The Australian reports the weekly campaign Newspoll has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 52-48, from primary votes of Labor 34% (up one), Coalition 35% (steady), Greens 12% (steady) and One Nation 7% (down one). Leadership ratings are a mixed bag for Anthony Albanese: his approval rating is down two to 43% with disapproval up three to 52%, but his lead on preferred prime minister widens from 49-38 to 52-36. Peter Dutton is down two on approval to 35% and up one on disapproval to 57%. The poll also finds the Coalition favoured 34-29 on growing the economy and 35-23 on defence, but Labor favoured 31-28 on the cost of living, 42-22 on health, 33-26 on lowering taxes, 29-24 on helping first home buyers and 39-32 on “dealing with uncertainty caused by Donald Trump”. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1263.
Also, Nine Newspapers has further results from Resolve Strategic’s poll of last week as to what respondents’ “biggest hesitations or concerns” are in voting for either major party. Labor’s are “a lack of action on the cost of living” and economic management, while the Coalition’s is “Peter Dutton’s personality as leader”.
Further recent posts you might care to take note of: one analysing the how-to-vote cards and their likely impact, one summarising recent reports of internal polling and a guest post from Adrian Beaumont on next week’s Canadian election.
98.6says:
Monday, April 21, 2025 at 8:05 pm
Now that the Vatican City State is leaderless, now is the time for Trump to annex it and make it the 51st state of the US, with himself as President and Pope.
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Too late; I understand Scott Morrison had Brian Houston swear him in as Pope last week.
I feel sorry for all the women forced to stay with their abusers because of the federal labor’s government chronic housing failures don’t you hypocrites?
In 2024 there were over 1,300 deaths on our roads but that doesn’t stop tens of millions of people driving on the road every day.
I can’t see why Dutton says people are scared to go to the shops because of crime.
Maybe he means they are scared to DRIVE to the shops.
Interesting that there’s so many conservative Catholics in the US. Would say it’s almost the opposite in places like the UK and Ireland. The LNP here in WA still seems dominated by fundamentalist churches. They liked ScoMo.
But religion doesn’t always dictate everyone’s politics or world view Kennedy, Kerry, Biden, Pelosi were/are Catholic. Alito is Catholic, so is Sotomayer. De Santis and Gallego. Bernie Sanders and Stephen Miller wouldn’t have too much in common either.
citizen says Monday, April 21, 2025 at 8:46 pm
This sounds opposite to the Anglicans. With the CoE and Episcopal churches, it appears the Americans are more liberal and the third world more conservative (look at the issue of gay priests for example).
It’s an interesting world we live in.
bc
There are plenty of conservative archbishops from Africa and Asia and South America.
For every 3 conservative Catholics in America, there is 2 liberal ones. The leadership is all conservative but that is to be expect when they are mostly all old white guys (despite the Latino population being the biggest source of Catholics now).
PP, you’re sounding really desperate tonight. Almost to the point of unhinged.
Early favourites in order
Parolin
Tagle
Scola
Oillet
Turkson
Oakeshott Country says Monday, April 21, 2025 at 10:26 pm
The trophy they’re holding is for AFI Touch Footy, whatever that is.
It looks like it will be on again this year. https://www.aflinternational.com/world-cup/
Pied Piper you do realize Peter’s unpopular in Victoria right sounds like someone’s desperate because the campaign that they could easily win is now going to s***
The Albonatorsays:
Monday, April 21, 2025 at 9:56 pm
Early voting starts tomorrow…..Almost everyone I know is planning to vote early ….as early as tomorrow many have mentioned. .
_____________________
Voting during their lunch break or don’t they have a job to go to.
“Men are more often victims of violent crime than women. ”
If you include sexual assault the numbers are fairly even according to the below.
https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/crime-and-justice/crime-victimisation/latest-release
I’ve just spent my evening setting up some pre-poll booths for my party of choice.
Randwick Town Hall was the most interesting. It’s a combined pre-poll for Kingsford Smith and Wentworth, located just one block inside Wentworth from the electoral boundary.
Probably 1/4 of the corflutes up were for Matt Thistlethwaite, the Labor member for Kingsford Smith. No other Kingsford Smith candidates have any signage up but Wentworth candidates are a different story. Allegra Spender and Liberal Ro Knox have plastered the entire block surrounding the pre-poll with corflutes on every surface they could find. No power pole or parking sign was spared.
Good luck to all PB’ers helping out on pre-poll over the coming days. Interested to hear some observations from the hustings.
Quentin Rountree at 11.43 pm
Dutton referred to the lessons of 2019 today, as if it helps give him a chance.
He ignored the real lessons of 2019:
* personalities matter, including of the Opposition Leader if unpopular;
* incumbency means the Opposition is handicapped, more so if flat-footed (Shorten was still debating Turnbull);
* small polling leads may be illusory;
* complacency, regarding policy or just a belief in being in front, is silly;
* and policies need to be briefly stated.
Those lessons meant it was never an easy win for Dutton. S. Birmingham knew that but even he might not have expected Dutton to be such a big dud.
Clearly the Labor ad that is cutting through is the cuts for $600 million needed to fund dubious nuclear power. S. Birmingham knew it would. Even James Campbell thought it clear.
Judging by the hundreds of posts on PB that are concerned about the pope’s death and its aftermath and the cancellation or postponement of TV and radio shows due to coverage of his passing, I can see that the election will be overtaken by the funeral and selection of a new pontiff.
I can only speculate that this will favour Labor’s campaign or at least not hurt it as opposed to Dutton’s
train wreck so far.
I can’t see him getting back on track with only 3 days till Anzac Day and pre-polling starting today.
Still, it’s been a bloody good campaign so far for Albo and from everything I know about politics to date
I can see Labor winning by the same number of seats as before, but could go higher.
Dr Doolittle I mean that’s why we shock when people this year were saying oh liberals could win I’m like at best gain some seats back also also you can’t reverse an unpopular leader like when Peter’s disapproval rating hits 57 and going back to crime like bro this was meant to be a cost of living election you’ve attacking Labor not doing more to help people also I know s*** can change real fast but I don’t see a way for the liberals here and get close to minority now like they Wasted 3 weeks of a campaign hoping that people pay attention to to the last two weeks but it turns out people paid attention during the first three weeks and realize what they like I just never seen in competence like an election campaign like this imagine if you gets in and he becomes quickly quickly unpopular as he is now like holy s*** it went bad for him
Quentin Rountree at 12.16 pm
Yes Quentin, Dutton’s legacy will be to have campaigned worse than Latham. In short, Dutton is an outlier.
pied piper says:
Monday, April 21, 2025 at 11:12 pm
“I feel sorry for all the women forced to stay with their abusers because of the federal labor’s government chronic housing failures don’t you hypocrites?”
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The Greens in partnership with Dutton, blocked the Housing Australia Future Fund which was endorsed by the electorate at the 2022 election until the Greens finally allowed it to pass in the middle of September 2023, a full 16 months. The LNP will scrap the HAFF if elected and replace it with a rort for high income earners as well as allowing Superannuation to be undermined.
The build-to-rent bill was introduced into Parliament at the beginning of April 2024 and was blocked by the Greens and Dutton until the Greens relented in very late November to let the legislation pass without any amendments; 8 months.
Who are the hypocrites? Chandler-Mather who boasted that he and the Greens deliberately blocked the housing legislations passing to cause more angst and misery to those most vulnerable so they could harvest votes from the ALP? The LNP loved it and sank the boot into the ALP as well. Are Chandler-Mather, the Greens and Dutton and the LNP hypocrites?
Dutton and the LNP didn’t even have a Housing Minister when they were last in office!
The Greens and their partners, the LNP, have no shame in their disgusting behaviour and lack of action in housing and blame the ALP instead. Who are the hypocrites?
I’m not religious at all. Nevertheless I can imagine that the Catholic community will be feeling a genuine sense of deep loss. The most common reflexes to loss are, first, a desire for peace – for quiet – and second, a desire to gather with others who are also affected by the same loss…by a need to co-commiserate. The very last thing the bereaved feel is a desire to watch, attend at, or engage with displays of rancour or of partisan fighting.
It seems to me that in trying to play the “violent crime/fear” card Dutton has once again entirely misread public sensibilities. True, only 20% of the population are Catholic. Maybe more than 20% of older cohorts are Catholic. In any case Dutton is illustrating how seriously he does not know how to listen to, observe, sympathise with or behave in relation to the public. He is really, really bad at this. He is absolutely unfit for leadership.
In making violence/fear his meme-of-the-day Dutton has got things totally wrong. Voters can only feel that he should never have power again. He is not fit to exercise it. He will have knocked another few points from the Lib PV, most particularly in Victoria, where his comments will cause great offence.
Really, I think we have never before witnessed such an ineptly conceived and executed electoral gambit as the current reactionary effort.
Australia already has a National Child Offender Register. CrimTrac maintains this register and allows police from all over Australia to access and share this information. It also alerts the various police forces when a person that’s registered on the Child Offender Register is planning to travel interstate or overseas.
Dutton loves to sow suspicion and fear in the community. Unfortunately for him and fortunately for us, I believe that most of us see this as one last, desperate throw of the dice by Dutton. All Dutton has done with this law-and-order stuff is to remind people of exactly who he is: a dogwhistle politician who doesn’t care who he smears or hurts.
Voters are right about Dutton. He’s not up to the job. He’s not a leader. He’s a thug. He’s a nasty, deceitful, narrow, cynical, untrustworthy, cowardly Reactionary whose subscriptions are ideological, authoritarian, racist and power-hungry. He’s absolutely unfit to lead this country and is unelectable.
Of the various Liberals he is without doubt the worst they could have chosen to lead them.
Playa Girón says:
Tuesday, April 22, 2025 at 1:58 am
I reckon you’re exactly right. Moreover, voters have worked him out. Far from representing ‘safe hands’ Dutton personifies heightened risk and the prospect of cowardly shame. His rally is going to be electorally destroyed.
I think voters will flee the LNP cause and cross to Labor or to the Independent candidates, as they have done in WA and SA.
Pied Piper IMHO should be crowned the new ‘Norman Gunston; King of Australian Satire’. Well done.
I was upset that Sacha Baron Cohen had gained so much international fame for his parody acts of cliched intergalactic fuckwits, when it was Garry McDonald who had done the hard yards for at least the three previous decades. It is nice to see a new Australian act waving the flag.
TBH, I was not sure if Mr Piper was a parody, or just a deluded, wilfully ignorant mouth breather (apologies in advance if he has an acquired brain injury), that was until his comments on this post; he hit the triple crown.
First; using the term ‘woke’ (whatever happened to ‘political correctness gone mad, and ‘critical race theory’?) but the use of ‘woke’ as a pejorative is a pretty solid cliched start and rally sets the tone. Second; praising Mr Dutton for his hyperbolic lies re: crime in Victoria. Maybe you should quote from Mr Dutton’s press release re: Operation Fortitude “speaking with any individual we cross paths with” asking them about their visa status, on the street in downtown Melbourne like anyone walks around with their passport and visa on them? Then le piste de la resistance, Pied demonstrated some premium concern trolling about the ALPs vicarious responsibility for uxoricide due to their failure to address the housing crisis, even though the ALP have only had 3 years in power, unlike the Coalition being in power federally for 7 of the previous 9 terms.
It is just outstanding work Pee Pee. I hope you got your applications for the Melbourne Comedy Festival in on time. All the best with the routine. May I suggest wearing an Australian Flag as a cape as part of your costume to really bring the derelict shit for brains parody act to life. Once again, all the best and well done.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/21/berlin-reports-rise-in-attacks-on-refugees-amid-surge-in-far-right-crime
This is in Germany. Here in Australia Dutton dogwhistles ….calling up for hate crime….what a contemptible excuse for a leader he is. He’s a Hansonist in a blue jacket.
US stocks falling heavily today…3% decline in the Dow; similar declines in the other indices.
Trump is attacking the very foundations of the US political, judicial, financial and economic order. The system that has delivered US pre-eminence for the last 200 years is under immense pressure from the moron. Maybe 4 years is going to be long enough for him to utterly wreck the US. He’s made a very energetic start to this project.
No doubt the Chinese leadership can hardly believe their good fortune. In the hands of Trump, the US is absolutely certain to lose its role as the leading power. He will destroy the place.
While Dutton spouts racist, hyperbolic nonsense, Albo behaves like a statesman.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/21/australian-prime-minister-pays-emotional-tribute-to-pope-francis-as-a-devoted-champion
Really…Dutton and all who sail with him deserve to lose all their seats. They should not be in the Parliament. They are a disgrace.
China loves the Australian federal labor government who sells out to the communist dictatorship often.USA getting stronger by the day.
New thread.
James Big Sky,
Love your work. 😀
Both Dutton and Albo have suspended their campaigns for today, although the Leaders’ debate is going ahead tonight.
https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/04/so-whats-deal-with-macnamara-2025.html
So What’s The Deal With Macnamara 2025?
Good to see you around on the site nadia88.
14.5% for the Greens – six month high for Morgan.
Greens are on the march again.
… and stop smoking, bad for your health!
Steven Bates has had an impact in Parliament.
I am sure he is a good local member.