The Australian reports the first Newspoll in four weeks finds no abatement in the Coalition’s loss of support to One Nation, with the former down four on the primary vote since the last poll to 24% and the latter up four to 15%. This smashes records at both ends: the Coalition’s 27% in the previous poll was already their worst ever, while One Nation’s previous record was 13%. Labor and the Greens are both down a point, to 36% and 11% respectively, with Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 57-43. Sussan Ley’s approval rating has tumbled seven points to 25%, while her disapproval is up nine to 58%. Anthony Albanese is at 46% approval and 51% disapproval, both up one from last time, and leads 54-27 on preferred prime minister, out from 51-31. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1265.
James Campbell of News Corp also reported yesterday on a poll from Freshwater Strategy, which had gone quiet since markedly overstating Coalition support in its polling before the May federal election. It found Labor leading 55-45 from primary votes of Labor 33%, Coalition 31% and One Nation 10%, with no result provided in the report for the Greens. The poll also found 35% holding that the country is headed in the right direction, compared with 52% for wrong direction; that 22% now rate immigration “one of the most important issues they want the federal government to focus on”, compared with 11% in February 2024.
Just on the state based Fed vote intention figures (scroll down the link and click on the state) …
* PHON sitting on just 11% in QLD. Thought they’d be higher
* LNP is tanking in QLD – sitting at 26%
* Grn vote in QLD sitting at 14% – surprisingly higher than Vic or NSW
Preferred PM. Albo 39% (-1), Ley 25% (+2)
Probably not the worst poll for Sussan Ley, if I’m honest.
Not a stunner, but def not a complete shocker like LW’s Newspoll.
Wrt Whitlam
While he was a great man, he was there for a good time not a long time. Albo passed him for time served* as PM before the last election.
* The Albo govt. is not just serving time; they’re getting shit done.
Snap TPOF!!
Thanks Nadia
Interesting Resolve Poll leading into a HUGE week for the Liberal Party
Hey Upnorth
Thanks for your reflections on Richo.
I really appreciated your post and OCs as well. It’s true the view can be different from down here but a personal note puts things in perspective. Rest in peace Richo.
I’ve never been north of the Daintree ferry but one day I will get there.
Hard Being Green says:
Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 6:08 pm
Thanks Nadia
Interesting Resolve Poll leading into a HUGE week for the Liberal Party
============
Slightly curious Green vote in QLD. Seems a bit high.
ALP primary is strong in NSW & QLD.
The journo’s will probably do a write up soon and reveal the sample etc.
Resolve is usually around the 1100 mark.
nadia88 says:
Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 5:59 pm
Latest National Resolve poll (via the SMH/Age)
* ALP 33% (-1)
* LNP 29% (+1)
* PHON 12% (nc)
* GRN 12% (+1)
* Others/Indies 14% (-1)
Link: https://www.smh.com.au/national/resolve-political-monitor-20210322-p57cvx.html
—————
Looking at the average primary votes between
NSW (Labor 34%,Lib/nats 31%)
VIC (Labor 33%, Lib/nats 29%)
QLD (Labor 36%, LNP 25%)
Rest of Australia (Labor 31%, Lib/nats 30%)
Labor primary vote 33.5%
Lib/nats combined primary vote 28.75%
Nadia it’s worth remembering Queensland is where the Greens hold their only lower house seat at present and has no elected Teals / Community Independents
😀
Apart from that …
Omar Comin’ says:
Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 6:10 pm
Hey Upnorth
Thanks for your reflections on Richo.
I really appreciated your post and OCs as well. It’s true the view can be different from down here but a personal note puts things in perspective. Rest in peace Richo.
I’ve never been north of the Daintree ferry but one day I will get there.
中华人民共和国
As Richo once said
“My memory won’t be around for very long, but the rainforests of north Queensland will be around forever.”
Now that’s something worth fighting for.
With guests such as Michael Kirby, Gareth Evans & Elizabeth Evatt, the Law Report this week discusses the 50th anniversary of the Australian Law Reform Commission – yet another great piece of legislation of the Whitlam Government.
https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/lawreport/fifty-years-of-the-australian-law-reform-commission/105872136
It is not as dire as NSW poll for the Liberals. Ley approval are still in the “not great not terrible” zone.
There is a possibility that the last Newspoll was a rouge poll – after all it had the Liberals falling 4% or one in seven voters leaving them in a cycle. That is a fairly rare event.
Resolve poll was in the bin last time , and it remains in the bin
Rest of Australia
W.A , TAS, S.A , N.T , ACT
Very unlikely Labor primary is 31% and Lib/nat combined primary vote is 30%
Resolve poll was in the bin last time , and it remains in the bin
Rest of Australia
W.A , TAS, S.A , N.T , ACT
Very unlikely Labor primary is 31% and Lib/nat combined primary vote is 30%
_____ ____
Correct – more likely ALP 40%.
[‘The Coalition is starting to creep up in the polls from a record low as rising anxiety over the cost of living has begun to drag on Labor’s post-election honeymoon.
A fortnight of infighting and backbiting has barely moved the Coalition’s primary and two-party-preferred vote while Opposition Leader Sussan Ley has gained net three points as preferred prime minister, though she still trails Anthony Albanese by a significant 14-point margin.
Labor’s economic management, meanwhile, is coming under heavier scrutiny as two out of three voters say they will cut back on Christmas this year and three out of five said they couldn’t afford any unexpected major expenses.’]
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/voters-don-t-punish-liberals-for-infighting-but-albanese-on-notice-over-rising-costs-poll-20251108-p5n8rz.html
The corollary here is that the Opposition should continue with its self-inflicted wounds of
infighting and backbiting until it takes a lead in the polls. Good one, James.
Kevin Bonham’s 2PP on latest Resolve poll.
ALP 33 L-NP 29 Grn 12 ON 12 IND 7 others 6
Their 2PP by respondent prefs 53 to ALP (-2)
My last-election conversion 54.6 to ALP (-0.8)
SL @ #2452 Sunday, November 9th, 2025 – 6:06 pm
Indeed. Whereas Albo is here for a long time not a good time.
Well, if you mean they are shitting on the rest of us, they are indeed:
Taking reconciliation backwards.
Approving new fossil fuel extraction.
Stalling environmental protection laws.
Sending billions to Trump for imaginary submarines.
Making housing less affordable than ever.
Keeping migration at record levels.
Reducing government transparency.
Mismanaging child care.
Mismanaging aged care.
It’s not much of a track record compared with Whitlam’s government, is it?
Reuters reports Saudi Arabia will only normalize ties with Israel if there is ‘agreement on a roadmap to Palestinian statehood’ and that with ‘Netanyahu staunchly opposed to Palestinian statehood, Saudi Arabia sees no immediate prospect to satisfy Trump’s demand that it normalise ties with Israel’.
Ahh the dismissal, in 1995 for the 20th anniversary at work myself an another employee, who eventually became a notable ALP Victorian MP had our own commemoration, we took over the board room with the video projector and watched the Dismissal miniseries, with a solemn minute of silence at 2.10 pm
Few years later at the Sydney film festival none other that the great EGW was there at the premier film, as I looked on in humble reverence a woman went up to him and said in an awed tone “I voted for you in 1974 but I havent hoted labor since” he looked down from on high and said, “well there’s still time”
I terms of the broader impact on the political sphere, my hypothesis is that the whole ‘liberals are better economic managers’ myth is rooted in the Whitlam era, i mean 23 years of the LCP, then Gough and the programme added to that the oil crisis, collapse of Kynesan economics and the refusal to compromise on spending on programs. Sprinkle in a few ministers off the reservation like Connor an Jim Cairns it only added to the appearance of chaos. Yes there were domestic issues but the international economy really sunk it. My other hyothesis is if Gough won in 1969 with the same programme – there would have been 2 terms or at least 5 years to implement the guts of it until the oil crisis/inflation and so on.
New thread.
Nath, acting like the douche he is, claims that this link – examining Trump’s words in a strictly forensic manner – doesn’t implicate Trump in perving on Miss Teen USA contestants while they were undressed, in some cases naked, then gloating about it afterwards on a high-rating radio program (Howard Stern’s).
Nath ignores my post a couple of posts downthread, a few minutes later, which sets out the testimony of an eye witness, ie. one of the actual Miss Teen USA contestants, confirming Trump’s confession.
The critical part of the young woman’s testimony commences at exactly the 55 second mark of the following clip:
https://youtu.be/mOo4BmOK4F8?si=3bOCungNt-0wz6Ks
Nath’s inner sleazebag always comes out.
Trump puts up “…post by President Trump earlier in the day where he shared a graphic juxtaposing an image of him next to one of former President Franklin D. Roosevelt.” on his Trash Social and Bill Pulte being the sycophant cultie with head inserted deep in the rectum of the Donald suddenly (no doubt within minutes most likely), ““Thanks to President Trump, we are indeed working on The 50 year Mortgage – a complete game changer,” Pulte wrote in a statement on the social platform X.”
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5597005-trump-administration-50-year-mortgage/
Gavin Newsom having another dig at Donald.
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/5597033-newsom-trump-texas-redistricting-rally/
”That’s why people drive big utes in Regional Vic.
EV’s with no spare and small hatchbacks are useless once you leave the city.”
On the other hand, you don’t need a gigantic SUV or ute in, say, Lane Cove or Ashfield (Sydney, ~10 km from CBD). I doubt that many of them in Sydney have ever been off-road.
Oakeshott Country @ #2318 Sunday, November 9th, 2025 – 11:00 am
For me it was the day of the physiology finals. Some of us boiled out of old Adelaide Med School and gathered outside Bonython Hall. There was talk of marching down North Terrace but Don Dunstan’s government had just won an unprecedented 3rd term & Adelaidians were all too fucking polite to realise that coups could happen here.
Douglas and Milko @ #2450 Sunday, November 9th, 2025 – 6:05 pm
I blame age (I was 12). SPLHCB was the first Beatles album that I know my parents listened to – because they played it to me. I also recall being stumped by the question asked of me as the strange little (7 yo) boy in the playground of Mill Hill Primary School (London): “Who’s side are you on, Eh? The Beatles or Gerry and the Pacemakers?”. Having spent the previous 3 years in Chicago & Edinburgh I had no idea – but pick wrong anyway.
Player One says:
Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 2:01 pm
Arky @ #2399 Sunday, November 9th, 2025 – 1:37 pm
As usual P1 has no arguments just labelling.
There is no point in wasting arguments on those whose brains have ossified. Or on those who label others as “crypto-reactionary trolls”.
Accurate descriptions are a very good thing. I often read the ingredients list on packages, especially when thinking about the active constituents in toxic ware. The product panel for Smug Brand Crypto-Reactionary Troll is revealing. The list includes phobia, greenwash, imitation choice, duplicity, gaslight, cynicism, pretence, contumely and hauteur. The package should carry a health warning, to the effect that over exposure to undiluted solution can cause vomiting.
Every so often, along comes a curve- ball that can shatter conventional beliefs.
Once upon a time, there existed an urban myth ( long since demolished by science) that lemmings would occasionally exit their existence by jumping off cliffs or into the sea in large numbers.
Yet, along comes a proverbial curve- ball to prove us wrong .
Lemming- like suicide behaviour exists in the so- called paragon of virtue and intelligence- homo sapiens…. The Liberal Party has just given us evidence of this behaviours existence.
To add further to the theme- science tells us that dinosaurs were wiped out in a global environment catastrophe. The only evidence we have in Australia is their fossilised remains outback in Queensland. Yet appropriately situated in outback Qld, we have living proof that some dinosaurs survived ( but are still threatened by ecological catastrophe). Science has labelled these survivors “Nationalsaurus”
Together with the Liberal Party, they threaten the very science we accept.
One last comment on this theme.
Evolutionary theory posits that species adapt or evolve to changed environments to survive. Yet Nationalsaurus has survived ( at least to present times) by not evolving at all. How can this be?
Has Science taken a hit? Is it being ” trumped” by Trumpian thinking?
We will see. But in the meanwhile, it has questions to answer.