JWS Research has published a post-federal election survey report along the same lines of a similar effort after the 2022 election, conducted May 6 to 8 from a sample of 1000. Key findings:
• Labor did distinctly better among those who voted early (encompassing postal as well as pre-poll voters), with 42% of those aged 65 and over but only 20% of those aged 18 to 34 reporting having voted more than a week out from election day, with a respective 25% and 47% voting on election day itself.
• Labor did much better among late deciders: 26% of Coalition voters said they always voted that way with only 10% saying they decided on the day they voted, whereas the respective figures for Labor voters were 17% and 16%. Of those who decided in the final week of the campaign, 39% voted Labor and 23% Coalition, compared with 38% and 30% in 2022.
• Forty-three per cent reported being at least party guided by how-to-vote cards (47% of Labor voters, 50% of Coalition and 32% of Greens), down from 49% in 2022, with 56% saying they made up their own mind (52% Coalition, 49% Labor and 65% Greens), up from 49%.
• Forty-nine per cent of Labor voters identified a favourable view of the party as the main motivation for their choice, followed by 23% for the leader, 18% for policies or issues and 7% for the local candidate. Among Coalition voters, 56% named the party, 20% policies or issues, 13% the local candidate and only 9% the leader.
• Eighty-three per cent found it easy to fill the lower house ballot paper compared with 8% for difficult, while 61% rated Senate voting easy and 22% difficult.
• Sixty-three per cent reckoned the election campaign important, up from 56% in 2022, compared with 16% for not important, down from 15%.
• Labor’s campaign was rated more positively than the Coalition measure on 11 of 12 measures, the exception being “a source of false/misleading information”, for which both scored 30%. The two most emphatic results both related to Trumpet of Patriots, whose campaign was rated “annoying” by 57% and a source of false/misleading information by 40%.
The Lowy Institute has published the full report of its annual survey of attitudes to foreign policy, conducted from March 3 to 16 from a sample of 2117. A taster was provided early in the election campaign in the shape of a question on which leader would be more competent at handling foreign policy, on which Anthony Albanese led Peter Dutton 41% to 29%.
The survey finds trust in the United States to act responsibly in the world at 36%, down 20 points on last year and by far the worst result going back to 2006 (the previous low being 51% in the last year if the first Trump presidency). Eighty per cent nonetheless continue to hold that the US alliance is important to Australia’s security, down three on last year; 57% say Australia should remain close to the US rather than distance itself, down seven, and 63% hold that the US would come to Australia’s aid if it were attacked. Support for the AUKUS nuclear submarines plan was effectively unchanged on last year, with 67% in favour and 32% opposed. While an even 49% supported and opposed Trump’s demands that US allies spend more on defence, opinion of seven other keynote Trump policies was negative, with mass deportations of undocumented immigrants at the low end (42% support, 56% oppose) and tariffs (18% support, 81% oppose) and pressuring Denmark over Greenland (10% support, 89% oppose) rating worst.
A regular question on whether China should be viewed more as an economic partner than a security threat produced a net positive result for the first time since 2020, with respective results of 50% and 47%. Nonetheless, 69% believed China will become a military threat to Australia in the next 20 years, down two from last year, 56% believed it would be the most powerful country in ten, compared with 27% holding out for the United States. An even 45% considered Trump and Xi Jinping the “more reliable partner for Australia”. Japan scored highest out of eight major countries as trusted to act responsibly in the world, at 90%, with China on 20% and Russia 11%. A “confidence in world leaders” question had the leaders of Australia, New Zealand, France, Japan, the United Kingdom and Ukraine rated positively by between 59% and 63%; Peter Dutton doing a good deal worse at 41% and 52%; and only Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un rating worse than Donald Trump.
Upnorthsays: Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 11:10 am
I’ll be there with bells on mate. Looking forward to meeting you. I’m not doing any nudie runs though given the above described temperatures!
~~~~~~~~~~
No nudie runs guaranteed! See you then.
Nathan says:
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 2:13 pm
Upnorthsays: Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 11:10 am
I’ll be there with bells on mate. Looking forward to meeting you. I’m not doing any nudie runs though given the above described temperatures!
~~~~~~~~~~
No nudie runs guaranteed! See you then.
中华人民共和国
Thanks cobber. Heading off to the airport now. Brisvegas tomorrow Sydney Town the day after. Stay safe Bludgers and hope and pray for some polling!
I guess Trump’s mission accomplished was a little premature
——-
Ballistic missile launches now by Iran against Central Israel, the sixth wave in the last few hours, and the first in violation of the ceasefire time set by U.S. President Trump.
The middle east is so culturally different to us.
Radical Muslims & radical zionists are only part of the story.
Change must come from or start from within.
But look at the US, a democratic nation culturally the same & our ally.
They’re locking up lawyers, judges, journos,women & children & sending people to foreign gulags destroying anyone who disagrees.
They are destroying health, education. Professors are fleeing to Canada.
The WH has been captured by project 2025. Bloody religious hypocrites telling us God chose Trump. Miller inciting MAGA to go vigilante on people who speak out.
They want to take womens rights away. The belief is that women in the home & are chattels & on & on it goes.
This is the US president,a felon guilty of sexual assault & his sycophants who treats US allies like shit & we need to follow him?
He once stood up & said we & others would kiss his ass & blow me down he was right.
Another wave incoming to Israel.
Tehran State Media reporting that was the last round before the Ceasefire comes into effect.
One wonders if Israel is going to respond after the latest hits and deaths.
Maybe the ceasefire is just between Iran and USA.
Victoriasays:
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 2:22 pm
I guess Trump’s mission accomplished was a little premature
——-
Ballistic missile launches now by Iran against Central Israel, the sixth wave in the last few hours, and the first in violation of the ceasefire time set by U.S. President Trump.
================================================================
It takes more than 15 minutes for missiles from Iran to reach Israel and it is there firing time and not there impact time. That the cease fire agreement wording probably specifies, no missiles fired after 2pm AEST. Shahed drones are quite slow so any of those fired just before 2pm AEST could still be coming.
The AEC has published preference flow data from the election:
https://results.aec.gov.au/31496/Website/HouseDefault-31496.htm
Turns out pollsters were right to juice up One Nation’s flow to the Coalition, which went from 64.3% to 74.5%. But they hadn’t reckoned on a new record Greens flow to Labor of 88.2%, up from 85.7%.
Iran just launched another missile barrage at Israel, 15 minutes after Trump’s “ceasefire” was supposed to go into effect.
Holdenhillbillysays:
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 2:37 pm
Iran just launched another missile barrage at Israel, 15 minutes after Trump’s “ceasefire” was supposed to go into effect.
===========================================================
Did they hit Israel 15 minutes after the cease fire time or were they launched then? If the former they could still have been fired before the cease fire.
Never pass up a chance to self quote.
Iranian media reports ceasefire with Israel is now in effect.
They have become law unto themselves.
When 6 people were picked up by unidentified masked people at Pasadena, California, bus stop, and a bystander tried to take a photo of the license plate of the car in which those people where wisked away, the unidentified masked person came out of the car and pointed a gun at the bystander.
Apparently Trump’s ceasefire wasn’t exactly true!
There was no agreed ceasefire.
Well knock me down with a feather.
The pathological liar strikes again.
Maybe the IRGC don’t subscribe to Truth Social?
“Another wave incoming to Israel.
Tehran State Media reporting that was the last round before the Ceasefire comes into effect. ”
From my reading it was a wierd arrangement for a ceasefire. Somebody correct me if i am mistaken.
Is seems that the Iranians were committed to ceasefire first, and then 6 or 12 hrs later the Israelis ceasefire?
Which to me means that the Iranians hold fire while the Israelis pound away at them for another few hours. Which they will do because they can and they are as much arseholes as the Iranians.
Strange thing to call peace, and its all probably not being helped by the Orange One tweeting all about how the Iranians gave notice of their retaliatory strike on that US base.
Trump should probably just shut the fuck up for a change and let things settle, but no, he cant help himself, has to have a pointless dig that will make like uncomfortable for the Iranians.
Now the ceasefire is in stages.
“This comes after US President Donald Trump said Israel and Iran have agreed to a truce to bring an end to what he called the “12-day war”. The ceasefire will take place in stages, he said.”
This stupid president is giving different messages to different audiences.
What a cluster f**k!
Russian state tv pissing themselves mocking Trump.
Yup, there is actually some confusion as to whether there is a ceasfire arrangment or not.
So, just because Trump announces something doesn’t mean that it is in any way true. Next few hours will tell I guess, and a lot of what comes out of the US will be spin to try and make Trump look better than the moron he is. 🙁
@Dee:
“Russian state tv pissing themselves mocking Trump.”
Odd thing to be watching, Russian state propaganda. You do you though.
Both Iranian and Israeli TV saying ceasefire. Whatever the timing was actually meant to be it all seems to be settling down now.
Some people here really need to get a grip. I sense a lot of disappointment at the ceasefire because predictions of an invasion and World War 3 etc etc haven’t come true.
@Entropy:
“What Iranians and their messaging?”
FFS Entropy, it’s been in the thread, it’s on the Guardian, it’s on CNN, any news site you like, do some reading. Statements from the Iranian foreign minister.
Arky
It wasn’t propaganda…they were mocking Trumps Poles, the interview on the WH lawn & the bombing of Iran & it has been reported by news outlets.
Arky
If you listen to PoxNews in the US its all propaganda. No different to Russian state tv.
Just saying!
Is Hastie starting to think outside the box?
– Aunty
Bonza @ #2235 Tuesday, June 24th, 2025 – 1:23 pm
I’ve been following it as well. However, if he wins then the Repugs have some golden Anti Democratic Party advertising lined up and ready to go in 2026, and probably beyond:
Mamdani supporting a 3rd Intifada. In a city with the largest Jewish population outside of Israel which has been a stalwart for the Democratic Party up till now. Hmm.
imacca @ #2267 Tuesday, June 24th, 2025 – 3:09 pm
He’s as useful as tits on a bull. All he’s doing is angling for the Nobel Peace Prize so he can one-up Obama, the total waste of political space that he is.
This is one of the down sides of lying all the time, anything Trump says is unverifiable and worthless, but still have to be taken seriously because that’s what his MAGA orcs believe to be true.
I thought this was interesting.
Sometimes the mental imagery we form from the news is very different to reality.
https://youtu.be/HOFHCyfrJ9M?si=tmnnoVptE8fFNQ-B
I guess this was just another hollow victory to try and make Trump look good. But in reality Iran will continue on the path of getting nukes more than ever before. Mainly so they can get Israel\US off there backs.
How do we square the narrative for a supposed evil regime above anything else, when we look at their response to being attacked as best described as charade more then anything else, including prewarning the US about it… gee how evil is that!
We are suppose to believe they are gonna drop a Nuke on Israel if they had the chance, yet they are way too afraid to piss off the US in reality, let alone Russia and China.
Gaslighting at its finest!
@Entropy: The Iranians in their messaging said 4am Tehran time,
@Entropy:
“What Iranians and their messaging?”
FFS Entropy, it’s been in the thread, it’s on the Guardian, it’s on CNN, any news site you like, do some reading. Statements from the Iranian foreign minister.
=================================================================
How should I know that when you say Iranians and their messaging who or what you exactly mean?
Why not link the news source?
I linked my news source for my claim that Trump had the cease firing of missiles to occur at 2pm AEST.
Is Hastie trying to think outside the box? Is he trying to think?
There’s ample room for the LNP to find a position on all manner of things that distance themselves from the mainstream centrist voter. On Defence, that would be a position that abandoned the past policy of bipartite agreement, and that demanded a vocal and extreme position on all manner of things.
Hastie is probably the right man for this kinda stuff. I wish him and the LNP well.
@Dee: “If you listen to PoxNews in the US its all propaganda. No different to Russian state tv.
Just saying!”
I don’t listen to Murdoch propaganda either.
@Nick: “But in reality Iran will continue on the path of getting nukes more than ever before”. We’ll see.
For the first three weeks of June, before the US bombing of the Iranian nuclear sites on the weekend, the ALP on 58% maintained a large two-party preferred lead over the L-NP Coalition on 42% on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds.
In the first three weeks of June primary support for the ALP was at 37.5% (up 0.5% since May) and is clearly ahead of the Liberal-National Coalition on 31% (unchanged).
Support for the Greens increased 0.5% to 12% and support for One Nation was unchanged at 6%. In addition, support for Independents/Other Parties was at 13.5% (down 1%).
https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9921-federal-voting-intention-june-24-2025
Luigi Smithsays:
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 4:12 pm
Is Hastie trying to think outside the box? Is he trying to think?
=================================================================
Has any politician entered politics with a worse performance in their previous job then Hastie?
He was in command of troops who ran amok and he knew nothing about any of it. A spectacular failure for anyone in any position of authority.
Yep, totally imagined the Iranian religious police murdering this beautiful woman in…checks notes…2022:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/7/71/Mahsa_Amini.jpeg/280px-Mahsa_Amini.jpeg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_of_Mahsa_Amini
C@tmommasays:
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 4:22 pm
Yep, totally imagined the Iranian religious police murdering this beautiful woman in…checks notes…2022:
============================================================
Iran and Israel are both nasty regimes. Both have committed horrendous crimes against women and children.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Hind_Rajab
Netanyahu says his country achieved goal of ‘removing Iranian nuclear and ballistic missile threat’
The whole point of having a rules-based world order is to ensure even the strongest nations must curb the exercise of their power over others. By doing so, weaker nations can see there is value in complying with the rules.
Trump by his criminal convictions shows he has no regard to rules. By his actions internationally, in respect of punitive tariffs and unlawful bombing of Iran, he demonstrates that international rules and norms are irrelevant to him whenever it suits him.
For these reasons we in Australia should accept that any alliance, arrangement or agreement with the USA is worthless. How long we should pretend things are otherwise really depends on our gullibility and our gumption.
A “ceasefire “ with Iran is irrelevant since there are no applicable norms to regulate its breach, other than the rule of the more powerful.
William Bowe, Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 2:33 pm:
Thank you, William.
There’s a strange 1.44% of voters who went:
1. Green
…
Coalition
…
Labor
…
newy boy many of those people are posters on this site.
Legal threat could block Pesutto’s $1.55m loan and end his political career
https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victoria/a-group-of-liberals-argue-the-loan-to-john-pesutto-was-invalid-and-made-in-breach-of-party-rules/news-story/aa18c699b4d565c6238c0851f72ca3ab
Another Netanyahu atrocity:
“21 people killed in Gaza Strip while waiting for aid”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/jun/24/israel-iran-war-live-updates-trump-declares-ceasefire-tehran-attack-us-base-qatar
How much more of this will we tolerate?
Newy: “There’s a strange 1.44% of voters ”
Some seem strangely familiar.
Holdenhillbillysays:
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 4:30 pm
Netanyahu says his country achieved goal of ‘removing Iranian nuclear and ballistic missile threat’
=========================================================
Which is what Trump and his acolytes are saying too. Maybe it is true or maybe it is not? If it is not true and Iran’s underground facility is still intake. Iran can proceed without any hinderance now. As both USA and Israel says the facility is destroyed and they are not going to do anything that contradicts that. So not going to demand UN inspections of it.
Omar Comin’, Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 4:39 pm:
Fancy that! 😉
I hope none of them feel too embarrassed at how miniscule a part of the electorate their views represent.
Pi, Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 4:42 pm:
I wonder who you could mean? 😉
Henry Kissinger got the Noble Peace Prize in 1973 for ending the Vietnam War…. Which is bit strange because Saigon fell in 1975.
‘Entropy says:
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 4:22 pm
Luigi Smithsays:
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 4:12 pm
Is Hastie trying to think outside the box? Is he trying to think?
=================================================================
Has any politician entered politics with a worse performance in their previous job then Hastie?
He was in command of troops who ran amok and he knew nothing about any of it. A spectacular failure for anyone in any position of authority.’
====================
Mixed message from the brass resulted directly in troops cutting fingers off dead enemy casualties. I assume the thought would have been to collate vast amounts of data based on fingerprints and DNA analyses. Why, I don’t know, but clearly there was some sort of garbled direction. Collect that stuff.
When Hastie found out about it he put a stop to it straight away.
Hastie has plenty of real shortcomings. His command response in that instance was not one of them.
William Bowesays: Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 2:33 pm…
The AEC has published preference flow data from the election:
https://results.aec.gov.au/31496/Website/HouseDefault-31496.htm
“Turns out pollsters were right to juice up One Nation’s flow to the Coalition, which went from 64.3% to 74.5%. But they hadn’t reckoned on a new record Greens flow to Labor of 88.2%, up from 85.7%”
Thankyou William.
Greens to ALP preference flow was 93% plus in Dickson, but only around 83%-84% in Longman and Bowman.
Will the age and sun be able to convince us it should have cost no money.
Will they pretend it never happened?
Metro tunnel trail.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=coKAqXB_Jqk
Iran’s leadership is shit but so is Israel, the US, Russia, North Korea, China & so on…