It appears Roy Morgan may have resumed its weekly federal polling schedule, offering a new poll conducted last Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1522. This is consistent with its pre-election form and in contrast with its other two polls since the election, which had longer field work periods and bigger samples. The results, however, are much the same: Labor leads 57.5-42.5 on two-party preferred (56.5-43.5 when based on preference flows at the election rather than respondent allocation), in from 58-42 in last week’s result, from primary votes of Labor 36.5% (down one), Coalition 30.5% (down half) and Greens 12% (steady), although One Nation perks up two-and-a-half points to 8.5%.
The Torygraph drumming up some UK Labour leadershit …
‘Burnham’s defiance over benefits shows Starmer is doomed’
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/burnham-s-defiance-over-benefits-shows-starmer-is-doomed/ar-AA1HHmX7?ocid=winp2fptaskbar&cvid=1615eb7c91f44fae993b1c497e4169a3&ei=8
__________________________________________________________
Although with Starmer being so utterly useless a hail-Mary switch to Burnham in 2028 is probably Labour’s only chance (Burnham’s 3rd term as North West Mayor is up in ’28)
PHON looks like it’s the parking lot for the grumble vote. Other than that, this poll seems to show the electorate simply settling down again, closer to how it voted in the recent election.
From the previous thread:
Kronomex @ #1540 Monday, June 30th, 2025 – 10:18 pm
Ha ha. Sussan Ley is the leader of the Liberal Party and Opposition Leader and Pauline Hanson isn’t and just an irrelevant Cross Bench Senator. 😀
Ray(UK),
Good to see you!
I actually have a ‘women’s intuition’ opinion about Keir Starmer. I think he’s doing the big things right, like working to reinsert the UK into the EU, helping Ukraine, ameliorating the worst of Trump and dragging the UK out of the messes left behind by the Tories, but he’s just not great at the local politics and the vaudeville, as Paul Keating referred to it, which a prancing ponce like Farage is expert at and has the time to devote himself to. Honestly, from afar here I reckon that Rachel Reeves is the one who should go. All her instincts are wrong and it’s dragging Starmer down.
Weather Update
A “bomb cyclone” has now formed in the western Tasman Sea, and its intensification is showing signs of being even more explosive than initially forecast.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07-01/what-to-expect-bomb-cyclone-for-sydney-nsw-coast-weather/105478040
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml
Thanks for that Stoogey Lurker. Not! 😀
Being the first day of the month there is a heap of monthly NEM records. The main one being:
https://openelectricity.org.au/records/au.nem.battery_discharging.energy.month.high?datetime=2025-06-01T00_00_00&offset=10_00&focus=1748700000000
Note the jump from 91 GWh in May to 128 GWh in June.
SA & Vic. are the main contributors to the huge jump in battery discharge:
https://explore.openelectricity.org.au/energy/vic1/?range=1y&interval=1w&view=discrete-time&group=Detailed
https://explore.openelectricity.org.au/energy/sa1/?range=1y&interval=1w&view=discrete-time&group=Detailed
Interesting article on the extent of China’s growing dominance of green technologies versus the US pivot back to.fossil fuels.
In China, more wind turbines and solar panels were installed last year than in the rest of the world combined. And China’s clean energy boom is going global. Chinese companies are building electric vehicle and battery factories in Brazil, Thailand, Morocco, Hungary and beyond.
At the same time, in the United States, President Trump is pressing Japan and South Korea to invest “trillions of dollars” in a project to ship natural gas to Asia. And General Motors just killed plans to make electric motors at a factory near Buffalo, N.Y., and instead will put $888 million into building V-8 gasoline engines there.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/06/30/climate/china-clean-energy-power.html?unlocked_article_code=1.S08.vHiW.ljKjTTdnrniX&smid=url-share
China installed 93 GW of solar in May. The USA has 120 GW in total.
What’s happened to Boerwar?
America is fast becoming a stranded asset. Left behind by the rest of the world to live out its old white man fantasies.
Sweet Jebus
Weather forecast in NSW
Rain between 45 to 120 mm
Take care to those in the area
Weird, the women’s intuition I get from Keir is to leave the room quickly
Someone seems to be taking ‘direct action’ against fossil fuel transportation:
“Oil tanker damaged by blast weeks after visiting Russian ports, Bloomberg reports”
https://kyivindependent.com/oil-tanker-damaged-by-blast-weeks-after-visiting-russian-ports-bloomberg-reports/
@Ray (UK)
That’s all very well and good but the Torygraph ignores the fact that the party leader has to be an existing MP and not someone aspiring to be one – no matter how popular they maybe.
And there are specific rules for challenging a leader both the when and numbers required to initiate such a challenge.
And even if Starmer did resign the election rules are set down in the party rules agreed by annual conference.
There is no provision for fudging the nomination criteria like the Tories did when Truss was deposed and they set the MP nomination numbers so high only Sunak could meet them.
World News & Politics Patrol:
Canada transfers US$1.7bn in revenues from frozen Russian assets to Ukraine: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/06/30/7519499/
Pyongyang shows footage of North Korean soldiers killed in Ukraine for first time: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/06/30/7519525/
Russia reportedly closes Crimean Bridge amid explosions in Kerch: https://kyivindependent.com/crimean-bridge-closed-amid-reports-of-explosions-in-kerch-06-2025/
Iran Threatens to Flog Elon Musk’s Starlink Users: https://www.newsweek.com/iran-ban-starlink-elon-musk-spies-arrests-2092435
Netanyahu to head to Washington next Monday as Trump presses for a ceasefire in Gaza: https://apnews.com/article/trump-netanyahu-israel-hamas-iran-858db32968941012117dfb7d391e6f3c
Criminal investigation launched into Glastonbury performances of Kneecap and Bob Vylan: https://news.sky.com/story/criminal-investigation-launched-into-glastonbury-performances-of-kneecap-and-bob-vylan-13389603
The lead plaintiff in a legal case questioning the accuracy of the 2024 election, has submitted 15 pages of document requests as part of the discovery process: https://www.newsweek.com/2024-election-results-lawsuit-documents-2091077
Kristi Noem secretly accepted huge sum of money from mystery donor – then failed to declare it: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/kristi-noem-secret-donations-report-b2779655.html
Polls for Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ Are ‘Terrible, Terrible, Terrible’: https://www.thedailybeast.com/cnn-data-guru-harry-enten-reveals-unprecedented-hatred-for-president-donald-trumps-big-beautiful-bill/
The Trump administration has sued the City of Los Angeles for discriminating against federal immigration officers: https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-declares-war-on-los-angeles-following-ice-protests/
Trump Says Migrant Farmworkers May Get ‘Temporary Pass’: ‘I’m the Strongest Farmer Guy That There’s Ever Been’: https://www.latintimes.com/trump-says-migrant-farmworkers-may-get-temporary-pass-im-strongest-farmer-guy-that-theres-585848
DOJ announces plans to prioritize cases to revoke citizenship: https://www.npr.org/2025/06/30/nx-s1-5445398/denaturalization-trump-immigration-enforcement
Elon Musk promises to fund campaigns against Republicans who vote for Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful’ bill: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/elon-musk-trump-bill-senate-vote-b2779905.html
Trump’s justice department issues directive to strip naturalized Americans of citizenship for criminal offenses: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/30/trump-birthright-citizenship-naturalized-citizens
Supreme Court throws out appellate rulings in favor of transgender people in 4 states: https://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/supreme-court-throws-appellate-rulings-favor-transgender-people-123339680
Denmark to draft women into army amid growing Russian aggression, military expansion: https://www.cbc.ca/news/denmark-women-conscription-1.7574028
Elon Musk on twitter
Every member of Congress who campaigned on reducing government spending and then immediately voted for the biggest debt increase in history should hang their head in shame!
And they will lose their primary next year if it is the last thing I do on this Earth.
Thank you Holden!!
I would take Musk’s threats more seriously, if he just spilt all the beans.
Cos I’m sure he knows stuff that can sink Trump and co.
Morning all. Thanks for the International roundup HH. There is still a real threat Trump will crash the US economy thanks to tariffs and inflation. The risk of that crashing the world economy is less than it would have been before, but not zero.
That being said, the local economic news is good. With inflation and interest rates down, wages up and super going up, things are looking good. The only problem is stopping further house price increases for the young.
Keating is flat wrong to say every new worker will retire with $3 million in super. This assumes an average 22 year old starting wage of $98000(!). The super $3m tax deduction cap reform is a good one, and needed.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jun/30/paul-keating-says-young-australians-are-guaranteed-to-have-3m-in-super-by-retirement-but-not-everyone-agrees
Bean @ #14 Tuesday, July 1st, 2025 – 7:22 am
It looks to me like the problem lies with you.
Victoria @ #18 Tuesday, July 1st, 2025 – 8:09 am
It might be the last thing he does if Trump’s mob has anything to do with it.
The Trump administration has sued the City of Los Angeles for discriminating against federal immigration officers: https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-declares-war-on-los-angeles-following-ice-protests/
This is laughable but needs to be taken seriously by Gavin Newsome.
Dozens of Israeli settlers rampaged around a military base in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, setting fires, vandalizing military vehicles, spraying graffiti and attacking soldiers, the military said.
Sunday night’s unrest came after several attacks in the West Bank carried out by Jewish settlers and anger at their arrests by security forces attempting to contain the violence over the past few days.
More than 100 settlers on Wednesday evening entered the West Bank town of Kfar Malik, setting property ablaze and opening fire on Palestinians who tried to stop them, Najeb Rostom, head of the local council, said. Three Palestinians were killed after the military intervened. Israeli security forces arrested five settlers.
https://apnews.com/article/israel-west-bank-violence-bengvir-f455273300795d29a150254855136a5b
Elon Musk might need to avoid standing near windows…
#weatheronPB
With the sun’s return,
the air dances to its tune,
swaying with the breeze.
First Peoples’ Assembly set to become permanent voice to Victorian parliament with crossbench support
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jul/01/first-peoples-assembly-set-to-become-permanent-voice-to-victorian-parliament-with-crossbench-support
“Victoria will have a permanent Indigenous voice to state parliament, with the progressive crossbench throwing their support behind a plan to allow the First Peoples’ Assembly’s work to continue following treaty.
Guardian Australia understands the Victorian government will introduce a treaty bill to parliament later this year, which will formalise the First Peoples’ Assembly of Victoria as an advisory body.
According to a senior government source not authorised to speak publicly about the bill, it will see the assembly renamed and granted statutory powers in relation to matters affecting Aboriginal Victorians.
:::
While the Greens, Animal Justice party and Legalise Cannabis are yet to see the bill, they have told Guardian Australia they support the assembly having a permanent role. This would give the government the numbers it needs for the bill to pass the upper house.
:::
Enshrining the assembly in law as a permanent body would bring Victoria in line with South Australia, which became the first state to have an Indigenous voice to parliament in 2023.”
BOMB CYCLONE.
Tassie seems totally divided. The Demos poll is very bad for Labor.
https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/
Bean: “the women’s intuition I get ”
If you had any insight you’d realise how destructive statements like that are.
On twitter
Elon Musk says that if the GOP budget bill passes, he will form a new political party called the “America Party” the very next day.
”
C@tmommasays:
Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 6:02 am
From the previous thread:
Kronomex @ #1540 Monday, June 30th, 2025 – 10:18 pm
I see the thing that is Pauline Hanson has slimed her way out of her dank cavern.
https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/one-nation-leader-pauline-hanson-disgusted-by-sussan-leys-acknowledged-of-country-speech/news-story/c2b8d6b8906e54e74c6b47182b7b3c9c
Ha ha. Sussan Ley is the leader of the Liberal Party and Opposition Leader and Pauline Hanson isn’t and just an irrelevant Cross Bench Senator.
”
Pauline Hanson is not an irrelevant Cross bench senator. Even though she did not campaign in May election, 3 PHON Senators are elected. Senate has 4 PHON Senators and alongwith Ralph babbit will not vote for any ALP government legislation.
Pi please elaborate. My comment comes from his association with odious ghouls like Peter Mandelson
What has happened to the Sydney Morning Herald? It has become utterly obsessed with conducting witch hunts: against Maurice Terzini of Bondi Icebergs, the Merivale empire, some nonentity on the Nimitabel Council, etc, etc.
Conservative though it was for much of its history, the SMH had broadsheet values and tried to focus on the big issues of the day. Now it’s rapidly moving into ACA/Daily Mail territory. It clearly thinks that this is where it will get lots of clicks, but it’s rarely a good idea for highbrow institutions to nosedive into the mucky world of the lowbrow.
I’m sure most posters won’t care, but I find it a bit sad.
“women’s intuition” as a contextless political insult makes people trust women less. It’s substituting “i don’t like him” with “women don’t like him” except you don’t speak for women, and you’ve inserted a discriminatory element, and provided ammunition to anti-women arguments. Those statements make it harder for women to be heard, and easy for people to dismiss them. Totally self-inflicted.
”
Sprocket_says:
Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 6:54 am
Interesting article on the extent of China’s growing dominance of green technologies versus the US pivot back to.fossil fuels.
In China, more wind turbines and solar panels were installed last year than in the rest of the world combined. And China’s clean energy boom is going global. Chinese companies are building electric vehicle and battery factories in Brazil, Thailand, Morocco, Hungary and beyond.
At the same time, in the United States, President Trump is pressing Japan and South Korea to invest “trillions of dollars” in a project to ship natural gas to Asia. And General Motors just killed plans to make electric motors at a factory near Buffalo, N.Y., and instead will put $888 million into building V-8 gasoline engines there.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/06/30/climate/china-clean-energy-power.html?unlocked_article_code=1.S08.vHiW.ljKjTTdnrniX&smid=url-share
”
Although PB Chinese bashers will not like it, Chinese government and people are more smart about their future than USA people.
In Australian energy news:
+ “Shortfalls in southern states and reliance on Queensland gas is compounded by uncompetitive market structures. Upstream gas markets remain highly concentrated and dominated by the Queensland LNG producers and their associates, who control over 90% of east coast reserves. The decisions they make about exports and development of their reserves are key drivers of domestic supply adequacy, competition, and market outcomes.” – ACCC Gas Inquiry 2017-2030: Interim update on east coast gas market
The ACCC make comments like this every year it seems. If the market has an uncompetitive structure maybe they should do something about it.
+ Apparently, it’s Energy Independence Day, due to the start of the federal $2.3 billion Cheaper Home Batteries Program:
https://www.dcceew.gov.au/energy/programs/cheaper-home-batteries
“With the right policy, technology and consumer support, Energy Independence Day marks the commencement of Australia’s home battery revolution … Home batteries are no longer unaffordable – with the new rebates and no-interest loans they are now driving energy independence and lowering household costs.” – Clean Energy Council GM Distributed Energy Con Hristodoulidis
+ The Key Apprenticeship Program starts today:
https://www.apprenticeships.gov.au/key-apprenticeship-program
“And we know that it works, because our New Energy Apprenticeship incentive has already seen 11,000 people go into the new energy sector, making sure that they can help deliver the shift to renewables, making sure as well that they will have good, secure jobs going forward,” Prime Minister Anthony Albanese told reporters in Canberra.
+ State-owned green bank the NSW Energy Security Corporation (ESC) officially opened for business with $1 billion of funding for investment in large-scale storage and enabling assets:
https://www.energy.nsw.gov.au/news/energy-security-corporation-open-business-1-billion-accelerate-key-energy-projects
Edit: Meanwhile, the media continue their obsession with Albo meeting Trump, maybe with the help of Gina.
Starmer and Reeves are both the problem.
The buck stops with the PM and also, when a lot of the problems are economic, the Chancellor.
Hi Meher Baba
I wouldn’t call this type of investigative journalism a witch hunt.
This type of alleged behaviour in any organisation should be exposed, particularly in powerful organisations that may have influence or control over the relevant authorities.
Good to see the SMH having the guts to go over these entities, and they wouldn’t be doing so unless they felt the cases were legally sound.
Well, it’s easy to know what Stefanovic & Abo were attempting here:
[‘Albanese’s audio dropped out at a convenient moment on Nine’s Today show when host Karl Stefanovic put to him that Trump had disrespected the prime minister by failing to find time to meet with him, despite Australia’s history as a steadfast US ally.
Stefanovic suggested the prime minister tell Trump to “bugger off” but Albanese did not respond, saying his audio had failed.
When co-host Sarah Abo repeated the question, Albanese disagreed with the premise.
“No [I do not feel insulted] at all,” Albanese said. He said he respected Trump and the president had repaid that.
“He’s been respectful of me as well,” he said, citing the president’s call to congratulate him after his election win.’] – SMH
These types of antics will continue until the King gives Albanese an audience, and that won’t happen until the Rudd problem is sorted.
In cute mammal news:
https://theconversation.com/australias-cutest-mammal-is-now-australias-cutest-three-mammals-260006
“Australia still has many small mammal species that haven’t been formally described. Unless we identify and name them, they remain invisible in conservation policy.”
Mavis @ #41 Tuesday, July 1st, 2025 – 9:30 am
Hahaha I love that
Bow your head lower Mavis. You have to touch your forehead to the muck so that they know you really mean it. Bonus points for kissing the feet.
Fair enough Pi. He just seems like a creep and I find him creepy because he hangs out with a bunch of creeps. I’ll just say that next time instead of trying to make a joke of it.
”
Stoogey Lurkersays:
Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 6:57 am
China installed 93 GW of solar in May. The USA has 120 GW in total.
”
The world is cooked not because of China but because of USA.
”
Stoogey Lurkersays:
Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 6:33 am
Being the first day of the month there is a heap of monthly NEM records. The main one being:
https://openelectricity.org.au/records/au.nem.battery_discharging.energy.month.high?datetime=2025-06-01T00_00_00&offset=10_00&focus=1748700000000
Note the jump from 91 GWh in May to 128 GWh in June.
”
SL
Does that mean more Australians, especially good people of SA and Vic, are using batteries than before for their electricity consumption?
meher baba @ 9.09am
Fully agree.
Although there were important principles at stake, I too thought that two double page spreads was way too much overkill and more important issues were ignored.
Hopefully, todays’ SMH will be highlighting the significant reforms which take effect for the majority of all Australians.
I read Pegasus’ comment, yesterday, regarding the National Wage Case and what it considered to be a poor outcome.
It is common for all parties to such matters to set an arbitrary claim.
The Unions/ workers advocates set an amount, usually greater than what they expect to be awarded.
The Employers set a lower amount.
The court makes a determination, usually, but not always about the mid-point.
I’m off to purchase my SMH, now!
”
C@tmommasays:
Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 7:07 am
America is fast becoming a stranded asset. Left behind by the rest of the world to live out its old white man fantasies.
”
C@tmomma
If America is only cooked because of America’s actions then they are facing consequences for their actions. But that is not the case. Since, America releases world’s 25% carbon emissions, it is cooking the world in the process.
Stoogey Lurker @9:38, been lucky enough to have handled one of them many years ago but I reckon that numbats are cuter.