Two fairly marginal new items of poll news:
• Nine Newspapers has been ekeing out further detail from its three Resolve Strategic polls so far this year, today reporting that the two-party result among men was 50-50 in last week’s poll (which had a super-sized sample of 3083), after the Coalition 58-42 from the combined January and February polls (the latter of which produced a markedly stronger result for the Coalition than any other poll published this year). Labor also surged from 55-45 behind to 52-48 ahead among the 35-to-54 age cohort. Yesterday’s report revealed only that the result in “marginal electorates” was Labor 27%, Coalition 38%, Greens 13% and One Nation 7%, as compared with national results of 29%, 37%, 13% and 7%, but in the absence of any indication as to how marginal was defined, it’s hard to say what this might mean. Hopefully a future report will provide breakdowns for Western Australia and South Australia, with only the three largest states featured in the pollster’s regular monthly reporting.
• The News Corp papers today report further detail from yesterday’s RedBridge Group poll, which found 25% wanted a Labor majority government and 31% a Coalition majority government. Twenty per cent of Labor voters wanted them to govern in minority, 14% with the support of the Greens and 6% with the teals (evidently the question was an either-or on this count). Twenty-eight per cent of the small sample of respondents aged 18 to 34 felt the best result would be a “Greens-Labor coalition” (which the report is possibly conflating with a Greens-supported minority government).
Candidate and seat-level news:
• Sarah Elks of The Australian reports Labor is “throwing firepower at Peter Dutton’s electorate of Dickson”, and notes that “the Coalition dirt unit has been busy circulating material about Climate 200-backed independent candidate Ellie Smith’s history of environmental activism”. However, an LNP strategist is quoted saying Dutton had “nothing to worry about”.
• It appears Kate Hulett’s hopes of following her near-success as an independent in the state seat of Fremantle by running for the federal seat could fall foul of Section 44. The West Australian reports Hulett “contacted the British Home Office to renounce her citizenship but was told there was a wait of six months, sparking concerns she might not be eligible to run”.
• Pauline Hanson’s daughter, Lee Hanson, will be One Nation’s lead Senate candidate in Tasmania.
BK the moment you start giving any bandwidth to benson is the time to call it a day lol.
You don’t want to end up looking like Dennis shanahan in live TV- looking like one isn’t in lawful possession of an clothing iron , washing machine comb or a razor.
It wouldn’t be that hard to improve mental health wellbeing and keep our teeth in our mouths.
Only vested interests say no.
sprocket_ says:
Sunday, April 6, 2025 at 5:30 pm
Newspoll
ALP 33
LNP 36
GRN 12
PHoN 7
OTH 12
Crudely, this is around 54% of the electorate who reject the Reactionaries by one route or another.
This number is growing. Here’s hoping that by May 3 it reaches 57 or 58%, and that the increases lodge with Labor.
52-48 Baby! 😀
Could someone tell me where those 7 seats in Victoria that Labor are going to lose are again? 😐
Hack, woke, Partisan says:
Sunday, April 6, 2025 at 6:06 pm
Dead set simplistic view of the electorate… you extrapolate that 46% are a monolith…
When looking from PHoN point of view.. 93% of the electorate don’t want them.. they have less support than a Donkey
Left brawler you remind me of a fake left wing person. As brilliant and intelligent as you appear to be you seem prone to frequent outbursts of insanity. Do you really support labor?. I enjoy and look forward to ur writing and sometimes wonder if u are really bushfire bill in another name to bypass when they banned u. How can someone that can write so smoothly and impressive be also an idiot and attack all and sundry ?
I have just made it home after attending concert by by cellist/supersinger Abel Selaocoe and the Australian Chamber Orchestra at the Sydney Opera House. Absolutely extraordinary. He led the packed out house to become a giant choir and raised the spirits of everybody there. Deafening prolonged standing ovation. I’m still grinning. Marvellous. Wonderful.
Sydney concerts are finished, but they are coming to Melbourne and Adelaide. Get there if you can. Today’s concert was broadcast live by ABC Classic FM, and will be available via the Classic FM website or their “listen app”.