We can expect a lull in polling this week ahead of the budget, followed by an avalanche next week in its wake – which, according to Simon Benson of The Australian, is “expected” to follow upon an announcement by the Prime Minister next weekend of an election for either May 3 or May 10. In the absence of new federal voting intention results, two pollsters have produced detailed breakdowns of their recent polling aggregated from the start of the year, one being the especially extensive quarterly Newspoll aggregation in The Australian, the other encompassing results for the four largest states from Freshwater Strategy in the Financial Review.
Newspoll has two-party results of 50-50 from New South Wales, unchanged from the previous quarterly aggregate, suggesting a Coalition swing of around 1.5% compared with the 2022 election result; 51-49 to Labor in Victoria, compared with 50-50 last quarter, a swing of around 4%; 57-43 to the Coalition in Queensland, a substantial move from the 53-47 result last quarter, a Coalition swing of around 3%; 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia, unchanged on last quarter for a swing of around 1%; and 50-50 in South Australia, after Labor led 53-47 last quarter, suggesting a Coalition swing of 4%. This combines results of three polls from a national sample of 3757, ranging from 271 for South Australia to 1149 for New South Wales. Also featured is an array of demographic detail that you can access by sifting through the BludgerTrack poll data feature, together with reams of further polling detail since the 2022 election.
Only primary votes were provided from Freshwater Strategy, but the results imply a Coalition lead of around 52-48 in New South Wales, a Labor lead of around 51-49 in Victoria, a Coalition lead of 54-46 in Queensland and a Labor lead of 56-44 in Western Australia. This combines three monthly poll results from a national sample of 3152, ranging from 318 for Western Australia to 947 for New South Wales.
“Err dumbo under her leadership nats lost to McGowan.”
Seriously?? Message to pp’s programmer ……. hard reboot required.
pied piper says Monday, March 24, 2025 at 11:54 pm
Don’t tell me there’s something McGowan did that you agree with.
With a leader like Basil it’s hard to see how the Liberals become competitive in WA state politics again, the City of Perth has clearly gone south under his leadership. What does he have to offer other than bluster?
Geology is cool: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/jt9WvxeFvMw
New thread.
Nutty comments about Trump and Musk on here they are wealthy and are not in it for the money .
The Musk-flavoured Trump Kool Aid is strong in this one. 😐
This is kind of a post hoc facto dismissal of absolutely what they ARE in it for.