Last week’s release of the regular quarterly Newspoll breakdowns was the cherry on top of a fairly rich pool of state-level data on voting intention since the May federal election, with Roy Morgan having helpfully adopted the practice of providing state breakdowns on the primary vote as well as two-party preferred with its monthly results, Resolve Strategic continuing to provide results from the three largest states, and RedBridge Group/Accent Research intermittently joining the fun. I have thus felt emboldened to expand the BludgerTrack poll aggregate to encompass state-level measures, which you can observe through the voting intention trend page by clicking on the tabs for the five mainland states (Tasmania, alas, yields too little data to produce plausible results. This is something I didn’t get around to doing in the previous term until a few months before the election.
Things are still a bit shallow and noisy – I am dubious that One Nation is riding higher in New South Wales than Queensland, a conclusion that leans heavily on the most recent Resolve Strategic poll – but it’s useful nonetheless to have the infrastructure in place. I should also take the opportunity to again plug the Victorian state BludgerTrack, made possible by a steady stream of data from RedBridge Group/Accent Research together with the regular bi-monthly numbers provided by Resolve Strategic.
Landlord of the Yearsays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:06 pm
Nadia
Who is the icon David talks off, I knew Jess father was Ron Wilson. Maybe David confused Jess with Hamer.
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Icon is probably gilding the lily. He was opposition Health spokesperson 1999-2002. Then Senior advisor to the Liberal Leader after he lost his seat in 2002.
Like Sam Groth being a tennis star I guess. It really pushes the definition of star.
Well it was coming. More than 1000 doctors and researchers signed a letter for a RC. Organised by Jewish Medical association or something.
Perhaps my invitation went to spam. Lots of health ministers on it.
Diogenes says:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:14 pm
Well it was coming. More than 1000 doctors and researchers signed a letter for a RC. Organised by Jewish Medical association or something.
Perhaps my invitation went to spam. Lots of health ministers on it.
___________
And I thought you were channeling Groucho 🙂
Landlord of the Year says:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:06 pm
Nadia
Who is the icon David talks off. I knew Jess father was Ron Wilson, maybe David confused Jess with Hamer.
=================
I think he may be referring to a “Ron Wilson” who was Jeff Kennett’s events man in the 1990’s.
That Wilson, I believe, brought the Grand Prix to Albert Park, amongst some other things.
He wasn’t a politician – he was more of an “events businessman”.
I’m actually not too sure what “David” is referring too.
David – perhaps you can clarify?
Bit too close to the mark for the rusted on Liberals, hey
Next they will put that neither Wilson is from the IPA
And what I have put is that Simon and his selection committee have plenty of options apart from Soph Torney (who spent a term as Mayor) because of the numbers of Teals on Council
And entropy still actively involved and influential – hence where his daughter is now
The terrorists were certainly inspired by ISIS. They had an ISIS flag in their car.
In Kew last time Sophie Torney narrowly failed to make the final two; had she done so she may very well have won (she’d have needed about 87% of Labor preferences which doesn’t sound unrealistic). This means that a primary swing from Labor to her may endanger Jess Wilson even if the Liberal primary doesn’t change. (I suspect that in fact Jess Wilson may get enough of a primary swing to her to keep out of trouble, but it’s not a given).
Nadia
That was Ron Walker.
Griff
I certainly wouldn’t want to belong to a club that would have me for a member.
And I would suggest that most will support the funding obligations for the CFA where the CFA appear cannibalising themselves by opposing based on politics
Yes I never get a lobby group who are so transparently anti one party for election after election in a way that will never get their members the influence and funding they seek. They just antagonise the government.
Labor/The Left need to set up a left-wing fire fighters lobby
Interest Photo of the crowd at Sussan Ley’s presser featured on the 7:30 Report tonight.
https://x.com/Sahar_A_Writes/status/2008861603626963051
BT
It’s possible, but Kew is 4% and polling has a 4%-6% swing to the Liberals, it would be something for the Liberals to score a big swing while losing their leader.
Letter was organised by the Australasian Jewish Medical Federation
https://ajmf.org.au/
“The AJMF is the Australian Chapter of the Israeli Medical Association.
Membership of the AJMF is open to Jewish medical practitioners and students.”
Corleone
It’s a fire brigade not a lobby group.
[‘A former High Court justice previously tapped by Labor to probe Scott Morrison’s multiple ministries is in the frame to lead the widely expected federal royal commission into the Bondi killings.
The potential appointment of Virginia Bell has been flagged by senior Labor figures in recent days and has already prompted pushback from some Jewish leaders in NSW, Bell’s home state, over their belief she might be too left-leaning, a claim the government and Bell’s backers in the legal fraternity will challenge.
The private worry expressed by Jewish leaders has complicated the choice for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese as he and his ministers work out details of a national probe he has resisted for weeks.
Bell declined to comment when contacted by this masthead about the prospect of her appointment on Wednesday evening.
Several sources familiar with tightly held considerations inside the government, none of whom were willing to speak publicly, said the government was putting Bell forward in confidential talks as a leading option.
The disagreement over Bell is already proving difficult for Albanese: even as he prepares to yield to a well-organised and wide-ranging campaign to call a royal commission, he will face ongoing tests from the Jewish community and other critics to ensure the scope and operation of the probe satisfies the Bondi victims’ families and their community leaders.’]
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/former-high-court-justice-in-frame-to-lead-bondi-royal-commission-20260107-p5nsfm.html
If I were Bell, I wouldn’t have a bar of it.
I think he may be referring to a “Ron Wilson”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ron_Wilson_(Australian_politician)#:~:text=Ronald%20Charles%20Wilson%20(born%2016,Wilson%20and%20Jane%20Davidson%20Forbes.
No he was Chief of Staff IIRC to one of the Liberal Health Ministers like Rob Knowles, but then got his own seat.
I think I met him
Landlord of the Year says:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:20 pm
Nadia
That was Ron Walker.
=========
OK. I knew it was Ron something or other. I was a bit young back in the 1990’s.
“David” – who are you referring to?
Corleone
It’s a fire brigade not a lobby group.
+++++++
WRONG AGAIN
Corleone
You are wRonG.
over their belief she might be too left-leaning, a claim the government and Bell’s backers in the legal fraternity will challenge
++++++++++++++++++
SHOULD HAVE thought of that when you turned the RC question into a Liberal Party partisan campaign, silly rightwing Jewish lobby.
Now you might get someone who doesn’t buy the Likud-Shas line.
You are wRonG.
+++++++
Definitely some sort of Qanon nutter
Coz you really are beneath contempt, analyse this article
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05-20/emergency-services-levy-protest-victoria-state-budget/105309740
Thousands of Country Fire Authority (CFA) volunteers and farmers have travelled to Melbourne on state budget day to protest against the government’s new emergency services tax.
One angry farmer — assisted by Liberal MPs — dumped a box of cow manure outside the premier’s office while the protest continued on the steps of parliament.
Among them is a fire brigade captain who says his station does not need the new truck allocated to it through the Emergency Services and Volunteers Fund (ESVF).
Corleone
That article is right, the CFA is not a lobby group, it is the Country Fire Authority, a fire brigade.
If I were Bell, I wouldn’t have a bar of it.
===========
Unfortunately Mavis, this Americanisation of politics appears to have entered Australia now.
Bell’s sin is that she was appointed by Labor to the bench in 2009.
That make’s her a “left wing looney”, and as a result she’s now under attack.
This country has simply changed in the space of 4 weeks. We’re following the U.S. path of polarisation.
Any RC should not just be about anti-Semitic issues but about all issues relating to the terrorist slaughter. The government should appoint the Commissioner without any undue influence from any groups including Jewish leaders.
Corleonesays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:31 pm
over their belief she might be too left-leaning, a claim the government and Bell’s backers in the legal fraternity will challenge
++++++++++++++++++
SHOULD HAVE thought of that when you turned the RC question into a Liberal Party partisan campaign, silly rightwing Jewish lobby.
Now you might get someone who doesn’t buy the Likud-Shas line.
————————————————
What about Geoffrey Robertson as one of the senior lawyers on the RC?
I’ve been trying to keep out of the whole Bondi royal commission thing for weeks now, but for crying out loud…
Roughly a quarter of a million Australians visit The Philippines every year. Do we really expect our counter-terrorism officers to check every single one to make sure they’re not just looking for a cheap dental implant or a girlfriend who hasn’t heard of toxic masculinity?
Foxtrot foxtrot sierra.
Landlord of the Yearsays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:33 pm
Corleone
That article is right, the CFA is not a lobby group, it is the Country Fire Authority, a fire brigade.
——————————————-
It spends more time protesting about renewable energy than fighting fires now.
What an A Class knob Michael Danby is! ‘This isn’t a normal Labor government’. He can get in the bin! Good riddance to bad rubbish! Thank goodness he’s nowhere near a Labor government anymore.
What about Geoffrey Robertson as one of the senior lawyers?
Love it.
Renowned human rights lawyer and inquiry conductor from way back.
The other I would put on is noted Eastern Suburbs identity and lawyer Malcolm Turnbull.
Announce it under Malcolm’s PM portrait in Parlt House. Write a speech announcing it full of how he is a distinguished Liberal Prime Minister. Read that in to Hansard and get all Labor MPs to vote in a motion in support of the appointment.
Good riddance to bad rubbish! Thank goodness he’s nowhere near a Labor government anymore.
He never was a real Labor MP – very hard whipping him with anything actually Labor.
Any outcome that seeks to punish people for speaking out against the mass slaughter of innocents is unlikely to be successful, and wouldn’t do much for social cohesion
Ante Meridian – sorry about our chat the other week. I think there may have been a misread on my behalf. I thought you may have been a Carlton supporter.
I’ve been trying to keep out of the whole Bondi royal commission thing for weeks now, but for crying out loud…
Roughly a quarter of a million Australians visit The Philippines every year. Do we really expect our counter-terrorism officers to check every single one to make sure they’re not just looking for a cheap dental implant or a girlfriend who hasn’t heard of toxic masculinity?
Foxtrot foxtrot sierra.
True, but not sure it is every Australian visiting the Phils. Remember our friend the Member for Manila with his predelictions that apparently the Feds had brought to the government’s attention as compromising. So they noticed that. Phils is a poor country so paying an informer on every street corner is not hard.
The reason you would check these two is because that Prayer Room (not not THAT Prayer Room, the other one) was preaching hatred and the state and fed coppers should have been onto that. Word should have got around about who was just praying and who was cooking up schemes.
Then if such persons wanted to visit the former Free Fire Zone in Mindanao then all sirens would be sounding. And the Philippines has a good enough relationship with us that if some of their unsavory characters met with these 2, they could have/would have told us.
Jen Robinson would be more Albanese style, top silk with a global reputation.
Corleonesays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:42 pm
Good riddance to bad rubbish! Thank goodness he’s nowhere near a Labor government anymore.
He never was a real Labor MP – very hard whipping him with anything actually Labor.
——————————————
A complete nutter which showed with his unjustified attacks on Sophie McNeill.
Nadia (or nadia, without the capital N, if you insist),
No worries. I thought it was funny.
My elder brother (Melbourne) has never forgiven himself for letting me grow up Collingwood.
The potential appointment of Virginia Bell has been flagged by senior Labor figures in recent days and has already prompted pushback from some Jewish leaders in NSW, Bell’s home state, over their belief she might be too left-leaning, a claim the government and Bell’s backers in the legal fraternity will challenge.
FFS! These people won’t be happy until they get Dyson Heydon!
These people questioning the bona fides of a respected former High Court Judge aren’t ‘Jewish leaders’, they’re Jewish lobbyists!
(Said with no association to the NSN terminology).
And so what if she is ‘left leaning’!?! Her politics, if they are indeed her political leanings, are no business of theirs and no way should it be a factor in her suitability for the job. So, these ‘Jewish leaders’ (funny how they have remained nameless, being too gutless to put their names to such a tawdry accusation), can get in the bin with Michael Danby. And learn some respect for the government while they’re at it.
If only we could get Amal Clooney. She’s an amazing Human Rights lawyer.
nadiasays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:35 pm
Unfortunately Mavis, this Americanisation of politics appears to have entered Australia now.
This country has simply changed in the space of 4 weeks. We’re following the U.S. path of polarisation.
_______________________
You can blame Albanese for that. He just hasn’t been up to the task of leading the country in the aftermath of the Bondi tragedy.
All we got was deflection, false equivalence and delay.
There was a good article a while back on how he is shrinking before our eyes.
Landlord of the Yearsays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:47 pm
Jen Robinson would be more Albanese style, top silk with a global reputation.
——————————————
She works at the chambers that Geoffrey Robertson founded and heads (Doughty Street Chambers). So would be good too.
C@tmomma says:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:54 pm
If only we could get Amal Clooney. She’s an amazing Human Rights lawyer.
===========
She’d be no good c@t. She’s aligned with the Dems in the U.S., meaning, she’s probably left wing too.
The “right” won’t have it. This screaming which has been going on since 14-Dec, is going to continue.
It’s been going on in the U.S. for about 15 years – this polarisation of just about everything including Justices’.
It’s finally hit our shores.
Virginia Bell has an impressive CV, and being gay gives her an understanding of discrimination, both direct and casual.
The Americanisation of Australian politics has been happening for decades. It’s a bit rich to blame the current incumbent*.
* That might be a tautology. Not sure. But you know what I mean.
Needs to be someone very senior such as a High Court Judge. Bell fits that criteria.
C@t we probably need to avoid anyone closely involved in HRM.
C@tmommasays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:54 pm
If only we could get Amal Clooney. She’s an amazing Human Rights lawyer.
—————————————————-
Another lawyer who worked for Geoffrey Robertson at Doughty Street Chambers.
Why don’t we get the whole Doughty Street Chambers team?
LoftheY agree Bell has an impressive CV. She would be an excellent choice.
C@tmommasays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:40 pm
What an A Class knob Michael Danby is! ‘This isn’t a normal Labor government’. He can get in the bin! Good riddance to bad rubbish! Thank goodness he’s nowhere near a Labor government anymore.
_______________________
The opposition, the media and now the ALP is at war with itself.
I don’t know who is running the show up there at the moment, but they really need to recalibrate.
For the country’s sake.
“And so what if she is ‘left leaning’!?!”
It’s just another instance of giving the game away isn’t it?
AM
It was where in the Philippines that they went that was the problem. A know area for ISIS training. Which it sounds like fell through.
Taylormadesays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 11:05 pm
C@tmommasays:
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10:40 pm
What an A Class knob Michael Danby is! ‘This isn’t a normal Labor government’. He can get in the bin! Good riddance to bad rubbish! Thank goodness he’s nowhere near a Labor government anymore.
_______________________
The opposition, the media and now the ALP is at war with itself.
I don’t know who is running the show up there at the moment, but they really need to recalibrate.
For the country’s sake.
——————————————-
Danby retired in 2018 (probably pushed). Josh Burns is the Labor member for his seat now. So he has nothing to do with the current Government or Parliament,