The Australian reports the first Newspoll since the Liberal leadership change shows little change on voting intention, with Labor down a point to 32%, One Nation steady on 27%, the Coalition up two to 20% and the Greens down one to 11%. Angus Taylor nonetheless records personal ratings markedly better than Sussan Ley’s at the last, with 35% approval and 38% disapproval, as compared with Ley’s 23% and 62%. Anthony Albanese is down three on approval to 40% and up two on disapproval to 55%, and his lead as preferred prime minister is 45-37, compared with 49-30 against Ley in the previous poll. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1237.
The Financial Review has a RedBridge Group/Accent Research poll with Labor down two points on a month ago to 32%, One Nation up two to 28% and the Coalition unchanged on 19%. Going off respondent-allocated preferences, Labor holds two-party leads of 54-46 lead over One Nation and 53-47 over the Coalition. A three-way preferred prime minister question has Anthony Albanese on 34%, Pauline Hanson on 23% and Angus Taylor on 10%. Net favourability ratings are provided of minus 13 for Albanese (down three), minus one for Taylor (up three), and minus two for Pauline Hanson (up one). Further clarity can be expected on these points when the print edition is published or the pollster’s own report becomes available. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1006.
UPDATE: The RedBridge/Accent poll has Anthony Albanese down two on approval (combined very and mostly favourable) to 32% and up one on disapproval (very and mostly unfavourable) to 45%. Angus Taylor is at 19% and 20%, respectively up six and up three on the previous poll, conducted before he became leader, while Pauline Hanson is up one to 38% and down one to 40%. Further net ratings are provided for Jane Hume, Tim Wilson and Larissa Waters, all of whom are at minus three from low recognition, and minus 13 for the somewhat better known David Littleproud and minus 17 for the still better known Barnaby Joyce. Also featured are highly useful and interesting figures on respondent-allocated preferences broken down by party support, which I believe will be published overnight.
@Asha at 10:08pm
Same. I don’t think his leadership will survive if he loses more than half of Labour’s seats at the local elections in May.
2,196 of them are up for election, according to Wikipedia.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_Kingdom_local_elections
Asha says:
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9:53 pm
I was under the impression that studying law typically involved a great deal of reading and writing. Guess I was wrong.
______________
For making such a silly mistake, write that out 500 times 🙂
enjaybee,
Sorry, I’ve been outside enjoying the eclipse. But FWIW this is the link to C+ according to my browser’s extension page.
https://chromewebstore.google.com/detail/pb-comments-plugin/onjomgpfepfmffelldjhpapljdfiodpi
Thanks everyone, it’s probably right to not give his disgusting remarks more air, but im trying to channel more of my grandfather who faced a lot of bigotry and he always would try and find something, an article or story that would expand their knowledge and help them understand the subject of their bigotry a bit better. Problem is I’m not a good explainer haha. Anyway I appreciate that the majority of posters here are Wombles and not nutters.
Confessions says:
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 8:58 pm
Omar:
The fixation on C@t has been noted. Fortunately she is thick skinned and able to handle herself.
Gotta love the way he’s been throwing his weight around as if he’s…someone. And, of course, up popped Pegasus to give him a ride.
Honestly, I think The Greens are just chagrined that they picked the wrong horse to back. First it was the Human Rights angle-the citizens have a right not to be attacked with bombs-then the citizens said that, for the sake of their freedom from control by the Mullahs, they understood why bombs may be necessary because their January uprising had been brutally suppressed.
Then it was the schoolgirls angle. Sad as that was it was subsequently pointed out by the people in Iran that the military routinely sited their military bases in built up areas, near schools and hospitals so that they could leverage any casualties for propaganda purposes.
Latterly The Greens have pushed out ‘legal experts’ to tut tut about the abandonment of ‘the rules based order’ and global norms and demanding that the parties get back to the negotiating table and diplomacy. When the fact is that countries like Iran, and Russia, have instituted the ‘go slow’ on negotiations as a tactic to achieve very little to nothing at all, whilst they continue their brutal assaults regardless.
So, now all The Greens’ fan club have left is to attack the messengers, ie anyone who disagrees with Miskal, who has been camped out on the blog since this attack on Iran began, and who has been doing it relentlessly. But poorly. And condescendingly. Also, dragging people’s children into it in a gutter-level attempt at humiliation and embarrassment. Is this what The Greens have come to? Whatever happened to their high-minded, puritanical ideals? Washed away as they grasp for the life raft of relevance.
Bean, sounds like your fighting the good fight
Asha @ #1247 Tuesday, March 3rd, 2026 – 9:38 pm
I’d be surprised if he is still PM by the end of the year. He is critically unpopular beyond what can be just described as a midterm slump.
Bean says:
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 10:15 pm
Thanks everyone, it’s probably right to not give his disgusting remarks more air, but im trying to channel more of my grandfather who faced a lot of bigotry and he always would try and find something, an article or story that would expand their knowledge and help them understand the subject of their bigotry a bit better. Problem is I’m not a good explainer haha. Anyway I appreciate that the majority of posters here are Wombles and not nutters.
_____________
Now there is a blast from the past!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XWQMMPFtoG4
C@tmomma, keep calling people who disagree with you pro Iran, I am sure it will work this time. And oh look, your ignoring even more evidence from actual experts that show how badly Iraqi women have it. But according to you, they are doing wonderfully.
With allies like you, who needs misoganists.
But hey, what do those experts in human rights, international and domestic law know compared to… random person on a politics blog.
You go gurl!
Bean says:
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 10:02 pm
I just want to establish that my earlier post is in no way agreeing even remotely with anything Rakali believes.
——-
I totally understand Bean. And, i wholeheartedly agree that you, probably, in no way agree even remotely with absolutely anything I believe!
Your place in heaven is assured.
———-
Confessions says:
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 10:03 pm
Bean:
Rakali is clearly a homophobe. There is no need to give additional oxygen to their comments.
——
I’m a homophobe, What?
I suppose somewhere in the High Church of Wokest Idiocy there is dogma that a same sex attracted old poofter like me is a “homophobe”.
But then NOT to be called a “phobe” by a moral and intellectual giant like. Confessions, must surely be legally actionable!
Greens overtake Labour in sensational poll
The Green Party has leapfrogged Labour into second place in a sensational poll by YouGov for Sky News.
The Greens are up four points to 21%, driven to a significant extent by the publicity from the Gorton and Denton by-election, according to the pollster.
Anthony Wells, head of global polling from YouGov, says this reflects the Greens appearing to be a more viable option and less of a wasted vote.
The YouGov weekly voting intention poll puts Reform UK on 23%, down one, Greens on 21%, up four, Labour and the Tories tied on 16, both down two, and the Lib Dems unchanged on 14.
The Greens are now the most popular party in all age categories under 50. Some 49% of 18-24 year olds would back the Greens, as well as 27% of 25 to 49-year-olds – the top choice.
https://news.sky.com/story/greens-overtake-labour-in-sensational-poll-13514420
Turns out that guess is right more often than you’d expect.
Miskal,
I’ll take you seriously when you start listening to the Women of Iran. That’s who I’m talking about. You can continue to go off on your frolic of quoting second-hand sources that serve your agenda about Iraq if you want to, even after I produced the actual legislation from that country relevant to the subject. But! But! the child brides!
Honestly, don’t you realise how threadbare your position is?
You keep focusing on another country because you have nothing to counter the stated aspirations of the Women and Minority Communities of Iran.
Because, all you want to focus on is The Greens’ position that the bombing needs to stop, for all the inadequate reasons I have outlined previously.
Start listening to the citizens of Iran, Miskal. Instead of using your Uni library card to dig up irrelevant material relating to Iraq.
Asha:
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9:53 pm
That’s true. A wrong comma or a pair of them, for instance, could be fatal to the instrument one’s preparing. Due to this pressure, perhaps some lawyers on this site care less about grammar, syntax & punctuation, and more about substance. Personally, I think both style & substance are of equal importance. I never question another’s writing skills on this site. I will, though, question substance.
Looks like it’s Lunar Eclipse time.
Not as impressive as I thought with the naked eye, but I’m sure there’s photographers and astronomers out there that’ll put up their pictures tomorrow.
C@tmomma, you must be forgetting; your the one who defended the Iraq war, on multiple occasions, as an example of how the current actions will help the women of Iran.
And yet, when shown how that was wrong, you have back peddled with misquotes and outdated stats, and you now pretend you never actually used Iraqi women as an example.
You know what the women of Iran want? The government gone, and greater rights. By your own logic, the Iraq method would achieve neither of these, and would actually see their rights and positions become even worse.
The women in Iran (amongst pretty much everyone) live in beyond horrid conditions. But guess what, it can get alot worse, and Iraq, or god forbid Afghanistan, show how badly nation building has gone in the 21st century, in the Middle East.
I look forward to your next attempt to shift the goals!
Well, that’s a new one, I’m a ‘misoganist’! 😆
I’m not a misogynist, though, as I stand up for the right of the Women of Iran to be free to be who they want to be. 😉
Difficult @ #1261 Tuesday, March 3rd, 2026 – 9:56 pm
Yeah, Labour’s woes are becoming existential now. Disaffected voters on the left of centre who don’t want Tories or Reform (who previously dug their heels into supporting Labour, at least as a “lesser of multiple evils” option) are starting to shop around elsewhere now.
The by-election win gave the Greens a lot of credibility and helped shake off the impression that they are just some barely electable minor party that exists more as a spoiler than anything else. Whether this actually becomes a long term trend or it actually amounts to something at the ballot box in a general is anyone’s guess at this point.
C@tmomma – in this case, to be as worse of as women in Iraq.
My hero.
Al Jazheera has a running daily blog of events on the US Israel Iran war which is quite factual. The US embassy in Riyadh was struck by Iranian drones today.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/3/what-we-know-on-day-four-of-us-israeli-attacks-on-iran
The Straits of Hormuz have been closed by Iran. If as Hegseth said this lasts “4 to 5 weeks” there will be an economic impact.
Quite good work Miskal but C@tmomma is getting you sidetracked, you need to focus on the how albo is to blame for the plight of these people angle.
I worked on a project a decade or so again where our instructions were ‘if the contract is less than $100 million US, don’t look at it, it isn’t material.’ And I was around along enough to experience what actually went wrong, and in no case was it a grammar failure, although the grammar was attrocious and largely written by American lawyers who openly said ‘oh we never ever had to study drafting we just do it.’
So forgive me if I get my grammear, and even my spelling, a little wrong.
Thanks Omar! Something something albo told trump to bomb iran.
Fixed it.
I mean, it’s not like Albo is in full throated support of the current bombing campaign which has seen… I think what, 800 dead civies so far, including school kids (justifiable losses to some).
Does that meet your quota? I can reiterate his continued support for Israeli cleansing and hypocritical support of countries with slavery and even worse women’s rights if you need extra work? Maybe finish it of with some light misogynistic joking towards Grace tame now thats she’s too “difficult” to work with.
That should.meet your quota right?
Miskal I wonder if albo was at the meeting and if he signed bombs at the meeting
What i really wonder Omar, is if he did (obviously he didnt), how quickly certain people here would say what a great job he did writing his name on the uneven surface of a munition
WeWantPaul:
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 10:50 pm
There’s no reason to seek forgiveness.
Here’s an example of a badly written letter:
It’s all wrong but can nonetheless be understood, but if you ever get to that stage, perhaps an early retirement would be in order.
Miskal,
Since Iran has exerted ever greater influence over Iraq the treatment of Iraqi Women and the conditions that were agreed that they could live under post 2003, have deteriorated.
https://www.merip.org/2023/04/iraqi-womens-activism-20-years-after-the-us-invasion/
Hmm, sounds a lot like what the Women of Iran want as well. However, somehow my advocacy for that is wrong? And that’s the thing you’ve never been able to successfully explain to anyone’s satisfaction as you have consistently sought to attack me, Miskal. Instead you disingenuously mischaracterise it as my ‘support for the Iraq War’ (not true) and my support for this Iran War, which is only insofar as I have listened to the opinions of the people of Iran and what they say they want. Which I note you have studiously ignored.
I blame everything on the moon.
https://theconversation.com/blood-moon-lunar-eclipse-myths-from-around-the-world-100548
Wow, Miskal bringing all the tropes @10:54pm. 😆
No solutions wrt what the people of Iran want or how to achieve it, just angry ant agit prop.
Omar, why bother? He’ll just overwhelm you with his Right On-ness. 😉
The most fun I had was when I had suggested a series of amendments, including defining “GST” by reference to the A New Tax System (Goods and Services Tax) 1999 Commonwealth of Australia, or something quite unremarkable by Australian commerical practise, and I was summoned to a 6 am call to discuss, where all my work had been redrafted to be generic, so the definition of GST read “A New Tax System (Goods and Services Tax) 1999 of Country.”
There was quite a pause on the US side of the call when I suggested the United Kingdom, or Romania, or Thailand might not have a GST law of that specific name. Needless to say none of my Australianisations made the final template. It wasn’t like it was for a project in Australia. Except it was.
C@t you silly billy, you admitted to thinking the Iraq war was for the best only yesterday.
And im hardly the only person to have questioned your gunho attitude.
And your own link earlier showed a mix of support and fear.
If we asked the people of Iran, the majority want the government gone, but as for what price they would pay? Well, your own excerpt from earlier showed how conflicted they are.
Hardly support outside of your own heads echochamber
AE, Ben Chifley, the True Believer and good democratic socialist would be rolling in his grave to see LINOS such as yourself being in the modern-day Labor Party, even Whitlam would have reservations.
Wow, the blood moon effect really does seem to be real tonight.
So serious question, other than a mental abberation like the blood moon effect, how do so many people who seem to self identify as centre or even centre left hate the Australia Institute like they should be a banned organisation. Ok so don’t agree with the Australia Institute on issues, I remember years ago a disagreement with Amy that resulted in her blocking or muting me on twitter, but what is the passionate hate of them as a body and everything they say, before they say it? I don’t quite understand.
Yeah, all those bokoblins I killed earlier are now alive again.
True C@momma, one can never have enough extreme moral clarity in ones life. I myself have gotten into several punchups in the honey section of the supermarket over what I consider bee slavery, so who am I to judge.
Wwp, because they don’t align with Labor. Simple as that. Heathens can be converted and are simply mistaken in their faith. But a heretic who has strayed from the path? They deserve nothing but hatred
From the outside looking in, that is going to be the answer.
Edit: but I was just as intersted as the anwser from the inside looking out.
@WeWantPaul at 11:26pm
Just that most posts seem to be really angry, like in an uncomfortable “Oh why are they screaming at each other over at that table in this restaurant?” way.
Yeah I know I’m probably being unhelpful here and such but we’re a week into this shit and it’s all the same.
A fun question is given the influence of Trump collapsing and recovering financial markets with his erratic utterances and acts, is he buying the dips he is orchestrating and buying the gains he is orchestrating (so pressuring the Fed Reserve to reduce rates as an example and otherwise ending regulation)?
Who would put it past him?
And in regard Starmer he inherited a budgetary and economic mess hence difficult decisions to be made across the first few years of a 5 year term
Popularity was never the fix so all things are relative as parameters were changed
As with Volker and the administration he served in the USA
Not popular but got the job done – and his response to high inflation remains the template today
So cut some slack
Starmer said there were difficult times ahead and that they will improve – and they voted for him not the Party which made the mess (Brexit and the mess from that decision at the forefront)
Thanks I’ve not perceived that myself, but next time I see an event or other output from them I will try and reframe for that.
Genuinely thanks.
“Ukraine’s Zelenskyy warns Iran conflict could disrupt weapons flow to Ukraine:
Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy has warned that the US involvement against Iran could disrupt the flow of weapons that Ukraine needs to continue defending itself against Russian invasion.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/mar/03/european-travel-flights-iran-middle-east-freidrich-merz-europe-latest-news-updates
That’s it, tell voters to stop being so mean to Starmer, that’ll turn his fortunes around.
I would probably have stronger opinions on the Australia Institute if I had any idea what it was.
WeWantPaul says:
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 11:26 pm
So serious question, other than a mental abberation like the blood moon effect, how do so many people who seem to self identify as centre or even centre left hate the Australia Institute like they should be a banned organisation. Ok so don’t agree with the Australia Institute on issues, I remember years ago a disagreement with Amy that resulted in her blocking or muting me on twitter, but what is the passionate hate of them as a body and everything they say, before they say it? I don’t quite understand.
_________________________________________
The short answer is that the Australia Institute do bad analysis.
The long answer is that I personally just think they have a habit of being incredibly selective at presenting statistics in order to support their preconceived political opinions. Its not every article, but it is enough of them to make one think they have a partisan agenda, not a truth telling one.
– Example 1: Using incorrect methodology and not retracting:
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/australia-institute-urged-to-retract-flawed-profit-inflation-report-20230513-p5d84j
– Example 2: On the issue of housing, it dismisses the link between the housing crisis and migration. It deliberately writes articles framing as a “purchase” problem and fail to mention rent inflation
Here is an example article:
https://australiainstitute.org.au/post/migration-is-not-out-of-control-and-the-figures-show-it-is-not-to-blame-for-the-housing-crisis/
And here is a rebuttable (I generally do not endorse Macrobuiness generally given their far right audience, but this is an older one where they had a bit more focus):
https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2025/04/how-the-australia-institute-transformed-into-immigration-propagandists
– Example 3: Back on the issue of housing, it uses broad summary statistics in a really misleading manner, for example the line they like to repeat is:
“In the past 10 years, the population has increased by 16 per cent. That means, for Australia to maintain the same average number of people per dwelling, the number of dwellings needs to increase by at least 16 per cent. But over those 10 years the number of dwellings rose by 19 per cent.”
https://australiainstitute.org.au/post/is-population-growth-driving-the-housing-crisis-heres-the-reality/
But this is a really bad example, because it treats the first 5 years (pre-covid) as the same as the second 5 years (post covid). Separating the two periods:
5 years up to the pandemic (sept-15 to Jun-20):
– Real rents falling
– 1.8 million total population growth
– 1.1 million migrants (net)
– 1.o million houses and apartments built
Last 5 years (Sept-20 to Jun-25)
– Real rents skyrocketing
– 2.0 million total population growth
– 1.4 million migrants (net)
– 880,000 houses and apartments built
***
Others can speak for themselves – for me it is really about the reasons I cited above. If it is just wants to be a partisan think tank, that’s fine. I also give little weight to the research of the IPA, Menzies Institute, McKell institute, Chifley Research Centre or whoever. To me the TAI are just another one of those.
Thankfully they are all too busy posting on Poll Bludger right now to be any danger.
Leroy at 4.50 pm, Luigi Smith at 5.31 pm, Holdenhillbilly at 7.22 pm and sprocket at 7.47, 7.52 and 8 pm
Gusgate Taylor will never get on the front foot after his stupid decision to try to keep the review secret.
The main author, Minchin, is from the farther right wing of the Libs, but he managed some coherence.
At p 18 Dutton’s long delay in releasing costings for his nuclear policy is accurately described as ‘fatal’.
The review then states:
“Dating from the 2019-2022 term, the Liberal Party’s Federal Secretariat had considerable research on the politics of nuclear power and the extended time it would take to convince Australians that nuclear power was acceptable. The research confirmed that a long campaign would be needed to change the minds of the majority of Australian voters, especially female voters, who were concerned about nuclear safety and viewed nuclear power sceptically or negatively. Such a campaign would take considerable effort. The research was shared with the Leader’s office. The difficulties of proposing a positive nuclear power policy from Opposition, without such an awareness campaign preceding it, were obvious.” (p 18)
The objective nature of the campaign as favouring incumbency because of the holidays is also noted:
“During the campaign there were long weekends, including Easter and Anzac Day, and school holidays. The Opposition needed momentum to change votes but additional holidays, when households are away or busy, made this difficult. The Government did not need momentum, on the other hand, because the tide was already moving their way.”
It was not a difficult review to write, because the evidence provided all pointed to a massive failure:
“Almost every candidate and MP observed that the Party had no overall message and no policy agenda that would solve people’s problems with the cost of living (other than a short-term fuel rebate). The campaign slogan, Get Australia Back on Track, was described as meaningless and lacking cut through. Shadow MPs assured us that they had done substantial policy development but that it disappeared into the Leader’s Office and mostly did not reappear.” (pp 38-39)
The marginal nature of Mr Wilson’s return and the expense involved in advertising him is noted:
“The regaining of Goldstein is to the credit of the candidate and Federal Secretariat research, but the cost, which was almost $200,000 alone in federally funded advertising, and more in Victorian and local funding, was a huge impost on the national campaign. There is no guarantee that this will remain the case and the seat is marginal.” (p 9)
This review is a bit more thorough than the 2022 review, especially re the Teals, but it will be ignored.
Cat at 11.03 pm
Yes, that’s a significant nefarious influence of the Iranian regime in undermining women’s rights in Iraq.
The problem for Iranian women now is that they are being attacked by two fighting reactionary forces, firstly the theocratic regime, and secondly the bombing by Israel and the US, including of civilians.
Look at the photo of hundreds (and maybe more) women mourning the slaughter of schoolgirls in Minab, because their school was 600 m away from a military facility, at the Al-Jazeera coverage:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/3/iran-live-news-israel-bombs-tehran-beirut-trump-says-war-to-last-4-weeks (see 10.10 GMT for photos)
Because of the level of repression, the only opportunities for large gatherings in Iran are funerals.
Because of the practice of 40-day commemorations of deaths within Islam, at least historically in Iran, there was a possibility of some continuation of anti-regime protests in Iran, at some level.
What Netanyahu and Trump have done with their war is destroy that possibility, whether intentionally or through their callous disregard of humanity.
No serious analyst is suggesting that the brutal theocratic regime is likely to collapse soon. Starmer at least understands that, if little else.
Note that Professor Saikal says “The only way they {US and Israel} could achieve regime change is to put boots on the ground in Iran”, which he says isn’t going to happen (because of the high casualties).
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-03/iran-ayatollah-leadership-what-comes-next/106404788
For a range of very short essays by the Brookings Institution, including this by Steven Heydemann, see:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/after-the-strike-the-danger-of-war-in-iran/
“Wars rarely go according to plan. In launching a war of choice with Iran, the United States and Israel have unleashed a confrontation that is unlikely to succeed and certain to produce unintended effects that they will be unable to manage or contain.”
newy boy at 11.41 pm
Re: ‘Zelenskyy also said the war leaves Russia’s Vladimir Putin “weaker”, showing that he is “a weak ally” who “talks, but doesn’t act.”’
Regrettably, that is unlikely to be true. See this assessment:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/3/russian-oil-will-be-sought-what-are-moscows-gains-from-the-war-in-iran
The point claimed above, about a blow to Putin’s image, is noted, but balanced by other factors such as increased demand for Russian oil, and even the prospect, in a drawn out war, of Russian mediation.
Iran was top 6 for STEM graduates in the world and 47% were women. Other sites say higher. In all education % of women in Iranian was higher than most Western countries.
https://genderdata.worldbank.org/en/indicator/se-ter-grad-fe-zs
Maybe check this video from a IS attack on Iran, look at all the women in their oppressive dress
https://x.com/mylordbebo/status/2027701650530451866?s=61&t=5yCsgbJNs3bhtiaaQ-alwg
Check out some facts not ISUS propaganda