The now weekly YouGov poll records a 50-50 result after two weeks with Labor in their nose in front, from primary votes of Labor 31% (steady), Coalition 37% (up one), Greens 13% (down half) and One Nation 7% (down half). Anthony Albanese is down two on approval to 43% and up one on disapproval to 50%, while Peter Dutton is steady on 42% and down one to 47%, with Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is in from 45-39 to 45-40. The poll was conducted Friday to Wednesday from a sample of 1500.
There is also a new federal poll from RedBridge Group showing Labor leading 51-49, after the Coalition led 51.5-48.5 at the poll from early last month. Labor is up one on the primary vote to 32% and the Coalition is down three to 37%, with the Greens up one to 12%. The gap favouring the Coalition on firmness of voting intention has narrowed, 61% of Coalition voters professing themselves solid, down four, compared with a steady 51% for Labor voters.
The RedBridge poll also finds 51% holding that the country is “generally headed in the wrong direction” compared with 29% for the right direction. Fifty-three per cent agreed with the statement “the Albanese government’s renewable energy policies and timelines are pushing the costs of energy through the roof”, with only 23% disagreeing, and 38% agreed that “if Australia were to produce nuclear energy it would be cheaper for consumers like me than renewable energy”, with 28% disagreeing. A question on whether Australia should be “more assertive“ or “do more to build a positive relationship” with China produced an even result of 39% and 38% respectively. The poll was conducted March 3 to 11 from a sample of 2007.
DemosAU has published federal voting intention numbers from the poll it conducted during the last week of the state election campaign, which proved highly accurate with respect to the result (Labor 43% compared with a result of 41.5%, Liberal 30% compared with 28.2%, Nationals 5% compared 5.3%, Greens 11% compared with 10.8%). The federal numbers are Labor 36% (36.8% at the 2022 election), Coalition 38% (34.8%), Greens 11% (12.5%), One Nation 6% (4.0%), with Labor leading 52-48 on two-party preferred (55.0-45.0). The poll was conducted March 4 and 5 from a sample of 1126.
Pied Piper it’s always great to see comedy even though the newspole quarterly is barely changed but apparently Labour’s gonna get smashed According to you Still holding Hope Out for that resolve pole Anyway I think this is a good result for the labour party The Liberals have come back from worst If anything the Coalition should be doing better
Until you look at the Opposition
Where an unknown God botherer leader goes to Queensland to check on his parents given weather conditions except he went on a cruise
And apologises for misleading
This is the alternate in Victoria – so there is no alternate
Don’t believe what you read, watch or listen to in the media
As elsewhere the Liberal Party is unelectable in Victoria
And there will be further leadership ructions – back it in
There are already significant rumblings
Dave at 10.38 pm
And I thought Collingwood tragics had better taste in food; surely they would go for the black & white not the grey.
There is only one question people will be asking if Peter Dutton uses his Budget-In-Reply speech to announce ‘massive tax cuts’, as has been telegraphed in recent days.
What is he going to cut to pay for it?
Lucky WA Labor government they built some trains in Perth only problem the first few have hit the tracks and they keep breaking down for a few weeks now including a disaster today to and from the packed Fremantle match in Perth stranding thousands.
Lucky as election ended before.
Made in Australia from feds is stupid it’s not our strength and it’s competing with China ironically federal labor failed government brought that back to reality.Morons!
Peter Duttons reply speech will be one massive shitecan of labor as liberal policy announcements are for campaigns.
@davesays: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 10:44 pm
Um excuse you I shall not be sent to Azkaban
@C@tmommasays: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 10:46 pm
I think we’re at the stages where the country is beginning to economically recover from Cost of Living, but it doesn’t override the fact that we spent years suffering under it and that experience is closely linked to Labor (regardless of who and what started it. I don’t think Albo was responsible for Cost of Living but I believe the anger built up over 2 years will be directed towards him as he’s the PM)
Peter C.,
And as we have just read today, the LNP government in Queensland appear to have reneged on a promise made to the regions before the election wrt the cost and location of the Olympics build.
What will the federal LNP/Liberals and Nationals promise to get elected that they have no intention of fulfilling post-election?
I think the “Made in Australia” concept has broad appeal hopefully its more than a marketing gimmick – the experiences of Covid and now an increasingly unstable world it makes sense to ensure we are more self-reliant and not dependent or beholden to anyone.
mjsays:
Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:04 pm
I think the “Made in Australia” concept has broad appeal hopefully its more than a marketing gimmick – the experiences of Covid and now an increasingly unstable world it makes sense to ensure we are more self-reliant and not dependent or beholden to anyone.
__________
well we are beholden to everyone and nothing is going to change that even if a few billion is thrown around to keep nationalists thinking that one day we are going to go back to making cars and men’s underwear.
Bludgeoned Westie at 10.38 pm, Quentin Rountree at 10.44 pm
Ms Boele is favourite in Bradfield, partly due to redistribution (areas from N Sydney) and Kapterian getting a very late start. Gladlys was far from popular at the time of her demise.
Swing against Labor in Robertson will be significantly less than in Paterson.
Note that Lingiari has always voted Labor. Ms Scrymgour will get a boost.
I will be in Lyons tomorrow. I doubt there will be much election activity. Bec White is well known and should hold. The fact that Dutton was in Braddon recently shows the Libs are not very confident about Tassie.
If you recall from posts months ago, the outgoing Labor MP for Lyons was down at the Fitzgibbon level of being lazy and entitled. Ms White will win.
With all the heightened excitement here from the labor loons about the Labor vote somehow recovering and that “Newspoll” is now a crap poll {naturally, to be disregarded because it doesn’t provide the number’s sought}, perhaps caste a visual to the bludgertrack aggregate.
It shows a decline in the ALP primary during March.
The labor loons here need to calm down, unless you wish to start attacking bludgertrack?
“Your” ALP is still going backwards.
Pual a you mean labour went down a percentage Point from 32 to 31 and the added still 51 to 49 no the only loons are the people that think the Liberals are going to get a massive majority you do realize how you can saying with the past couple of months at it’s going to be minority government right like someone on Reddit made a good comment if it was anyone other than Peter as coalition leader they would have a commanding lead also cat mama Peter has ruled out tax cuts while Taylor hasn’t there’s been rumors of some in fighting so rather be Labor at the moment
paul A,
Nay it is you who appears to be self-soothing over the polls. 🙂
Quentin Rountree,
Don’t tell me more indecision and the Right hand not knowing what the left hand is doing in the Coalition?
You’d think that someone with the name Quetin Rountree would be able to deploy some punctuation.
Paul A sounds like he’s panicking and expecting more bad poll news for the LNP. Bottom line is Labor’s 2PP vote has increased by 0.7% according to Bludgertrack in the last month.
nath,
Being unnecessarily mean again, I see.
In case you haven’t informed yourself, Quentin is disabled to the extent that he has to use speech to text software, which is still imperfect. So if you could just stuff your criticism of him up your jumper it would be most appreciated.
Sorry Quentin I wasn’t aware. Carry on mate.
@Dr Doolittlesays: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:12 pm
I don’t rlly disagree with you on Bradfield or Robertson
As for Lingiari, even though it has always voted in Labor, it was decided on a very narrow margin (one that redistribution has slightly improved) last time. The loss of Snowden’s popular vote, narrow margin and anger against Labor in NT (partially due to Crime Waves in cities like Alice Springs and state drag over last Labor government, although idk whether this still applies months after the NT election) means that Lingiari is at risk of being a CLP pick up.
If Scrymgour doesn’t have a popular vote (I’ve yet to hear anything about that) and if Aboriginals don’t turn out to vote for Labor (since Liberals have made clear their disdain for them), there’s a high chance CLP might pick up the seat for the first time in it’s history.
As for Lyons, the replacement of the old incumbent with a younger, more popular and well known candidate in Rebecca White was a good decision by Labor. After all, Lyons is a seat driven by connections to the community. How popular White actually is and how much her popularity will be able to help her retain the seat is another topic.
Also the Liberal candidate, Susie Bower isn’t the best candidate for Lyons since she doesn’t even know why she joined the Liberal party.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/i-dont-know-tasmanian-liberals-candidate-susie-bower-doesnt-know-why-she-joined-party/news-story/6fa67f864df5a1032602c7f1fe4e40fb
However given that Labor has lost popularity nationally, Lyons swinging to LIB in 2022, and it’s narrow margin, I put it as a Coalition pickup; although I wouldn’t be surprised if Rebecca White retains Lyons for Labor.
Trump voters wanted to harm other people—or at best didn’t care
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/3/22/2311716/-Trump-voters-wanted-to-hurt-other-people-or-at-best-didn-t-care?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=top_news_slot_7&pm_medium=web
““I voted for him, and he’s the one who’s doing this,” Crystal Minton told The New York Times. “I thought he was going to do good things. He’s not hurting the people he needs to be hurting.”
A “military contractor” at a diner in Trumpy St. Mary’s County, Maryland, spoke to this phenomenon.
Trump won the county by almost 60%, but now the people of St. Mary’s are suffering as the so-called Department of Government Efficiency slashes government jobs in the area.
”Most times, when we want change, we want it to affect other people, not ourselves,” the contractor told WTOP news. “And this is affecting quite a lot of people. There’s some folks who didn’t expect this—didn’t see themselves as being the fraud that was being referenced.”
Which brings us to this Virginia veteran, DOGE’d into the unemployment line, who said “I support downsizing, but it’s just the way they’re going about doing it. It’s like the chainsaw approach, I guess, versus the surgical approach that they should be doing.”
You see, other people were supposed to lose their jobs. Not him!
Or how about this user on X, a self-declared “special needs advocate and mom,” who rages against all of the usual MAGA targets. But DON’T TOUCH her pet issue, special education!
“Genuinely curious, are there ANY Senator or House members who care at all about Special Education, IDEA, IEP and 504’s? With DOE in limbo, possibly moving under HHS, special needs parents are seeing some reassurance and hopefully some guaranteed funding to directly get to our amazing Special Education system and programs,” she wrote on X Friday.
Guaranteed funding? No one funds special education programs because it’s efficient. In fact, it is inherently inefficient. We fund those programs because, as a society, we’re supposedly not assholes. But this asshole wants her little corner of the world funded while the rest of the world burns.
C@t
I’m not sure why you are convinced that Dave is Nath. I remember Nath’s style and I see none of it in what Dave posts. Also I don’t think William takes very kindly to people coming back under other names after they are banned and he doesn’t seem to think Dave is Nath either.
If you vote for an incompetent turd what do you expect? The American political system is unresponsive and broken that’s the only explanation as to how this dimwit was elected to the presidency twice.
Bystander
I still think PiedPier is Rita Panahi, for what is worth…
Bystander says:
Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:45 pm
C@t
I’m not sure why you are convinced that Dave is Nath. I remember Nath’s style and I see none of it in what Dave posts. Also I don’t think William takes very kindly to people coming back under other names after they are banned and he doesn’t seem to think Dave is Nath either.
_________
“None of it”? This is rather funny 🙂
Dave I will let that slide I’m a pretty crappy typer so text to speech anyway I’m actually really glad the elections close is that means that people will have to fight for the centre vote instead of the far right the far left no I’m not a far left this honestly I’m if the liberals have good policies which they do which is shocky because if you actually read them some are really good it’s some really dumb they could have actually have Anthony’s that’s why that Reddit a comment actually spoke to me he should be commanding a healthy Pole lead Peter not barely 51 and no I’m not talking about the outliners because politicians need to realise that those talk in heads on Sky they actually liked their welfare and their Medicare and now people look it out America as what not to do
cat mum it’s basically the the talk is Peter knows it’s stupid to go for another tax cut while Angus is try to get back those seats that’s why kos said that while the coalition might want those labour seats going to have a hard time getting it because of how they acted before with workers
I will give you the tip to anyone here!! Dave is Nath as he was the only one that called me an exactly specific name once under Nath and the exact same under Dave. He even admitted it.
Dutton is a proxy for Trump, who is a threat to this country. Voters will queue up to vote Labor when the crunch comes in May. This will reflect two things: a desire to choose ‘safe hands’; and fear of Trumpy policies, values, deceits and betrayals.
Bystander, thanks champ, I don’t know why I’m being associated with that well known rascal and trickster but thanks for the support.
Today’s Australian is representative of the “dead tree sunset” industry that is an “aged care home” for scribblers desperately seeking significance as their “journalistic” careers wander into the fading sunset.
The majority of women in Australia don’t even read the Australian, don’t care that Labor is not Labour, and understand “productivity” for a multitude of reasons unrelated to the economic performance as measured in the “lucky country”.
Australia has experience two years of “budget restraint”, an honest government, a basket full of positive management figures and some old fashioned political goodwill.
The Australian newspaper and its posse of ” I want to be significant” freeloaders are just nothing more than the flotsam of a rapidly changing world.
He moniker “The Australian” is unrepresentative of a world that actually exists.
“women in Australia” make up their own minds and certainly don’t need “The Australian” to prescribe their direction.
The Australian is a a quaint edifice mumbling away in the corner waiting for the inevitable.
Carney has officially gone to the GG and called a snap election. Canadians will go to the polls on 28 April. Carney, currently seatless in the parliament, will run in the Ottawa riding of Nepean.
I still think it will be a Conservative win but a much more modest one than that which was projected late 2024 and the Liberal Party will have enough saved furniture to still be the main opposition party. However, that could change after 5 weeks (in either direction.)
The timing of the snap poll, of course, is partly motivated by Carney wanting to strike while the iron’s hot, not run the country outside of parliament for too long, and still come across as a genuine fresh change in leadership and not stick around long enough to appear to be just a new coat of paint for an old government. However, the primary motivation is likely to avoid a No Confidence motion in the House of Commons, when it resumes. While such a motion, if successful, would have necessitated an election anyway, calling a snap poll ahead of any such vote at least allows the PM to be in control of it and it doesn’t look as much like he was forced into it by the Opposition.
New thread.