US state and local elections live

Live commentary on today’s US Virginia and New Jersey state elections, New York City mayoral election and a referendum in California to enable retaliatory gerrymandering.

Live Commentary

1:52pm Friday I’ve done an article for The Conversation about these elections, Trump’s sliding ratings and the US government shutdown.

9:20am Thursday In the NJ lower house, the NYT has 53 Dems and 19 Reps with eight uncalled. Dems are leading in four of the uncalled seats. If current leads hold up, they will win by 57-23, a five-seat gain.

5:28pm In the Texas 18th federal seat “jungle primary” (this is a special election), the two leading candidates, both Democrats, will advance to a yet to be scheduled runoff. A candidate needs over 50% to win a jungle primary outright, and the top candidate currently has 30.2%. The top Rep got 6.7%.

4:53pm End of day summary In Virginia, Dems won the governorship by 15.2 points, lieutenant governor by 11.4 and attorney general by 6.6 despite a scandal regarding the Dem A-G candidate. Dems won the lower house by 64-36, a 13-seat gain. Virginia voted for Harris in 2024 by 5.8 points.

In NJ, Dems won the governor by 13 points, far exceeding polls that gave them a low single-digit lead. NJ voted for Harris by 5.9 points in 2024. Dems have a 49-19 lead in called NJ lower house races, with 12 uncalled. Dems previously had a 52-28 majority in the NJ lower house.

With 91% in for NYC, Mamdani won the mayoralty by 50.4-41.6 over Cuomo with just 7.1% for Sliwa. In California, with 66% in, Yes to retaliatory gerrymandering leads by 29.4 points. We won’t have final results from NYC or California for some time as they take weeks to count all their votes.

3:23pm Now 50% in from California, and Yes leads by 66-34.

3:09pm Only 2% counted so far in California, but it’s already been called for Yes to retaliatory gerrymandering. Yes leads by 74-26 so far.

3:02pm VPAP now showing only one undecided seat in Virginia, with Dems winning by 64-35, a gain of 13 seats for the Dems. In the NJ lower house, the NYT has Dems winning by 44-14 with 22 still undecided. Dems have retained their hold on the trifecta in NJ and gained a trifecta in Virginia by gaining the governorship. The trifecta means control over both chambers of the legislature and the governor.

2:45pm Dems will win the other NYC races easily, beating the Reps with over 70%. In Pennsylvania, Dems have retained three judges on the state supreme court to keep their 5-2 majority. In Maine, a referendum to require photo ID for voting has been rejected by 23 points with 57% in.

2:37pm It’s now 59-26 in the Virginia lower house to the Dems with 15 undecided, a gain of ten seats for the Dems. Reps lead most of the undecided seats.

2:21pm In the VPAP count of the Virginia lower house, Dems lead Reps by 55-25 with 20 undecided, a gain of eight seats for Dems.

1:51pm According to the Virginia Public Access Project, Dems are winning the Virginia lower house by 40-17 with 43 uncalled. Dems have gained seven seats from the Reps so far.

1:40pm Mamdani CALLED winner of NYC mayor. With 75% in, he leads Cuomo by 50.4-41.3 with just 7.5% for Sliwa.

1:52pm The Dem has been called the winner in NJ governor, currently leading by 15 points with 63% in.

1:27pm With 52% in for NYC, Mamdani’s lead over Cuomo has narrowed to 49.6-41.5. But hardly any further narrowing with 60% in now.

1:15pm The Dem’s lead has narrowed to 15 points in NJ with 52% in, with the NYT expecting her to get a final 56% of the vote.

1:12pm With 38% in for NYC, Mamdani leads Cuomo by 51.2-40.0 with just 8.0% for Sliwa. These would be early votes, so election day votes may favour Cuomo.

12:36pm With 62% counted in Virginia, the Dems lead for governor by 11 points, lieutenant governor by 7 and attorney general by 2. So the scandal about Jones’ texts had an impact, but not enough for him to lose the att-gen race.

12:31pm With 27% in for NJ, the Dem leads by 23 points. If that holds up, the polls in NJ will have badly understated the Dem. But perhaps early votes are mostly counted, and election day votes will help the Rep.

12:29pm With 52% in for the Texas federal special election, the three leading candidates are all Dems, but the leader has 32%, well under the 50% needed to avoid a runoff.

12:15pm With 17% in for NJ, the Dem is up by more than 26 points. The NYT says the remaining vote is “fairly evenly split”, implying an easy Dem win.

12:10pm With 14% in for New Jersey, the Dem leads the governor’s race by 17 points. No NYT estimate of the final result yet.

12:01pm The Dem has been called the winner in Virginia governor.

11:55am With 29% in for Virginia, NYT gives Dem gov candidate 57% when counting complete. Dems still likely to win all three statewide offices.

11:37am With 17% now counted in Virginia governor, the NYT model thinks the Dem will win with 56% of the final vote. The other statewide races are closer, but Dems should win all three.

11:28am For the governor’s race, the Dem is winning all types of votes counted so far, early votes by 21 points, election day votes by 5.5 points and mail votes by 49 points.

11:21am With 2% reporting in Virginia, the Dems lead the governor race by 13 points. They are also 14 points up in the Attorney-General race and 10 points up for lieutenant-governor.

Guest post by Adrian Beaumont, who joins us from time to time to provide commentary on elections internationally. Adrian is a paid election analyst for The Conversation. His work for The Conversation can be found here.

US state elections occur today in Virginia and New Jersey, with the governor and lower house of the legislature up. New York City (NYC) will hold a mayoral election. California holds a referendum on enabling Democratic retaliatory gerrymandering. And there’s a federal special election in a safe Democratic Texas seat. Polls close at 11am AEDT in Virginia, 12 noon in NJ and Texas, 1pm in NYC and 3pm in California.

Late polls in NJ have the Democrat leading by low single-digit margins. Democrats have held the NJ governorship since 2017. In Virginia, where Republicans won the governorship in 2021, the Democrat leads by high single to low double-digit margins. At the 2024 presidential election, Kamala Harris won NJ by 5.9 points and Virginia by 5.8 points, while Donald Trump won the overall popular vote by 1.5 points.

Virginia also holds statewide contests for lieutenant-governor and attorney-general. A scandal about the Democratic AG candidate’s texts could cost him. Democrats currently hold a 52-28 majority over Republicans in the NJ lower house and a 51-49 majority in the Virginia lower house. Democrats hold a 25-15 upper house majority in NJ and a 21-19 majority in Virginia, which are not up for election.

In NYC, a late AtlasIntel poll gave Democratic nominee and socialist Zohran Mamdani a 44-39 lead over independent Andrew Cuomo with 15% for Republican Curtis Silwa. Cuomo led Mamdani by 50-44 head to head. Other than in the two final AtlasIntel polls, Mamdani has led Cuomo by double digit margins and also led him head to head. In California, “yes” to retaliatory gerrymandering is over 20 points ahead.

The special election in Texas’ 18th is being held eight months after the former Democratic member died, but it’s unlikely to be decided today. It’s a “jungle primary”, where all Democratic and Republican candidates compete and the top two go to a runoff. Unless one candidate gets over 50%, a runoff will need to be scheduled to decide this seat.

Republicans hold the House of Representatives by 219-213 with three vacancies. A Democrat who won a special in Arizona in September has not yet been seated. A special will occur on December 2 in a safe Republican seat in Tennessee.

With the ongoing US government shutdown set to beat the record for the longest shutdown, Donald Trump’s net approval in Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls has slid 5.3 points since October 19 to -12.8. In Fiftyplusone’s generic ballot average, Democrats’ lead over Republicans has changed little, and is now 44.9-41.8.

Netherlands, Bolivia and Chile past and upcoming elections

The 150 Dutch MPs are elected by national proportional representation without a threshold. At the October 29 election, the socially liberal and progressive D66 won 26 seats (up 17 since the 2023 election), the far-right PVV 26 (down 11), the conservative VVD 22 (down two), the Green Left 20 (down five), the conservative CDA 18 (up 13), the far-right JA21 nine (up eight) and the far-right FvD seven (up four).

To reach a majority, 76 seats are needed. It usually takes months after an election to form a government. Other parties have vowed not to work with the PVV, which caused the fall of the last government and this election to be held over two years early. But conservative to far-right parties won a combined 82 seats, so the next government is likely to be a conservative one.

The Bolivian presidential runoff election occurred on October 19. The Movement for Socialism (MAS) had dominated Bolivia since 2005, but at this election they won just 3.2% of the August first round vote, with the runoff contested by two conservative to right-wing candidates, with the more centrist candidate winning by 55.0-45.0. Seats in both houses of the legislature were allocated by PR using the presidential vote. The MAS won just two of 130 seats in the lower house and zero of 36 in the Senate.

Chile presidential and legislative elections will occur on November 16, with a presidential runoff on December 14. Incumbent left-winger Gabriel Boric cannot run owing to term limits. Jeannette Jara is Boric’s candidate and leads right-winger José Kast in first round polls, but other candidates are mostly right-wing, so Kast may win the runoff.

194 comments on “US state and local elections live”

Comments Page 4 of 4
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  1. Did New York’s Daily Rupert (the New York Post) provide evidence to support their feared “exododus”. Assuming that it means that MAGA people go away, why would that be a problem?

  2. Steve Kornacki@SteveKornacki
    ·
    3h
    Hudson County, NJ, home to several heavily Hispanic cities, loomed as a test of whether Ciattarelli could hold onto significant nonwhite gains that Trump made last year:
    2020: Biden +46
    2021: Murphy +48
    2024: Harris +28
    Tonight: Sherrill +49

  3. Results by neighborhood

    Neighborhood Margin Mamdani Cuomo Total votes
    Upper East Side Cuomo +24 36% 60% 90,390
    Upper West Side Mamdani +5 51 45 85,951
    Bedford-Stuyvesant Mamdani +57 77 20 48,030
    Astoria Mamdani +39 66 27 45,362
    Crown Heights Mamdani +43 71 27 41,958
    Williamsburg Mamdani +26 61 35 38,673
    Washington Heights Mamdani +32 64 32 36,246
    Harlem Mamdani +45 71 26 35,395
    Midwood Cuomo +57 19 76 30,803
    Bushwick Mamdani +67 82 15 29,197
    Flatbush Mamdani +56 76 21 29,066
    Flushing Cuomo +13 37 50 28,426
    Sheepshead Bay Cuomo +52 19 70 28,081
    Park Slope Mamdani +56 77 20 26,870
    Borough Park Cuomo +78 8 86 25,206
    East Harlem Mamdani +30 62 33 24,820
    Bay Ridge Mamdani +5 45 41 24,707
    E New York (Brooklyn) Mamdani +22 59 37 24,020
    East Flatbush Mamdani +26 61 36 23,693
    Jamaica Mamdani +28 62 34 23,673
    Forest Hills Cuomo +15 39 54 22,384
    Chelsea (Manhattan)Mamdani +11 53 42 22,306
    East Village Mamdani +42 69 27 21,819
    Hell’s Kitchen Mamdani +31 63 32 20,220
    Jackson Heights Mamdani +28 60 32 19,100
    Midtown East Cuomo +24 36 59 18,004
    Lower East Side Mamdani +22 58 36 17,815
    Ridgewood Mamdani +48 70 21 16,468
    Kensington Mamdani +29 62 33 16,340
    Canarsie Mamdani +25 61 36 16,179
    Elmhurst Mamdani +14 52 38 15,470
    Greenpoint Mamdani +60 77 17 15,188
    Bensonhurst Cuomo +19 33 51 14,982
    Concourse Mamdani +20 57 37 14,912
    Gravesend Cuomo +45 22 66 14,816
    Sunset Park Mamdani +29 60 31 14,767
    Long Island City Mamdani +42 69 27 14,650
    Sunnyside (Queens)Mamdani +39 66 27 13,454
    Bayside Cuomo +25 30 54 13,444
    West Village Mamdani +5 51 46 13,120
    Queens Village Mamdani +22 58 36 12,388
    Kips Bay Mamdani +3 49 46 12,376
    Rego Park Cuomo +23 34 57 12,272
    Fort Greene Mamdani +59 78 19 12,125
    Prospect Lefferts Mamdani +51 74 24 11,945
    Hamilton Heights Mamdani +47 71 25 11,875
    Whitestone Cuomo +38 18 60 11,798
    Co-op City Mamdani +0.85 47 46 11,536
    Clinton Hill Mamdani +67 82 15 11,369
    Soundview Mamdani +16 55 39 11,352
    Greenwich Village Mamdani +6 51 45 11,138
    Woodside Mamdani +25 58 33 10,968
    Flatlands Mamdani +27 61 34 10,533
    St. Albans Mamdani +16 56 40 10,288
    Financial District Mamdani +6 50 44 10,262
    Inwood Mamdani +38 66 29 10,256
    Great Kills Cuomo +38 13 63 10,139
    Kew Gardens Hills Cuomo +47 23 70 10,124
    Prospect Heights Mamdani +67 82 15 10,119
    Ozone Park Mamdani +22 55 33 10,046
    East Elmhurst Mamdani +20 56 36 10,003
    Parkchester Mamdani +27 61 33 9,906
    Corona Mamdani +11 51 40 9,847
    Maspeth Cuomo +14 31 45 9,827
    Coney Island Cuomo +43 24 67 9,670
    Stuyvesant Town Mamdani +23 58 36 9,533
    Brooklyn Heights Mamdani +27 62 35 9,482
    Bath Beach Cuomo +22 31 53 9,435
    Riverdale Cuomo +5 44 49 9,346
    Middle Village Cuomo +28 22 53 9,299
    Richmond Hill Mamdani +18 55 36 9,229
    Morningside Heights Mamdani +49 73 24 9,167
    Springfield Gardens Mamdani +12 54 42 9,129
    Eltingville Cuomo +32 11 60 8,935
    Howard Beach Cuomo +26 17 54 8,893
    Throgs Neck Cuomo +14 30 44 8,779
    South Ozone Park Mamdani +18 55 37 8,693
    Dyker Heights Cuomo +24 29 52 8,489
    Morris Heights Mamdani +9 52 43 8,443
    Wakefield Mamdani +13 54 41 8,341
    TriBeCa Cuomo +26 36 61 8,314
    Mott Haven Mamdani +22 58 36 8,279
    Murray Hill(Manhattan)Cuomo+11 42 53 8,234
    Kingsbridge Mamdani +14 53 39 8,118
    Far Rockaway Cuomo +27 34 61 7,963
    Marine Park Cuomo +40 20 60 7,897
    Glendale Cuomo +12 33 45 7,760
    Kew Gardens Mamdani +3 47 44 7,727
    Brownsville Mamdani +18 57 39 7,692
    Arden Heights Cuomo +37 13 62 7,386
    Windsor Terrace Mamdani +50 72 22 7,281
    Fresh Meadows Cuomo +31 30 61 7,230
    DowntownBrooklyn Mamdani +53 75 22 7,211
    Woodhaven Mamdani +7 46 40 7,066
    Longwood Mamdani +9 51 42 7,057
    Fordham Mamdani +13 54 40 7,049
    Gramercy Park Mamdani +2 49 47 6,954
    W Brighton (Staten Is) Cuomo +15 33 49 6,903
    Bellerose Mamdani +10 48 38 6,867
    Carroll Gardens Mamdani +45 70 26 6,708
    Williamsbridge Mamdani +18 57 39 6,459
    Boerum Hill Mamdani +56 77 20 6,339
    Laurelton Mamdani +17 57 40 6,339
    New Springville Cuomo +35 22 58 6,302
    Briarwood Mamdani +14 53 39 6,259
    Castle Hill Mamdani +17 55 38 6,093
    Bedford Park Mamdani +15 54 39 5,996
    Midtown Cuomo +6 44 50 5,951
    Pelham Bay Cuomo +0.34 40 41 5,882
    Bulls Head Cuomo +32 23 55 5,790
    Brighton Beach Cuomo +38 26 64 5,787
    Hollis Mamdani +30 63 33 5,777
    Gowanus Mamdani +59 77 19 5,647
    University Heights Mamdani +10 52 42 5,616
    Cambria Heights Mamdani +13 55 42 5,573
    Little Neck Cuomo +31 27 59 5,510
    Ditmas Park Mamdani +61 79 18 5,383
    Tottenville Cuomo +27 9 59 5,350
    Melrose Mamdani +15 55 40 5,290
    Cypress Hills Mamdani +20 56 36 5,239
    Cobble Hill Mamdani +45 71 26 5,143
    Rosedale Mamdani +20 58 38 5,132
    Westerleigh Cuomo +31 19 56 5,085
    Other Cuomo +38 21 59 5,038
    E Williamsburg Mamdani +67 82 15 5,030
    Battery Park City Cuomo +24 36 60 4,919
    BayTerrace(Queens)Cuomo +39 23 62 4,912
    Allerton Mamdani +17 54 38 4,825
    Norwood Mamdani +30 61 31 4,798
    Highbridge Mamdani +13 54 41 4,788
    Spuyten Duyvil Cuomo +5 44 49 4,703
    Oakland Gardens Cuomo +24 31 55 4,702
    SoHo Mamdani +5 51 46 4,694
    Flatiron Cuomo +19 39 58 4,662
    Pelham Parkway Mamdani +16 53 37 4,502
    Mariners Harbor Mamdani +20 54 34 4,497
    College Point Cuomo +15 33 48 4,440
    Morris Park Cuomo +0.59 42 42 4,427
    Belle Harbor Cuomo +37 10 63 4,415
    Huguenot Cuomo +41 9 66 4,395
    Emerson Hill Cuomo +32 26 58 4,321
    Mill Basin Cuomo +52 17 70 4,107
    Port Richmond Mamdani +7 46 38 4,096
    Castleton Corners Cuomo +30 22 54 4,069
    Glen Oaks Cuomo +39 25 64 4,029
    Graniteville Cuomo +13 33 46 3,899
    Concord Cuomo +18 33 51 3,869
    Morrisania Mamdani +17 56 39 3,793
    Jamaica Estates Cuomo +5 45 50 3,762
    Belmont Mamdani +17 55 38 3,727
    Rosebank Cuomo +10 35 46 3,695
    Pelham Gdns Mamdani +1.7 44 42 3,681
    Chinatown Mamdani +12 53 41 3,627
    Arrochar Cuomo +29 25 54 3,620
    Crotona Park E Mamdani +11 52 41 3,537
    Prince’s Bay Cuomo +44 11 66 3,525
    Rossville Cuomo +36 11 62 3,472
    N Riverdale Mamdani +2 47 44 3,433
    Jamaica Hills Mamdani +54 74 21 3,425
    New Dorp Cuomo +32 18 57 3,228
    Woodrow Cuomo +42 9 67 3,122
    Arverne Mamdani +16 53 37 3,067
    Oakwood Cuomo +35 14 60 3,063
    Gerritsen Bch Cuomo +24 16 53 2,956
    Edenwald Mamdani +12 54 42 2,880
    Westchester Sq Mamdani +40 67 27 2,874
    Floral Park Mamdani +8 46 39 2,867
    Greenwood Hts Mamdani +66 81 15 2,851
    Auburndale Cuomo +27 30 57 2,845
    St. George Mamdani +24 58 34 2,827
    Annadale Cuomo +36 11 63 2,815
    South Slope Mamdani +62 80 17 2,788
    Bergen Beach Cuomo +38 24 62 2,694
    Woodlawn Cuomo +0.45 42 42 2,643
    RichmondtownCuomo +41 11 65 2,638
    Baychester Mamdani +14 54 40 2,589
    East Tremont Mamdani +16 55 39 2,577
    Breezy Point Cuomo +24 7 58 2,548
    Dumbo Mamdani +15 56 42 2,529
    Douglaston Cuomo +35 26 62 2,463
    Hollis Hills Cuomo +44 23 67 2,425
    Red Hook Mamdani +40 68 28 2,332
    Willowbrook Cuomo +53 16 69 2,301
    Roosevelt Is Mamdani +27 61 33 2,292
    South Beach Cuomo +30 22 54 2,259
    W Farms Mamdani +6 50 44 2,219
    Stapleton Mamdani +23 56 33 2,213
    W Harlem Mamdani +32 64 32 2,177
    Todt Hill Cuomo +53 16 69 2,160
    Grymes Hill Cuomo +8 37 46 2,158
    Van Nest Mamdani +27 58 31 2,157
    Rockaway Park Cuomo +18 28 45 2,141
    Hudson YdsMamdani +22 58 36 2,130
    Grant City Cuomo +34 19 58 2,063
    Midland Beach Cuomo +35 21 57 2,048
    Claremont Mamdani +21 59 37 2,037
    Clason Point Mamdani +8 50 42 1,981
    Two Bridges Cuomo +0.51 43 44 1,957
    NoMad Cuomo +19 38 57 1,944
    Hillcrest Cuomo +37 28 65 1,897
    Rockaway Bch Cuomo +6 37 43 1,866
    Pleasant Plns Cuomo +35 10 63 1,800
    Dongan Hills Cuomo +31 24 55 1,798
    Country Club Cuomo +23 20 51 1,718
    City Island Cuomo +18 30 49 1,687
    Columbia St. Waterfront District Mamdani +46 71 25 1,674
    Bayswater Cuomo +36 30 65 1,670
    New Brighton Cuomo +2 41 43 1,655
    Bay Terrace(Staten Is) Cuomo +36 15 60 1,652
    Holliswood Cuomo +6 44 50 1,580
    Ocean Hill Mamdani +54 76 21 1,526
    Manhattan BchCuomo +81 6 87 1,499
    New Dorp BchCuomo +26 20 53 1,453
    Sth Richmond Hill Mamdani +21 56 35 1,397
    Lighthouse HillCuomo +43 13 65 1,368
    Edgemere Mamdani +20 57 38 1,327
    Tompkinsville Mamdani +27 58 31 1,314
    Hunts Point Mamdani +10 52 42 1,257
    Marble Hill Mamdani +18 56 38 1,247
    Sea Gate Cuomo +47 18 65 1,157
    Broad Channel Cuomo +16 12 52 1,043
    Silver Lake Cuomo +17 33 50 1,039
    NoLIta Mamdani +16 55 39 978
    NoHo Cuomo +6 46 52 976
    Bronx Park EMamdani +31 63 32 932
    Ft WadsworthCuomo +11 33 44 855
    Vinegar Hill Mamdani +41 69 27 822
    Randall Manor Mamdani +15 51 36 444

  4. Great day for republicans by the time this socialist Nutjob is finished he will of motivated every republican voter to go vote at the next presidental election.

    Winning!

  5. Aaron Rupar‬
    ‪@atrupar.com‬

    LEAVITT: It’s absolutely true that there’s fraud in California’s elections

    Q: What’s the evidence of that?

    LEAVITT: It’s just a fact

    FMD!

    Didn’t I predict that this is what they’d do?

  6. Zohran Mamdani
    Democrat 1,036,051 +50.4%50.4%
    Andrew M. Cuomo
    Independent 854,995 +41.6%41.6
    Curtis Sliwa
    Republican 146,137 +7.1%7.1
    Total reported
    2,055,921

  7. So what do the Liberals do now?
    Following Republican hatred seems to be a dead end.
    Will the machete’s still be the theme for the next Victorian election.

  8. “Great day for republicans by the time this socialist Nutjob is finished he will of motivated every republican voter to go vote at the next presidental election.

    Winning!”

    Is that why their donors spent (flushed) untold millions trying to prevent Mamdani from winning?

  9. @mj

    “Yes Cat I’m glad hope over fear won the day for a change. But yeah GOP and their minions are going to attack him relentlessly as a communist, jihadist etc. they are shameless.”

    I agree but I dont want to let racists off the hook and I think its worth remembering that the Democratic governor of new york said these exact things about Mamdani the day after his primary win.

    The radical centrist bloc in charge of the party was intentionally trying to throw the election by refusing to back Mamdani and throwing their lot in with Trump and Bill Ackmann to help get a 14 times accused sexual predator elected. During the government shut-down no less.

    Whether Mamdani does well or not (lets be honest, Mayor of New York is a shit job) will not besmirch his mostly flawless campaign. Having conviction and backing popular policies is now a proven vote winner, netting more than a million votes for the first time in 60 years. I think there is now an established plan and folks like Gillibrand and Jeffries should be worried right now

  10. Those NYC neighbourhood figures point to a highly polarised electorate which is to be expected I guess in a period of cultural and political flux.

    No doubt Mamdani will receive unfair targeting and vitriol but he just needs to not take the bait, keep calm, stay above the bullshit and just deliver on his promises.

    This song comes to mind as to the situation worldwide right now:

    Circle of Life – Lion King
    https://youtu.be/GibiNy4d4gc?feature=shared

  11. President Donald Trump on Wednesday blamed his party’s bruising election night losses on the government shutdown and urged Republicans to end the funding gridlock, displaying fresh urgency as sweeping Democratic victories portended midterm trouble for the GOP.

    “We have to get the country open. And the way we’re going to do it this afternoon is to terminate the filibuster,” Trump said during a meeting with Republican senators at the White House. “We will pass legislation that you’ve never seen before, and it’ll be impossible to beat us.”

    The directive marked a shift in tone for Trump, who has laid the responsibility for ending the shutdown on Democratic leaders, even as it eclipsed past records and disrupted food aid for millions of Americans. He warned the group of Republican leaders on Wednesday that if they did not move to eliminate the filibuster, a procedural rule in the Senate that essentially requires 60 votes to pass most legislation, Democrats would.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/11/05/gop-election-fallout-midterms/

    Does he really think the Senate will abolish the filibuster?

    As to blame, maybe getting your rich buddies to build you a ballroom at the White House and hosting lavish Halloween parties for the wealthy elite in your mansion while the government is shut down, people can’t afford essentials, and everything is more expensive because of your great big tariff taxes on everything is really why people are pissed off!

  12. “We have to get the country open. And the way we’re going to do it this afternoon is to terminate the filibuster,” Trump said during a meeting with Republican senators at the White House.

    Don’t propose negotiating in good faith with the Democrats, you Orange Douche Canoe! That would be too much for you fascist-brained losers.

    “We will pass legislation that you’ve never seen before, and it’ll be impossible to beat us.”

    Do you mean like this?

    Leavitt says White House is preparing anti voter executive order after Trump attacks California election result.

    https://www.alternet.org/trump-california-2674267167/

  13. The NYTimes addresses the real meaning of Mamdani’s triumph – what his wife wore to the victory event…

    What it means to dress that part requires no small amount of calculation. As Ms. Duwaji must have been aware. At least judging by her outfit.

    Which spoke not only of her identity, but of that of the city itself.

    Rather than opt for a classic suit, or the hipster knee-high boots she wore to her wedding and to sit front row at the Diotima show during New York Fashion Week in September, Ms. Duwaji mixed and matched on Tuesday night, creating a melting pot of a look. She avoided big brands in favor of independent entrepreneurs, dressing up just enough to situate herself in the middle ground between socialism and high society. Her clothes said she was neither one cliché nor the other; she was herself.

    To be specific, she wore a black top from Zeid Hijazi, a Palestinian designer based in London whose work combines heritage embroidery and futuristic techniques and has appeared in the Victoria and Albert Museum. Sleeveless, denim — denim! — and laser-etched with what seemed to be classic tatreez motifs, the top was a little personal (Ms. Duwaji has wrestled with Palestinian trauma in her work), a little downtown, a little Audrey Hepburn.

    With it, Ms. Duwaji wore a flowy mid-calf black velvet-and-lace skirt from the New York-based designer Ulla Johnson, part of the Fashion Week establishment, whose work is popular with the boho deluxe yoga mom set, and who recently opened a new boutique on the Upper East Side. Also, long silver spike earrings from Eddie Borgo, another New York designer, though one who decamped to Los Angeles a few years ago only to return to New York in May and put down roots in TriBeCa.

    Ms. Duwaji looked as if she could host a soiree at Gracie Mansion without betraying her brand values. Or her husband’s. That’s also a win.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/05/nyregion/rama-duwaji-fashion-zohran-mamdani.html

  14. The leftwing critique of Mamdani’s policies.

    Real socialism is not on the ballot in New York City, and pure free-market capitalism is impossible. The problem with capitalism is that what is logical for individual businesses is collectively destructive for the system as a whole. It is in the interest of each business to get the highest price for its goods or services while paying its workers as little as possible. But if every business does this, then aggregate demand will collapse, because most workers will be paid too little to buy the goods or services that businesses are selling.

    Paid adequately, workers should be able to afford housing, groceries, and transportation costs, while those out of employment are covered by universal contributory social insurance. In a high-wage/low-welfare system like that of the New Deal era, only a few unfortunates depend on public welfare to survive.

    Unfortunately, a new system has emerged in Western democracies over the last half-century, brought about by neoliberal leaders from Ronald Reagan to Tony Blair. The high-wage/low-welfare system, resting on the power of organised labour, has been replaced by a low-wage/high-welfare system in which the power of workers to demand higher pay has been weakened. Under neoliberalism, the government allows employers to pay poverty wages and volunteers to “top up” the inadequate private wage with a “social wage”, so that the combined sum prevents hunger and homelessness.

    The social wage can take the form of subsidies for individuals to purchase goods they cannot otherwise afford. But it can also take the form of public housing, free bus fares, and the public grocery stores in the variant of neoliberal redistributionism proposed by Mamdani.

    While landlords and private grocery chains in New York might be hurt by Mamdanismo, cheap-labour employers can only benefit from an increase in the social-wage share of a worker’s total income. The greater the number of goods and services either subsidised or provided directly by the state, the lower the wage that an employer needs to pay for a worker to make ends meet.

    A decade ago, many on the Left recognised this in denouncing Walmart for urging some of its underpaid workers to go on welfare. The real problem in New York and other big, expensive cities is not that prices are too high and must be compensated by greater redistribution from taxpayers to underpaid workers. Instead, it is that many New York employers are unwilling to pay their employees enough to live in the city without being dependent on welfare, whether cash or in-kind.

    https://unherd.com/newsroom/zohran-mamdani-is-a-neoliberal-not-a-socialist/

  15. Spectator Australia, pre-election: “Easily the most prominent of today’s contests, the race for the New York mayoralty has become a proxy war for the future of the Democratic party, with millennial socialist Zohran Mamdani unexpectedly beating hoary old Andrew Cuomo to the nomination, who is now running as an independent. If Mamdani wins, as the polls still suggest he will (despite narrowing considerably in recent days), then this will represent the first triumph for the American hard left since Bernie Sanders’s victory in the Nevada primary back in 2020.

    There’s also the perennial Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa, whose homespun manner and trademark red beret (the uniform of the “Guardian Angels” neighborhood watch, which Sliwa founded in 1979) has won him a devoted following. Donald Trump has, however, chosen to endorse Cuomo as the best chance to ward off the socialist tide. RealClearPolitics’ poll of polls has Mamdani on 46.1 percent, Cuomo on 31.8 percent, and Silwa on 16.3 percent. The Mamdani camp is said to be feeling bullish amid reports of record youth turnout.”

  16. C@tssays:
    Thursday, November 6, 2025 at 7:37 am
    https://theshovel.com.au/2025/11/05/news-corp-young-muslim-man-elected-new-york-major/ …., “on your Marx”?

    ______________________

    Nope, Betoota put it better:

    https://www.betootaadvocate.com/i-wish-australia-had-politicians-like-this-american-with-the-exact-same-politics-as-2019-bill-shorten/

    “His political victory is being felt right around the word, especially in Australia, where left-wing social media addicts don’t seem to understand that Mamdami’s politics are basically the same as your standard right-wing Labor MP, or maybe even a Turnbull-era moderate Liberal.”

    “Right across Australia today, groups of enlightened progressives are saying that they wish our country had politicians like Mamdami, who ran on a platform that Australians wholeheartedly rejected when Bill Shorten was Opposition leader.”

  17. Hey all. Have been very sick in the last couple of days and barely had the energy to post. Still not there yet, so I won’t bother with the deep analysis right now and just offer some simple key observations:

    1. This was an unequivocally good result for Democrats and bad one for Republicans. Anyone who tries to spin it otherwise has their own biased agenda and wants to have their priors confirmed.
    2. Don’t know if this momentum will carry over into 2026 or 2028. If history is anything to go by, there’s a good chance of the former, too early to say for the latter. Of course, things can happen that can radically change things.
    3. The result proves, going forward, that there’s room in the party for both Mamdanis and Spanbergers/Sherrills – as all did well, considering their respective obstacles and negative gatekeeping from different factions of the Democratic Party.
    4. Success for the Democrats going forward is being normal and relatable to the public, and focus on attacking the Republicans, not each other – with the acknowledgement that electoral success is one part good candidates and campaigns, and one part circumstance (Trump and Republicans being in charge and currently making a mess of things is a big influence on the result.)

  18. Of course, in my haste to post, I forgot to include the usual disclaimer I make when it comes to every off-year and midterm election: the results almost always skew against the party currently in the White House, so that is factored in to my analyses (and another reason one shouldn’t make any 2028 inference from the results.)

  19. PP:

    Great day for republicans by the time this socialist Nutjob is finished he will of motivated every republican voter to go vote at the next presidental election.

    Winning!

    BAHAHAHAHA!

  20. Thanks C@t and Asha. 🙂

    I’m thinking about Maine right now. While I have been avoiding it and didn’t want to inject an opinion on the Senate primary race, due to my personal policy (and not wanting to poke that grumpy bear), I notice Jared Golden has decided not to recontest ME-02, which has given me an idea: run Platner for that seat next year and run Mills for the Senate. ME-02 is the kind of seat that someone like Platner could do well in (salt of the earth, outsider type) whereas Mills is a popular Governor and would make a strong challenger to Collins. Anyway, assuming both win their races, let Platner spend the next six years (assuming re-election) getting legislative experience, building connections in the community and, most importantly, allaying fears that he’s another Fetterman. Then, come 2032, Platner can run for the Senate and will be a better candidate and not facing a tough Republican. If Mills tries to run for re-election that year, she would get a lot more resistance as, by then, she would be in her 80s and it seems like 80 is the cut-off for most people when it comes to the age of a candidate.

    Of course, I am fantasising here. Factional deals like that don’t really happen in US politics (due to nominations being decided by primaries not backroom deals) and both camps are being pretty stubborn about the 2026 Senate race but, if I could wave a magic wand, this is the reality I would manifest.

  21. Wat Tyler @ #191 Friday, November 7th, 2025 – 5:39 pm

    Thanks C@t and Asha. 🙂

    I’m thinking about Maine right now. While I have been avoiding it and didn’t want to inject an opinion on the Senate primary race, due to my personal policy (and not wanting to poke that grumpy bear), I notice Jared Golden has decided not to recontest ME-02, which has given me an idea: run Platner for that seat next year and run Mills for the Senate. ME-02 is the kind of seat that someone like Platner could do well in (salt of the earth, outsider type) whereas Mills is a popular Governor and would make a strong challenger to Collins. Anyway, assuming both win their races, let Platner spend the next six years (assuming re-election) getting legislative experience, building connections in the community and, most importantly, allaying fears that he’s another Fetterman. Then, come 2032, Platner can run for the Senate and will be a better candidate and not facing a tough Republican. If Mills tries to run for re-election that year, she would get a lot more resistance as, by then, she would be in her 80s and it seems like 80 is the cut-off for most people when it comes to the age of a candidate.

    Of course, I am fantasising here. Factional deals like that don’t really happen in US politics (due to nominations being decided by primaries not backroom deals) and both camps are being pretty stubborn about the 2026 Senate race but, if I could wave a magic wand, this is the reality I would manifest.

    That could be an interesting idea, just surely they could do better than Janet Mills, especially when the Democrats already have a gerontocracy problem.

    But I agree that Platner could do well in running for Maine-02 to prove his credentials before trying for the Senate seat.

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