YouGov brings more good news for Labor, its latest federal poll crediting them with a two-party lead of 53-47, out from 52.5-47.5. The primary votes are Labor 33% (up one), Coalition 33% (down half), Greens 13% (steady) and One Nation 7% (down one-and-a-half). Anthony Albanese is nonetheless down two on approval to 43% and up two on disapproval to 49%, while Peter Dutton is up two to 40% and down three to 50%. Albanese leads 48-38 on preferred prime minister, little changed from 48-37 last week. The poll was conducted Friday to Tuesday from a sample of 1506.
Like any profession I guess, there seems to be a few dodgy medical practitioners out there. Pretty poor by Greg Malham though.
Liberal candidate and doctor in Albany at the recent WA election Tom Brough, missed the TPP count being behind by about 40 votes from the eventual winner and Nationals candidate.
Brough had not only made previous sick comments trying to link the LGBTQIA+ community with pedophilia but later in the election campaign suggested that he’d got together ‘a posse of local GPs that would help potential gun owners navigate through WA’s strict gun laws. Not a GP I’d choose to go to.
I was so happy he didn’t get in. Didn’t even matter who did, as long as it wasn’t him. Best result of the election.
@JIMBOBsays: Friday, April 18, 2025 at 10:35 pm
Afaik, Labor’s HTV cards put Andrew Gee 2nd, then Kate Hook 3rd
Speaking of interesting NSW seats not getting a lot of attention… Cowper. Caz Heise, independent, only needs to claw 2.32% tpp from the 2022 result. It could happen.
Very good mj,
The assassination attempt on his life occurred at the Mosman Town Hall.
Says it all really.
@Bogansays: Friday, April 18, 2025 at 10:40 pm
Iirc some salvaging of Nationals support in Port Macquarie led to Nationals retaining Cowper in 2022. Now that Caz Heise, from what I’ve heard has moved to Port Macquarie and made the city her base of operations, I think there’s a chance she could win Cowper (unless she loses ground in Coffs Harbour which I doubt)
ALP Calare HTV
https://www.howtovote.org.au/calare
It’s pretty hard to get struck off by AHPRA, although bonking a patient will do it every time.
Being mean to a corflute won’t even get you close.
Arthur Calwell was a decent and honourable man, a Labor stalwart, a Catholic, a democratic Socialist (approve) and also, yes, a bit racist. But just about everybody was in 1947. It was official policy via White Australia and, sadder still, Australia’s treatment of our First Nations people.
1947 was before my time, but even in the 1960s I recall that casual racism was everywhere, like cigarette smoke. Most people (or at least Anglo Australians) hardly noticed it.
Not making excuses but not judging.
Also Monash. This is another fascinating seat. Anyone have info on Broadbent preferences and the other independent?
WAP became a racist act but to many labor people it was an industrial act protecting wages.
I’m sure Trump said he would end this war within 24 hours of taking office:
[‘The United States could end its efforts on ending the Ukrainian conflict within “days” if there are no signs of progress, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned Friday.
“If it is not possible to end the war in Ukraine, we need to move on,” he told reporters before departing Paris, where he had held high-level talks with European and Ukrainian officials. “We need to determine very quickly now, and I’m talking about a matter of days, whether or not this is doable,” he said.
Rubio’s comments point to mounting frustration within the Trump administration at the lack of progress at bringing the three-year full-scale war to a halt.
Moscow has stalled on negotiations and rejected a ceasefire proposal agreed by Kyiv. Having promised on the campaign trail to end the fighting in a day, US President Donald Trump more recently said “Russia has to get moving.”
Despite US officials holding talks with Ukrainian and European counterparts on Thursday in what the State Department touted as an “excellent exchange,” and progress being made toward a landmark minerals deal between Washington and Kyiv, peace still feels out of reach. Meanwhile, a partial ceasefire on energy infrastructure brokered by the US came to an end on Thursday, an agreement both sides frequently accused each other of violating.
Vice President JD Vance said hours after Rubio’s comments that the Trump administration feels “optimistic” they will ultimately be able to successfully negotiate an end to the Russia-Ukraine war.’]
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/04/18/europe/rubio-russia-war-in-ukraine-us-talks-intl-hnk/index.html
Cowper gone to independent. It’s over.
Calare still three horse race, as is Monash.
@JIMBOBsays: Friday, April 18, 2025 at 10:49 pm
Broadbent’s preferences:
1. Broadbent
2. One Nation
3. Family First
4. Trumpet of Patriots
5. Liberals
6. Legalise Cannabis
7. Labor
8. Deb Leonard (the Teal)
One Nation also put Russell Broadbent #2 on their HTV card
Interesting poll from Wentworth. It’s not the vibe I get down here on the southern boundary of the electorate in Coogee, but perhaps things are different in the mansions of Dover Heights, Point Piper and Vaucluse. I’ll be shocked if Allegra doesn’t win and win easily.
Comes on the same day as an article in The Australian about Allegra Spender corflutes being illegally placed on power poles. Never mind the irony of the photo they chose to illustrate the article also showing a Liberal corflute illegally placed on a power pole too…
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/margin-call/teal-foreign-workers-posting-election-posters-on-power-poles-caught-on-video-abusing-voters/news-story/06a3477499bed56dae129099394dd0a3?amp
BREKAING: AFRICAN GANGS USE TRANSGENDER BOAT VESSELS TO PLACE SPENDER CORFLUTES ON WOKE COFFEE SHOP ENTRANCE
Individual seat polls need to be taken with a huge amount of salt. Especially who commissions them. Forresty Australia always has Greens primaries way below, probably 50% what they normally get.
Labor to legislate to protect penalty rates
Meanwhile Labor has unveiled plans to legislate to protect against a reduction in penalty rates for workers employed under an award.
The plan lands as retail, clerical and banking groups push to make changes to the use of rates.
In a submission to a Fair Work Commission review, the Australian Retailers Association has proposed allowing some staff to opt out of penalty rates, overtime, some allowances and rostering arrangements in favour of a 25 per cent pay rise.
Labor has already intervened in that matter to argue the proposal would leave workers thousands of dollars worse off.
Employment and Workplace Relations Minister Murray Watt said employees should be compensated for working weekends.
“We will introduce legislation to ensure workers don’t have their pay cut and their penalty rates are protected into the future,”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04-18/coalition-sets-small-business-growth-targets/105192224
William Bowe says Friday, April 18, 2025 at 10:12 pm
I’m sure there’s a pun in there. Perhaps, Compass has led Dennis Shanahan astray. Compass using Dennis Shanahan has gotten himself well and truly lost.
Bludgeoned Westie. Thanks. At least 25 in 25.
Connor at 11.03
Comes on the same day as an article in The Australian about Allegra Spender corflutes being illegally placed on power poles. Never mind the irony of the photo they chose to illustrate the article also showing a Liberal corflute illegally placed on a power pole too.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/margin-call/teal-foreign-workers-posting-election-posters-on-power-poles-caught-on-video-abusing-voters/news-story/06a3477499bed56dae129099394dd0a3?amp
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I presume it is illegal in all state capital cities to place corflutes on power poles, yet in Brisbane it is very common to see corflutes nailed or screwed or zip tied to power poles, not by political candidates who stopped doing that years ago, except for Clive Palmer’s party who last election put up hundreds of them,
but companies advertising roof painting or renovating for $1,999.
I have rung the Brisbane City Council hundreds, if not thousands of times to complain and sometimes I’m told to ring Energex who own the poles, depends on who answers the phone as to what action they will take.
Usually, the signs will be taken down but it could take up to a month or some never get taken down because there are so many of them.
I once saw a man in a ute putting them up, he put up 5 in about 5 minutes while I followed him in the streets of my suburb.
I saw that he had about 100 of them in the tray.
He was quick and efficient but his number plate showed that the ute was rented.
This has been going on for approx 10 years and it seems nothing stops them.
If you drive out of the city limits they still put election signs on power poles and on trees because I’m not sure what their council laws are.
Bludgeoned Westie at 9.09 pm
There is no Lib candidate in Richmond. See:
https://www.pollbludger.net/fed2025/HR.htm?s=Richmond
It will clearly be a Labor retain. Nats will probably run third and preference Labor over Greens.
Did you see the comments on your post at the end of the previous thread last night?
Macnamara will be close, and is hard to judge. Why would so many in Wills vote on a foreign issue?
Quentin Rountree at 9.10 pm
Where are we now, on the eve of pre-poll starting?
See graph at: https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/04/poll-roundup-coalition-in-freefall.html
Dr Bonham has started to revise his Hanson bonus in preferences to LNP.
Obviously there is no way back for Dutton from here. Tactically, he has a choice, framed recently by King OMalley: stagger on, going steadily backwards (“back to the track”) or crash faster downwards.
What I noticed from ALP HTV cards is that ALP put ONP last in each and every electorate even when Palmer party is contesting the seat.
”
Steve777says:
Friday, April 18, 2025 at 10:48 pm
Arthur Calwell was a decent and honourable man, a Labor stalwart, a Catholic, a democratic Socialist (approve) and also, yes, a bit racist. But just about everybody was in 1947. It was official policy via White Australia and, sadder still, Australia’s treatment of our First Nations people.
1947 was before my time, but even in the 1960s I recall that casual racism was everywhere, like cigarette smoke. Most people (or at least Anglo Australians) hardly noticed it.
Not making excuses but not judging.
”
Ss far as I know Menzies, Holt or McMahon never visited India in official capacity as PM.
Did they visit China.
I know China and India were very economically poor.
@Dr Doolittlesays: Friday, April 18, 2025 at 11:54 pm
I thought I made it clear that the scenario of Liberals running in Richmond is a hypothetical rather than a current election in my original comment. Some time in the future, I think it’s possible that the Liberals will just decide to run in Richmond bc they see themselves as more likely to gain the seat for the Coalition than the Nationals.
Also I’ve yet to read any comments about my prediction from last thread besides someone acknowledging it, I’m surprised you managed to find it.
Bludgeoned Westie at 12.08 pm
Seasoned observers think one election at a time provides enough to speculate. General circumstances of any future election are unclear until it is much closer, as shown by Act II of the Make America Grunt Again show.
Ven at 12.08 pm
If Menzies never visited India it would not have been because he didn’t have the time or opportunity.
He used to travel to UK by ship, which presumably would have been near enough to India to call in.
Of course India was non-aligned and had good relations with the USSR, whereas Menzies was aligned more even with the UK than Australia, as shown by his nuclear tests decisions.
Menzies had a cousin I think who was a Trade Commissioner who visited China in 1956, but soon after that PM Menzies stopped even visits from low level trade officials. In that policy he slavishly followed the US not the UK.
Both Holt and McMahon pretended that the capital of China was Taipei. They were geographically challenged.
Ven says:
Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 12:04 am
What I noticed from ALP HTV cards is that ALP put ONP last in each and every electorate even when Palmer party is contesting the seat.
It has been ever thus. Hanson is overtly racist. Labor decided she and her party should go last at the time of their formation and have never deviated.
Yes Doctor Doolittle I think it’s too late for Peter honestly I think they’re in furniture saving mode he had a horrid three weeks where the polls were moving up towards Labor not towards them I don’t even think that news pole wouldn’t release his is going to be good for Peter
Splitting this post into 2 since Pollbludger has a bit of an issue with publishing long posts (if my previous 2 attempts are posting this show up and flood the thread I apologise)
@Dr Doolittlesays: Friday, April 18, 2025 at 12:12 am
https://www.pollbludger.net/2025/04/17/polls-freshwater-strategy-redbridge-mrp-poll-and-more-open-thread/comment-page-16/#comment-4503478
“On a pedantic point there is no LNP candidate in Bullwinkel. Mia Davies is National candidate but she will be defeated by Dutton’s shemozzles.”
I use LNP to refer to the Coalition. Ik it’s a bit confusing considering that there is an LNP in QLD that is technically separate from the Liberal, National and Country Liberal Parties in the Coalition. However, using LIB/NAT would just leave out the other party and LN-C or COA just looks weird imo.
I’m well aware that WA NATs are significantly more autonomous than other state branches of the Nationals. In fact I don’t think they’re officially part of the Coalition, but they do closely and de facto collaborate with them.
I do agree that Matt Moran will gain Bullwinkel simply bc the majority of the electorate lives in Outer Suburban Perth suburbs like Kalamunda; people there would be more open to voting Liberals rather than Nationals.
“Look at the swing to Labor in WA on BT then consider the nominal margin for the new seat. The logic you used to make Chisholm a Labor retain applies much more to Bullwinkel.”
My logic on Chisholm hinges on 2 assumptions:
1. Chinese Australian voters returning to ALP
2. Labor improving their position in VIC
Point 1 was more of a decisive factor when deciding Chisholm, but would be useless for Bullwinkel as the electorate doesn’t contain a significant Chinese population.
I assume you were referring to point 2 with ALP polling improving in WA. However, there’s some differences. For VIC, Labor has (or had) a particularly nasty swing against them, which would theoretically threaten their hold on marginal seats in VIC as any seat held by Labor around margin of 5% could be lost.
For WA, according to Pollbludger, ALP has improved by 1.5%, which I don’t think is a significant (enough) swing. At best it’d probably be a status quo result which would mean Labor would keep Bullwinkel.
However, I’m expecting a swing back to normalcy in WA after an unusually high result for Labor in 2022. A huge factor in that would be Mark McGowan’s popularity. However, since he’s retired I would expect people to return to their usual voting habits; this has been shown in the recent WA election with a return to normalcy being (imo) the main factor in why Labor suffering losses in Churchlands and huge swings in many outer-suburban seats.
Talking about state results, Kalamunda, a key part of Bullwinkel voted for the Liberals. If translated into federal results, it doesn’t bode well for Labor which holds Bullwinkel on a 3.3% margin which was already based off an unusually high vote for Labor in 2022. I’d expect Federal Labor to perform slightly worse than WA Labor in this election, just like what happened in 2022. Not to mention, that iirc, Bullwinkel in 2019 results would’ve been a Liberal seat, so a normal election would see Bullwinkel go Liberals.
Furthermore, there’s a Lack of Incumbency. There would be no personal vote which would help Labor retain this seat against the odds like with Sam Lim in Tangney. Everyone will be campaigning on a blank slate.
“You have noted Rebecca White’s status as a key factor in Labor retaining Lyons. So is Labor’s health policy. Albo was in Bridgewater the other day promoting that policy. Note there is more salmon farming in Franklin than in Lyons but most of it is in Braddon, where the Liberal candidate has been caught fabricating a non-affluent image. The obvious contrast is Bass, where Ms Archer does not have to resort to fake news.”
Idk how Labor’s health (mainly medicare I assume) policies have been received in TAS, but I’ll keep in mind the positive reception when making predictions for TAS seats. Thx for more info on Salmon farming. Now, I don’t think it’d be important for Lyons but the fact that it’s a huge statewide issue might have some impact on how people will vote.
Now, how would Labor’s protection of Salmon farming will affect them in Franklin and Braddon? For Franklin, I think that probably boosts Peter George’s chances since that’s his main issue and many people in Franklin iirc are concerned about the environment (although he will now struggle as Liberals preference Labor above him) As for Braddon, which is an electorate that depends more on resource extraction, I doubt that would give ALP a boost there considering Liberals also support Salmon farming and more policies which would benefit economic interests there. Despite the hiccup by the Liberal candidate, I think he will win Braddon.
“Your expected 6 Lib gains from Labor are based on out of date polling. What is significant is you have only two such gains in Victoria, clearly where the swing against Labor is likely to be largest, though Shorten claimed that is diminishing, which is clearly true.”
I factored in recent polling when making these predictions. It’s still clear that Labor will lose seats this election and fall into minority government.
These seats were chosen because Labor holds them on a narrow margin and has been trending towards the Coalition (Lingiari, Gilmore) and are Dutton’s main targets as outer-suburban seats suffering heavily from Cost of Living and trending towards Coalition (McEwen, Paterson) Aston was a Liberal retain in 2022 which was only gained by Labor at the height of their popularity in 2023. Unless Mary Doyle’s personal vote is really high I would expect this to be lost. Bennelong is a traditional Liberal seat held on a very narrow margin (especially since redistribution) + a high profile Liberal challenger. However, if Labor’s polling improves and Scott Yung makes more gaffes, I think they might retain Bennelong.
“Labor have never lost Lingiari, and with a strong local MP will retain it.”
I haven’t heard much about Marion Scrymgour’s personal popularity in Lingiari so I haven’t factored that in my prediction for Lingiari.
However using the logic that “Party has never lost this seat, therefore they will retain it” is flawed bc I could’ve said the same thing about Banks in 2013 or Tangney in 2022. Demographics and events in the seat will change, which will influence how they will vote.
For Lingiari, there was huge discontent against Labor due to a crime wave in NT (reflected in 2024 NT election; Even if Labor managed to keep their seats in the Bush, CLP still retained their rural seats including those in Alice Springs, a major population centre) I think that the bats have been laid down by now, so maybe people will be more open to voting for Labor.
I would also caution against having increased enrollment of Aboriginals and better mobile voting centres being the savior of Labor in Lingiari. Given the failure of the Voice referendum and increase in negative sentiments towards Aboriginal, it’d only further cement the views of the Aboriginals that whoever they vote won’t help them, leading to less voter turnout or more donkey votes from them.
Part 2
@Dr Doolittlesays: Friday, April 18, 2025 at 12:12 am
https://www.pollbludger.net/2025/04/17/polls-freshwater-strategy-redbridge-mrp-poll-and-more-open-thread/comment-page-16/#comment-4503478
“You have apparently ignored the big problems facing the Lib candidate in Bennelong. Neither that seat nor Gilmore are clear Lib gains, despite the small margins, both because of the weaknesses of the Lib candidates and because of the trend to Labor.”
I clearly highlighted in my opening statement of the prediction that the Liberals have messed up with their candidate in Bennelong. However, I still think Scott Yung’s high profile and massive advertising campaign in Bennelong would lead him to victory in the end. Bennelong and Lingiari are the seats most subject to change though.
As for Gilmore, I’ve heard Fiona Philipps is an active and popular candidate, however Andrew Constance is popular too afaik. His actions in helping the community during the Black Summer Bushfires have definitely boosted his popularity in the community. Not to mention that Gilmore swung against Labor in 2022, a good year for them.
“If you change those 4 seats (Lingiari, Bullwinkel, Bennelong and Gilmore) to Labor, and you recognise that Dai Le (on a small margin against a blow-in candidate in Keneally) is likely to lose, partly due to the trend back to Labor, you would get to 75 seats. Then the hypothetical Greens gains in Wills and Macnamara are all that stop you from recognising a likely Labor win.”
Independent candidates are notoriously hard to unseat once they’ve been elected onto a seat. In addition, polls having been indicating that there is a huge appetite for Independent candidates considering that even at the height of Liberal’s polling, they never exceeded the 50-52% range in Bonham and Pollbludger’s 2pp polling aggregates and even custom 2pp in polling. If there wasn’t a huge appetite for 3rd parties, Dutton would’ve been on a margin of 53% back then.
Not to mention that Dai Le has been actively campaigning on issues like Cost of Living since April 2024 and has close ties with popular mayor Frank Carbone, which will help with her personal vote. Just bc Fowler was a Labor safe seat which usually votes Labor on margins of 60%+ doesn’t mean that she will lose to Labor even with polling trending back to it + Tu Le being a good candidate.
Imo, Dai Le’s going to keep Fowler until she retires or massively screws up.
“What are those Greens gains based on? Macnamara is likely to be close but why presume the Greens will win? The barbarity of Netanyahu’s war will not change many votes in the end.”
I forgot to include the reasoning for Macnamara in my OG comment, sorry about that.
Macnamara:
~300 votes btw ALP and GRN in 3CP, if Labor loses enough votes to both Liberals and Greens in that race the Greens will overtake Labor and proceed to 2pp count
Labor’s unpopular stance on Israel with Jewish voters, Macnamara trending towards Greens, Labor being a bit on the nose in VIC, and now backlash from both sides of the isle might prove enough for Burns to lose 300 or more votes in 3CP.
Even if the 4% swing in VIC won’t be pronounced in an inner city seat like Macnamara, Labor having an open ticket rather than preferencing the Greens has led to Burns taking backlash from both Progressives and Jewish voters. The latter’s attacking Burns for not putting the Greens last whilst Greens are attacking him as a non-left option who’s not doing his part to keep Liberals out of government.
Whether his personal vote will survive this and manage to keep Burns in 2nd place in 3CP count is up in the air. This is my most shakiest prediction and will definitely be subject to change
In addition, here’s Wills:
I see the seat being comprised of 2 main significant communities of interests: Progressives in the South and Muslim voters in the north. Redistribution has pulled Wills further south, which normally wouldn’t be cause for concern for Labor.
However, Labor’s response to the Gaza war has angered many Muslim voters who would support Gaza out of religious solidarity (and personal reasons like family links depending on the person) This isn’t helped by the fact that afaik, Peter Khalil is a bit of a War Hawk and is Pro-Western; also the fact that he’s barely shown up at community forums during the election. The Gaza issue, from what I’ve heard is still significant in Wills and in the minds of Muslim voters.
That means that the community which has largely held up Labor’s hold on Wills is going to turn on Labor for the Pro-Palestine Greens.
On an off note, it’s nice to have someone post a comment respectfully scrutinising my predictions. It’s a shame nadia88 has disappeared from the site bc it’d be interesting to see what inputs she would have. She seems to be knowledgeable about psephology and writes deeply thought out comments.
I miss Nadia.
Nadia, if you’re reading this, I’ll even let you spell your name with a lower case first letter.
(And for me, that’s saying something.)
On Arthur Calwell, I hadn’t realised he was in Parliament until the 1972 election, and did live long enough to see Labor’s 23 year drought broken, dying in July 1973.
THE ONLY THING AMERICANS CARE ABOUT IS THE STATE OF STOCK OR BOND MARKET….
Trump Shifted on Tariffs After Bond Holders Got Jittery. He Held Millions Himself.
As of August, the president’s investment portfolio showed significantly more in bonds than in stocks. It is unclear if his personal holdings had any bearing on his decisions regarding tariffs.
If it needs to crash to stop this … the sooner the better.. the world is fully of clever financiers / economists .. the will survive WITHOUT AMERICA ..
https://youtu.be/8peiLVFsLdw
Westie: I reckon Bullwinkel is a Labor notional hold at this stage. Even if you don’t believe the polls, look at the state election last month: the expected swing back to “normal” didn’t happen. Obviously Labor were down on the 2021 fever dream, but still the second-best result in WA history, and up on the election that brought them in eight years ago. I know state and federal elections aren’t the same, but the state result (57.1) and the Bludgertrack projection (56.5) are close enough that you can compare them.
Looking at WA seats: Bullwinkel is basically Kalamunda (Lib 0.1), Forrestfield (ALP 4.1), half of Midland (ALP 10.9) and Central Wheatbelt (Nat 23.3 vs ALP), a quarter of Darling Range (ALP 5.1) and Armadale (ALP 18.8). The Perth part of the seat looks about 5% for Labor (this is handwavey, I’m not digging into booth results at 1am 😛 ), and the wheatbelt bit where the Libs came third might not help them if the Nats come third and a chunk of their preferences go to Labor. (It’s gonna be interesting looking at where Nat prefs go in the Avon valley – normally they’re first on primaries so they don’t get distributed.)
I calculated a 1.5% Labor margin in Bullwinkel based on the state election results.
Alpha Zero @ 10.54am Friday.
A great reference to Quadr0phenia and a time when Australia had a wonderful progressive government, before the Arab Oil embargo stuffed up the world economy and the CIA destabilised and destroyed Chile.
We, at Chatswood High, were privileged to have a number of exiled Chilean students attend our school from 1974.
Re Arthur Calwell. Apart from being a charisma-free zone, he was definitely an out-and-out racist. The whole point of the post-war mass mifgration program was to keep Australia white: Calwell spent four years selling this message hard to the nation. He railed against the prospect of a “chocolate-coloured Australia” in which non-white Australians who “live on the smell of an oily rag” would “breed like fleas.”
The history of the ALP is steeped in racism, right back to the anti-Chinese movement of the late 19th century. Not quite the South African far left with its slogan “White Workers of the World Unite”, but not far off.
Of course these things must be understood in their historical context, but nonetheless…
As leader, Calwell was very much a hangover from the bad old days. If he could have been moved on a few years before he ultimately was, Whitlam might have become PM while the global economy was still in reasonable shape and political history might have been a little different. (Although I suspect that left factional gumbies like Connor and Cairns would have brought him down just the same.)
New thread.
meher baba
I often look at Labor’s 1949-1972 hiatus and wonder how things could have been different. And yes I wonder if Calwell had stepped aside – but Labor never dumped leaders. Even Hayden ‘stepped down’.
I have always felt that the 1954 election, where Labor got a PRIMARY VOTE of 50% (and I know that this figure is slightly misleading given some uncontested conservative electorates where by definition they got ZERO votes but won) sent Evatt a bit crazy. The next few years after that were a disaster for Labor.
Then of course the 1961 election – which Labor ‘should’ have won.
What I wonder about is that if a clever campaign team from now could go back in time, could they win in particular those two elections for Labor?
In terms of medical and allied disciplinary proceedings, pharmacists and nurses seem to cop it the most.
Doctors with histories of self prescribing and drug use seem to survive if they stay on board if their hair samples are ok.
The quickest way to lose your professional ticket is, as a psychiatrist, forming a sexual relationship with your patient.
pied piper says:
Friday, April 18, 2025 at 9:33 pm
PP give me your bank details & I’ll give you odds on 1000:1 on that.. Allegra will increase her margin sure as eggs.. a dead set certainty… as certain as the sun rising in the east tomorrow morning.