Election minus two weeks: RedBridge-Accent marginal seat poll and insider assessments (open thread)

Labor pulls yet further ahead in a poll tracking the seats that matter most, as party strategists dare to hope for another parliamentary majority.

Quite a bit of polling and polling-adjacent news to relate:

• The News Corp papers have another wave of the RedBridge Group-Accent Research poll tracking 20 marginal seats that once again records substantial movement in favour of Labor, whose two-party lead in seats that collectively broke around 51-49 in Labor’s favour at the 2022 election is now at 54.5-45.5, out from 52.5-47.5 last week. The report relates that Labor’s primary vote is steady since last week and the Coalition is down two to 34% — a graphic showing both on 35% and the Greens on 13% combines results from this week and last week. The poll also finds 51% accepting Labor’s position that Peter Dutton’s nuclear plan “will cost $600 billion and he will need to make cuts to pay for it”, with only 13% disagreeing; 45% agreeing that “Labor’s reckless spending is driving up inflation”, with 29% disagreeing; 42% agreeing that “Peter Dutton will cut Medicare if he is elected”, with 26% disagreeing; 36% rating that Labor has “the best election promises for them” compared with 26% for the Coalition; and 37% agreeing that “Australia is poorer, less safe and more divided because of Anthony Albanese”, and 36% disagreeing. The poll was conducted last Wednesday to Tuesday from a sample of 1000.

• The report accompanying the poll relates a 51-49 Coalition lead from the small-sample Victorian component of the poll, encompassing Aston, Casey, Chisholm, Corangamite and Menzies, suggesting a collective 2.5% swing to the Coalition. James Campbell of News Corp relates conflicting claims on internal polling from the state: Coalition sources claim “their tracking poll is holding up”, whereas Labor claims to be ahead in all its seats except Aston, “which they haven’t bothered to look at”.

The Australian reports Labor strategists believe they are “edging closer to claiming a majority government victory on the back of a recovery in New South Wales and Victoria”. There is, however, a seemingly shared expectation that the Liberals will win Gilmore and recover the by-election loss of Aston, and likely gain Bennelong from Labor, Ryan from the Greens and Monash from Liberal-turned-independent Russell Broadbent. Labor is “understood to have its nose ahead in a tight three-cornered contest” in Greens-held Brisbane, but faces a “tough fight” against the Greens to hold Wills. Teal independent challenges to the Liberals in Bradfield and Wannon are “expected to go down to the wire”. Sources from both sides said they did not expect Labor to make gains from the LNP in Queensland.

Dennis Shanahan of The Australian has another surprising set of poll numbers from conservative outfit Compass, this time from Wentworth, where Liberal candidate Roanne Knox is said to be leading teal incumbent Allegra Spender 47% to 28%, with Labor on 15% and the Greens on 10%. The poll, conducted by SMS from a sample of 627 at a time undisclosed, also finds the highest priority issue in the distinctly liberal electorate is “national security and immigration”. The aforementioned report in The Australian on party strategists’ view of the overall situation said the Liberals were “hoping to win back the teal seats of Curtin, Goldstein and Kooyong”, but made no mention of Wentworth.

Tom Rabe of the Financial Review reports “pollsters and sources from both major parties” rate the Liberals favourites in the three-cornered contest for the new Western Australian seat of Bullwinkel, although some Labor sources believe they could still manage what they acknowledge would be an upset.

• Speaking on ABC Adelaide’s breakfast radio show on Thursday (listen from 3:12:30), Seven Network state politics reporter Mike Smithson related that a Liberal source had told him the party had “almost given up on Boothby” and was “now sandbagging Sturt”.

Nine Newspapers has published audio and SMS messages from surveying conducted by uComms for Climate 200 that critics characterise as “push polling”. The Australian quoted a Climate 200 spokesperson earlier in the campaign saying results from its “message-tested vote intentions” questions were “used for internal campaign reasons only and not shared with the media”.

Erin Clarke of the e61 Institute offers a finding that males aged between 15 to 24 have lately defied a long-term across-the-board trend of declining “belief in traditional gender norms”, to the extent of holding more conservative views than all male age cohorts other than 65-plus. The finding suggests it might be instructive for pollsters to start providing breakdowns that separate the age cohorts by gender. Peter Lewis of Essential Research helpfully provided such data last month in The Guardian, finding that men aged 18-to-34 gave Peter Dutton a net approval rating of plus 19%, compared with minus 20% among young women and minus 5% overall, and an average positive rating for Donald Trump of 47% across five different policy areas, compared with 26% among young women and 24% overall.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

642 comments on “Election minus two weeks: RedBridge-Accent marginal seat poll and insider assessments (open thread)”

Comments Page 13 of 13
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  1. she reckons i’m here all the time complaining about her party.

    No, I said that you’re here every day and mostly all day, but that you saying I was is factually incorrect. Also, you do spend a lot of your time, besides commenting about other things, complaining about the Labor Party. For evidence just look at your recent posts. They follow a theme you have been campaigning on for a long time now. To the extent that you made your voting preference clear tonight. I can resent that if I want to, and I do. For the reasons I gave.

  2. leftieBrawler,
    Andrew_Earlwood always turns from a snarling tiger into a little pussycat when he meets me at the PB get togethers. 😆

  3. Kirsdarke

    WB deleted mj’s offensive post.

    Hope he does with your forwarding of the statement.

    I know you mean well but that was bad!

    Are you okay mj?

  4. The Melbourne surgeon Malham who was filmed violently removing corflutes supporting Teal MP Ryan yesterday has apologised for his ‘silly’ behaviour, donated money (which was refunded) to Ryan’s campaign and ‘self reported’ to AHPRA.

    Epworth Hospital has sought an explanation from him and he has ‘taken leave’. Further investigations are continuing:

    A number of letters in tomorrow’s Age newspaper have roundly criticised his appalling behaviour.

    Liberal candidate Hamer issued a curt statement saying the surgeon was not a member of the party and not involved in her campaign.

    I suspect this is not the end of the story.

  5. The Solutionsays:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 9:33 pm
    RBA 10 Year data shows that in the year 2000 we owed $355 billion to our home mortgage lenders

    In 2010 we owed $1.226 TRILLION

    This data significantly contributed to the Rudd government response to the GFC, realising the catastrophic impact of falling house prices courtesy of that sub prime lending (and as we saw elsewhere where people just walked away from their homes collapsing banks)

    The question being did house prices drive up our mortgage debt or did our mortgage debt drive up house prices

    And this is why there is no quick and easy solution – the solution being wage increases exceeding the rate of inflation for the foreseeable

    And that supply meets the market

    _______________________

    I’ve not looked at the microprudential impact of falling house prices. I suspect the two largest issues is negative equity; and associated with that is a seizing up in the sellers market. When house prices took the dip 2 years ago, sales volumes collapsed. I dont have anything academic on hand but the conversation did an article on the issue – I’m pleased they noted the wealth effect consumption, a huge issue not covered in Aussie media:

    https://theconversation.com/five-parts-of-the-economy-that-are-hit-when-house-prices-fall-208161#:~:text=It%27s%20a%20complex%20relationship%2C%20but,effect%20for%20the%20wider%20economy.

    APRA took some action in 2017 regarding the speed of investor loans, thought the micropudential concern was the rapid rise in interest-only lending:

    https://www.apra.gov.au/news-and-publications/apra-to-remove-interest-only-benchmark-for-residential-mortgage-lending

    Household net worth is weighed towards housing, though superannuation is also quite sizable. I haven’t looked at price to debt ratio for housing, but it is at least a decent multiple.

    https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/national-accounts/australian-national-accounts-finance-and-wealth/latest-release

    The slight irony is that all this is reducing wealth inequality, not increasing it. While counterintuitive, that households own houses, and workers have superannuation, means in trend terms at least wealth gini is moving towards the equality side (Australia had some of the lowest wealth inequality in the world):

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_by_wealth_inequality

  6. Been There @ #603 Saturday, April 19th, 2025 – 9:56 pm

    Kirsdarke

    WB deleted mj’s offensive post.

    Hope he does with your forwarding of the statement.

    I know you mean well but that was bad!

    Are you okay mj?

    Ah, okay.

    On a brighter note, since my mum is allergic to gluten, I’m glad to have found some gluten-free chocolates to give her tomorrow for Easter.


  7. S777says:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 7:32 pm
    ”How come Broncos keep coming from dead? This habit of Broncos coming from dead need to be stopped for the good of NRL. ”

    They went back to the dead in extra time … and no resurrection for them tomorrow.

    Ha ha…

  8. Political Nightwatchman says:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 9:30 pm

    Oh, no criticism was intended by me, PN. I’m proud to bludge, whether as a stooge or as a hack, typists who generally cop a lot of stereotyped criticism. Party loyalists contribute to the democratic order. We ask for nothing more than to participate. Without the engagement of ordinary citizens democracy cannot function. Things would be better if there were more hacks. We have several here among the bludgers, I’m happy to observe.

  9. “mjsays:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 7:23 pm
    I think it’s also a democratic and moral issue as well. Why should they get to decide the policy’s of the government of Australia with 12% of the vote.

    ——
    Why should Labor be the dictator with 32% of the vote?”

    Because, in these scenarios, almost half of the 150 electorates have chosen Labor as most preferred representative

  10. Hack, woke, Partisansays:
    Party loyalists contribute to the democratic order. We ask for nothing more than to participate.
    ____________
    I could think of nothing mentally lower than a party loyalist. As in a true fanatic. These people are behind most atrocities of the past 100 years. A political religion is no different from any other ideology.

    I always expect more from my government and hold them to close scrutiny and criticism because that is democracy, not handing out HTV cards. Even when a government seems to meet many of your ideals, that is the time to be even more questioning of it.

    Orwell condemned the party loyalists so expertly:

    Even the humblest Party member is expected to be competent, industrious, and even intelligent within narrow limits, but it is also necessary that he should be a credulous and ignorant fanatic whose prevailing moods are fear, hatred, adulation, and orgiastic triumph


  11. Political Nightwatchmansays:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 9:13 pm
    Well said wranslide. A lot of the people here who are derided as anti labor are more accurately just anti stooge.

    @Nath

    Nath your used stooge line many times to get away from a debate. Player One and Rex Douglas use the same trick with the ‘partisans’ and ‘bi-partisans’. It’s effectively playing the man not the ball. We all have bias on here, but just because you support the teals or the greens doesn’t make you the most impartial.

    Watch out PN
    nath may call you pest because you made a valid argument. 🙂

  12. The impacts of stressed borrowers giving their keys back to their lenders and walking away from “their” homes was on full display in 2008 hence the sub prime lending crisis morphing to the Global Financial Crisis

    Books have been written and movies made

    Lenders are responsible to their Shareholders – and for the use of Shareholder money pay a dividend

    Hence, to protect their Shareholders, the lenders do not lend above a certain loan to valuation ratio (noting the policy of the government to guarantee)

    And the lenders require that the borrower has the intent and capacity to service the loan (including from joint incomes)

    The LVR and the intent and ability to repay the loan by principal plus interest repayments over the term of the loan, so 25 or 30 years are the drivers

    The price of any housing you seek to purchase is down to the market – a willing seller and a willing buyer

    Basically you need stability in the market – as you do in life

    House prices will rise (and they can fall see the late 1980’s and early 1990’s courtesy of the Savings and Loans bust then the GFC where Australia was spared by government action to prop up the economy seeking stability) because across life the very great majority of the population will improve their financial position and their abilities to afford

    There is a market place dynamic

    And our next generations are positioned to be far wealthier than their earlier generations because of compulsory superannuation, time and compounding

    The old story was if you dip your finger into a bucket of water there will be an overflow

    It is the complexity of that overflow (see Brexit)

    And over the journey Australian banks (well, one of them at least) changed policy and did not lend interest only

  13. The Revisionist says:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 10:47 pm
    “mjsays:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 7:23 pm
    I think it’s also a democratic and moral issue as well. Why should they get to decide the policy’s of the government of Australia with 12% of the vote.

    ——
    Why should Labor be the dictator with 32% of the vote?”

    Because, in these scenarios, almost half of the 150 electorates have chosen Labor as most preferred representative

    The chances are that Labor will return well over half of the Members of the House, to be 20 or 30 or more members clear of the next largest party, while an assorted cross bench will also be present. This will mean Labor provide the Government. But government is not dictatorship. The Parliament also includes the Senate, which is a very powerful chamber, and in any case the actions open to the Commonwealth are set out and limited in the Constitution.

    The Greens like to imagine they can extort ‘concessions’ from Labor. They have no hope of doing this. This reflects the electoral and institutional reality. It is not a matter of dictatorship. The suggestion of dictatorship is merely polemics and it is, moreover, absolutely false.

  14. Just got back from a Sarah Blasco gig, girl can wail.

    I know a Labor stooge, the guy is a dick.

    I know lots of Labor supporters, great people one and all.


  15. nath says:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 10:53 pm

    I’m happy to report I’ve shared in no atrocities. I’m not religious, though I am allergic to Reactionaries.

    I think democracy is the hope of ordinary people….people, like me, who have very little to their name, people whose origins and destiny are humble. We have nothing without our votes and our rights to organise. Democracy needs participants. I door knock. I hand out HTVs. I scrutineer. I listen to voters. I make phone calls. I contribute to policy. I donate. I ask for nothing in return. I am a servant of the process that in turn serves the people. I am obscure and count for nothing much. But I am certainly not a credulous, ignorant fanatic. Orwell was wrong about this.

  16. “The chances are that Labor will return well over half of the Members of the House, …”

    Let’s hope….looking good

    I was specifically referring to hung parliament scenarios

  17. @parkySPsays: Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 9:46 pm
    “On a note outside of the conversation theme of today. I read today in Riverina that two of the conservative leaning independents that are campaigning on a full throated “kick out the Nats” ( ie the utterly ineffectual Michael McCormack) have their HTV with the Nats before ALP. Seems that backing up your words with actions is more difficult than presumed. Even when not handcuffed by a party (wink).”
    ~~~~~~~~~
    Do you know where they put the Jenny Rolfe on their HTV cards? If anyone’s unseating the Nationals it’s most likely the Teal candidate


  18. The Revisionistsays:
    Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 11:18 pm
    “The chances are that Labor will return well over half of the Members of the House, …”

    Let’s hope….looking good

    I was specifically referring to hung parliament scenarios

    We all know that Murdoch Press is throwing one kitchen sink after another for the past few weeks at least.

    Is there a possibility that there will be thumb on scale for Newspoll?

  19. Trump admin now blames Harvard demands as a mistake due to its own incompetence

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/4/18/2317353/-Trump-admin-now-blames-Harvard-demands-as-a-mistake-due-to-its-own-incompetence?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

    “By now many in this country not pathologically glued to Fox News are familiar with the fact that the Trump administration demanded a bevy of onerous concessions from Harvard University as conditional for receiving billions in future federal funding.

    Unlike other institutions which had abjectly cowered in the face of such threats, Harvard — which boasts a huge private endowment — told the administration in no uncertain terms, basically, to piss off.

    Apparently now the administration — or at least one official within it — is frantically backpedaling, indicating that the “demand” letter sent to Harvard and detailing its extortionate demands was, in fact, sent in error.

    As reported by Michael S. Schmidt and Michael C. Bender, reporting for the New York Times:

    “Harvard University received an emailed letter from the Trump administration last Friday that included a series of demands about hiring, admissions and curriculum so onerous that school officials decided they had no choice but to take on the White House.

    The university announced its intentions on Monday, setting off a tectonic battle between one of the country’s most prestigious universities and a U.S. president. Then, almost immediately, came a frantic call from a Trump official.

    The April 11 letter from the White House’s task force on antisemitism, this official told Harvard, should not have been sent and was “unauthorized,” two people familiar with the matter said.”

    “This kind of begs the question… exactly how much serious thought is being brought to the policies of this administration? Is there any degree of serious thought at all? The so-called Iran “nuclear deal” that the press has fixated on this week? The tariff economic “policy” that quite literally impacts hundreds of millions of Americans? How about potentially abandoning Ukraine and the entire NATO alliance to Russia’s tender mercies?

    Is there any intelligent thought at all going on here? Or is this simply a demented, fascist and performative cartoon — basically for the LULZ — that Americans are being subjected to, and damn the consequences? Who cares, amirite?”

  20. Ven @ #618 Saturday, April 19th, 2025 – 11:25 pm

    White House Post Mocks Supreme Court Ruling

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/4/18/2317223/-White-House-Post-Mocks-Supreme-Court-Ruling?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

    “This official White House X/Twitter post says it all: “he’s never coming back”— blatant open defiance of the Supreme Court.”

    That’s ominous. I reckon they’ll say the same when they send their strongest political opponents to the El Salvador Gulags.

    “They’re never coming back.”

    And who will be left to stop them?

  21. Earlier some of the bludgers posted about 7-2 decision by US Supreme Court to stop deporting people to El Salvador Gulag.

    But here is the story why, how and when the order is issued.
    IT IS AMAZING

    Wow: Supreme Court’s Early Morning Order Stops Deportation Flights

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/4/19/2317398/-Wow-Supreme-Court-s-Early-Morning-Order-Stops-Deportation-Flights?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

    “At a hearing last night a D.C. judge sympathized with desperate lawyers for those to be deported but said he was powerless to stop them under the Supreme Court’s decision saying all such appeals had to be made in the district where the government was holding the people. The judge invited the Supreme Court to intervene, but it was already about 9 pm.

    Well, I have never heard of this sort of thing before, but the Supreme Court, in the dead of night, did intervene. In an order dated Saturday, so it happened, sometime after Midnight (it appears to have been between 1 or 2 am) the Supreme Court issue an order that all such deportations under the Enemy Aliens Act be stopped. It was a 7-2 decision with Alito and Thomas dissenting. A written dissent by Alito is to follow because he apparently did not have time to write one yet.

    Folks, that is some crazy jacked up crazy stuff there from the Supreme Court. Dark of the night full vote orders like that is not anything I have heard of before. Sometimes one assigned justice issues a late night emergency order in rare life or death situations delaying things, but this was a vote of the full court.

    The good news is that the Supreme Court stayed up into the wee hours of the morning to preserve the rule of law against autocracy. The bad news is that two dissented.”

  22. I thought Time Magazine might annoy Trump and make Elon Musk Person of the Year in 2025 – maybe now they could give it to Kilmar Albrego Garcia – the man illegally sent to an El Salvador prison, and a symbol of all that is wrong with the POTUS and SCOTUS.

  23. Ven

    Justices Alito and Thomas are beyond redemption. Maybe if all 9 supremes get sent to a gulag in El Salvador the Supremes might finally decide Trump has gone too far!

    Though Alito and Thomas might still be the two dissenters in a 7-2 ruling!!

  24. Court blocks Donald Trump’s Executive Order against Susman Godfrey law firm
    The Trump administration passed an executive order against Susman stating that lawyers and law firms that engage in activities detrimental to American interests should not have access to the Nation’s secrets.

    https://www-barandbench-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.barandbench.com/amp/story/news/litigation/court-blocks-donald-trumps-executive-order-against-susman-godfrey-law-firm?amp_gsa=1&amp_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQIUAKwASCAAgM%3D#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17450705288520&csi=1&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.barandbench.com%2Fnews%2Flitigation%2Fcourt-blocks-donald-trumps-executive-order-against-susman-godfrey-law-firm

    “A federal judge in the District of Columbia on April 15 issued a temporary restraining order halting the enforcement of major provisions of an executive order by Trump Administration targeting prominent law firm Susman Godfrey LLP.

    The Court order specifically restrained the federal government from implementing Sections 1, 3, and 5 of the Executive Order that was issued by President Trump on April 9.

    The blocked sections include statements about the law firm’s alleged activities, requirements for government contractors to disclose business relationships with the firm and restrictions on interactions between government employees and the firm.

    “Plaintiff’s Motion for a Temporary Restraining Order is GRANTED,” stated Judge Loren L Alikhan in the order.”

  25. I saw some comments earlier about the Trumpet of Parrots (as first named by their ‘owner’ Clive Palmer).

    I actually think it is a very logical ‘game solution’ to put every incumbent last. If what you want is disruption this is the way to do it, and if every minor party voter did that it would have an effect.

    I think One Nation famously did this in the 2001 WA election, and I think it helped Labor win government.

    In our current Federal election, as much as ‘Trumpeters’ would get or follow any how to vote card it would be more damaging to the Coalition I think as it is slightly more likely to turn a ‘non Labor’ vote to a ‘non Coalition’ vote in a Coalition marginal than the other way around.

    Who knows? If the Trumpets get 2.5% and even if 80% of their preferences end up with the Coalition, that still means it is 2% Coalition 0.5% Labor, so effectively 1.5% to the Coalition in TPP. This the Coalition ‘lose’ 1% of TPP compared to those voters just voting Coalition if the Trumpets weren’t there. And on a 60/40 preference split the Coalition get only a 0.5% effectively from that 2.5%.

    I used to get stressed by these minor right wing parties, but in the end I think they do more damage to the Coalition than to Labor.

  26. My USA nightmare

    4th July 2026 – 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence

    Massive ‘SAFT – Save America From Trump’ rallies are planned across the entire country, with the biggest planned for Washington DC.

    Close to a million people come to the National Mall in DC to disrupt Trump’s militaristic 250th celebration (think of the old USSR Tanks and Missiles type parade in Red Square in Moscow).

    Trump invokes the 1807 Insurrection Act to get the State National Guards and regular military to suppress the demonstrations.

    Military training is not about crowd control, it is about ‘neutralising’ an enemy.

    So what could possibly go wrong – while all the world’s media are televising this spectacle?

    This is what I am having nightmares about, especially with family possibly near to all of this next year.

    I truly believe that 4th July 2026 will be a day of high danger.

  27. Rocket Rocket at 12.33 am

    A scenario of the Strumpets helping Labor may occur occasionally, but it will depend on other factors too.

    E.g. Braddon: Strumpet in top spot, with Lib on bottom. Only 6 candidates compared to 10 in 2025. Two bigger minor candidates missing – Garland who got nearly 8%, now in Tassie Pt, and Lambie stooge at 10%.

    Only independent in 2025 Adam Martin is a bit like Garland though less distinctive. Will preference Labor.

    Hanson got 4.3% in 2022 and unlikely to increase a lot.

    If the Strumpet gets 3% and more than half go to Labor on preferences that could prove quite significant.

  28. Former prime minister Scott Morrison says Peter Dutton’s years of defending his slender margin (currently 1.7 per cent) in his Brisbane seat of Dickson has made him a “very formidable operator on the ground”, someone “with a view much closer to the edge than most MPs”.

    An accidental admission the Member for Cook exceeded expectations?

  29. Been There says:
    Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 12:03 am
    It’s getting better and better re the US courts!

    Pyrrhic victory the republicans will ignore final orders.
    Court Orders are enforced by the US Marshal service, Marshal’s under the control of the President.

    There will be no mid term elections, US is already a dictatorship , it’s just that Ads haven’t gone out yet..

    The ONLY thing that will stop Trump is tanking of bond & stock markets.. leading to riots in the street

  30. Elon Musk proves he’s the worlds biggest wanker.. no one should be surprised

    Guardian..
    I regret to inform you that, once again, we are all being forced to think about Elon Musk’s gonads. Musk, who has had at least 14 children with four women, hasn’t officially launched a new mini-Musk for a while, but the Wall Street Journal has just dropped some disturbing details about the billionaire’s well-publicized breeding fetish.

  31. Even the humblest Party member is expected to be competent, industrious, and even intelligent within narrow limits, but it is also necessary that he should be a credulous and ignorant fanatic whose prevailing moods are fear, hatred, adulation, and orgiastic triumph

    lol I don’t think he was referring to political parties in a pluralist democracy somehow… lol… good one though

  32. Is there a possibility that there will be thumb on scale for Newspoll?

    I don’t think so Ven, they’ve never been accused of doing anything like that as far as I know.

  33. Ven @ #620 Saturday, April 19th, 2025 – 11:25 pm

    White House Post Mocks Supreme Court Ruling

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/4/18/2317223/-White-House-Post-Mocks-Supreme-Court-Ruling?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

    “This official White House X/Twitter post says it all: “he’s never coming back”— blatant open defiance of the Supreme Court.”

    This is the actual post. It is sicker than you think. It seems to have been created by some 4chan weirdo for the lulz. But it’s from the official White House account:

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