A few days short of the half-way mark, both parties will today conduct what are quaintly known as campaign launches, which in effect are set pieces for Anthony Albanese to announce an expanded home deposit guarantee and Peter Dutton to promise a one-off income tax offset. Hopefully there will be a poll or two along shortly – consecutive Newspolls over the previous two weeks suggest one of those might be along late afternoon, but beyond that I can offer no further insight.
The latest:
• Labor’s member for Macnamara, Josh Burns, has announced his how-to-vote card will not direct preferences, so as not to put the Greens ahead of the Liberals as normal. Mohammad Alfares of The Australian reports “some Labor members” have related “internal rumblings about replicating Mr Burns’ move nationwide”. Macnamara aside, the seats where it could realistically make a difference are limited to the three held by the Greens in Brisbane.
• With suggestions former Victorian state Liberal leader John Pesutto may be driven to bankruptcy and from parliament over his defamation payout to party colleague Moira Deeming, John Ferguson of The Australian reports “powerbrokers” are considering Amelia Hamer as a potential candidate for a Hawthorn by-election if she is unsuccessful in recovering Kooyong from Monique Ryan.
• Alexi Demetriadi of The Australian reports Labor is more concerned about the south-western Sydney seat of Werriwa, held by Anne Stanley on a margin of 5.2%, than Parramatta, held by Andrew Charlton on 3.6%.
No one listening to your crappy flute pied piper. All the children know you are friends with the big bad wolf.
evadssays:
Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 4:01 pm
What a shambolic embarrassment for Jacinta Price and the LNP. Let’s face it, she’s never been known for her honesty but just hours after denying it, there she is wearing a MAGAt cap.
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Though well known for her dishonesty.
“Jacinta Nampijinpa Price, the Coalition rising star charged with reducing government waste, has had to repay expenses she improperly claimed from the taxpayer 13 times totalling almost $11,000 and is being investigated again for potentially misusing her federally funded car to attend her husband’s concerts.”
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/jacinta-price-under-investigation-for-14th-potential-misuse-of-expenses-20250305-p5lh8r.html
pied piper
The majority of Aussies value women’s reproductive rights, DEI, subsidised or free healthcare, caring for the less fortunate and their right to social security, sensible controlled migration, upholding of our democracy and Constitution, respect for our judiciary, habeas corpus rights, freedom of non-violent protest and respect for higher education.
You’re an outlier, maybe max 15% of Australians would agree with you. Why don’t you f off to Arkansas, your spiritual home?
I am still wondering if the tax deductible mortgage repayments policy announced by Dutton applies to current mortgage holders or just those approved on or after some future date . Can anyone help me with this ?
Thanks in advance.
Cheers.
My understanding is it’s first homebuyers on a new title? I think it’s future?
Could be wrong.
pp
Good looks like libs have decided to embrace trump
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The wilderness will be long because liberals already lost 10 seats to progressive crossbanchers.
Err Bill Clinton Dem Arkansas native.
Feel sorry for the thousands of Australian women forced to stay with violent partners because of the labor fed governments housing shortage and high immigration.
Also the women bashed by illegals and sexually assaulted as Dutton pointed out today.
Now stabilised libs and we wait for the swing and more labor own goals.
Tony says.. Mate we are so fucked.. I really wish I wasn’t here…
Bellwether @ #452 Sunday, April 13th, 2025 – 3:38 pm
Problem is, many of them vote Liberal. And no matter how far to the centre (or beyond) the ALP shift, those people still find it hard to vote for them.
Looking good atm. Although there has been a trend to blame parties in power at the time for the post covid price increases. It’s obviously not related to who’s in power at this time, but there is an impact with a the less educated . The US is an example of this imo.
Scepticsays:
Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 4:18 pm
Tony says.. Mate we are so fucked.. I really wish I wasn’t here…
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Actually i believe he said: “Just need to announce an Australian knighthood for Prince William and we will have this in the bag”
@TK – they do, the Liberal Party will always have people who are members and voters (I was one for a brief moment) who think the feral rw stuff is just for show, and the corporate-minded moderates keep the machine going. Not much you can do about it and you can’t lose sleep over it.
They’re wrong, moderates have been purged and by the looks of it the party is increasingly captured in its own info bubble. They’d rather be Antipodean Republicans than Australian Liberals.
There are about 120k new home buyer loans a year (so probably 200k people). But if it is only new home buyers with new titles that is significantly less (about half).
But they are talking about 10 billion which suggest the first figure.
So Price doesn’t only tell porkies about her MAGA allegiance, she’s also a rorter of the public purse. And Dutton selects her to head his Department(?) of Government Efficiency. Perversely, she might do well in the job.
Sceptic @ #451 Sunday, April 13th, 2025 – 4:18 pm
Scomo: “He’ll never win an election.”
“Intense media interest (well, you can hardly blame us), later resulted in Price’s own surprise that she had aped US President Donald Trump’s (in)famous slogan.”
What kind of empty headed moron regurgitates the most famous four world slogan on the planet without realising it? Has it become so ingrained in her speech & brain patterns that she spews it out so much it’s become a verbal tic she has no control over? God help us if this idiot has any power.
Pied piper clutching at straws, he doesn’t know what to say next
pied piper
Let’s say, hypothetically, Labor wins a majority would you be willing to admit that the Trumpist template doesn’t fit Australia?
Thanks for the replies to my mortgage payments tax deduction question.
The reason I asked is because the coalition has budgeted 1.25 billion over four years for the policy. That does not seem a huge amount in the overall scheme of things.
Cheers.
ABC
Spears… “this election is tight..”.. sure
There isn’t the loathing for Scomo this time.. but there is a second rate buffoon in his place.. It’s NOT close.
The bot trolls will be nicer to you over at the daily telegraph comments section
For those asking if you can deduct your home you purchased new…
Obviously not. It’s no longer new if you own it. Thought that was kinda obvious
@bob
“What kind of empty headed moron regurgitates the most famous four world slogan on the planet”
I dunno seems like a brain fart or bad advice. I get backing a winner slogan, but given the disgust for all things trump, I’m going with brain fart.
I don’t think Albo was drunk when he fell off the stage….
If Dutton can’t get Liberals back on track, how can he hope to get the country back on track.
Two very underwhelming careerist candidates with shortsighted sugar hits as election bribes.
Good structural policy ended when Gillard was torn down by the fossil fuel cartel.
piper being even more disgusting than usual with the domestic violence angle.
We still remember that the last Coalition government, of which Dutton, Cash and Co were a major part, told women protesting about that government’s lack of action on domestic violence that they would be shot for protesting in other countries, and treated the topic as something they dealt with by slashing funding, then announcing new funding but then not actually delivering that funding (you know, the classic Morrison move, along with the other classic Morrison move of reannouncing the same funding to make it sound like more money was being given than was actually the case)
April 13
The 13th? Bluey reckons what were they all thinking?
Bluey watched most of both speeches.
Dutton performed to expectations.
Albanese performed above expectations.
Bluey reckons that Dutton should wake up. The Price is not Right. She is Making Australia Grotty Again.
The Labor launch was more professional. Little things stood out. The crowd and the speaker were well integrated with the Labor launch. The crowd disappeared from view during the Liberal launch. The lighting was such that Dutton’s eyes were fully shaded. Not quite Darth Vader but still… The time lapse in the applause sounded faker than it probably was anyway. Just another straw in the wind of poor campaign management. The other straw in the wind was Dutton’s bug tax flip flop. Two weeks ago there would be no changes to the Liberal tax policy. Today there was a grasping at straws. Tax policy has changed.
Flip.Flop.
Bluey reckons that the monstrous word salads will be indecipherable to most voters and that the catchy Murdoch headlines will tell them that they are going to save $55,000 by buying a house.
Bluey wonders why Mr Nasty keeps saying nasty things about reasonable people like Chalmers and Albanese. Bluey reckons that this nasty vibe is killing Mr Nasty. Bluey notes that the psycho sexual weird Mr Nasty surfaces with the odd call for a Royal Commission into child sexual abuse in Aboriginal communities. There were more dog whistles than at a sheep dog trial.
Bluey notes that Dutton’s populist policies are well-targeted are an economic nonsense, but with the assiduous help of the paid for scribblers might make some difference at the margins.
Score for the Day
Labor plus 1 for campaign professionalism; plus 1 for Albanese presenting as a decent, steady hand; 0 for policies; minus 1 for MSM white anting.
Liberals minus 1 for not getting the small things like the Launch lighting right and allowing Price to suck some more oxygen from der Tag; plus 1 for policies that are going to be relatable one liners; plus one for MSM boosterism.
Indies minus 1 because Monique was not up to scratch on Insiders.
Zero for the rest.
Cumulative Score
Labor plus 1 for a total of 10
Liberals plus 1 for a total of minus 8
Greens 0 for a total of minus 2.
PHON 0 for a total of 5
Indies minus 1 for a total of 1
Nationals 0 for a total of 4
ToP 0 for a total of minus 2.
Daily reset of the Bluey prognosis: Labor minority government.
Maybe I’m missing something but this election seems extremely one-sided.
@bellwether
“Maybe I’m missing something but this election seems extremely one-sided.”
Do you mean a very likely ALP win? There is a long way to go. Lots can happen yet.
“No one listening to your crappy flute pied piper. ”
It’s called a recorder.
We don’t want what is happening in the US. It is more than a threat that Dutton will release the hounds. We know he will. Australia will be fucked up bad.
Yeah there is a reason why no one is a professional recorder player. You just sound baaaad pipypipez.
Liberals minus 1 for not getting the small things like the Launch lighting right…
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Jesus. Bluey is a tough marker. Can’t see that worth being a minus 1.
Haven’t been following Bluey much this campaign, but if a minus 1 for lighting is any guide I reckon his totals would be up the shit.
Sceptic:
Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 4:18 pm
That’s a good pic of Dutton.
In January 2010, so over 15 years ago, Australians owed $1.226 trillion to our home mortgage lenders
Do the sums of the LNP package including looking at the purchaser demographic (so down sizing, up sizing and how many new entrants to the home mortgage demographic)
The Labor plan will not put upward pressure on house prices
The LNP plan will
pithicus
Yes, Labor. Going on the greatest indicator of all, the vibe of the thing.
imacca
says:
Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 12:13 pm
Watching the Liberal launch. The over riding theme of a lot of the Liberal campaign so far seems to be that the country has been “destroyed” and the Liberals are coming to the rescue.
Well, the country doesn’t feel “destroyed” to me, and I think that may be a bit over the top and people are largely over that kind of hysteria. Doesn’t inspire confidence in uncertain times.
And, regardless of Price being an idiot and blurting what she really thinks ….. ……… that overall, the “completely broken by evil people and only we can fix it … ” thing is what Trump rode in on. Its theme wise, direct copy.
And, people have seen where that goes.
Dutton spent the first week of the campaign repeating ad nauseum that Albanese was weak. Thats about all he said most days and after a while it sounded very tired and hollow.
From all polling results, it also isnt working.
The country isnt being destroyed, its not a wreck and Albanese isnt the type of politician that takes a sledgehammer to public policy, unlike Abbott.
Lots of people are struggling financially, but look at any international paper and you’ll find that many Western Democracies are also having the same issues.
That cant all be Labors fault and people understand that and this is the reason people are after a steady hand, not someone spewing passive aggressive threats and making policy up on the run.
Gee, the look on Abbott’s face is… grim.
Bluey’s score is a running tally for where things are ATM. IMO it accurately reflects the campaigns to date.
No-one ATM gives a toss for the Dutton campaign. It is possibly the worst start to an election campaign that any of us can remember.
In the current circumstances how hard would it be to run a hip pocket CoL campaign? They have had three years to get ready for it. Sure, Trump seriously put them off their stroke, but really.
Labor have been campaigning like pros.
The Greens are trying to hold what they have. Bandt’s duetting with Dutton about ‘forcing’ Labor to do this and that is disgusting to any real progressive voter.
Apart from Labor, the other big mover has been PHON which is hoovering up the ex-UAP floaters who do not, as yet, seem to have answered the Trumpet’s clarion call.
The Indies are suffering because Albanese is not Morrison, because Labor HAS put in a large suite of climate actions and because Labor has put in a large suite of respectful policy reforms for women.
Bellwethersays:
Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 4:49 pm
Maybe I’m missing something but this election seems extremely one-sided.
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Don’t use this blog as your be-all and end-all.
You will get a very distorted view.
Didn’t watch the launch, did Dutton reference ‘Australian Carnage’?
sustainable snail @ #484 Sunday, April 13th, 2025 – 4:58 pm
Utter nonsense. Genevieve Lacey. Australian virtuoso.
As a recorder virtuoso, Genevieve makes regular appearances as a soloist with Australian and international orchestras including the Australian Chamber Orchestra, City of London Sinfonia, Tapiola Sinfonietta, Concerto Copenhagen, the Melbourne, Tasmanian and Adelaide Symphony Orchestras and Melbourne Chamber Orchestra. She has performed at the Lindau International Convention of Nobel Laureates, for Queen Elizabeth II in Westminster Abbey, as a concerto soloist in the Royal Albert Hall for BBC Proms, at the opening night of the London Jazz Festival and on a basketball court on Thursday Island with Australian indigenous ensemble The Black Arm Band.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BRkkRDQjzjI
Taylormade
Believe me I don’t, not even remotely. ‘The vibe’ is a wave, a little like radio waves, that permeates the entire nation and can penetrate through walls. It doesn’t need a little blog like this to disseminate.
‘Taylormade says:
Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 4:59 pm
Liberals minus 1 for not getting the small things like the Launch lighting right…
_____________________
Jesus. Bluey is a tough marker. Can’t see that worth being a minus 1.
Haven’t been following Bluey much this campaign, but if a minus 1 for lighting is any guide I reckon his totals would be up the shit.’
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I asked Bluey about this post and Bluey’s opinion was that Dutton had three big reset buttons to halt the slide and grow his vote: the two debates and the launch. One debate was a nothingburger for Dutton. Shifted nothing. On to the launch. It was imperative that little things like not having the eyes look like Darth Vader were done right. They were not.
TailoredMerde @ #491 Sunday, April 13th, 2025 – 5:04 pm
Abbott was campaigning here in Spence last week with IPA Liberal candidate Daniel Wild. Said that Spence is the sort of seat that Dutton needs to win to form government.
So probably not expecting a great result with Dutton being not in high regard around here.
Is there a Newspoll soon?
yabba
That’s who I was trying to think of, Genevieve Lacey!
“Feel sorry for the thousands of Australian women forced to stay with violent partners”
Congrats, you managed to get a nibble on this one.
If the Liberals had their way, the women would be forced to stay with their husbands because they’d ban divorce just like the MAGA types want in the US.