Three new national polls to report. Known unknowns include a big sample DemosAU poll that should be along later today, and the inevitable one-last-Newspoll.
• YouGov has a third and final MRP poll, constructing demographically based estimates for all 150 seats off an impressive sample of 35,185, conducted from April 1 to 29. This maintains the pollster’s recent form of strong results for Labor – and, perhaps more to the point, weak for the Coalition ” offering a median projection of 84 seats with the Coalition on just 47, the Greens on three, and 16 for independents and others. Projected Labor gains are Banks, Bonner, Braddon, Menzies, Moore and Sturt from the Liberals and Brisbane from the Greens, while the Coalition is further projected to lose Bradfield, Calare, Cowper and Wannon to independents. A detailed display allows for results to be explored at seat level. The national voting intention results are Labor 31.4%, Coalition 31.1%, Greens 12.6%, One Nation 9.3%, independents 8.1% and others 7.6%, with Labor leading 52.9-47.1 on two-party preferred.
• The final Freshwater Strategy poll for the Financial Review credits Labor with a two-party lead of 51.5-48.5, out from 50-50 in its mid-campaign poll, the first lead for Labor in this series since March last year. The primary votes are Labor 33% (up one), Coalition 37% (down two) and Greens 12% (steady). Leadership ratings are particularly encouraging for Labor, with Anthony Albanese up four on approval to 41% and down four on disapproval to 44%, Peter Dutton down one to 35% and up four to 51%, and Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister out from 46-41 to 49-39. The poll was conducted Tuesday to Thursday from a sample of 2055, which is nearly twice as big as usual.
• The new online regional news publisher The Gazette has a second DemosAU national poll for the week, recording a two-party lead for Labor of 51-49, compared with 52-48 for the first. The primary votes are Labor 29%, Coalition 32%, Greens 12% and One Nation 9%, as compared with 29%, 31%, 14% and 9% in the earlier poll. It was conducted Sunday to Tuesday from a sample of 1974.
There remains the small matter of how accurate all this will prove to be, and the fresh memory of a general failure in 2019 that was in fact nothing special by international standards. The question of whether this was an aberration in a long-term record of strong performance by the Australian polling industry gets a negative answer from political scientist Luke Mansillo, who has been behind an aggregation model for The Guardian that long appeared quixotic in indicating a Labor primary vote in the high twenties, below what any individual poll was saying. The latter continues to be the case with its current central estimate of 30%, but its two-party preferred measure now has an eminently believable central estimate of 51.5-48.5 in Labor’s favour.
A sense of why such a model should be so bearish with respect to Labor can be gained by comparing final week polling for the most recent elections federally and for the five mainland states with the actual results. The table below goes into detail for two pollsters who have covered enough state elections to make them worth the effort, followed by all final week polls combined for each election (no row is featured for South Australia as the only such poll was the Newspoll).
| ALP TPP | ALP | L-NP | GRN | |
| Newspoll | ||||
| WA 2025 | +0.4 | +2.6 | +0.8 | -1.1 |
| Qld 2024 | +1.3 | +0.4 | +0.5 | +1.1 |
| NSW 2023 | +0.2 | +1.0 | -0.4 | +1.3 |
| Vic 2022 | -0.5 | +1.3 | -2.0 | +0.5 |
| Fed 2022 | +0.9 | +3.4 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| SA 2022 | -0.6 | +1.0 | +2.3 | -0.1 |
| Average | +0.3 | +1.6 | +0.1 | +0.2 |
| Resolve Strategic | ||||
| NSW 2023 | +1.0 | +2.6 | -1.7 | |
| Vic 2022 | -0.5 | +1.3 | -1.4 | |
| Fed 2022 | -1.3 | -1.3 | +1.2 | |
| Average | -0.3 | +0.9 | -0.6 | |
| All polls | ||||
| WA 2025 (2) | +0.1 | +2.1 | +1.3 | -0.6 |
| Qld 2024 (2) | +2.1 | +0.7 | -0.9 | +2.1 |
| NSW 2023 (3) | -0.5 | +0.7 | +1.3 | -0.0 |
| Vic 2022 (3) | -0.9 | +0.7 | -0.9 | +0.0 |
| Fed 2022 (5) | +0.2 | +2.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| Average (16) | +0.1 | +1.5 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
Thirteen of the sixteen polls covered here overestimated the Labor primary vote, but these errors have tended to be obscured by weaker readings for Labor on two-party preferred, which have shown no bias one way or the other. This was notably the case at the 2022 federal election, at which the last polls by Newspoll and Ipsos both had Labor on 36% – well clear of an actual result of 32.6% – but did well enough in recording two-party preferred at 53-47, compared with an election result of 52.1-47.9. The suggestion of pollsters under-estimating preference flows to Labor is at odds with an emerging narrative about tomorrow’s election that was covered here in depth yesterday.
My own BludgerTrack aggregate, which was given the seal of approval of Laura Tingle of the ABC on 7:30 last night, abandoned the notion of correcting for past observed bias after 2019, and now presumes only to offer a snapshot of what the polls are saying, warts and all. Adjustments are made, but their aim is to reduce distinctions between, on the one hand, Pyxis Polling and YouGov – both of which have had charge of Newspoll at different points throughout the past three years – and the various other pollsters. In two-party terms, these adjustments amount to about three-quarters of a point in Labor’s favour for Freshwater Strategy and half a point for Resolve Strategic, and about a third of a point in the Coalition’s favour for RedBridge Group.
As the table shows, correcting BludgerTrack for the general pattern of errors over the past few years would essentially involve moving about 1.5% from Labor to the “others” column. To extrapolate that to various estimates that were discussed in yesterday’s post on the subject, that would reduce Labor from its present 53.0-47.0 lead in BludgerTrack to 52.3-47.7 based on 2022 election preference flows; to 51.7-48.3 on YouGov’s current preference model; and to 51.9-48.1 on what I take Newspoll to be doing. The latter two are a fairly comfortable fit for what The Guardian’s model says. Then there is what I described yesterday as the “maximal” model, which accommodates what some observes take to be an historic blowout in the share of preferences the Coalition is about to receive from right-wing parties. This tips the balance all the way to 50.4-49.6 in favour of the Coalition by giving them 80% of a 7.9% One Nation vote and nearly as much of Trumpet of Patriots’ 3.5%.
HoldenHillbilly:
“Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk
Next Liberal Leader (after Dutton) betting:
Angus Taylor $1.83
Dan Tehan $6.00
Sussan Ley $6.00
Andrew Hastie $9.50
David Coleman $12.00
Michael Sukkar $15.00
Melissa McIntosh $34.00
Ted O’Brien $34.00
Angie Bell $36.00”
Their best bet would be a cleanskin who clearly leans towards the centre. I think they will see Taylor as possessing these qualities to a certain extent, but he’s such a goof.
Coleman is both a moderate and a relative cleanskin. But there is the question of that year that he took off for personal reasons which, as far as I know, he has never publicly disclosed. I would think that, for him to become LOTO, he would need to explain what this was all about. (I can conceive of arguments as why he shouldn’t have to do so, but I think they are untenable for a would-be political leader.) It’s impossible to know whether or not he would be prepared to do this.
Hastie would also be able to present himself as a cleanskin, but his reputation is far from that of a moderate. But he strikes me as being reasonably smart and therefore should be adaptable, so he might be able to reinvent himself as a parishioner of a broad church. Whatever you or I might want to say about the bloke, he knows how to present his case well in an interview: far more so than, for instance, one Mr P Dutton. But I would think he needs more time to work on expanding his base of support beyond the religious right. If he works on this, and the Libs lose in 2028, I reckon he might pop up.
I refuse to believe that they would ever pick either of Tehan (assuming he even holds onto his seat) or Ley.
Sukkar or O’Brien would be farcical choices, who would be unlikely to survive until the next election.
I know absolutely nothing about McIntosh or Bell. If one of them is not a religious nutter, then I reckon it would be a great idea to go with one of them. A moderate female leader other than Sussan Ley would be a terrific idea.
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk
Next Liberal Leader (after Dutton) betting:
Angus Taylor $1.83
Dan Tehan $6.00
Sussan Ley $6.00
Andrew Hastie $9.50
David Coleman $12.00
Michael Sukkar $15.00
Melissa McIntosh $34.00
Ted O’Brien $34.00
Angie Bell $36.00
___________
HH
Hardly a stellar field! There is no hope with this lot.
> Not quite true. The boss has the Coalition on 50.4 if their embrace of Pauline pays off. Pray it isn’t so.
Not sure they can get enough seats even then? Don’t they need more than that to get across the Teal line?
“The Australian can reveal that despite the Liberals and Nationals falling behind the ALP in national polls, Coalition campaign headquarters believes it can win as many as 10 seats from Labor, three seats from teal independents and one from the Greens.”
Tell ‘em they’re dreamin’!
“The boss has the Coalition on 50.4 if their embrace of Pauline pays off.”
=================================================
It “could”
happen. Smart to cover all bases.
Regarding freshwater. I assume they would want their last poll to be accurate.
It’s interesting that their final poll shows a drift toward the alp .
The caveat which seems to have been made about where preference flows will to – especially the PH mob, is a bit disconcerting at this stage of the game.
On the other hand, the West newspaper has come out in full pro-Liberal anti-Labor mode this morning.
The editorial is a real piece of spiteful work.
Essentially, according the Dore the editor, Labor has been hopeless, has lied, has itself adopted the US style of conning the the voting public, that the belief that both parties are treated the same by the public is something Labor has gulled the voters with, and finally, the electorate would be (essentially) stupid if they voted Labor back in again.
All this would be grist of the mill of what might be expect from this rag, but the telling factor of it all is that the Editor himself does not find one sentence in all of this piece in support of a Dutton government.
And some people wonder which the public rates many journalists and those for whom they work for as shonks.
Peter Dutton’s visit to Kooyong yesterday….
Stokes money buys him all sorts of prostitutes, imagine having to put your name to that.
Noone forced Amelia Hamer to support extreme right-wingers. Couldn’t she just not associate with people without high-functioning mental illnesses?
The difference between 2019 and this one is that the polls felt wrong in 2019 after Shorten’s terrible campaign was not sufficiently reflected by the polling movements. They do not feel wrong this time, if anything I feel like Dutton’s bad campaign is insufficiently reflected with the trend away from him stalling for no very good reason (and one does need to note that despite the mean polling miss in favour of the ALP in the past handful of tries, there are two elections where the miss was in the opposite direction, both times when Labor was leading strongly).
Would I bet money on the polls underestimating Labor? Nah, but I’m also not going to be shocked if it happens. Frankly I would appreciate the end it would bring to some fairly unscientific narratives about Shy Tories etc…
Political Nightwatchmansays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 7:36 am
Greens game is to cannibalise the Labor vote. Nothing more. If the Greens didn’t exist the overwhelming majority of those votes would be going to Labor’s primary.
—–
I’m really fed up with reading posts with this Labor born to rule attitude, it’s no better than the Liberal born to rule attitude.
It’s not Labor’s vote. It doesn’t cannibalise anything – either the preferences flow back to Labor, the Greens win because they’re more preferred by more people, or the voter was never going to vote Labor in the first place.
goll at 6.41 am
Shift to Labor began after 25 Feb so it has been going strong for 2 months.
The discussion about preference flows appears to be completely focused on the possible “ surge” of ON preferences back to the coalition.
I would think just as important is the power that younger voters ( Gen X, Gen Y and millennials ) hold when it comes to their preferences . They will have a enormous impact on this election, perhaps even more than the ON preferences, and their preferences are flowing very very strongly back to labor.
We shall see.
Cheers.
sprocket_ @ #39 Friday, May 2nd, 2025 – 7:37 am
Look the next leader of the Liberal party is not going to be a cleanskin moderate woman because it doesn’t exist and doesn’t fit with the ethos of MPs. It would be the same as suggesting the next leader of the Greens should be a straight white male coal miner.
Angus Taylor saying on ABC that workers leaving the public service outside Canberra will be filled from elsewhere in public service.
Unless they are having forced relocations from Canberra how is that going to work?
Dutton sounding more like the black knight every day.
ITS MERELY A FLESH WOUND! Ok, we’ll call it a draw.
The “polling error” they have in mind will erase the myth of 2019, USA 2016, Brexit from the public consciousness.
”
madPJKfansays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 3:49 am
Ok, so LNP are toast even after “correcting” the polls to allow for unprecedented preference flows to them.
”
No, not really. In the worst case scenario, it is as below, which means that L-NP is leading in the average of polls in worst case scenario.. So nothing is toasted or mashed till the votes are counted.
WB: This tips the balance all the way to 50.4-49.6 in favour of the Coalition by giving them 80% of a 7.9% One Nation vote and nearly as much of Trumpet of Patriots’ 3.5%.
Does Mike Waltz really want a Senate grilling before the confirmation vote? Does the Trump administration want that to happen? He will withdraw before the hearings for some reason.
Rubio being both NSA and Sec. of State has only happened once before – Henry Kissinger – but he was NSA before become Sec of State.
Dan Tehan as a $6 bet for next Liberal leader? Who do they think he is, Malcolm Fraser!?! 😀
The Liberals and their media associates grabbing on to those One Nation preference flows which will apparently rescue Dutton, the same thing which is scaring Labor supporters in here today.
My answer to all that – can we be sure One Nation will have enough volunteers at all polling booths tomorrow, have they been in evidence so far at pre poll voting?
The next Liberal PM(if there’s to be one) has not been elected to Federal Parliament.
Ven at the risk of verbaling William Bowe, he as much as called that preference flow a joke in the previous post to which he referred.
The momentum is clear. The good ship LNP is heading for the rocks and might take out OL and a few front benchers in the process.
Cardinal Pattison continues to intone the ghost of 2019, and the talking point that PHON preferences will save the ship (driving more centrist voters to the life rafts.) The campaign will ensure more regional independents and a clean sweep in Tassie.
Exit poll in Dickson (200 votes) shows the good denizens of Dickson would prefer their representative to be in the govt (and not go to a by election when he resigns in shame on Saturday night). Campaign has given up on teal seats and gone full embrace of the right to try and save the furniture. But does anyone know what the party stands for and where is the furniture to save? (Anyway we’ll release more detail in due course)
OL Dutton would be better off staying home today planning the next stage in his career in the private sector.
my prediction of 48 hours ago not looking so far-fetched…
ALP 89 (gain Deakin, Menzies, Sturt, Leichhardt, Dickson, Canning, Moore, Sturt, Lyons, Bass, Braddon, Brisbane from Greens; lose Wills to Greens; Bulwinkel retained as nominal Labor )
LNP 39 (loose Deakin, Menzies, Sturt, Leichhardt, Dickson, Canning, Moore, Lyons, Bass, Braddon, Cowper, Wannon, Flinders, Forrest, Farrer, Riverina, Groom)
IND 17 (Cowper, Wannon, Flinders, Calare, Forrest, Farrer, Riverina, Groom, Bradfield ; Monash and Calare held by ex Libs )
Green 4 (Gain Wills, Lose Brisbane)
CA 1
KAP 1
2PP Lab 54.5%
But the only sure bet is to pledge a few bob to William Bowe so he can continue this bloody good blog!
Sprocket_ says:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 7:15 am
The Sydney Morning Herald editorial provides a grudging endorsement for Labor.
Ultimately, the Herald believes Dutton has not done enough to tell us who he is, what he believes in and what sort of leader he would be. We are not convinced he is ready to be prime minister, and do not believe the Coalition is fit to return to office after just three years in opposition.
While the Herald believes Albanese and Labor are the best option to form government, we do so with qualifications. The government has been competent but lacked ideas, reforming zeal and at times dithered in the crouch position as the world crashes around us.
***********
I always wonder, when I read one of these SMH “the ALP is boring and not left wing enough” editorials, what revolutionary changes to our economy, tax system or society the SMH editorial board would support.
”
pied pipersays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 6:21 am
Penny Wong has backflipped on Voice.
Too late damage is done she will be nervous on sat night.Not as if one nations vote was not surging anyway but Wong may of turbo charged it.Given the recent libs/one nation preferencing deal even more damaging.
”
Oooh! ALP in trouble. So, now LNP is holding on to dear life with the narrative on what Wong said, which was unremarkable.
LNP Thinking that future generations will think like us is a huge overreach.
Bob at 8.53 am
Labor have held Lyons for years. The change in 2025 is that they have a much better incumbent in Bec White.
So to be clear: To get the LNP to better than a 50/50 2PP outcome in this election one needs to factor in MORE than the supposed 1.5% error factor with the current published polls overstating labor’s primary vote. That leaves Labor on 31% (by comparing bludger track – which has Labor currently on 32.5, less the average overstating of 1.5% as per the table above – which is still 1% above the poll aggregation done by Luke Mansillo for the Guardian).
So you need to use 30% as Labor’s true primary. THEN you apply a massive preference shift in the ON and Trumpet vote to the LNP. … and behold, with those pikes and flips in place … the LNP land on 50.4% of the primary vote … and according to the polling drops to Sharri from the Death Star … the Libs picking up a net 10 Labor seats plus 3 seats from the cross bench to leave them on 70 and … in a dominant position to demand cross bench support to form Government.
OK. Sounds legit.
Come on down Nadia. Come on L’twit. GOOD News. Why aren’t you two here stirring the pot. Seems odd. ‘baked in’, ‘Peak Albo’!!!
Hello … hello??? You guys there?
Message to Dickson voters. Avoid going back to vote in a by-election. Vote Dutton out now.
Political Nightwatchmansays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 7:36 am
Greens game is to cannibalise the Labor vote. Nothing more. If the Greens didn’t exist the overwhelming majority of those votes would be going to Labor’s primary. There is nothing to be grateful for, and if Labor wins it will be in spite of the Greens not because of it.
This is fucking hilarious. The ALP straight up abandoned everyone who was an essential worker during the pandemic and now Labor is entitled to our votes just because? God if you’re going to campaign on leaving working class people out on the streets you shouldn’t expect those people to vote for you.
Also I don’t know why you’re crying about people voting greens when voting doesnt change anything in this country. Regardless of who wins: the housing crisis will continue, the DV rates will continue go up, despite Albos lies most people will still have obscene out of pocket costs to see a dr, and huge corporations get massive corporate welfare while workers get squat.
You’re not entitled to rule and it’s very funny you think you’re entitled to our votes. We’re not all going to vote to kill ourselves just because you people really believe your feelings matter more than other peoples lives do.
Credit where credit is due though. Youu’re a good reminder of why the system is bunk and why people on my income who want the things hardwork was promised to bring us like housing and healthcare are going to have to resort to spicy means to get it.
No doubt others will cation the usefulness of exit polls. But the first thing I would want to know is where did that 200 voter survey take place within Dickson.
If it was in the north of the seat then I’d throw it in the bin, that area is more pro-Labor and as such useless as a data point. If it was in the south of the seat then I’d be like wow Dutton is toast, that area votes more for the LNP. If it was in the west of the seat, then I might say, the new independent is hoovering up votes like Teals in other wealthier LNP seats within Sydny and Melbourne.
So without any context I wouldn’t say this helps much other than give a false impression, and probably false hope to Dutton being turfed.
Andrew_Earlwoodsays: Friday, May 2, 2025 at 8:59 am – I agree, I don’t see the lnp picking up 10 seats, they may do worse than 2022.
The Sydney Morning Herald editorial reluctantly endorses a second Labour term.
Meanwhile, the Australian landing page is desparately campaigning for the Coalition. Can’t read the paywalled articles.
The Daily Telegraph landing page looks reasonably balamced.
Glen Osays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 8:24 am
Political Nightwatchmansays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 7:36 am
Greens game is to cannibalise the Labor vote. Nothing more. If the Greens didn’t exist the overwhelming majority of those votes would be going to Labor’s primary.
—–
I’m really fed up with reading posts with this Labor born to rule attitude, it’s no better than the Liberal born to rule attitude.
It’s not Labor’s vote. It doesn’t cannibalise anything – either the preferences flow back to Labor, the Greens win because they’re more preferred by more people, or the voter was never going to vote Labor in the first place.
——————–
My sentiments exactly.
Just as the Australian Democrats went by the wayside and the Greens vote subsequently increased, so it will be if the Greens crash and burn another political party will come into being.
Betting continues to follow polling. Expect Gimore Kooyong and Wannon among others to shift from Libs. Sturt to be first to flip to Labor – amazing to take so long. Punters not confident on seat betting but the overall result punting is now very one sided.
One nation voters a lot of them like other Aussies have voted early so not such an issue with lack of staff for one nation to hand out flyers.
Abc just reported 1.5 million postals have been completed and come in and more than 5.6 million Aussies have voted .A million more than this Time last election.AEC source.
For anyone asserting that the current crop of Liberal members are too talentless to ever be elected PM, I have two words; Tony. Abbott.
Bit of movement in Sturt. Coalition 1.91 Labor 2.00
William, thank you for your guide to how final polls before recent past elections have differed from the actual outcomes. Punters like myself appreciate being reminded of the uncertainty inherent in predictions of future outcomes which hinge on multiple exercises of human will.
Just a comment regarding preferences on booths where minor parties arent handing out – yes, they do tend to be all over the place. I have scrutineered in every election since 1993 and have found this to be the clear case. However, even where they have someone handing out the results can be wild. Some people, not all, do tend to ignore HTVs. And its getting more prolific.
Pegasus says:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 9:05 am
Glen Osays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 8:24 am
Political Nightwatchmansays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 7:36 am
Greens game is to cannibalise the Labor vote. Nothing more. If the Greens didn’t exist the overwhelming majority of those votes would be going to Labor’s primary.
—–
I’m really fed up…’
==============
Welcome to your club.
“I’m really fed up with reading posts with this Labor born to rule attitude, it’s no better than the Liberal born to rule attitude.
It’s not Labor’s vote. It doesn’t cannibalise anything – either the preferences flow back to Labor, the Greens win because they’re more preferred by more people, or the voter was never going to vote Labor in the first place.”
@Glen O
There is nothing born to rule about it at all. Every time Labor releases a policy the Greens will go further Left to try go after Labor’s primary vote. That’s just a fact.
The Greens are entitled to have a political party. But there a competitor just like any other party. Labor has nothing to be grateful from getting Greens preferences. Greens hierarchy know if they preference Peter Dutton there would be a huge backlash from their voters and membership.
Andrew_Earlwoodsays:
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 8:59 am
Come on down Nadia. Come on L’twit. GOOD News. Why aren’t you two here stirring the pot. Seems odd. ‘baked in’, ‘Peak Albo’!!!
Hello … hello??? You guys there?
_____________________
Kindergarten stuff right there.
What times milk and cookies.
@AM:
“For anyone asserting that the current crop of Liberal members are too talentless to ever be elected PM, I have two words; Tony. Abbott”
Abbott had the triple benefit of a criminally naive or stupid media insisting he was a changed man ready to lead, a horrifically disunified Labor, and rampant sexism against Gillard.
The reason the media want bold, revolutionary policy from Labor is to make the contrast with the LNP more stark. This would likely leave the centre bereft of parties and force the punters to choose from a far right or far left option.
The future of Labor is as the only centrist party – unless the Teals get their act together and incorporate as a moderate, small l liberal, right of centre party. I wish.
In the meantime, we have only one worthwhile, constructive party – and one bunch of useless, policy-free ratbags.
I can’t get excited to read the Perth newspaper. Bit of a Boer really.
Amy’s live blog
Q: But even your own advisory committee prior to the election as it’s required to do, advised and recommended that there should be increases in those income support payments. Why ignore those please?
Gallagher:
Well, we don’t ignore them. We look at those reports seriously, and we look at payments every and each budget and budget update. And I think if you go back and have a look at what we’ve done in three years compared to what the former government did in ten years, you’ll see that we have, where we’ve been able to afford it, been able to invest in those payments and pensions. But more importantly, we are also building in and investing in all of those other services that people on fixed and low incomes rely on, including in housing, including in health, which are very, very important to people on those payments.
Except Labor DOES ignore them. It has not lifted people out of poverty. And doing better than the terrible guys only makes you slightly less terrible. And that doesn’t make you good.
Steve777 said:
Meanwhile, the Australian landing page is desparately campaigning for the Coalition. Can’t read the paywalled articles.
–
Stick ’em in 12ft.io
Only using final week polling for long term adjustments could be introducing a recursive error, if they all try harder for their last poll because they know they are going to be judged more on it, then they can turn a blind eye (eg freshwater) to convent inaccuracies in prior weeks.
Who has been in power for most of the last 25 years – the lnp and peter dutton has been a minister for most of the last 20 years.
Labor has only ruled for 9 years out of 30 – it takes time to repair the damage done by howard/abbott/turnbull/morrison.
If people want action on the cost of living, health, education, housing then the lnp aren’t it.