The second instalment of RedBridge Group’s marginal seats tracking poll is better for Labor than the first, finding them up a point on a fortnight ago to 34%, with the Coalition down two to 41% and the Greens steady on 12%. The share of Coalition backers saying they are certain to vote that way is down from 69% to 61%, while the certainty rate for Labor backers is up from 45% to 47%. Labor also records striking improvements on its handling of health (with a net rating up from minus 33% to minus 11%) and housing (from minus 60% to minus 36%).
Thirty per cent of respondents professed a very or mostly favourable view of Anthony Albanese, up one, compared with 43% for very or mostly unfavourable, down two, with a steady 23% neutral. Peter Dutton is down two on favourable to 39%, steady on 21% for neutral, and up one to 43% for unfavourable. Peter Dutton is rated better to handle the relationship with Donald Trump by 31% compared with 22% for Anthony Albanese, with 21% for both the same and 15% for neither. Thirty want “a closer relationship with the United States and President Donald Trump” compared with 29% for less close and 35% for no change, but only 23% regard Trump favourably compared with 59% for unfavourably.
The tracking poll series is targeting 20 electorates for the News Corp papers on a fortnightly basis until the election is called, at which point it will move to weekly. The latest wave was conducted last Thursday to Tuesday – the reports do not disclose a sample size, but last time it was 1002.
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