Nine Newspapers yesterday had Resolve Strategic’s quarterly state breakdowns, combined from their past three monthly polls. These aren’t news with respect to the three largest states, results for which are provided with each poll. That leaves fresh results for Western Australia, which show Labor on 30% (up one on last quarter, down from 36.8% at the 2022 election), the Coalition on 37% (up two, up from 34.8%), the Greens on 12% (down four, down from 12.5%) and One Nation 5% (steady, up from 4.0%). and South Australia, which show Labor on 27% (down one on last quarter, down from 34.5% at the election), the Coalition on 34% (down two, down from 35.5%), the Greens on 12% (down two, down from 12.8%) and One Nation on 8% (up two, up from 4.8%). The combined sample for the poll was 4831, with surveying conducted between October 1 and December 8.
Also published on Sunday were familiarity and net likeability results for 34 politicians from the most recent monthly survey. These seem to have elicited rote responses for most of the lower-ranking government ministers, eight of whom scored between between 41% and 55% on name recognition and between minus one and minus five on net likeability. Coalition politicians in the same name recognition range did better, ranging from even to plus seven.
The most instructive results were for those with familiarity scores of 70% and upwards, peaking at 98% for Anthony Albanese (minus 17 on net likeability) and 95% for Peter Dutton (even). Jacinta Price was the most favoured major party politician with 71% familiarity and plus 8 net likeability, though David Pocock and a number of Liberals did only slightly less well with much lower familiarity scores. Labor’s best performer was Penny Wong with 89% familiarity and plus 2 on net likeability. The worst result for a major party politician was Barnaby Joyce with 90% familiarity and minus 22 net likeability.
Jacqui Lambie tops the list, with 80% familiarity and plus 14 net likeability. David Pocock and Zali Steggall’s results were respectively good and mediocre, but otherwise non-major party politicians did poorly, Adam Bandt, Sarah Hanson-Young, Bob Katter and Fatima Payman all landing between minus 11 and minus 17. Worst-rated of all was Lidia Thorpe, whose recent activities have succeeded to the extent of scoring her 73% familiarity, with a net rating of minus 41 presumably demonstrating one point or another.
UPDATE: Further results have been published for age broken down into three cohorts. For 18-to-34, Labor is on 33% (up two from last quarter, steady on what was presumably the pre-election Resolve Strategic poll), the Coalition 27% (up two on both counts), the Greens 23% (down four, down two). For 35-to-54, Labor is on 30% (up two and down four), the Coalition 34% (down two and up two) and the Greens 12% (steady on both counts). For 55-plus, Labor is on 25% (down two and down eight), the Coalition 50% (up three and up four) and the Greens 4% (steady and down one).
I honestly don’t care how people react or will react to people’s deaths. You can laugh and cheer all you want, and you can complain about the eulogising all you want to. It’s your right. I was just being even-handed regarding my criticism of FUBAR earlier
Bizzcan @ #2150 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 8:30 pm
No, that can’t work, we have a critical skills shortage. We need migrants skilled in building as step zero, since thanks to Coalition governments we just haven’t been training our own how to build things. Even if we cut off all immigration down to zero, how do we even start to make a work force that can build the hundreds of thousands of new houses per year that we need to get out of this mess? And these are quality houses we need, not rickety shambles built by cowboys that could go full Grenfell Tower at any time.
For us longer term observers, Lars outing themselves today as Team Dutton is not surprising.
Kirsdarke says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 8:38 pm
The Grenfell Towers fire and deaths was not caused by a shortage of skilled tradesmen.
How you see any connection- apart from Labour/Labor uncontrolled massive immigration programs leading to a housing shortage and substandard public housing for social housing – is beyond me.
I’m glad that the leftist-Ecofascists here are committed to respectful commentary about dead conservatives. That’ll make a nice change.
The AFR has polled the CEOs as to what they want – the biggest wish?
More skilled migration, with trades for house building top of the pile…
https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/more-skilled-migration-less-red-tape-to-kickstart-economy-ceos-20250104-p5l23u
Sadly, this doesn’t fit Dutton’s nativist aping of Trump’s rhetoric
Ven: “Cricket Australia breaks silence on not inviting Gavaskar for trophy presentation
Ind vs Aus: Cricket Australia (CA) broke their silence on not inviting legendary India cricketer Sunil Gavaskar to present Border Gavaskar Trophy (BGT) to Australia who beat India by 3-1 in the Test series.
https://www.indiatoday.in/sports/cricket/story/cricket-australia-sunil-gavaskar-border-gavaskar-trophy-aus-vs-ind-ind-vs-aus-2660229-2025-01-06?utm_source=Story_hp&utm_medium=Story&utm_campaign=home_Story”
Cricket Australia has certainly now said something, but it’s a fair way short of providing an explanation. I suspect that the real explanation is that Border was working for Fox and Gavaskar was working for the ABC. Which I know is absolutely pathetic, but I can’t think of a better one.
FUBAR supports Dutton’s last minute policy flip to vote against capping student numbers.
When Trump dies he will not be a dead conservative. He will be dead. But he will not be a dead conservative.
FUBAR @ #2108 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 6:51 pm
The problem here is that we don’t pay peanuts.
But we still get the monkeys.
FUBAR: “You think it is only an “it’s time” issue?
Wow.”
Are you suggesting that the Canadian people have doubled down on wokiness and have decided at last to punish him for this?
https://www.huffpost.com/archive/ca/entry/justin-trudeau-blackface-photos_ca_5d8404cde4b0957256b3f66e
Here is some news to cheer up FUBAR…
The Australian resources sector is poised for sustained strength in 2025, underpinned by robust export volumes and a strong pipeline of projects despite global commodity price pressures.
The latest Resources and Energy Quarterly (REQ) for December 2024 and the Resources and Energy Major Projects Report highlight an industry weathering softer conditions with confidence.
Resource export earnings are forecast to decline by 10 per cent to $372 billion in the 2024–25 financial year (FY25), down from $415 billion in FY24, primarily due to easing prices for iron ore, coal, and liquefied natural gas amid slow global economic growth.
However, export volumes of key commodities are reaching near-record highs, reflecting resilient demand and improved production conditions.
The sector’s investment pipeline has also expanded, with 455 major projects under development in 2024, up from 421 in 2023.
Critical minerals essential to decarbonisation accounted for 117 projects, reinforcing Australia’s role in driving global clean energy transitions.
Gas projects remained the largest share of committed investments, reflecting enduring global energy needs.
Federal Resources Minister Madeleine King highlighted the sector’s ongoing contributions to the economy.
“These two reports point to a positive outlook for Australia’s resources and energy sector, with more projects in development and more major projects moving to production,” King said.
“Australia’s resources and energy exports continue to support our economy, create wealth, and provide thousands of skilled jobs.
“Australia’s resources are critical to our prosperity, but also to helping the world reduce carbon emissions and reach net-zero by 2050.”
Notable commodity trends included gold surpassing thermal coal to become the nation’s fourth-largest export by value by FY26, driven by safe-haven demand amidst geopolitical tensions.
Alumina prices also surged due to disrupted bauxite supplies, while lithium exports faced a downturn before a predicted recovery in 2025.
https://www.australianmining.com.au/australian-resources-robust-despite-lower-prices/
“I’m glad that the leftist-Ecofascists here are committed to respectful commentary about dead conservatives. That’ll make a nice change.”
_______
Dunno about the ‘leftist-Ecofascists’, but speaking as a centrist, I’m not sure which ‘dead conservatives’ are deserving of respectful commentary. Please enlighten us, oh FUBARed one.
An article on UK Labour. It argues that Labour needs to watch its left flank. It is silent on the threat to both Labour and the Tories posed by the Faragists.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/jan/06/labour-threat-left-party-mps-majorities
Funnily enough, the times might suit Albo
Kirsdarke
No, that can’t work, we have a critical skills shortage. We need migrants skilled in building as step zero, since thanks to Coalition governments we just haven’t been training our own how to build things. Even if we cut off all immigration down to zero, how do we even start to make a work force that can build the hundreds of thousands of new houses per year that we need to get out of this mess? And these are quality houses we need, not rickety shambles built by cowboys that could go full Grenfell Tower at any time.
——————
Self-made skill shortage because we happily let about 10% of the working age population sit on welfare because as you say the previous government didn’t get serious about but Albo hasn’t helped beyond some investment in higher education because students then have to get a job to build on that education.
As I have put on this site previously, from RBA 10 Year data, what we owed to our home mortgage lenders in the year 2000 was $326 Billion
In the year 2010 is was $1.226 TRILLION
A 350% increase effectively from the year 2000 until the year 2008 (GFC and fractured Global Capital Markets impacting – noting that in places except Australia house prices fell dramatically taking banks with them. Sub prime debt anyone?)
The question being was debt following house price increases or was debt driving house prices
Regardless, house prices increased, the pm of the time saying that Australians were more comfortable because the value of their homes were increasing
Banks (so our home mortgage lenders) have Balance Sheets so assets (money they have lent ) and liabilities starting with Capital and Reserves and are vital to our economy and society
So you cannot just collapse house prices (to what is affordable to a minority unable to afford a home) because that would take banks and households with them
The solution is stable employment paying a fair days pay for a fair days work, so people able to survive (which the very great majority do – how many Mortgagee Auction signs do you see and how long are properties on the market on the market for?)
There are schemes encouraging build to rent (by tax concessions) and there are public housing requirements within developments – and they are appropriate for the minority requiring such assistance
There are also rental assistance schemes thru government
And the problem is not immigration, which we need to service society starting with Medical practitioners – these people come to Australia with a skill the Nation requires (and Australians work overseas as well)
To refer to immigration is purely to introduce racism
The facts are that those under housing stress are under that stress because of their personal circumstances so unable to afford
Less migrants would make no difference to their circumstances – so migrants are not “taking their homes”
The minority struggling with housing costs are not in competition for a place of abode with migrants
Migrants are subject to entry criteria including their contribution to skill shortages in Australia – so an entirely different demographic
To refer to migrants is straight out racism and needs to be called out as same
Boerwar says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 8:45 pm
FUBAR supports Dutton’s last minute policy flip to vote against capping student numbers.
__________
This particular tactical decision may result in unintended consequences for Dutton.
‘Peter C says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 8:54 pm
…
To refer to migrants is straight out racism’
=================
I’m one and I disagree with the blanket nature of this statement.
Some people do have frames for the concept of ‘migrants’ that have racist of xenophobic or nativist overtones.
But IMO it is entirely possible to have a sensible policy discussion around the concept of ‘migrant’ as an extra person in Australia or, for example, someone who has necessary skills.
I only caught the news about Trudeau a little earlier. I seemed to have skipped past the earlier commentary (I blame a pig of a day at work for my brain not being 100% on right now.)
Good but probably too little too late. He should have gone no later than early 2024. Pierre Poilievre is going to be PM of Canada by the end of the year. The only question is can someone at least save some furniture for the Liberals.
As for the argument over whether or not, “it’s time” is a factor. It certainly is, as even as far back as 2021, there were commentators suggesting that Trudeau and the Liberals need to start establishing a succession plan, so another leader can establish themselves as PM and steer the government in a new direction by the next election. This was back when the party’s polling numbers were still decent.
However, that said, the problems that have plagued Trudeau’s PMship and the popularity of the government are very much things that are reflective of a global phenomenon. First term leaders are also being hit by the same issues. And, if somebody like Albanese loses this year, I doubt anyone’s going to say it was an “it’s time” thing. So, I don’t think “it’s time” is the main reason that his PMship has collapsed but it’s certainly an exacerbating factor.
“Lars has outed himself as Team Dutton”
Sorry,Nope – Labor’s campaign against Dutton’s nuclear policy has failed.
I’m still a supporter of teal led minority govt.
Kirsdarkesays:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 8:38 pm
No, that can’t work, we have a critical skills shortage. We need migrants skilled in building as step zero, since thanks to Coalition governments we just haven’t been training our own how to build things. Even if we cut off all immigration down to zero, how do we even start to make a work force that can build the hundreds of thousands of new houses per year that we need to get out of this mess? And these are quality houses we need, not rickety shambles built by cowboys that could go full Grenfell Tower at any time.
_______________________
We are already building 140,000’ish houses a year. More than enough were migration lower.
To be specific, I would not propose zero migration, but starting at net overseas migration of 100,000 persons (pre-Howard average), comprising 80,000 refugees and 20,000 high skilled workers.
So yes, I would quadruple our refugee intake but reduce overall migration by 80%. International students must go home after their studies are done, unless the top 20k can secure a job in the 75 centile or above income bracket.
Mexicanbeemer @ #2167 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 8:54 pm
And how do we move on from that? Force 64-year-olds to cripple themselves with hard-labour jobs on the farms and building sites?
FUBAR is really the only Teal in Australia who supports Dutton’s Nuclear Power Plan.
LOL.
What next?
Flew back to Perth today from Singapore.
A few of the usual suspects here would have had their brains exploding at the sight in the baggage hall.
How many cases to you need for a holiday?
More than a few were likely setting themselves up for a much longer stay.
“I’m still a supporter of teal led minority govt.”
_______
How many Teal seats would there need to be before a Teal MP could call in at Yarralumla and advise the GG that she could form a government?
You could be right though; perhaps Australia is so enshittened that the punters would vote for a Brexit level marketing scam. If so, they deserve their fate. Just like their Anglosphere kin. … count me out though.
Kirsdarkes
And how do we move on from that? Force 64-year-olds to cripple themselves with hard-labour jobs on the farms and building sites?
————————
Why do people hide behind those that can’t work instead of finding ways to help those that want to work because it’s holding many job seekers back.
Andy there is numerical leadership and there is intellectual leadership.
I dare say Labor would welcome abdication of the demands of leadership whilst maintaining the perks.
For those on the economic right, any sort of labour market intervention is anathema. There should be no minimum wage, for example, because a free market will, by definition, lead to wages settling at the perfect most efficient level.
That is, until we see wages in some occupations rising strongly. Then it becomes a ‘skills shortage’ and the government must intervene. So much for free market forces then.
The Age 06/01
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has lashed the Coalition for its handling of tennis star Novak Djokovic’s immigration detention during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2022, after the athlete spoke of the “trauma” he feels when returning to Australia.
_____________________
He is more than welcome to stay home.
I wouldn’t miss him.
An article based around the 2024 Water Monitor Report.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jan/06/climate-crisis-wreaking-havoc-on-earths-water-cycle-report-finds
https://www.globalwater.online/globalwater.html
Lars Von Trier says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 9:01 pm
“Lars has outed himself as Team Dutton”
Sorry,Nope – Labor’s campaign against Dutton’s nuclear policy has failed.
I’m still a supporter of teal led minority govt.
____________
Dutton unopposed is a bridge too far even for you? Well there you go.
Herald Sun 06/01
Mr Battin, the newly-minted Opposition Leader, will on Tuesday announce the team he intends to take to the 2026 state election.
Outspoken MP Bev McArthur, who was crucial to Mr Battin’s leadership challenge, is set to enter shadow cabinet in the role of local government.
_____________________
Bad move.
FUBAR
“We are getting nuclear powered submarines.
It will happen.”
Just make sure to click your heels together three times before making that wish. Then the good witch of submarine supply will bring all the Liberals submarines.
Albanese now after the Serbian vote in Sydney and Melbourne.
Fubar is big enough to look after himself, but the endless targeting of him on this site is becoming pathetic
So, let us all get this straight:
Allegra Spender becomes PM, Monica Ryan her deputy, Zali the Minister for Sport BUT the spine of the government is the Labor Party.
The L’twit manifesto.
In that ‘reality’ we also get … nuclear power?
OK, folk … back away slowly from the Cra-Cra …
I saw before that one pro Liberal poster was blaming all our economic woes on Indian immigrants.
I suppose that is progress. They have moved on from blaming Lebanese and Chinese immigrants.
The big news today as reported by one of the TV commercial networks here in Sydney is that Albo may be strongly considering an election date of April 12.
If that is the case, Albo is throwing in the towel on any possible rate cut by the RBA, and is hiding the true position of the budget by squandering a surplus into a deficit, once again proving that Labor is not able to manage money!
Ante Meridiansays:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 9:12 pm
For those on the economic right, any sort of labour market intervention is anathema. There should be no minimum wage, for example, because a free market will, by definition, lead to wages settling at the perfect most efficient level.
That is, until we see wages in some occupations rising strongly. Then it becomes a ‘skills shortage’ and the government must intervene. So much for free market forces then.
_____________________
Yes, workers getting big pay increases is a good thing.
Rather than subsidising businesses through low income migrants, businesses should be encouraged to invest in capital and automation, saving labour hours and increasing productivity.
Of course the truth of the productivity problem is that it is the fault of incompetent and lazy businesses leadership, and not because workers are not being whipped enough.
But we are in a world where the far left refused to accept that private industry is best to drive national productivity (public service provision aside), while the far right refuse to hold to account their lazy and incompetent corporate backers.
I fail to understand the fixation on FUBAR. I must be missing something. He’s so easy to unfold, yet even some of the most insightful posters appear to be transfixed. It beats me. Good night.
There’s a new series of Silent Witness available for anyone with a VPN to get around the BBC’s geoblock.
Which is news that would have had me cancelling appointments and breaking out the good shiraz a few years ago, before the show became DEI central. Now I’m thinking I might get around to watching it if there’s absolutely nothing else on and I’m desperate for something to stare at.
Actually, that’s unfair. It’s not the diversity that’s the problem, it’s the crap plots and the cringeworthy relationship between the two main characters.
But the DEI doesn’t help.
Startling stat from when at uni was that only 10% of grads get a grad role this is surely something government should be looking at.
Elon Musk has said America needs to help “liberate the people of Britain” from its “tyrannical government” in his latest scathing dig at Sir Keir Starmer. The US-based billionaire launched the attack on post on X. He wrote: “America should liberate the people of Britain from their tyrannical government.”
Musk’s followers on the platform could respond with a simple “yes,” or “no.” Up to 71.7% of thousands who responded voted for “yes.” 28.3% of respondents replied no.
It was just one of a string of posts where the X boss has taken aim at the prime minister. Musk also called for “Prison for Starmer” this morning.
He was responding to a post that “Elsie, Bebe and Alice were killed by a Muslim with a knife in England but for Keir Starmer the problem is Islamophobia”, referencing the killing of three children in the 2024 terror Southport attack over the summer.
Holdenhillbilly @ #2207 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 9:31 pm
Musk:
https://sethabramson.substack.com/p/the-truth-about-musk-from-his-biographer
The Scum King.
I wonder when he will be defenestrated.
It’s a bad world.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/broke-desperate-jobseekers-are-falling-for-gold-mine-employment-scams-in-droves-20250105-p5l26q.html
Yes I know people aren’t as smart as we like to think we are, like that song by the way so I’ll chuck it in as well.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/broke-desperate-jobseekers-are-falling-for-gold-mine-employment-scams-in-droves-20250105-p5l26q.html
Cheers all lurking on a Monday night, I don’t get many opportunities so here I are, all for the benefit of the good!
Honestly if they actually do overthrow Keir Starmer it sure would be a dramatic reversal of the Glorious Revolution of 1688 where the integrity of the parliament will no longer matter.
Starmer’s Labour Party holds 411 of 650 seats. If that turns out to not count in the end, that’s a pretty decisive defeat for democracy in the UK.
AE
“ So, let us all get this straight:
Allegra Spender becomes PM, Monica Ryan her deputy, Zali the Minister for Sport BUT the spine of the government is the Labor Party.”
——————————————————————-
If we could get David Pocock in as Defence Minister it could do great things for the profile of Defence inter service rugby games. They would draw crowds.
And yes, given that Zali Steggall has described nuclear power as “Dutton’s nuclear fantasy”, I can’t see such a government delivering that either.
I would say getting 411 of 650 seats with less than a third of the vote wasn’t exactly a victory for democracy in the first place, but that’s just me.
https://youtu.be/bsxf5qDiLPc?si=cZ5WJpxmTnzYOoI6
We’re being scammed by the gas vampires and their enablers in the coalition and the ALP
Been Theresays:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 9:44 pm
It’s a bad world.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/broke-desperate-jobseekers-are-falling-for-gold-mine-employment-scams-in-droves-20250105-p5l26q.html
Yes, I know people aren’t as smart as we like to think we are, like that song by the way so I’ll chuck it in as well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFZ1jmYtJjE
Cheers all lurking on a Monday night, I don’t get many opportunities so here I are, all for the benefit of the good!
*edit had to repost, internet went off.