DemosAU has published state and federal voting intention results for Queensland, the latter of which I will cover in a post later this evening. The state poll is the second such since the Liberal National Party’s election win last October, and credits them with a two-party lead of 55-45, out from 54-46 in the February poll and comparing with a 53.8-46.2 result at the election. The primary votes are LNP 40% (unchanged on the last poll, down 1.5% on the election), Labor 28% (down two on the last poll and 4.6% on the election), Greens 13% (up one and 3.1%) and One Nation 12% (up two and 4.0%). A further question finds the recent state budget rated as good by 24% and bad by 19%, with 57% unsure. The poll was conducted July 4 to 9 from a sample of 1027.
Also from Queensland, a state redistribution process has just commenced, of which Ben Raue of The Tally Room offers a useful summary.
Deimos seem keen to establish themselves in the marketplace with this state polling in what’s otherwise a polling drought, but having failed to distinguish themselves at the Federal Election (not that any pollster did hugely better), they’d probably want to hope the Tassie numbers strike closer to the mark.
Welp, LNP Honeymoon time I guess. Whether this lasts to October 2028 remains to be seen.
David Crisafulli seems like a nice man. Jarrod Bleijie, not so much. 😉
Demos, not Deimos. I think the primary topic of polling on Deimos is how long it’ll take before it escapes Mars orbit.
Crisafulli is a Campbell Newman accolyte (like most of his cabinet).
He has broken many promises since taking office.
He gets a lot of cover from the Scurrilous Mail (our only significant newspaper in Queensland), one of the worst of the Rupertariat.
His personal business practices appear highly dodgy and he applies the same ethics and integrity in government.
As for Bleijie; he would be absolutely at home in Trump’s Cabinet.
LNP has not changed its spots, just a little better at media management and public messaging. Question is how long this will last given some of the low-lifes in his caucus.
Its way too early in the term to read much of anything into polls like this one. The Newman government was still riding high in the polls at this point in his government. Anything could happen in the next three and a bit years.
I do remain a bit perplexed that Miles is still leader. I like the guy personally and I think he was a much better premier than often given credit for, but he was clearly never very popular and, despite the apparent tightening during the 2024 campaign, ultimately he did lose the election by a sizeable margin. That rather embarrassing non-concession speech he gave on election night also did him no favours.
That said, there’s probably no harm in keeping him on as a seat-warmer while Crisafulli enjoys his honeymoon, but I think the opposition should definitely be looking into alternate leadership options well before 2028.
Miles is not a great guy. I’ve met him and he’s actually quite the opposite. He’s actually worse than he comes across in his interviews. The fact he’s still labor’s leader is concerning and I really hope they change him because having him as premier would not be great. Crisafulli needs a proper challenger.