The latest poll from Essential Research, which seems now to be monthly, has Labor steady on 36%, the Coalition up one to 27%, the Greens up two to 11% (reversing a dip in the previous poll) and One Nation steady on 15%, with the undecided component steady on 6%. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure has Labor’s lead unchanged at 50-44, with the balance undecided. Anthony Albanese is up two on approval to 47% and down one on disapproval to 43%, while Sussan Ley is down one to 31% and up one to 44%.
For the second month in a row (and in the immediate wake of a similar exercise from Newspoll), the pollster asked respondents to name their preferred Liberal leader, recording Sussan Ley at 14% (up one on last month), Jacinta Nampijinpa Price at 11% (up one), Andrew Hastie at 8% (down two), Angus Taylor at 5% (down two), Tim Wilson at 5% (up two), Allegra Spender at 2% (down two), somebody else at 10% (down two) and unsure at 45% (up three).
A regular national mood question has a steady 35% of the view that the country is headed in the right direction compared with 47% for wrong direction, up one. Fifty-two per cent rate the permanent migration cap of 185,000 as too high, down one from September, compared with 39% for about right, down one, and 9% for too low, up two. An even 42% rate immigration generally positive and generally negative for the country, with 16% unsure.
Further questions relate to climate change, with a question on Australia’s efforts to deal with the issue recording 20% of the view that too much is being done, which has steadily mounted from 11% when Labor came to power in May 2022. Thirty per cent rate that Australia is doing enough, and 36% not enough. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1020.
Other recent poll findings:
• As well as featuring extensive results on the government’s proposed overhaul of environment laws, an MRP poll by YouGov for the Climate Council featured a federal voting intention result showing Labor on 34%, the Coalition on 26%, One Nation on 18% and the Greens on 12%. The poll was conducted November 12 to 17 from a sample of 3530.
• Nine Newspapers (print editions – can’t find an online report) reports last week’s Resolve Strategic poll found Vladimir Putin viewed favourably 10% and unfavourably by 63%, with the balance neutral or unfamiliar, and Volodomyr Zelensky favourably by 37% and unfavourably by 12%. Trade sanctions on Russia were supported by 57% and opposed by 8%. The Sun-Herald also reported that New South Wales component of the poll, which had a sample of 551, showed 58% reckoning immigration to be too high, 5% too low and 25% about right. Forty-four per cent rated that “immigration to Australia in recent years” had had a negative impact “on people like you in NSW”, compared with 24% apiece for positive and neutral.
And Ukraine struck the Russian port where those oil tankers were due to take on Russian oil:
“Drone attack forces oil terminal in Russia’s Novorossiysk to halt all loading operations”
https://kyivindependent.com/drone-strike-forces-russias-novorossiysk-oil-terminal-to-halt-all-loading-operations/
Thus should suffer all who cooperate with Russia while it genocides Ukrainians.
Omar – it’s a labour of love.
I see ASC is sponsoring content on the News.Com platform.
Great use of taxpayer dollars!
https://www.news.com.au/sponsored/gfPzsSTDEG6dGYZ2gJJe/how-australias-submarine-program-will-transform-our-industrial-landscape/?dicbo=v4-bSqS4xz-1086836272-1
Earlier today I see Marles announced a restructure of defence procurement. What is really needed is changed behavior relating to tendering practices, scrutiny, accountability and project management. Certainly change is needed. I don’t know if this will achieve it. We will see.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-01/government-to-unveil-defence-department-overhaul/106086340
I have not caught up with any articles yet, but I heard on the radio today about how badly AEMO has handled the transition to renewables. So much so that we may have to burn coal for many more years 🙁
Great work, AEMO! Conflict of interest, much? 🙁
Socratessays:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 6:15 pm
I see ASC is sponsoring content on the News.Com platform.
Great use of taxpayer dollars!
https://www.news.com.au/sponsored/gfPzsSTDEG6dGYZ2gJJe/how-australias-submarine-program-will-transform-our-industrial-landscape/?dicbo=v4-bSqS4xz-1086836272-1
_____________________________
Even Rupert gets a drink out of this.
Upnorthsays:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 1:37 pm
nathsays:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 1:28 pm
Upnorthsays:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 12:58 pm
Andrew_Earlwoodsays:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 12:35 pm
Lil’ Green Pony seems to have suffered a case of colic this morning. Nasty!
中华人民共和国
AKA the Second Donkey of the Apocalypse.
_________________
[Ah the old Earlwood and Upnorth double team on Peg. You could set your clock to that weak as piss shit.]
中华人民共和国
[Thanks cobber.]
A comment from Nath, the original double team “weak as piss” team member, the other team member team “did a runner” after the Liberals/Green flogging at the last election.
Nath, the hypocritical bully boi!
Great news as Labor’s climate fight starts to bite… 2% reduction in emissions!
”Three US Virginia Class nuclear-powered submarines are also expected to be delivered to Australia from as early as the 2030s.”
“As early as” means best case. Maybe we’ll have a Virginia Class sub by 31/12/2039.
I predict Net Zero AUKUS submarines by 2040…
Boerwar
“ Great news as Labor’s climate fight starts to bite… 2% reduction in emissions!”
This figure is especially good in context. The context is growing population, rates of driving and air travel ( 🙁 ) per person returned to pre-covid levels, and high levels of manufacturing and construction activity. Yet GHG are still going down.
have not caught up with any articles yet, but I heard on the radio today about how badly AEMO has handled the transition to renewables.
————————————
Nothing to do with the Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison 12 years of energy policy cluster f?
Steve
“ Australia will have Net zero AUKUS submarines by 2040…”
Nice to know that my friends working on the previous contract didn’t lose their jobs for nothing… At least a few more senior naval officers got to make Admiral.
Just as well Snark 1’s fave: Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison – realizing that the coal generators were fucked and increasing the cost of electricity – ordered those synchronous condensers.
Team Katich says:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 6:49 pm
have not caught up with any articles yet, but I heard on the radio today about how badly AEMO has handled the transition to renewables.
————————————
Nothing to do with the Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison 12 years of energy policy cluster f?
中华人民共和国
The First Donkey of the Apocalypse never lets the truth get in the way of an attack on Labor.
Soc
Please do not mention ‘…rates of driving and air travel ( ) per person returned to pre-covid levels..’ Any mention of flying to ecotourism resorts launches a thousand snarks.
Air travel is set to double by 2030, apparently. Not a snark’s worth. Apparently.
https://www.politico.eu/article/zelenskyys-right-hand-man-vows-to-fight-on-frontline-after-ouster-in-corruption-scandal/
A positive story about Iran:
https://apnews.com/article/iran-hijab-mahsa-amini-protests-israel-war-d953ebfce090c044ac948aa5e476e7b1
With pictures of stunning Persian women.
C@t,
I walked past this today, as I sometimes do in my travels:
As soon as I started reading your post above, I thought of the mural.
Energy experts declared on Monday the electricity grid would not be ready for Eraring, the nation’s largest coal-fired power station, to shut down by its scheduled end date in mid-2027.
_______________________
The Pacific Islanders are going to be pissed off about that.
It’s a shame that on the day after renewables exceeded 50% on a monthly basis across the NEM for the first time, AEMO has put out of the run of the mill technical report which has the media hyperventilating.
The fact that Eraring’s closure date may have to be postponed a year or two is no great surprise and of negligible impact in terms of actual NSW coal generation and emissions.
As the graphic below, from the report in question shows, however, the most pressing issue for the security of the NEM is in Qld, not NSW:
Minimum system load*, MSL, is a problem that has arisen in recent years due to our world leading rooftop solar. It occurs when there is too much generation and not enough demand (load). As the graph below shows, in SA Australia it is even occasionally negative:
However, SA can manage this because it doesn’t have inflexible coal generators and its grid has been well managed by its state governments in the previous eight years.
* https://www.aemo.com.au/-/media/files/learn/fact-sheets/2025/fact-sheetminimum-system-load.pdf
Edit: Contrary to media reports, the Eraring extension has not cost the NSW govt. anything.
Team Katich @ #1510 Monday, December 1st, 2025 – 6:49 pm
How many years before Labor accepts some responsibility for this clusterfuck?
Saw a car emblazoned with Trump stickers etc. at the local shopping centre. WTF?!
“PUDDIN” plates sounds like a stereotypical MAGA blob.
newy boy:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 5:25 pm
[‘If I understand it correctly, the lease was granted in 2008. Russia invaded Georgia on 7 August 2008. If the lease was granted after that date, then definitely it was an unwise move to grant such a lease so close to Parliament House to such an aggressive – indeed, rogue – state.’]
Where the purchase of real property is concerned, a foreign national or entity is subject to approval of the purchase by the Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB). From personal experience, this was merely a rubber stamp. As far as leases are concerned, the lessee(s) would not have required FIRB approval. So, apart from the security services being vigilant, there were no checks on the Russians having property so close to the Parliament. At some point, the authorities obviously became concerned, prompting the Cth to apply to acquire property (lease) under s.51(xxxi). This section does not require reasons for the requisition, so no noses were publicly put out of joint. But the Russians were obviously aware of the reasons they were evicted. It surprises me that this ended up in the High Court, as the only real wriggle room under the section is whether the compensation was just.
‘Taylormade says:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 7:26 pm
Energy experts declared on Monday the electricity grid would not be ready for Eraring, the nation’s largest coal-fired power station, to shut down by its scheduled end date in mid-2027.
_______________________
The Pacific Islanders are going to be pissed off about that.’
===============
Taylormade cares for Pacific Islanders. Pass it on.
”How many years before Labor accepts some responsibility for this clusterfuck?”
Quite a few I would think.
– Zero progress before 2008
– Attempts on the part of the Rudd Government to make a start were blocked by the Coalition and the Greens in 2009-10
– Most of what was accomplished between 2010-13 was torn down
– Regression from 2014-22.
– Progress since 2022 hindered and obstructed by the Coalition and the Greens
Labor has to
– get on with the job
– bring the voting public with them otherwise progress will be undone once again
– keep the Coalition out of office until progress is irreversible
The Greens can help, or they can be part of the problem
How many years before the ecotourism industry accepts some responsibility for the climate clusterfuck?
Boerwar says:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 7:45 pm
‘Taylormade says:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 7:26 pm
Energy experts declared on Monday the electricity grid would not be ready for Eraring, the nation’s largest coal-fired power station, to shut down by its scheduled end date in mid-2027.
_______________________
The Pacific Islanders are going to be pissed off about that.’
===============
Taylormade cares for Pacific Islanders. Pass it on.
中华人民共和国
“Time doesn’t mean anything when you’re about to have water lapping at your door.”
Peter Dutton
Player Onesays:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 6:18 pm
I have not caught up with any articles yet, but I heard on the radio today about how badly AEMO has handled the transition to renewables. So much so that we may have to burn coal for many more years
Great work, AEMO! Conflict of interest, much?
______________________________
Please, share your knowledge with us, especially about AEMO and their conflict of interest.
SL
Yes, please do share this knowledge. Also, to which wireless station were you tuned when you heard about this conflict of interest?
https://michaelwest.com.au/wong-farrell-dfat-duck-for-cover-on-rising-israel-trade/
Wong, Farrell, DFAT duck for cover on rising Israel trade, genocide risk
“Australia has quietly moved Austrade staff from the office in West Jerusalem to Tel Aviv but continues Israel trade despite the genocide – while DFAT condemns “unfair targeting” of Israel by the United Nations. Stephanie Tran reports.
More than 350 Palestinians have been slain since the Israel-Hamas ‘ceasefire’ last month and tensions continue to rise in the West Bank amid extra-judicial killings and other international law violations including repeated ceasefire violations in Lebanon yet Australia is continuing to deepen its trade and defence ties with Israel, dodging questions about the defence trade office in West Jerusalem.”
How many years before Labor accepts some responsibility for this clusterfuck?
———————————
There is nothing the ALP can do to make up for the 12 years of abrogation of responsibly that came from that LNP conga line of suck holes.
I would just quietly suggest enough people who voted for them back then have learnt their lesson to the extent that it is still reflected in today’s polling. Voting matters. Voting on habit, regardless of the competence and integrity of the party, has consequences. We are 12 years behind where we should be.
We should not cloud this space by same saming the ALPs mostly minor failings in energy policy with the disgrace of those 12 years of LNP misrule.
From Tampa to Nauru. Billion-dollar refugee deal to be scrutinised at last.
https://michaelwest.com.au/from-tampa-to-nauru-billion-dollar-refugee-deal-to-be-scrutinised-at-last/
“Following last week’s revelations about the “Nauru deal”, the Senate voted in favour of a full inquiry into the Government’s “Offshore processing and resettlement arrangements.” Janet Pelly reports on what may come from it.
The Senate’s Legal and Constitutional Affairs References Committee will report by 1 June 2026, and cover “Australia’s arrangements since 2022 with the Republic of Nauru, Papua New Guinea and other countries for offshore processing and resettlement programs, including:
The payments made by the Australian Government to the primary contractors and subcontractors involved in offshore processing and resettlement programs,
the payments made by the Australian Government to other third parties involved in offshore processing and resettlement programs,
the outcomes and effect of payments made to primary contractors and subcontractors involved in offshore processing and resettlement programs and other relevant third parties, and,
the integrity of arrangements made for the delivery of services and value money for Australian taxpayers; and
any other related matters.”
Peg is going in to bat for hardened criminals.
Figures.
https://michaelwest.com.au/arms-producers-increase-revenue-to-record-1-trillion/
Arms producers increase revenue to record $1 trillion
“Stoked by the wars in Gaza and Ukraine, the revenues of the 100 largest arms makers grew to a record $US679 billion ($A1 trillion) last year.
The 5.9 per cent increase in revenue from sales of arms and military services in 2024 was also due to countries boosting their military spending.
The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) report released on Monday said the $A1 trillion revenue was the highest figure it has recorded.
The bulk of the increase was down to companies based in Europe and the United States, but there were increases around the world – except in Asia and Oceania, where problems in the Chinese arms industry led to a slight fall.”
BW snarks and stalks. Figures.
The change that is needed is removal of corrupt, incompetent “leadership” across sectors and a move towards competent, evidence based leadership. Its going that way now i think but the process is messy.
Looks like we have a new Federal poll on the AFR website.
Redbridge/Accent Research (they just dropped one 2 weeks ago)
Comparison figures (with 2 weeks ago)
* ALP 35% (-3)
* LNP 26% (+2)
* ON 18% (nc)
* GRN 10% (+1)
* Others/Indies 11% (nc)
Their 2PP 54-46
Link: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/one-in-four-male-gen-xers-now-support-one-nation-20251201-p5njot
Have to say, there are polls flying around everywhere this past week.
Edit: Sample is 4775 (stonker sample)
Poll Period Nov 7-26.
Look’s like they may have partially including sampling from their recent poll on 16-Nov.
Over to you WB
Keep up the posts Pegasus – I appreciate your input here too.
The hard right has regained control of the ACT Liberals organisation.
That’s gotta be what, six votes there
Just catching up with 7:30, Canavan says: “… all of the people in the Nationals party are special.”
It’s GenX wot is attracted to Pauline apparently…
If you are male, aged 50 or above and weighed down by the cost of living, there is a one-in-four chance you would vote for One Nation if an election were held now.
That is according to a new poll conducted for The Australian Financial Review, which finds that while support for One Nation among all voters is 18 per cent, it jumps to 26 per cent for male members of Generation X, or those born from 1965-1980.
Among male members of the Baby Boomer generation, it is slightly lower at 22 per cent.
The findings are contained in a new Redbridge/Accent Research poll, which sampled the views of 4775 voters between November 7 and 26.
Over the same period, the federal opposition fractured over climate and energy policy, due in large part to pressure from One Nation, and, similarly, gave notice it would soon outline principles on a policy to pare back immigration.
The jumbo-sized poll – separate to the monthly The Australian Financial Review/Redbridge/Accent poll, which was conducted over six days and published two weeks ago – samples enough people to give statistically meaningful breakdowns of the results.
It finds Labor leading the Coalition by 54 per cent to 46 per cent on a two-party-preferred basis and by 35 per cent to 26 per cent on the primary vote. One Nation, which scored 6.4 per cent on election day in May, has nearly tripled in support since, to a record 18 per cent. The Greens are next on 10 per cent.
Accent Research principal Shaun Ratcliff said as well as gender and age, the other common denominator behind the One Nation vote was financial stress.
“There’s clearly a relationship with people who are under a great deal of financial stress, whether it’s employment, income or home ownership,” he said.
“They feel the major parties aren’t offering solutions to their problems.”
He said the resentment was manifesting into concerns about Australia’s high rate of migration, which is a key target of One Nation leader Pauline Hanson.
AFR
Mind you, LNP on 26 is a rebound from Newspoll’s 24.
“Therefore, I don’t want to create problems for Zelenskyy; I’m going to the front.”
On which side?
“If you are male, aged 50 or above and weighed down by the cost of living, there is a one-in-four chance you would vote for One Nation if an election were held now.”
As the old song goes, it’s hard being male, middle class and white.
““PUDDIN” plates sounds like a stereotypical MAGA blob.”
Batman (well, a character from it) fan possibly. The comic book not the guy who was going to get Tasmania named after him.
‘Pegasus says:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 8:23 pm
BW snarks and stalks. Figures…’
=======================
Peg slags Labor. Which is presumably why nadia likes peg’s posts.
Always. …can’t even praise the Greens for the environment deal. Why? Because it was with Labor.
This morning peg was cutnpasting some fool who was saying that Labor does nothing.
Well here is peg’s whole lot of nothing:
Labor’s comprehensive environmental law reforms… the first since Howard and Hill.
Labor’s defence procurement reform
Labor’s tax cuts
Labor’s energy bill supplements
Labor’s increases in rental assistance
Labor’s 2% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions
Labor’s NDIS
Labor’s biggest ever allocation to social housing
Labor’s mandating systemic improvements to aged care
Labor’s Home Care packages at record levels
Labor’s biggest ever allocation to Indigenous housing
Labor’s rising real wages
Labor’s cheaper medicines
Labor’s increase in compulsory super
Labor’s criminalization of wages theft
Labor’s criminalization of super theft
Labor’s 300,000 free TAFE places
Labor’s forgiveness of 20% of HECS debt
Labor’s full employment
Labor’s record labour market participation
Labor’s closing of the gender pay gap
Labor’s extension of paid parental leave
Labor’s inclusion of super on paid parental leave
Labor’s spend on missiles to be built in Australia
Labor’s working from home
Labor’s record of appointing women to senior appointments
Labor’s massive investment in cheaper renewables
Labor’s cheaper medicines,
Labor’s emergency care clinics…
Labor’s pay for training placements for trainees…
Labor’s 15% pay boost for the lowest paid workers in feminized industries – child care and aged care.
Australia is not the only country where rooftop solar is providing a challenge for grid operators:
https://cleantechnica.com/2025/11/28/pakistans-lng-retreat-signals-trouble-for-canadas-export-ambitions/
“Pakistan added roughly 17 GW of solar in 2024, … one of the most dramatic single-year shifts in any emerging market power system. The scale of that buildout changed Pakistan’s electricity mix in ways that planners had not expected.”
> Our LNG exporters should take note.
nadiasays:
Monday, December 1, 2025 at 8:38 pm
[Keep up the posts Pegasus – I appreciate your input here too]
The appreciator !
Boerwar, you have a scroll wheel on your mouse, use it!
Pegasus is a younger poster here and is just having a go, on a public vox pop blog.
She’s entitled to her say.
I remember the abuse “Irene” copped here. Went on and on until she was blasted off the blog around Feb this year.
Peg has been copping it this past 48 hours. Labor has had a good win to end up the year, with the harmless Nature Positive Bills finally legislated. Nothing Pegasus can say now which alters that, so why all the vitriol directed to her.
Bizarre.
Looks like we’ve hit peak One nation and a downward trend is baked in now.
Welp parliament is now over, and the only difference in terms of seats is Barnaby Joyce defecting from the Nationals to sit as an independent in the crossbench.
We did it. We finally survived the election year in tact.
I just wonder then what are people’s opinions about there being more seats in parliament. I feel like it’s a positive change because it allows seats like North Sydney, Higgins, and Port Adelaide to come back which is good for local representation, but it’s good to get a second opinion on the matter.
Otherwise I wish everyone here, and everyone sitting in parliament at the moment a Merry Christmas, and a happy new year.
Elon’s robot army should probably avoid any kind of dance-off with the Chinese:
https://cleantechnica.com/2025/11/28/humanoid-robots-labeled-next-big-bubble-for-chinese-companies/