The fourth and final leaders’ debate will be broadcast on the Seven Network from 8pm this evening, to be moderated by political editor Mark Riley. We can also presumably expect a Newspoll result from The Australian late this afternoon or early this evening, that having been the case on every other Sunday of the campaign, unless it’s been decided to handle things differently in the final week.
• The Australian Community Media newspaper group has published YouGov polling of ten regional seats from an overall sample of 3000. With due caution for the small individual sample sizes and error margins of around 5.5%, the results are as follows:
| L-NP | ALP | GRN | ON | IND | OTH | |
| Ballarat | 23.8% | 38.5% | 17.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Braddon | 30.6% | 33.2% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 15.7% | 6.2% |
| Calare | 25.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 13.9% | 38.9% | 8.8% |
| Dickson | 40.3% | 24.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 16.5% | 6.0% |
| Eden-Monaro | 26.0% | 42.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| Gilmore | 33.5% | 36.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Hunter | 14.6% | 35.8% | 8.8% | 25.3% | 0.5% | 15.0% |
| Lyons | 27.8% | 33.4% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% |
| Paterson | 25.9% | 30.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 1.6% |
| Wannon | 33.2% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 35.7% | 6.8% |
| AVERAGE | 28.1% | 29.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 6.9% |
| Swing | -10.0% | -2.2% | +0.8% | +4.8% |
Which is obviously none too encouraging for the Coalition, suggesting the loss of Calare and Wannon to independents and Braddon to Labor, and failure in the crucial Labor marginals of Gilmore and Lyons. The results for Labor-held Hunter suggest One Nation are at least competitive (I haven’t troubled to record Trumpet of Patriots’ numbers, but it may be noted that their candidate for the seat, Prime Minister-presumptive Suellen Wrightson, was on all of 0.5%), and Labor’s primary vote in Paterson is low enough to be of concern for them.
• Paul Sakkal of the Nine Newspapers reports that differing viewpoints within the Labor and Coalition camps about the state of play could be “partly explained by the more optimistic polling coming from Dutton’s pollster, Mike Turner of Freshwater Strategy, which contrasts with the data from Labor pollster Campbell White, who also runs Newspoll”. This is reflected in the published polling of their respective outfits: Freshwater Strategy’s poll last week for the Financial Review had a tie on two-party preferred and the Coalition leading Labor 39% to 32% on the primary vote, while Newspoll had Labor leading 52-48 and the Coalition’s primary vote lead at 35% to 34%. So while the Coalition has been talking up its chances in Whitlam and Gorton, on respective Labor margins of 8.4% and 10.0%, Labor is “preparing to start spending on ads in Liberal-held seats such as Deakin and Menzies”.
• Paul Sakkal’s report further relates that Peter Dutton will spend much of the last week of the campaign on “a blitz of teal-held inner-city seats he has shunned to date”, with the Coalition believing “Curtin, Goldstein, Kooyong and Mackellar are tough but winnable seats, in that order”. On Friday, Sakkal’s colleague David Crowe related that Dutton had been avoiding such seats “for good reason”: “Liberals admit that he will drag down the vote for a Liberal candidate in a teal seat if he turns up at a polling station”.
• Joe Spagnolo of the Sunday Times cites unspecified “sources” saying former state Nationals leader Mia Davies is running third in the new Perth fringe seat of Bullwinkel, leaving Liberal candidate Matt Moran the favourite, although Labor sources consider their candidate Trish Cook has a “healthy chance”.
• The Poll Bludger’s Charts of the Day (I’ll at least try and make this a regular feature) make an effort to determine if there has been any particular pattern to voting intention by age cohort over the past three years, though I’m not sure how illuminating they are. For three pollsters that have provided such breakdowns with any kind of regularity, these record the difference between each cohort’s voting intention and the overall results, so as to highlight change in relative rather than absolute terms. Only Essential Research’s data was voluminous enough to make trend calculations worthwhile. Unfortunately, anything vaguely interesting for one pollster was uncorroborated or even contradicted by the others. Perhaps I’ll have more luck when I get around to doing gender. I did observe last week that the more interesting story here – namely a cavernous gender gap among young people – would require age-by-gender data, of which very little exists.
Revisionist
“ Strategically, the best outcome for Australia is we get out of AUKUS due to an American default”
—————————————————
If Australia waits till the promised Virginia SSNs don’t show up in 2032 it will be far too late to get Collins replacements in time.
In reality USA has already failed to meet earlier promises under AUKUS.
1. USA has not funded an increase in SSN production to the required rate (2.3/year) in any year since AUKUS was first announced in 2021.
2. US laws prohibiting Australian firms participation in the US SSN construction industry (Jones Act, ITAR) have not been changed after three years of discussion.
Also, Trump’s tariffs are already a breach of the Howard era USA FTA.
The excuses to act are already there. The political will to act has been lacking.
If Labor gets an increased majority it will be in spite of AUKUS not because of it.
‘… Peter Dutton will spend much of the last week of the campaign on “a blitz of teal-held inner-city seats he has shunned to date” …’
Authorised by Simon Holmes a’Court for Climate 200 Pty Ltd, Suite 505/24-30 Springfield Avenue, Potts Point, NSW 2011
@Ven,
NSW Labor not getting a majority with a 54-46 2PP is surely down to optional preferential voting as much as the specific locations in which the swings occurred.
Does anyone know if there’ll be a push in this term or next for full preferential voting to be reinstated in NSW?
It’s bizarre that we make it compulsory to vote but then don’t make everyone’s preferences flow through to the final 2PP. Every vote that exhausts is as if that person had never showed up to the voting booth at all, which nudges NSW ever so slightly towards those inferior democracies where voting isn’t compulsory and in which appealing to extremes is more politically expedient than to the middle ground.
Scott says:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 6:08 am
Peter Dutton would lose the seat of Dickson with a primary vote of 40%
– – – – –
I’m being buoyed by these prognosticators, Scott, but can you explain the maths for me? He held into the seat last time with a margin of 1.7% when his primary vote was 42%. Ignoring margin of error for the time being: Losing 2% of that primary vote this time doesn’t mean a good portion of it won’t flow back in preferences and he still falls over the line. Am I missing something?
I can see why Hastie has been hidden away – speaking the truth. Does not fit in with the Trump fanboys
The federal lib/nats propaganda media also change their propaganda about the so called mythical swing from Labor to the liberal party ,
the new propaganda is those who are voting for minor aligned federal lib/nats partys switching to the lib/nats
at the end of the day
Isnt going to help the federal lib/nats
So far, zero mention of the nuclear brainfart
@Boewar,
I’ll repeat my post at the end of the last thread.
“In my trips to China so far I have been confronted by a land of contradictions. It is a place both hostile to outsiders and yet its people are curious and friendly. It is simultaneously developed and advanced with interconnected cities while also being poor and developing (I stayed in a 5 star hotel next to a small farming plot on the outskirts of a city just this week). There is extreme wealth and also extreme poverty. There are many excellent services and yet also the tap water isn’t safe to drink.
My point is, can’t China be burning the most coal while simultaneously making record investments into renewables?”
In the same way you perceive others to be boosting China’s renewable investments and downplaying their fossil fuel expansion, aren’t you doing the exact opposite?
China is an “everything, everywhere, all at once” kind of place where bad things are happening (new coal power) as well as good things (renewables), all at the same time. Because as Pi said, it’s a huge place.
The insiders panel in furious agreement that Peter Dutton is not ready for government
No shit, Sherlock!
I think primaries going to PHON will definitely flow straight back to LNP as 2nd prefs. Folk think they’re protest voting by swapping their No1, but think no further than that.
And the polls just guess at what the 2nd prefs will be from past elections.
The rise in PHON primaries is novel; so too may be how tightly the 2nds flow.
It’s not over yet.
mj says:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 9:37 am
“Dan Repacholi definitely seems a good fit in Hunter has that nice Aussie bloke next door vibe, he can relate to people in ways many career politicians can’t.”
Hunter is my son’s electorate and your opinion exactly matches his.
Super Trouper says:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 9:43 am
I’m being buoyed by these prognosticators, Scott, but can you explain the maths for me? He held into the seat last time with a margin of 1.7% when his primary vote was 42%. Ignoring margin of error for the time being: Losing 2% of that primary vote this time doesn’t mean a good portion of it won’t flow back in preferences and he still falls over the line. Am I missing something?
—————————————————————–
Dutton just held the seat of Dickson with a primary vote of 42.10% and the 2pp 51.7%
If there is another swing against Dutton in his seat , it would be difficult for him to retain it
Majority of the federal liberal party candidates get a weak 2pp flow , in federal lib/nats held seats , and in non lib/nats held seats
The federal liberal party candidate need a primary vote 43%+ to be safe in holding their seat
or gaining a non lib/nats held seat
Where Labor and other non lib/nats candidates can win with primary votes lower than 35% , in Labor or Lib/nats held seats , Labor and non lib/nats candidate get stronger 2pp flows
Speers and therefore the ABC, is promoting a rearguard, “come from behind” scenario, involving the quiet Australians and the undecided voters, with the political magician Dutton, somehow going to make the promises, financially viable.
The Dutton “trust deficit” is beyond remediation.
Taylormade at 7.22am.
“Just remember, No Liberal Party. No marriage equality.”
I haven’t bothered to check but my recollection is that right wingers thought (hoped?) that the proposal would be defeated and then like a losing referendum proposal, disappear from sight forever. The size of the yes vote shocked them.
Bridget says no road user charges, but when we get into government, it’s something we’ll have to look at
sprocket_ says:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 9:50 am
The insiders panel in furious agreement that Peter Dutton is not ready for government
No shit, Sherlock!
_________
Our Fourth Estate needs to look to themselves. They could have checked this out anytime before the election campaign. A healthy opposition is necessary for democracy to flourish.
I wonder what Mackenzie thinks of swap out batteries for heavy vehicles?
Speers with the gotcha on emissions.
Mackenzie just laughs, and rambles on about Nimbys
“I think primaries going to PHON will definitely flow straight back to LNP as 2nd prefs. Folk think they’re protest voting by swapping their No1, but think no further than that.”
Yes, but not at 100%. The polls already factor in a higher rate of PHON preference flow to the Coalition than at the 2022 election. Whether the preference flow is even stronger than the modified flows will be seen on election day.
Now nuclear will solve emissions say Bridget
Q: Why hasn’t Peter Dutton been to a nuclear site?
A: waffle, deflect, whataboutsim
Sprocket I was waiting for ‘speersy’ as she calls him to ask her how a 25c/litre cut in the fuel excise will help solve the issues of declining excise amounts due to uptake of EVs.
For some reason he forgot to challenge her on this
sprocket_says:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 9:48 am
“So far, zero mention of the nuclear brainfart”
Until Bridget McKenzie weighs in.
Looking messy on EV road usage fee as well (we will work out how to do it when in government).
Nobody has raised with Bridget at prepoll about nuclear
So ipso facto, all regional people support it.
Now nuclear won’t need extra water
Wow, McKenzie is having a shocker. Nats really have missed Fiona Nash, there previous leading female spokesperson. She was an impressive performer and much more linkable in every way.
There are ‘lower water nuclear plants’ – making it up as she goes along
@Luigi Smith
For all those involved in politics it isn’t over. But for a hefty proportion of Australian voters it already is. NB:- when do we get the Coalition costings, eh?
Should the polling be reflected in the final results, the resurrection of ONP this election is the takeaway of this cycle, like the rise of the Teals (and the fracturing of the Howard’s ‘broad church’) was in 2022.
Likeable*
Taylormade says:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 7:22 am
Hack, woke, Partisansays:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 6:31 am
They have opposed every single positive measure proposed for this country in the last 42 years. They deserve to be politically destroyed.
_____________________
Jesus Hack.
Just remember, No Liberal Party. No marriage equality.
Labor certainly weren’t going to do it.
This is a false claim. The bill for reform was proposed by Tanya Plibersek. The Reactionaries opposed it. They defeated the bill. There was enough uproar that a non-binding and unnecessary plebiscite was ventured by Abbott and his Reactionary leadership as a substitute in the mistaken belief they could obtain a ‘No’ vote.
I’m impressed that Bridget has been able to announce exclusively on insiders that they have managed to cut the cost of their nuclear plan from 600 billion to 600 million.
Credit where credits due.
ChatGPt answers me on ‘low water nuclear plants’
1. Capital Costs (Building the Plant)
Higher for low-water-use designs: Advanced reactors like molten salt reactors (MSRs), gas-cooled reactors, or small modular reactors (SMRs) that use air cooling or dry cooling typically have less commercial experience, so:
Engineering and regulatory processes are more complex
Supply chains aren’t as mature
Construction costs are less predictable
2. Operating Costs
Lower water costs: In water-scarce regions, water rights and cooling infrastructure can be very expensive, so using less water can mean lower costs long-term.
Lower fuel and maintenance costs (for some advanced reactors): Some designs, like MSRs, offer longer fuel cycles, fewer moving parts, and passive safety, which can reduce labor, refueling, and safety system costs.
3. Location Flexibility
Low-water reactors can be sited in arid or inland areas, which gives them access to cheaper land or areas with fewer competing water users.
Are the LNP Attempting to go lower?
McKenzie !
It’s the great hope of the Coalition and much of the media, that there’s this army out there of shy Tory voters or soft Labor voters or undecided voters who will all magically jump on board the Dutton for PM bus in the next 7 days.
Yeah, I know, the ghost of 2019 always hovers around, and let’s remember too that even Rudd in 2007 only secured in the end a two party preferred vote of 52.7%, even though that equated to a majority of 18 seats.
Sure, Dutton and co aren’t ready for government, plainly not, but the promise of the fuel excise cut for the next 12 months will no doubt sway some people.
My hunch is still for a minority Labor government, I don’t buy all the hype about Dickson for example. I suspect Labor will do enough to hold on to most of their marginals in NSW and VIC, and maybe snag a seat off the Greens in Brisbane.
Dutton’s big problem is the Teal seats, and the possibility of losing one or two more to independents – Wannon or Bradfield.
Granny Annysays:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 9:53 am
Taylormade at 7.22am.
“Just remember, No Liberal Party. No marriage equality.”
_____________________
It’s in the history books, Granny.
Liberals got it done.
Labor didn’t.
There’s not much more you can say.
Who thinks it is possible that we end up with minority Government with One Nation having the balance of power, that would be a disaster all round for Labor. What a nightmare that would be.
Bridget Mackenzie never fails to entertain when she is interviewed. Sprouts her nonsense with a straight face.
Whilst I am at it, the rise of ONP is of significance not just for those on the right, but also for those that are committed to progressive causes. Especially for those that use the indiscriminate slogan of ‘#25in25’.
Why do those on the hard left see companionship with the hard right? There may be a generational link, as William has suggested at the top of the page – with the young streaming left and right along gender lines.
9 letter word puzzle in Sunday Mail today. Words that come up include albo, labor and lamby.
No sign of dutton or liberal or hanson.
Seems to be a mole in Murdoch Adelaide office.
There have been 2,397,351 pre-poll votes as of last night.
By electorate
Adelaide 9,811
Aston 18,089
Ballarat 16,188
Banks 14,507
Barker 15,274
Barton 13,189
Bass 5,649
Bean 13,934
Bendigo 19,664
Bennelong 14,365
Berowra 15,656
Blair 17,660
Blaxland 10,107
Bonner 14,410
Boothby 13,299
Bowman 18,481
Braddon 8,300
Bradfield 15,515
Brand 17,566
Brisbane 13,329
Bruce 15,510
Bullwinkel 14,885
Burt 16,253
Calare 21,333
Calwell 12,128
Canberra 12,759
Canning 22,051
Capricornia 14,422
Casey 14,942
Chifley 13,822
Chisholm 14,994
Clark 5,990
Cook 15,556
Cooper 14,110
Corangamite 19,067
Corio 17,265
Cowan 13,865
Cowper 17,688
Cunningham 19,679
Curtin 14,131
Dawson 18,744
Deakin 14,463
Dickson 17,220
Dobell 17,642
Dunkley 14,541
Durack 9,397
Eden-Monaro 22,620
Fadden 19,533
Fairfax 21,893
Farrer 12,408
Fenner 15,852
Fisher 26,724
Flinders 20,716
Flynn 15,803
Forde 15,966
Forrest 15,817
Fowler 27,127
Franklin 7,588
Fraser 19,310
Fremantle 17,384
Gellibrand 17,196
Gilmore 26,011
Gippsland 22,466
Goldstein 16,344
Gorton 19,471
Grayndler 15,967
Greenway 15,646
Grey 15,062
Griffith 14,612
Groom 15,835
Hasluck 12,899
Hawke 19,711
Herbert 17,965
Hindmarsh 11,479
Hinkler 25,195
Holt 14,377
Hotham 15,871
Hughes 15,350
Hume 15,935
Hunter 20,990
Indi 19,378
Isaacs 19,042
Jagajaga 14,194
Kennedy 18,489
Kingsford Smith 14,502
Kingston 13,402
Kooyong 15,145
La Trobe 13,657
Lalor 16,744
Leichhardt 16,718
Lilley 15,088
Lindsay 16,255
Lingiari 8,238
Longman 22,629
Lyne 20,923
Lyons 6,966
Macarthur 12,394
Mackellar 16,795
Macnamara 10,369
Macquarie 18,099
Makin 12,307
Mallee 18,474
Maranoa 8,626
Maribyrnong 17,075
Mayo 15,835
McEwen 11,841
McMahon 18,324
McPherson 16,532
Melbourne 11,166
Menzies 16,454
Mitchell 11,834
Monash 19,786
Moncrieff 16,925
Moore 17,160
Moreton 11,426
New England 16,322
Newcastle 14,965
Nicholls 22,668
O’Connor 14,733
Oxley 16,657
Page 14,410
Parkes 12,714
Parramatta 10,886
Paterson 23,156
Pearce 19,470
Perth 14,642
Petrie 18,866
Rankin 13,923
Reid 13,543
Richmond 21,316
Riverina 16,144
Robertson 15,877
Ryan 14,606
Scullin 13,471
Shortland 18,031
Solomon 14,032
Spence 12,659
Sturt 13,468
Swan 15,188
Sydney 12,722
Tangney 18,151
Wannon 18,930
Warringah 18,317
Watson 11,685
Wentworth 20,804
Werriwa 18,608
Whitlam 22,407
Wide Bay 17,123
Wills 12,061
Wright 17,431
Crispy considering the resolve of Bandt and co to make things as difficult as possible for Labor you’d have to reserve judgement on a theorised PONP crossbench until it occurred.
It will never be the greens preventing Labor from shooting it’s self in the foot by reining in things like excessive unskilled migration among other issues causing tensions and anger in the outer metros will it?.
I hope neither one nation or the greens end up in control this way. However based on the green’s behaviour on several issues in this term it would be premature to assume ONP would be much worse lol
As a percent of enrolment
Adelaide 7.5%
Aston 14.8%
Ballarat 13.9%
Banks 12.2%
Barker 12.0%
Barton 10.9%
Bass 7.0%
Bean 12.2%
Bendigo 16.4%
Bennelong 11.4%
Berowra 12.0%
Blair 12.4%
Blaxland 8.7%
Bonner 12.7%
Boothby 10.3%
Bowman 15.0%
Braddon 9.8%
Bradfield 12.2%
Brand 15.6%
Brisbane 10.5%
Bruce 12.1%
Bullwinkel 12.3%
Burt 13.5%
Calare 17.1%
Calwell 10.5%
Canberra 12.4%
Canning 18.5%
Capricornia 12.5%
Casey 12.2%
Chifley 11.8%
Chisholm 12.2%
Clark 8.1%
Cook 13.1%
Cooper 11.8%
Corangamite 16.7%
Corio 14.1%
Cowan 11.9%
Cowper 13.4%
Cunningham 14.9%
Curtin 12.0%
Dawson 16.0%
Deakin 11.4%
Dickson 14.4%
Dobell 14.4%
Dunkley 11.7%
Durack 7.8%
Eden-Monaro 18.6%
Fadden 14.4%
Fairfax 16.7%
Farrer 10.0%
Fenner 15.0%
Fisher 19.2%
Flinders 16.2%
Flynn 13.4%
Forde 11.9%
Forrest 13.5%
Fowler 22.6%
Franklin 9.1%
Fraser 15.5%
Fremantle 14.7%
Gellibrand 14.5%
Gilmore 20.1%
Gippsland 19.0%
Goldstein 13.0%
Gorton 15.1%
Grayndler 12.7%
Greenway 13.2%
Grey 11.7%
Griffith 11.8%
Groom 13.3%
Hasluck 11.4%
Hawke 16.6%
Herbert 14.8%
Hindmarsh 8.7%
Hinkler 19.7%
Holt 12.7%
Hotham 13.3%
Hughes 13.4%
Hume 13.6%
Hunter 15.9%
Indi 16.0%
Isaacs 15.8%
Jagajaga 11.7%
Kennedy 14.9%
Kingsford Smith 12.3%
Kingston 10.5%
Kooyong 12.2%
La Trobe 11.8%
Lalor 14.6%
Leichhardt 13.6%
Lilley 12.7%
Lindsay 13.4%
Lingiari 10.7%
Longman 15.8%
Lyne 16.1%
Lyons 7.8%
Macarthur 10.8%
Mackellar 13.0%
Macnamara 9.0%
Macquarie 14.8%
Makin 10.0%
Mallee 15.2%
Maranoa 7.5%
Maribyrnong 13.8%
Mayo 11.5%
McEwen 10.0%
McMahon 15.2%
McPherson 13.6%
Melbourne 9.8%
Menzies 13.6%
Mitchell 9.6%
Monash 17.0%
Moncrieff 13.5%
Moore 14.1%
Moreton 10.5%
New England 12.4%
Newcastle 11.8%
Nicholls 18.7%
O’Connor 12.1%
Oxley 13.6%
Page 11.1%
Parkes 9.7%
Parramatta 9.3%
Paterson 18.1%
Pearce 16.9%
Perth 12.8%
Petrie 14.0%
Rankin 12.1%
Reid 11.5%
Richmond 16.8%
Riverina 12.6%
Robertson 13.8%
Ryan 12.7%
Scullin 11.7%
Shortland 14.7%
Solomon 17.8%
Spence 9.1%
Sturt 10.3%
Swan 13.1%
Sydney 10.0%
Tangney 14.8%
Wannon 15.5%
Warringah 14.0%
Watson 10.0%
Wentworth 16.3%
Werriwa 15.8%
Whitlam 17.2%
Wide Bay 13.9%
Wills 9.6%
Wright 12.4%
Credit where credit is due Taylormade. Have you got any more?
Fowler 27,127
Has the most pre polls so far out of 150 seats. Not sure what has motivated this RW Independent held seat?
Has there ever been a more vacuous and underwhelming Insiders appearance than what we have just seen from McKenzie?
OK, Here is the list in order of Percent of enrolled
Bass 5,649 7.0%
Adelaide 9,811 7.5%
Maranoa 8,626 7.5%
Lyons 6,966 7.8%
Durack 9,397 7.8%
Clark 5,990 8.1%
Blaxland 10,107 8.7%
Hindmarsh 11,479 8.7%
Macnamara 10,369 9.0%
Franklin 7,588 9.1%
Spence 12,659 9.1%
Parramatta 10,886 9.3%
Mitchell 11,834 9.6%
Wills 12,061 9.6%
Parkes 12,714 9.7%
Melbourne 11,166 9.8%
Braddon 8,300 9.8%
Makin 12,307 10.0%
Sydney 12,722 10.0%
Farrer 12,408 10.0%
Watson 11,685 10.0%
McEwen 11,841 10.0%
Boothby 13,299 10.3%
Sturt 13,468 10.3%
Brisbane 13,329 10.5%
Moreton 11,426 10.5%
Kingston 13,402 10.5%
Calwell 12,128 10.5%
Lingiari 8,238 10.7%
Macarthur 12,394 10.8%
Barton 13,189 10.9%
Page 14,410 11.1%
Hasluck 12,899 11.4%
Bennelong 14,365 11.4%
Deakin 14,463 11.4%
Reid 13,543 11.5%
Mayo 15,835 11.5%
Dunkley 14,541 11.7%
Jagajaga 14,194 11.7%
Grey 15,062 11.7%
Scullin 13,471 11.7%
Cooper 14,110 11.8%
Griffith 14,612 11.8%
La Trobe 13,657 11.8%
Chifley 13,822 11.8%
Newcastle 14,965 11.8%
Cowan 13,865 11.9%
Forde 15,966 11.9%
Berowra 15,656 12.0%
Barker 15,274 12.0%
Curtin 14,131 12.0%
O’Connor 14,733 12.1%
Rankin 13,923 12.1%
Bruce 15,510 12.1%
Banks 14,507 12.2%
Kooyong 15,145 12.2%
Casey 14,942 12.2%
Chisholm 14,994 12.2%
Bradfield 15,515 12.2%
Bean 13,934 12.2%
Bullwinkel 14,885 12.3%
Kingsford Smith 14,502 12.3%
Canberra 12,759 12.4%
Wright 17,431 12.4%
New England 16,322 12.4%
Blair 17,660 12.4%
Capricornia 14,422 12.5%
Riverina 16,144 12.6%
Bonner 14,410 12.7%
Ryan 14,606 12.7%
Grayndler 15,967 12.7%
Lilley 15,088 12.7%
Holt 14,377 12.7%
Perth 14,642 12.8%
Goldstein 16,344 13.0%
Mackellar 16,795 13.0%
Swan 15,188 13.1%
Cook 15,556 13.1%
Greenway 15,646 13.2%
Groom 15,835 13.3%
Hotham 15,871 13.3%
Hughes 15,350 13.4%
Lindsay 16,255 13.4%
Flynn 15,803 13.4%
Cowper 17,688 13.4%
Forrest 15,817 13.5%
Moncrieff 16,925 13.5%
Burt 16,253 13.5%
Hume 15,935 13.6%
Menzies 16,454 13.6%
McPherson 16,532 13.6%
Oxley 16,657 13.6%
Leichhardt 16,718 13.6%
Robertson 15,877 13.8%
Maribyrnong 17,075 13.8%
Wide Bay 17,123 13.9%
Ballarat 16,188 13.9%
Warringah 18,317 14.0%
Petrie 18,866 14.0%
Corio 17,265 14.1%
Moore 17,160 14.1%
Fadden 19,533 14.4%
Dobell 17,642 14.4%
Dickson 17,220 14.4%
Gellibrand 17,196 14.5%
Lalor 16,744 14.6%
Shortland 18,031 14.7%
Fremantle 17,384 14.7%
Aston 18,089 14.8%
Tangney 18,151 14.8%
Herbert 17,965 14.8%
Macquarie 18,099 14.8%
Cunningham 19,679 14.9%
Kennedy 18,489 14.9%
Bowman 18,481 15.0%
Fenner 15,852 15.0%
Gorton 19,471 15.1%
Mallee 18,474 15.2%
McMahon 18,324 15.2%
Wannon 18,930 15.5%
Fraser 19,310 15.5%
Brand 17,566 15.6%
Isaacs 19,042 15.8%
Werriwa 18,608 15.8%
Longman 22,629 15.8%
Hunter 20,990 15.9%
Dawson 18,744 16.0%
Indi 19,378 16.0%
Lyne 20,923 16.1%
Flinders 20,716 16.2%
Wentworth 20,804 16.3%
Bendigo 19,664 16.4%
Hawke 19,711 16.6%
Corangamite 19,067 16.7%
Fairfax 21,893 16.7%
Richmond 21,316 16.8%
Pearce 19,470 16.9%
Monash 19,786 17.0%
Calare 21,333 17.1%
Whitlam 22,407 17.2%
Solomon 14,032 17.8%
Paterson 23,156 18.1%
Canning 22,051 18.5%
Eden-Monaro 22,620 18.6%
Nicholls 22,668 18.7%
Gippsland 22,466 19.0%
Fisher 26,724 19.2%
Hinkler 25,195 19.7%
Gilmore 26,011 20.1%
Fowler 27,127 22.6%
I don’t like posting long lists so I will stop.
BK
Bridget has obviously modelled her style on Barnaby Joyce.
Griffsays:
Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 10:12 am
Whilst I am at it, the rise of ONP is of significance not just for those on the right, but also for those that are committed to progressive causes. Especially for those that use the indiscriminate slogan of ‘#25in25’.
Why do those on the hard left see companionship with the hard right? There may be a generational link, as William has suggested at the top of the page – with the young streaming left and right along gender lines.
___________________________________
I think they are anticipating the 25 to be progressive but to those great intellects who view everything through the ‘horseshoe theory’ see something else.
SMH..
They came to bury a pope, but ended up negotiating to end a war
Summarise
Rob HarrisApril 27, 2025 — 9.29am
Fifteen minutes. No aides. No flags, no formalities – just two men locked in a contest over Ukraine’s future, in the most unlikely of arenas.
Do people get paid to write such drivel?
Speers seemed to be dumbfounded by McKenzie’s total ineptitude.