone want to be fair to Shoebridge?
He has only one mission in life: to destroy a perfectly workable Labor Government and replace it with a lot of brain dead zombie Trots whose idea of a defence force is to prepare a small force for the inevitable slaughter on the battlefield.
He is now going right off his brain about having 90 SAS on standby in case Australian citizens or diplomats get caught up in the Iran War.
This is going to widen the Iran War… yadda, yadda, yadda. What a cretinous bullshit merchant he really is.
What sort of dipshit is he?
Total 2025 liquid fuel sales: 62 557.7 ML
https://www.energy.gov.au/energy-data/australian-petroleum-statistics (p. 7)
I mean, who wouldn’t want to fork out their hard-earned to gain access to this reputable journal of record?
Showbridge Shoebridge Shoebridge; BW he isnt going to date you even with all this negging.
“He has only one mission in life: to destroy a perfectly workable Labor Government and replace it with a lot of brain dead zombie Trots whose idea of a defence force is to prepare a small force for the inevitable slaughter on the battlefield.”
Man, I type some shit here but I just cant compete with you. Tell me your secrets master.
“He is now going right off his brain about having 90 SAS on standby in case Australian citizens or diplomats get caught up in the Iran War.”
Yes, imagine the audacity of raising that having further assets in the region increases the chances something happens to those assets, and how that may increase the likelihood of escalation.
Crazy man.
Can I get a list about how the Greens are a 5th column implemented by the PRC?
some hints on how to save fuel
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/_llKSd0kHUc
frednk:
There’s always Principal Skinner’s credit card:
https://youtu.be/SHHsql9Vvcc?si=yIFydXTjAYD1SqQg
That youtube is bullshit. You don’t walk to the gym for leg day, you skip leg day entirely.
some hints on how to save fuel…..but dont do what I did…walk everywhere….i live close to CBD….work shops etc…then went to start van….dead….$320 battery later i am way behind
Boer, let me deflect again (your words, not mine.)
I vote Green. I’m highly intelligent. I am a high achiever. I am a respected citizen. I’m highly educated. (I am also full of myself!) And like 90% of Green voters your mob get my second preference.
I read your comments. I read your lists. You’re a good guy. Good night.
—–
Miskal, leave him alone, please!?! For the love of Dog.
“I mean, who wouldn’t want to fork out their hard-earned to gain access to this reputable journal of record?”
—
Nobody should ever have to fork out for Rupert’s TP….
And I see your Anthony (Tony) and raise you another Anthony:
Pegasus
Peta Murphy’s partner seemed pretty happy with the reforms announced today, while acknowledging the policy wasn’t perfect(they never are!). Are you going to quote that?
I’m no fitness guru, but I’m pretty sure “leg day” typically involves weight training, not cardio. Walking a lot is definitely good for both your health and physical appearance, but its not going to do much to make your legs any bigger.
BREAKING: Nigel Farage has sacked Reform UK’s housing chief Simon Dudley over his comments on post-Grenfell safety regulations. Farage said “he is no longer a spokesman for the party. That’s been dealt with” “The comments were deeply inappropriate. Richard Tice has dealt with him”
Context:
NEW: Reform UK’s housing chief Simon Dudley says post-Grenfell safety regulations have gone too far.”Everyone dies in the end. It’s just how you go, right? You can’t stop tragic things from happening. Fires do happen”
BW
There’s a big difference between 40 million and 40 billion (40000 ML)
subgeometer says:
Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 9:37 pm
Socrates
Boerwar
Is there a way to calculate the number of liters of petrol and diesel that are being saved on a daily basis in Australia by renewables and EVs?
Lets estimate it
EVs are now approximately 2% of all vehicles on the road.
Assume they have dropped vehicle fuel consumption by 2%.
Daily fuel consumption is approx. 49,000 ML/day. https://onlyfacts.io/transport/fuel
So 2% should be 1000 ML per day or 1 million litres per day saved by EVs.
I think that’s an annual figure – otherwise if petrol is 1/3 of that amount Australians use 600 liters of it each day per capita
_____________________________
It wouldn’t be that hard, you just need the data on:
a) average fuel consumption (l/100km) by type of vehicle and fuel
b) average kms traveled per year
c) total fleet by vehicle type and fuel
This would give a domestic use estimate rather sales/imports estimate as not all fuel ends up in the personal mobility status symbol carriages – think famers/industry etc
From the above can work out litres per day on average by type
For the difference made by EVs
Assume that the current EV fleet (the 2%) would have otherwise be replaced with similar ICE vehicles
and recalculate to get the difference.
subgeometer
I understand your need to play the person and your inability to address the substance of the crticisms from gambling harm experts.
MABWM says:
Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 9:54 pm
Boer, let me deflect again (your words, not mine.)
I vote Green. I’m highly intelligent. I am a high achiever. I am a respected citizen. I’m highly educated. (I am also full of myself!) And like 90% of Green voters your mob get my second preference.
I read your comments. I read your lists. You’re a good guy. Good night.
—–
Miskal, leave him alone, please!?! For the love of Dog.
____________
If you are off to bed then it must be time for the Mainzelmännchen. Although, I was kind of enjoying BW building up a head of steam.
Not sure why Rod Glovers opinion matters more then professional health groups just because he was the husband?
He has extensive experience in policy sure, but he is no health expert.
Subgeometer
I am happy to be corrected if wrong. However Australian oil consumption is just over one million barrels per day. Each barrel is 159 litres. So accepting only 70-75% of our oil use is in transport, that is over 100 million litres per day on transport. 2% of that must be in excess of one million litres.
That makes our fuel usage average 5 litres per adult per day.