Three big new poll results, a recurring theme being a surge in support for One Nation at the Coalition’s expense:
• The Australian reports Newspoll has Labor’s lead out from 56-44 to 58-42, with the Coalition recording its worst primary vote in the history of the series, which goes back to 1985. Labor is steady at 36%, with the Coalition down three to 27%, the Greens up one to 13% and One Nation up one to 10%. Both leaders’ personal ratings have deteriorated: Anthony Albanese is down four on approval to 45% and up four on disapproval to 50%, while Sussan Ley is down three to 32% and up five to 49%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister unchanged at 51-31. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1264.
• Nine Newspapers has the monthly Resolve Strategic poll, which has Labor’s two-party lead narrowing from a blowout 59-41 to 55-45. The primary votes are Labor 35% (down two), Coalition 27% (down two), Greens 11% (down one) and One Nation 12% (up three). Anthony Albanese is up one on approval (or to be precise, good plus very good on “performance in recent weeks”) to 44% and steady on disapproval (poor plus very poor) at 45%; Sussan Ley is up three on both, to 41% and 32%; and Albanese leads 38-26 on preferred prime minister, in from 41-26. The biggest movements on the breakdowns are by gender, with Labor down seven among women to 31% and up three among men to 39%, last month’s result being clearly the more orthodox of the two. The poll was conducted Tuesday to Saturday from a sample of 1800.
• The Financial Review yesterday brought its second RedBridge Group poll since the election, the first having been in late June, which has Labor at 35% (down two), the Coalition on 30% (down one), the Greens on 11% (steady) and One Nation on 11% (up two). Labor’s headline two-party lead of 53.5-46.5 is their weakest in any poll since the election, but it’s partly down to respondent-allocated preference flows: applying flows from the election would have it at about 54.5-45.5. The poll had a long field work period, from August 19 to September 8, and a big sample of 5326. Breakdowns by age cohort, gender and location consequently have some meat on their bones: the biggest movement is a seven-point shift form Labor to the Greens among “Gen-Z”, which I take to mean 18-to-34, putting them at 38% and 31% with the Coalition on just 18%. UPDATE: Full report here, including breakdowns for the four biggest states.
The other big story on the polling front of late has been the emphasis placed by now former Coalition front-bencher Jacinta Price on a suggestion by Kos Samaras of RedBridge Group that Labor’s two-party vote among the Indian dispora might be as high as 85%. Samaras later clarified that a “more appropriate characterisation” would have it in the “mid-60s”. This would seem consistent with some more robust data points that have been doing the rounds since:
• The Co-operative Election Survey from before the May election gave Labor a primary vote advantage over the Coalition of 45% to 34% among those of “south Asian” ethnic identity.
• A survey of Indian-origin residents conducted by YouGov for the Carnegie Institute before the 2022 election had it at 43% to 26%, translating to about 47% to 29% upon exclusion of the 9% uncommitted. The former had a national sample of 4012, which presumably encompassed a south Asian sub-sample of about 300, while the latter had a sample of 800.
• Roy Morgan has aggregated its polling among respondents born in India and China going back to mid-2023, which finds both distinctive as major party voters as well as leaning to Labor. Compared with a Morgan average over the period that I calculate at Labor 31.9%, Coalition 36.2%, Greens 13.1% and One Nation 5.5%, the result among Indian-born respondents is Labor 45%, Coalition 39%, Greens 8% and One Nation 2%, which I estimate to be about 56-44 to Labor on two-party preferred; and among Chinese-born respondents, Labor 48%, Coalition 34%, Greens 11% and One Nation 1%, which I make at 61-39. There were 1332 respondents in the Indian-born sample and 738 in the Chinese.
Shogunsays:
Even now, if an Omaha steak was priced at half that of the locally grown product, I would probably buy it. I would kill for a Scotch fillet (currently $44/kilo at Woolworths).
____________________
I had an eye fillet the other night. $46/kilo.
gollsays:
Are you Little Joe, Big Hoss or Adam ?
Good onya Rawhide, yeah ahh!
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I don’t even know what that is.
While “right to be a bigot” Brandis’ piece is self serving, he IS right that there are parts of the left who are being hypocritical and do and did seek to sack and “cancel” people with opinions they disagreed with (although they did not usually have the position of power Trump had to do enforce it, of course).
Where he is wrong is ascribing these views of the most annoying parts of the left to the entire left and then letting it therefore justify Trump’s actions against an entire country.
citizensays:
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:05 pm
Republican lawmakers in Oklahoma introduced legislation this week that would require every public university in the state to construct “a Charlie Kirk Memorial Plaza”, with a statue of the assassinated Republican activist and a sign calling him a “modern civil rights leader”, or pay monthly fines…
____________________________________________________
We should have one in Melbourne too.
We have an empty plinth in Hobart where William Crowther used to stand.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-11/signage-to-explain-removal-of-william-crowther-statue-hobart/102586560
After Lady Mary Crawley, nath is my second favourite rich person.
Pegasus says:
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 8:52 am
Addressing Australia’s housing crisis is a mammoth task…’
====================
True. It means that the Greens have more NIMBY work to delay, obstruct and stop housing developments than they can poke a stick at.
Shogunsays:
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:18 pm
After Lady Mary Crawley, nath is my second favourite rich person.
___________________
I worked hard for my money, starting a debt collection business in the 90s. Our reputation for ruthlessness was notorious. ‘where’s the fuckin cash?’ was our motto.
This is a big week for honesty and integrity in Byzantium by the Potomac.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/sep/20/tom-homan-undercover-fbi-agents
MI: “We have an empty plinth in Hobart where William Crowther used to stand.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-11/signage-to-explain-removal-of-william-crowther-statue-hobart/102586560”
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Good.
And I’m saying that as someone who is generally opposed to statue removals. But Crowther wasn’t just an agent of colonialism or descendant of slave owners or whatever other reason the woke brigade would give for taking down most of the old statues in Australia. His actions in relation to the remains of William Lanne were those of a fully-fledged blackguard and were adjudged to be such by many people at the time.
Considering how that all went for the conservatives in May this year, I’m sure that must have Albanese terrified.
Shogun: “After Lady Mary Crawley, nath is my second favourite rich person.”
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I imagine that nath is probably a better actor than the rather wooden (though undoubtedly gorgeous) Ms Dockery.
They should put up statue of Peta Credlin in recognition of her efforts in helping Dan Andrews get reelected on multiple occasions.
I decided to treat myself recently, and had a 250g Australian sirloin that cost me a bit over $20 AUD.
God, I love South East Asia.
Loved this tweet on-topic:
Ofcourse, AR and VR have important applications beyond gaming. Engineering, planning, infrastructure, construction, services, asset management, ag, mining, entertainment…..
I know a chap about to use it to sell a large development concept to an array of stakeholders; from equity peeps to politicians, owners, neighbours, planners, Nimbies etc.
Speaking of unpaid debts, has anyone heard from FUBAR recently?
Da Nang’s bar district would really appreciate the extra economic stimulus.
bc at 2.54pm
I wonder when Jon Stewart will get the chop for not towing the Chump line?
So, this Tom Homan story is from NBC, is it not? Aren’t they next in line after ABC and CBS have ante’d up a few $million to the “Donald J. Trump Presidential Library”? Should be a shoo-in for Trump’s lawyers.
Ashasays:
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:53 pm
Speaking of unpaid debts, has anyone heard from FUBAR recently?
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I’ll buy that debt for cents on the dollar. We have an office in WA.
Never mind that, with the talk about making anti fascist sentiment a crime, it may well be not long until they try to jail Democrats more directly. My morbid curiosity wonders how many Republicans go along with it, I fear its far more than even I could have imagined.
The story narrated by Bene Israeli Jew about Indian Jew
https://youtu.be/sYZhaXz0yMo?si=BuqmYQUdHhzdvoJn
I was always fascinated with Jewish people because of their intellect. That community gave Albert Einstein to the world. That was one of the I always admired them till Netanyahu committed genocide. It hurts me that Netanyahu government joined hands with Trump to do this.
That is the reason I followed o lot of modern Jewish people like Paul Wolfowitz
I learnt a lot from Tomdispatch
Members of the Ashland County, Ohio Democratic Party were recently escorted out of the county fair for displaying merchandise critical of President Donald Trump. And criminal charges could soon follow, according to the local sheriff.
Cleveland, Ohio-based ABC affiliate WEWS reported Friday that Ashland County Sheriff Kurt Schneider is contemplating filing criminal charges against the Democrats for displaying several buttons that he and other fairgoers found objectionable. WEWS reported that before the Democrats were escorted out, they were told to stop displaying the buttons. After several fairgoers continued to complain, deputies escorted the Democrats off of the fairgrounds.
One of the buttons in question shows a red baseball cap with “FELON” written on it, and the text “is he dead yet” underneath. Another button has a red baseball cap bearing the message “RESIST” with the caption “8647” (which is a reference to both a restaurant term to get rid of something on the menu and Trump being the 47th president of the United States).
Both Schneider and fairgoer Dan Kaufman viewed the buttons as “threatening,” and the sheriff said he had contacted the U.S. Secret Service over the buttons. He said he hadn’t ruled out pressing charges, but didn’t immediately specify what charges he was considering.
“Everybody can say anything, right? But then what are the consequences of what you say?” Schneider told WEWS. “This kind of nonsense, it can go somewhere else.”
State senator Bill DeMora (D) argued the buttons were protected speech, and blasted local authorities over their reaction.
“”This is censorship,” he said. “It’s a violation of the First Amendment right to free speech.”
“”
is wrong and will lose any battle in court,” he added.
Ashasays:
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:45 pm
They should put up statue of Peta Credlin in recognition of her efforts in helping Dan Andrews get reelected on multiple occasions.
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Don’t forget bringing down Abbott by assuming the powers of a co leader and royally pissing off all of his colleagues.
She’s a real asset to Labor with her mantra of ‘keep going harder on the culture wars’.
meherbaba my post @5:04 pm may interest you.
Nath:
She’s also the star performer in those masterfully crafted comedy specials that Sky News likes to broadcast on election nights.
Ashasays:
She’s also the star performer in those masterfully crafted comedy specials that Sky News likes to broadcast on election nights.
___________________
She’s pretty stoic though. She nearly ripped the head off Murray Watt on the last comedy special. Then went on to repeat her mantra of going harder. Apparently Dutton didn’t go hard enough.
nath:
If he happens to have a sporting goods business, then I’ll take a piece of that too.
Make sure you assure him that he’s doing a good job.
Ashasays:
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 5:23 pm
nath:
I’ll buy that debt for cents on the dollar. We have an office in WA.
If he happens to have a sporting goods business, then I’ll take a piece of that too.
Make sure you assure him that he’s doing a good job.
__________________________
Hey, when the debt’s paid he’s free to go. Guys like Fubar are my bread and butter.
Nath:
I’m sure he can find new oppurtunities in Vegas once its all done with.
Ashasays:
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 5:27 pm
Nath:
I’m sure he can find new oppurtunities in Vegas once its all done with.
_____________________________
It was later revealed that poor Davey ended up in a mental health facility in Nevada.
Probably just a stutter step.
”According to the dictionary site Merriam-Webster, “86” means to “to throw out,” or “get rid of,” and derives from a 1930s slang term for “sold out.” The number 47 is believed to refer to President Trump, as the 47th president.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/8647-code-james-comey-trump-b2752261.html
Or from a more reliable source, similar:
” Altogether, 8647 doesn’t really have much meaning.
But Republicans say that when you break the number down into two parts, 86 and 47, it’s calling for the assassination of Mr Trump.
In American slang, 86 can mean to remove or get rid of something.
It’s usually used in the context of restaurants and cafes — if a menu item is not available, it might be referred to as “86ed”, meaning it’s no longer for sale, or staff might “86” a rowdy customer by refusing them service.”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05-17/secret-service-investigating-james-comey-over-8647-photo/105304948
BB and others
This may interest you
From Tomdispatch
Back to 1984?
https://tomdispatch.com/back-to-1984/
“We’re No. 1 and they’re No. 2 in the world.”
That was President Trump’s blunt assessment of global power politics when it came to the United States and Russia following his inconclusive “summit” meeting with Vladimir Putin in Anchorage, Alaska, on August 15th. Of all his comments about the meeting, that numerical assessment — made during a post-summit interview with Sean Hannity of Fox News — was perhaps the most revealing, if also in some strange sense the hardest to decipher.
Supposedly, the intent of the Anchorage meeting was to arrange an immediate cease-fire in Ukraine and devise a path to lasting peace there — none of which, of course, occurred. Instead, Trump appeared to focus on repairing U.S.-Russia relations, which had been in a deep freeze since Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
“I think the meeting was a 10,” Trump exclaimed triumphantly after being asked by Hannity to rate the outcome of his talks with Putin. “In the sense we got along great, and it’s good when two big powers get along, especially when they’re nuclear powers.” Then came the observation that we’re No. 1 and they’re No. 2.”
Beef watch
– US mince beef is about $15 aud/kg vs $12 aud/kg here in Australia.
– I can’t seem to compare the steak cuts, US Aldi seems to have a more limited range.
https://www.aldi.us/product/73-ground-beef-0000000000008343
https://www.aldi.com.au/product/jindurra-station-2-star-beef-mince-500g-000000000000399764
(Remember, Aussie minimum wage is twice that the USA).
The Coalition is on the cusp of something, according to Canavan:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/sep/21/canavan-claims-coalition-on-the-cusp-of-abandoning-net-zero-as-ley-urged-to-follow-duttons-voice-referendum-tactics
Never mind that, with the talk about making anti fascist sentiment a crime, it may well be not long until they try to jail Democrats more directly. My morbid curiosity wonders how many Republicans go along with it, I fear its far more than even I could have imagined.
————————————————–
This is what so many commentators seem to be ignorant of. When MAGA and Trump say ‘far left radicals’ they mean everyone on the left who doesnt vote Trump. They are almost as vitriolic on the RINOs. Only Matt Bevan in Australia (certainly not Aly whose Minefield today was unbearable) seems to get that the framing of the hard line rhetoric (from even before Kirks murder) was a clear effort to paint anyone not a Trump follower as the enemy, against America. This isn’t new for the Republicans, but MAGA are taking it to new levels.
It is a very simple dot to join that this political technique isnt just a way to rust on voters, it is a launching pad for autocracy. They will silence liberals. They will arrest them. They will use strong arm tactics, they will come for their guns, they will limit their voting ability. It is no coincidence that the first ‘group’ they will target are antifa – literally, the antifascists. But they will go for Democrat politicians if they have to.
I would note that the few Republicans concerned about the cancelling of Kimmel are framing it in terms of ‘if we do this to them, they could do it to us’. Tongue in cheek or ignorant because imo, there is little hope that Democrats will hold federal power any time soon.
Adelaide Crows in AFL and Canterbury Bulldogs and Canberra Raiders in NRL went out in straight sets in finals
Defending champion Penrith Panthers in NRL were 17th at half way mark of the NRL season. Now they are in top 4.
Optus executive and former NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian kept her head down as she left her North Sydney home today
“Were you part of the decision to not inform governments before a press conference was held to announce the failure?”
She declined to answer reporter’s questions.
Optus’s catastrophic outage has spread to NSW, it can be revealed, with two people in the state not able to call triple-0 during the fatal upgrade that left four people dead in one of the nation’s worst corporate failures. Chief executive Stephen Rue confirmed the nation’s second biggest telco also ignored five calls – two more than previously thought – from customers who contacted its overseas call centre on Thursday morning, saying they could not connect to triple-0, after Optus botched a firewall upgrade.
Mr Rue – who joined Optus last November after previously helming the government-owned NBN-Co – said the tragedy was a “failure of process”. “At the time of these calls, there were no red flags for the contact centre to alert them to any live issues. This is not clearly good enough,” Mr Rue said. “We are implementing a new compulsory escalation process, following any customer reports of triple-0 failures.”
https://www.smh.com.au/culture/art-and-design/inside-atlassian-s-revolutionary-habitat-tower-built-for-the-future-of-work-20250911-p5mubw.html
Sydney’s “temperate climate”? I give them a summer in the god-awful humidity that we now get before they’re installing aircon units. At least for the managers.
The ‘cancel culture’ we heard about around late 2010’s to early 2020’s was always just another of many disingenuous culture war distractions. The ones complaining most loudly about it were usually hack comedians who weren’t actually losing their livelihoods. Material attacks on free speech have always been coming from the right
”
Team Katichsays:
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 5:53 pm
Never mind that, with the talk about making anti fascist sentiment a crime, it may well be not long until they try to jail Democrats more directly. My morbid curiosity wonders how many Republicans go along with it, I fear its far more than even I could have imagined.
————————————————–
This is what so many commentators seem to be ignorant of. When MAGA and Trump say ‘far left radicals’ they mean everyone on the left who doesnt vote Trump. They are almost as vitriolic on the RINOs. Only Matt Bevan in Australia (certainly not Aly whose Minefield today was unbearable) seems to get that the framing of the hard line rhetoric (from even before Kirks murder) was a clear effort to paint anyone not a Trump follower as the enemy, against America. This isn’t new for the Republicans, but MAGA are taking it to new levels.
It is a very simple dot to join that this political technique isnt just a way to rust on voters, it is a launching pad for autocracy. They will silence liberals. They will arrest them. They will use strong arm tactics, they will come for their guns, they will limit their voting ability. It is no coincidence that the first ‘group’ they will target are antifa – literally, the antifascists. But they will go for Democrat politicians if they have to.
I would note that the few Republicans concerned about the cancelling of Kimmel are framing it in terms of ‘if we do this to them, they could do it to us’. Tongue in cheek or ignorant because imo, there is little hope that Democrats will hold federal power any time soon.
”
As BK used to say ‘America is f***ked’.
Abbott, Howard went full MAGA after they lost power.
Gladys PR judgement as bad as her taste in boyfriends
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/sep/18/expert-panel-australias-2035-emissions-target …, or a future no one wants or deserves, I guess we now know why RedBridge over Aug/ Sep had Gen Z going evens of below a third for Greens, Labor, a fifth Liberals/ Nationals …
I have a colleague on Optus who cannot get mobile reception in our building. Our building is not in the remote wilds of the Australian outback, but less than 10kms from the Sydney CBD.
9News
Netherlands protests turned violent. Cars were burnt on busy street.
https://www.euronews.com/2025/09/20/anti-immigration-demonstration-in-the-hague-turns-violent-weeks-before-general-election
Has anyone here watched Eddington? Im finding with each passing day that it is more and more relevant
Australia wont improve its bottom line much by offering residency for US liberals for $1m each. But worth it just to see Jacinta Price’s go spare.