Budget polling avalanche: phase three (open thread)

A new federal poll of voting intention in New South Wales, yet more budget polling, and a more detailed look at what’s come through over the past few days.

Before we proceed with squeezing some last juice out of the post-budget polling, note that there are two other fresh posts below this one: one a guess post from Adrian Beaumont on Canada and the United States, the other a summary of recent state polling from New South Wales, Queensland and Victoria.

Part of the latter is a new DemosAU poll from New South Wales encompassing federal as well as state voting intention. The federal voting intention numbers have the Coalition leading 51-49, compared with 51.4-48.6 to Labor at the 2022 election, from primary votes of Labor 30% (33.4% in 2022), Coalition 38% (36.5%), Greens 12% (10.0%) and One Nation 9% (4.9%). The poll also finds Anthony Albanese leading Peter Dutton 39-38 on preferred prime minister, and 31% holding that Australia is headed in the right direction compared with 52% for the contrary view. The poll was conducted last Thursday to Saturday from a sample of 1013.

The full results from the Essential Research poll included results on the budget, including a finding that less attention was paid to it than the last two, with 36% saying they paid a lot of attention (down four on last year and nine on the year before) and 15% that they had paid no attention (up four on last year and three on the year before). Forty-one per cent felt the budget would be good for the well off (down five on last year and unchanged on the year before) and 27% felt it would be good for those on lower incomes (down three last year and fourteen on an unusual result the year before). A question on the Trump administration’s tariffs finds 37% holding that Australia should look for new trade relationships, 29% that retaliatory tariffs should be imposed, and 35% that the priority should be to remain on good terms with the US and seek exemptions.

Now for a closer look at Newspoll’s budget responses, which maintain a consistent set of such questions that the pollster in its various incarnations has been posing after each budget since 1988, encompassing 39 budgets overall. The minus 10 rating for last week’s budget in terms of its impact on the economy was the fourth worst result yet recorded, surpassed only by three successive Hawke-Keating government budgets in 1991, 1992 and 1993 (the latter was in a league of its own at minus 42, the budget in question being remembered for its breach of Paul Keating’s “L-A-W” tax cuts promise). The minus 19 rating on impact on personal situation, by contrast, rates around the middle of the field.

The chart below records how each budget scored on the two measures. While respondents invariably score budgets more favourably on economic than personal impact (last year’s two-point differential was the closest any had yet come to breaking the mould), the trendline points to a tendency for budgets to be generally perceived either as good or bad, reflected in relatively strong or weak results for both measures. Last week’s budget is the one marked in red – its placement below the trendline indicates that, as mediocre budgets go, respondents felt this one relatively better for themselves than for the economy.

Lest anyone overestimate the electoral significance of this result, the best result of plus 48 was at the budget preceding the defeat of the Howard government in 2007. Perhaps more to the point, the minus 11 rating on the question of whether the Coalition would have done better is part of the course for a Labor budget (overall average minus 10.4%) – consistent with the fact that the Coalition generally does better on economic management polling, their budgets tend to do better on this question than Labor’s (average of minus 17.3%, the overall overage being minus 14.2%). Another reason to doubt the budget’s electoral impact is the one just noted by Essential Research – that voters were unusually disinterested on this occasion, which does not factor in to Newspoll’s calculations.

Finally, some more on YouGov’s MRP poll, which didn’t get the attention it warranted amid the Sunday polling avalanche. Even more so than the first wave in late January and early February, the second wave from March was distinctive in suggesting that Labor is actually holding up well in Victoria – so much so that the lineball Liberal-held seat of Deakin is rated “toss-up Labor”, while the two seats rated more likely than not to be Liberal gains in the first wave, Chisholm and Deakin and now rated “lean Labor”. Even with five seats in the state now back in the their column, New South Wales continues to be rated the most troublesome state for Labor, being home to all four of the seats likely to be lost.

Since the post-stratification approach leans heavily on demographic variables in estimating seat-level results, I have made an effort to identify the underlying changes in the survey that have yielded the movement from the first wave to the second, which ranges from five points towards Labor (in Bean and Canning) to three points towards the Liberals (in Watson). This has been done through a linear regression analysis that uses the change in Coalition two-party preferred from one wave to the next as the dependent variable, with predictor variables of state/territory, AEC seat classification (inner metropolitan, outer metropolitan, provincial or rural) and four census demographic variables yielded through trial and error.

The demographic variables found to be highly significant (as indicated by the three asterisks) are Index of Relative Socioeconomic Advantage and Disadvantage, which is an Australian Bureau of Statistics measure of general affluence that avoids the pitfalls of income-based measures; the percentage of the population aged 55 and over; the percentage of the 18-plus population with trade certificates; and the percentage who primarily speak a Chinese language at home. The negative coefficients indicate that electorates scoring high on these measures tended to move most strongly to Labor from the first wave to the second. Conversely, the state/territory and AEC region classification variables prove not to be too illuminating. Keep in mind that what’s being measured here is change between wave one and wave two, not swing since 2022 – a potential subject for a future post.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

561 thoughts on “Budget polling avalanche: phase three (open thread)”

Comments Page 2 of 12
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  1. I think it’s important that we understand this important fact:

    The Houthis (and their Iranian and Russian supporters) will draw comfort from the Signal chat group’s apparent confirmation the US strikes on March 15 were not a sign of the Trump administration’s intent to dislodge them from power:

    Vice President JD Vance (14 March, 08:16am ET): The strongest reason to do this is, as POTUS said, to send a message.

    Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth (14 March, 08:27am ET): This

    is

    not about the Houthis. I see it as two things: 1) Restoring Freedom of Navigation, a core national interest; and 2) Reestablish deterrence, which Biden cratered.

    The Houthis can withstand intermittent airstrikes – they have withstood airstrikes for over two decades.

    But a more substantial intervention — one that combines a coalition of local forces with guaranteed air support from Saudi Arabia or the United Arab Emirates (with US support) — would pose a far greater threat to the Houthis.

    The rubble of an event hall struck by US airstrikes in Sana’a, Yemen, on March 20. Yahya Arhab/EPA
    With this apparently not being considered, the Houthis may now feel emboldened to press-gang more people into military service before a fresh assault on the strategically important oil fields in Marib. This is the last major city in northern Yemen still under government control.

    The Houthis have tried to take Marib before, but were prevented by Yemeni troops supported by Saudi air cover. Controlling the oil fields in Marib is vital to the group’s ability to sustain itself economically.

    https://theconversation.com/signalgate-was-damaging-to-the-trump-administration-it-could-be-deadly-for-yemeni-civilians-253524

  2. Hard to imagine a Melbourne seat the Greens are less likely to win than Calwell – this is territory where in the state election they were being outpolled in places by the Socialists (who did decently), and there are the Socialists and at least one pro-Palestine independent to soak up votes specifically on the Gaza issue. There is, however, a (different) potentially competitive independent, a local councillor.


  3. Confessionssays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 7:09 am
    The Trump administration acknowledged in a court filing that it had wrongly deported an immigrant living in Maryland to a mega-prison in El Salvador despite a court ruling prohibiting it, but alleged that U.S. officials are unable to pressure the Central American nation to return the man to his family in the United States.

    Officials deported Kilmar Abrego Garcia, who is Salvadoran, on March 15 as part of a surprise airlift of purported gang members to the Terrorism Confinement Center in El Salvador, where they were surrounded by armed soldiers and hooded police who shaved their heads and locked them inside high-walled cells. His removal came six years after an immigration judge found that Abrego had testified credibly that he could be harmed or killed by gang members in that country.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2025/04/01/trump-el-salvador-maryland-deportation/

    “Unable to pressure” El Salvador to return him? When Trump has done nothing but put pressure on other nations to do what he wants. This is just pure evil.

    You ain’t seen anything yet?
    Trump is implementing “onshore” Nauru refugee gulags policy
    If you don’t want to see this in Australia, then vote a majority ALP government because Dutton is Trump mini-me.

  4. AdImpact Politics
    @AdImpact_Pol
    #FLPol: “Fine is so unhinged and anti-American, he supports the idea that Social Security is the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time.”

    Josh Weil (D) has aired this ad over 1k times on broadcast, making it his most aired broadcast ad of his #FL06 campaign. (Watch video)

    https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/1906711121215520982?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1906711121215520982%7Ctwgr%5Ed6c62f613dc5f199eb2c00860603ce6a5d0f93ea%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailykos.com%2Fstories%2F2025%2F4%2F1%2F2313822%2F-Tuesday-s-elections-are-first-major-test-of-backlash-to-Trump-and-Musk

    Can we see something like this from ALP regarding cutting 41000 public sector and reversal of renewable energy gains?


  5. Holdenhillbillysays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 7:16 am
    Members of President Donald Trump’s National Security Council, including White House national security adviser Michael Waltz, have conducted government business over personal Gmail accounts, according to documents reviewed by The Washington Post and interviews with three U.S. officials.
    The use of Gmail, a far less secure method of communication than the encrypted messaging app Signal, is the latest example of questionable data security practices by top national security officials already under fire for the mistaken inclusion of a journalist in a group chat about high-level planning for military operations in Yemen.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/04/01/waltz-national-security-council-signal-gmail/

    Shocked! I say I am shocked with the conduct of Trump National security council are using Gmail.
    My gmail account is so easily breached that I get a lot of junk mail.

    The common theme of Trump officials seems to be not to use official Government Comms because it will have official record of their Comms. In that process if they use they use less secure vmms, so be it. Oh, the outside has no problem with that and will be prepared for that. It is Five-eyes nations that should be worried about their intelligence being shared by other nations
    These people are seriously morons and 4chans.

  6. Dutton spent the better part of a year saying “If you don’t know, vote no” but expects people to put a one next to his name when he won’t tell them whose jobs he’ll cut, or from where and when he’ll cut them.

  7. C@tmommasays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 9:04 am
    DPReesays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 8:29 am
    Nadia, in your mind, you may think you are providing great insights. To me, your loud voice is at the expense of others. Firstly suggesting we move on from Bluey. Now critiquing others well informed views, especially of Labor numbers in Victoria. My critique of you – be more humble and kind of opinions different to yours.

    +1

    And stop playing the martyr because your comments are questioned.
    ____________________________
    An idiot supported by the biggest martyr PB has ever seen.

  8. Burgeysays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 9:54 am
    Dutton spent the better part of a year saying “If you don’t know, vote no” but expects people to put a one next to his name when he won’t tell them whose jobs he’ll cut, or from where and when he’ll cut them.

    Or how he’ll pay, or whether they are practical, wrt his policy brainfarts.


  9. davesays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 9:59 am
    C@tmommasays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 9:04 am
    DPReesays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 8:29 am
    Nadia, in your mind, you may think you are providing great insights. To me, your loud voice is at the expense of others. Firstly suggesting we move on from Bluey. Now critiquing others well informed views, especially of Labor numbers in Victoria. My critique of you – be more humble and kind of opinions different to yours.

    +1

    And stop playing the martyr because your comments are questioned.
    ____________________________
    An idiot supported by the biggest martyr

    If I say you ‘needs to cease’ to post that, how do you feel?

  10. From the No-Shit-Sherlock school of journalism comes this little gem from the ABC.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04-02/australia-superannuation-retirement-savings/105098840

    The final paragraph, concerning the Coalition’s plan to let first home buyers use superannuation for a deposit on a house.

    “Previous discussion of the idea — which was taken to the 2022 election by the Coalition — has noted that it would increase demand for housing and be likely to boost prices.”

  11. sprocket_says:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 9:51 am
    Watching Albo’s presser in Victoria.
    The media training refresher has worked a treat. Bring on the debates.
    _____________________
    Is Jacinta there ?

  12. House special election Florida FL-06
    After 72.4% votes counted
    D: 45.6%
    R: 53.7%

    NBC projects Republican candidate Randy Fine won the Fl-06 House seat

  13. Vensays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 10:14 am
    House special election Florida FL-06
    After 51.6% votes counted
    D: 48.2%
    R: 51%

    Stop the Steal


  14. Victoriasays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 10:25 am
    Ven

    Cory Booker has stamina!

    He gave that speech without going to Loo in the last 24 1/2 hours

  15. “Don’t f— with moms”: 9 GOPers join all Dems to sink Speaker Johnson’s anti-proxy voting push

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/4/1/2313917/-Don-t-f-with-moms-9-GOPers-join-all-Dems-to-sink-Speaker-Johnson-s-anti-proxy-voting-push?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

    “The GOP wants women to have babies — but does not want new mothers to have a voice in Congress. For evidence, look to Speaker Johnson and the House Freedom Caucus. They fought a measure that would have allowed proxy voting by parents of newborns for 14 weeks after birth. The proxy would be another representative — i.e., another duly elected official in the same legislative body.

    Johnson and his fellow bully-boys (including some sister-hating conservative women) needed the GOP to hang together to defeat the measure. But nine Republicans joined all 213 Democrats to derail the misogynists in what the American people can hope is the beginning of a revolt against lockstep authoritarianism in Congress’s lower House.

    Proxy voting seems a small ask. The average woman has 1.6 children. So, for 4 months out of a legislative career, someone else would cast their vote. Besides, how many women would likely need to vote by proxy?

    Of the 125 female Representatives, 43 are 50 years old and younger. And I imagine many of those have already had as many children as they will ever have.”

  16. Taylormade says:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 10:28 am
    sprocket_says:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 9:51 am
    Watching Albo’s presser in Victoria.
    The media training refresher has worked a treat. Bring on the debates.
    _____________________
    Is Jacinta there ?

    Parliament is sitting, which is where she is.

    Albo is meeting with her later in the day. You should listen to Albo’s answers on how Victorians will benefit from Federal Labor, and how unfit Dutton is with his aping of Trump’s DOGE agenda.


  17. sprocket_says:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 10:36 am
    Republican holds FL 6 – but margin down from 30 points to 6.

    House special election Florida FL-06
    After 81.5% votes counted
    D: 45.5%
    R: 53.8%

  18. 10.05amOpposition leader’s character assessments of rivals
    9.48am‘Wheels falling off in Victoria’: Dutton on police crisis
    9.44amWage increase would help small business: PM
    9.23am‘I want to make Victoria a safer place’: Dutton on crime
    9.01amCoalition capitalises on Labor’s woes in Victoria
    8.28amLabor on the defensive in Victoria
    7.54amWong ‘realistic’ as Trump’s tariffs set to begin
    7.38amDutton sidesteps questions on The Lodge

    Poor old nuckie Pete back to black African gangs ….crime crime …..onlyi can make you safe…
    Yet once again assisted by the Hun and the Age……just another repeat from the last state election…..will we ever be rid of this kind of political nonsense……it appears not……….fear…fear…..that’s all we hear…..
    Age comment section not going well for ……dutts the nuts.

  19. I think Peter Dutton screwed up with his withholding school funding comments to deter ‘woke education’. As it makes him look too close to Trump. But now going after Trump to distance himself from him might make him look too volatile for voters in terms of dealing with the alliance.

    “Peter Dutton says he will put the “Americans on notice” and stand up to Donald Trump “in a heartbeat” as Australia braces for a fresh wave of tariffs from the US President.

    On the eve of Mr Trump’s “liberation day” the Opposition Leader has vowed to stand up to the US if it threatens Australia’s national interests.

    “If I need to have a fight with Donald Trump or any other world leader to advance our nation’s interest, I will do it in a heartbeat,” Mr Dutton told Sky News. “I’ll put the Americans on notice and anyone else who seeks to act against our national interest.”

    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese responded by saying Mr Dutton’s idea of diplomacy was “a contest of who can say the most aggro things”

    https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/national/federal-election/election-live-anthony-albanese-and-peter-dutton-both-start-day-five-campaigning-in-melbourne/live-coverage/186c4f0fc7622c68e1b88b699e6ed64c

  20. A quick thanks to Cat and HH for the roundups this morning. Trump continues to cause havoc.

    At this point I really don’t understand the Dutton campaign strategy. Being associated with Donald Trump right now could not be worse electoral poison. Yet Dutton’s promises, tactics and faux pas about harborside mansions could not be making it easier for Labor to pin the Temu Trump label on him.

    I still don’t think Labor is offering enough reform in its policy position to win a lot more support and I am skeptical Labor can gain many seats. But Dutton is not becoming PM if his current campaign direction remains unchanged. Great 🙂

    A big thanks to Amy Remeikis for coining the “Temu Trump” name for Dutton. What a bullseye!

  21. As mentioned previously. Crime rate in Victoria increased mainly due to the tobacco wars.
    Cars stolen to enable fire bombing of stores.

    There are now over 100 people in jail due to these arson attacks.
    Of course, they are mainly the plebs doing the dirty work of the king pins who are overseas.
    These crimes are a direct result of the federal policy of huge excise on cigarettes.

  22. Albo did provide funding in budget to assist in this area.
    Will it be enough?
    ———

    It’s allocating more money to help police forces stamp out the illicit tobacco trade. An extra $157m will be dedicated to enforcement action. Close to $50m will go to the Australian federal police and $40m to state and territory police forces.7 days ago

  23. Defiant Allan govt set to ink new multi-billion dollar SRL deal
    The state government is preparing to sign the most expensive contract of the Suburban Rail Loop East within months, despite Peter Dutton threatening to scrap the mega project and a potential $11.5bn funding black hole.

    This is the type of thing that really pisses them off …….but but we run all there bad negative stories…time and time again ….yet can’t stop the progressive program labor are building..

    Built the SRL …..for better future
    All the doubters…say from 60 yrs onwards are never likely to be able to use it..but are being asked to pay for it……..including me……
    But a shit load have no vision apart from there bank acc.balance.

  24. Victoria under Labor has grown, and infrastructure projects have been a much needed boost.

    The commonwealth games was an unnecessary cost that could have been avoided.
    Cancelling it was the right thing to do. But cost of doing so, not so much.

    Still. The opposition party in Victoria are frickin useless and hopeless by comparison.

  25. This was never going be an election that hit any great heights; however, we’re just over a week in and it’s significantly below the low expectation mark.

  26. VIC state Labor invested in TAFE, nursing and teaching and infrastructure.

    Things that actually benefit the whole society. Tangible stuff.

    The liberals and their cheersquad in the media just rant and rave about money. They know the value of absolutely nothing. Useless.

  27. 29 minutes ago
    Dutton picks fight with Trump, targets ‘out of control’ youth crime
    Peter Dutton insists he’ll stand up to Donald Trump “in a heartbeat” as the world braces for a new trade war, while state crime rates have become a campaign issue

    Here’s tough talking tony..”…I’ll shirt front Putin…….ahhh sorry Temu trump….ill stand up to Donald Trump my work in crime partner……i will huff and I’ll puff again and again i will never refrain until I except all the pain….youcan count on me to never let you be free.
    Maybe tones and Temu could do a double act….on trump…..twos better than one maybe Gina could join for a trio…..

  28. @socrates(11:04am):

    I agree with Gareth. However, and as a critique of emphasis and degree, I do not sign onto this paragraph 100%, regarding what Evans means by ‘more Asia’ in our foreign policy:

    “ Second, strengthening political and, where possible, military relationships with key regional neighbours like India, Indonesia, Vietnam, Japan and South Korea, on both a bilateral and mini-lateral basis. Partly to concentrate China’s mind on the reality that overreach will not be without pushback. But also to maximise collective regional diplomatic pressure on both China and the US to reach mutually accommodating detente, rather than engage in a confrontational struggle for primacy, with all the risk that entails of ending in tears, and which nobody in our region wants.”

    _____

    IMO, whilst strengthening diplomatic ties with all of the countries he nominates makes sense, I would not prioritise military and security ties with those North Asia countries, or India: their concerns do not fit 100% within the footprint of Australia’s vital national interests. Why risk swapping out the risks associated with signing on blindly to American foreign policy for binding military and security ties with countries that have their own inherent risks and concerns?

    I think our wheelhouse of closer military and security ties needs a much sharper focus: the Pacific Islands, France (with its geographical assets in both the Indian and pacific oceans), ASEAN (especially Malaysia, the Phillipines and Singapore), but above all others – Indonesia. Countries like India, Japan and Korea – even northern ASEAN countries like Vietnam should be placed on a lower order, lest we find ourselves slipping into another North Asian conflict for alternative reasons than a fight for American hegemony – reasons that themselves may not align with our national priorities.

  29. Angus Taylor and Sussan Ley have been quiet, maybe they know it not worth campaigning harder than they should , the federal lib/nats can not get the non lib/nats aligned voters to switch.

  30. The CLP shadows are making noises about how they won’t debate the current ministers.
    Simple problem to resolve.
    Book the National Press Club for a number of nights.
    Advertise the fact that on May 12th, for example, that The Treasurer will be debating his shadow.
    If Anus Taylor doesn’t show up, probably not a great loss, have an empty chair on stage with Taylor etc name prominently displayed.
    Simple format.
    1. 10 – 15 minutes each to state their case and policies (with funding) for election, uninterrupted.
    2. 10 – 15 minutes to refute their opponents case. If they stray into other areas the convenor will immediately ask the candidate to resume their seat.
    Questions by rotation from National Press Club members to follow, similar to the current Press Club format.
    None of the flim-flammery of using a commercial station, with a biased audience.
    ABC or SBS host the broadcast.
    The Government makes the decision, no negotiations and the Opposition can take it or leave it!

  31. Cyclone Alfred really cruelled Albo’s timing – he would have just about made it to 12 April but nothing left in the tank for 3 weeks after that date.

    The lack of a rate cut yesterday has also hurt – its not an improving narrative – basically 13 increases and 1 given back with an uncertain prospect for more.

    I’m surprised the ALP didnt use the new handpicked RBA Board to force through a rate cut yesterday.

  32. Victoriasays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 9:17 am
    It is kinda funny that Nadia singled out bluey as something that needed to go.

    Bluey has been the highlight of the election campaigns. Sheesh
    ==========================================================

    There is lots of attention-seeking behavior here; after all, it is just human nature. Little Miss Passive-Aggressive is hardly alone in this. Really, you have three choices when faced with these posts: scroll through them, have a chuckle at their sheer audacity, or be offended. I would suggest going with one of the first two options.

  33. C@tmomma.
    Re: The Overnight Flowering of Corflutes in Robertson.
    Just drove and was astounded by the flowering of corflutes for Useless Lucy.
    Last election, they had hired a cherry picker and plastered them about 3-4m on power poles along the Entrance Road.
    Despite, protests, directly to Useless’ campaign office that my friends did NOT want any election corflutes strung up outside their business and the response that: “Someone will come and remove these corflutes”.
    Ofcourse, they didn’t come around but one of the business partners had a son who had a cherry picker who did the job.
    My response, if they are displayed inside of a business premise is to make a note of the business and make it my intention not to use that business into the future.
    A polite phone call or message to that effect does wonders in the future, too!

  34. “ Cyclone Alfred really cruelled Albo’s timing – he would have just about made it to 12 April but nothing left in the tank for 3 weeks after that date.

    The lack of a rate cut yesterday has also hurt – it’s not an improving narrative – basically 13 increases and 1 given back with an uncertain prospect for more.”

    ______

    Desperation on display. Poor L’twit. One would almost feel sorry for you. … almost.

  35. GA

    Who coined Dutton “Temu Trump”

    “PM steers around labelling Dutton ‘Temu Trump’

    Earlier during Albanese’s press conference he was asked if he’s calling Peter Dutton a “Temu Trump”.

    “No,” he replied.

    But it’s a mark of how much the Labor party is trying to shape up that comparison, particularly when Dutton talks about cutting the public service and changing the school curriculum to avoid the “woke” agenda.

    You might remember just last week Greens MP Stephen Bates called Dutton “Temu Trump” (an unflattering social media term) during question time (which was quickly determined unparliamentary).”

  36. Vensays:
    Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 9:31 am
    AdImpact Politics
    @AdImpact_Pol
    #FLPol: “Fine is so unhinged and anti-American, he supports the idea that Social Security is the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time.”

    Josh Weil (D) has aired this ad over 1k times on broadcast, making it his most aired broadcast ad of his #FL06 campaign. (Watch video)

    https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/1906711121215520982?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1906711121215520982%7Ctwgr%5Ed6c62f613dc5f199eb2c00860603ce6a5d0f93ea%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailykos.com%2Fstories%2F2025%2F4%2F1%2F2313822%2F-Tuesday-s-elections-are-first-major-test-of-backlash-to-Trump-and-Musk

    Can we see something like this from ALP regarding cutting 41000 public sector and reversal of renewable energy gains?

    ______________________

    Weil has just lost 43 to 57 – people rightfully criticise the right for importing culture wars from the US… I don’t think the left should do the same.

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