Nine Newspapers yesterday had Resolve Strategic’s quarterly state breakdowns, combined from their past three monthly polls. These aren’t news with respect to the three largest states, results for which are provided with each poll. That leaves fresh results for Western Australia, which show Labor on 30% (up one on last quarter, down from 36.8% at the 2022 election), the Coalition on 37% (up two, up from 34.8%), the Greens on 12% (down four, down from 12.5%) and One Nation 5% (steady, up from 4.0%). and South Australia, which show Labor on 27% (down one on last quarter, down from 34.5% at the election), the Coalition on 34% (down two, down from 35.5%), the Greens on 12% (down two, down from 12.8%) and One Nation on 8% (up two, up from 4.8%). The combined sample for the poll was 4831, with surveying conducted between October 1 and December 8.
Also published on Sunday were familiarity and net likeability results for 34 politicians from the most recent monthly survey. These seem to have elicited rote responses for most of the lower-ranking government ministers, eight of whom scored between between 41% and 55% on name recognition and between minus one and minus five on net likeability. Coalition politicians in the same name recognition range did better, ranging from even to plus seven.
The most instructive results were for those with familiarity scores of 70% and upwards, peaking at 98% for Anthony Albanese (minus 17 on net likeability) and 95% for Peter Dutton (even). Jacinta Price was the most favoured major party politician with 71% familiarity and plus 8 net likeability, though David Pocock and a number of Liberals did only slightly less well with much lower familiarity scores. Labor’s best performer was Penny Wong with 89% familiarity and plus 2 on net likeability. The worst result for a major party politician was Barnaby Joyce with 90% familiarity and minus 22 net likeability.
Jacqui Lambie tops the list, with 80% familiarity and plus 14 net likeability. David Pocock and Zali Steggall’s results were respectively good and mediocre, but otherwise non-major party politicians did poorly, Adam Bandt, Sarah Hanson-Young, Bob Katter and Fatima Payman all landing between minus 11 and minus 17. Worst-rated of all was Lidia Thorpe, whose recent activities have succeeded to the extent of scoring her 73% familiarity, with a net rating of minus 41 presumably demonstrating one point or another.
UPDATE: Further results have been published for age broken down into three cohorts. For 18-to-34, Labor is on 33% (up two from last quarter, steady on what was presumably the pre-election Resolve Strategic poll), the Coalition 27% (up two on both counts), the Greens 23% (down four, down two). For 35-to-54, Labor is on 30% (up two and down four), the Coalition 34% (down two and up two) and the Greens 12% (steady on both counts). For 55-plus, Labor is on 25% (down two and down eight), the Coalition 50% (up three and up four) and the Greens 4% (steady and down one).
FUBAR @ #2100 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 6:22 pm
Even though we have amongst the highest paid politicians in the world? Not to mention the most useless. Do you really think they deserve to be paid more?
FUBAR @ #2102 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 6:23 pm
I used to be impressed by triple expansion engines, but their time has gone.
@FUBAR:
“We have one of the largest resources of uranium in the world. It is lunacy that we are not world leaders in all aspects of the nuclear industry. Utter lunacy. The fact that we only export yellowcake is nuts. The idiots who are holding us back and have been for many decades do not have the best interests of Australia or Australians at heart – they are cynical anti-scientific haters of Australia.”
_____
Gosh, that is an almighty spit … at YOUR own team. After all over the past 5o+ years they:
1. Cancelled the Jervis Bay Nuclear Power plant;
2. In lieu of doing a deal with Labor, did a dirty one with Bob Brown (of all people) in 1998 to ban nuclear power in Australia; and
3. Commissioned a feasibility study from Ziggy, who reported in 2006 that nuclear power was indeed viable, with a 20 year lead time to commission the first of up to 20 nuclear power plants, but then Howard kicked the whole idea into the long grass, and despite 9 years of government (2013-22) left nuclear power firmly in the long grass, whilst simultaneously failing to land any one of 22 different energy policy proposals during that period. Indeed, as late as the immediate aftermath of the 2022 had a federal opposition leader giving interviews saying that he positively opposed nuclear power.
Now, to cap this ‘lunacy’, the very same LNP Team Clusterfuck now wants to suppress the rollout of renewables (and depress the total amount of electrify generated so that we would face a Brexit level economic implosion by 2031) in favour of a technology which still costs too much money, will take years longer than they admit to start rolling out, and even when it may possibility turn up is largely incompatible with what the NEM will have to look like by then (if we are to avoid the ‘turn off the lights’ Brexit-esque disaster in 2031) – one based on dispatchable, firmed generation.
talk about ‘anti-scientific’: your mob takes the (yellow) cake!
FUBAR. How aptly named thou art.
FUBAR @ #2093 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 6:13 pm
Tell Gina, no it won’t. 🙂
FUBAR
The biggest problem for the conservative side is that the best and brightest conservatives do not go into politics because the pay and conditions are so poor
————–
Many are in positions where they have access to politicians and policy makers and they see how some liberal supporters treat successful business and community leaders.
Over the years, usually around election time, we get many announcements to fix the Bruce Hwy. generally any dollars that do get spent take so long that by the time the work is completed the result becomes inadequate.
It’s best to take announcements about Bruce Hwy upgrades with a deal of caution.
The reason Australia has the problems it has starting with housing affordability and running thru to the Bruce Highway being an issue in 2025 is that, across its history since the 1940’s it has been majority ruled by the Coalition with the ALP only in government for a minority of the time (noting Hawke and Keating as the exception, the Hawke government reducing the upper marginal tax rate from 60 cents in the $1-)
There are some on this site, identifying problems and otherwise heckling, who seem to conveniently overlook this history
Putting that each and everyone of the problems we face are the result of an ALP government or a lack of action by an ALP government, most recently in government for just over 2 and a half years after a period of 10 years of Coalition government
This is the reason some contributors to this site are correctly described as nothing more and nothing less than partisan of the first order, therefore of no consequence
These contributors are well known, their contributions scrolled past
The Tories have been as successful in the National interest as they have been in committing Australia to Wars, where they have lost each of those Wars
Player One says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 6:24 pm
Pay peanuts – get monkeys.
The simple fact that Departmental heads are paid vastly more than Ministers is a straight forward indicator that our politicians are massively underpaid.
A good engineer with ten years experience and an MBA can easily be paid more than the PM. A Radiologist with a few years experience is paid more than most Cabinet Ministers. Hard Rock underground miners make what Cabinet Ministers make. Ministers are responsible for annual budgets larger than most ASX2o companies annual budgets but are paid a pittance compared to CEO’s, let alone CFO’s, Counsel etc. In WA the ALP Premiers and Treasurers depart and immediately double their incomes at the resource majors.
Both my wife and I earn more than back benchers.
Pay peanuts – get monkeys.
think I posted with wrong email – yep – delete the one in moderation, please.
Player One says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 6:24 pm
Pay peanuts – get monkeys.
The simple fact that Departmental heads are paid vastly more than Ministers is a straight forward indicator that our politicians are massively underpaid.
A good engineer with ten years experience and an MBA can easily be paid more than the PM. A Radiologist with a few years experience is paid more than most Cabinet Ministers. Hard Rock underground miners make what Cabinet Ministers make. Ministers are responsible for annual budgets larger than most ASX2o companies annual budgets but are paid a pittance compared to CEO’s, let alone CFO’s, Counsel etc. In WA the ALP Premiers and Treasurers depart and immediately double their incomes at the resource majors.
Both my wife and I earn more than back benchers.
Pay peanuts – get monkeys.
Peter C says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 6:44 pm
Housing affordability is a problem throughout the Western Democracies. Canada, NZ are no different to Australia.
What’s your solution?
Housing affordability is a big reason for the collapse in support for Trudeau.
Peter C says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 6:44 pm
Putting that each and everyone of the problems we face are the result of an ALP government or a lack of action by an ALP government, most recently in government for just over 2 and a half years after a period of 10 years of Coalition government.
_____________________
Record levels of immigration in those 2 and a half years.
There’s your housing affordability crisis right there.
Not much use going back to the 1940’s to apportion blame.
Mexicanbeemer @ #2111 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 7:00 pm
Also an “It’s Time” factor, he’s been PM for over 9 years and that’s a fair run.
His decision to shy away from electoral reform and bring in preferential voting will probably come back to bite the Canadian Liberals, they’re likely to be wiped out from current polling that has them third on 16%, behind the NDP on 21% and the Conservatives on 45% as they retain their first-past-the-post system.
Taylormade supports Dutton’s decision to vote against capping student numbers.
Mexicanbeemer @ #2114 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 7:00 pm
I was listening to a podcast the other day with an interview with a Canadian commentator. He said Canadian PMs last 6 months or 10 years and 10 years seems to be the limit. Trudeau has reached his ‘it’s time’ factor.
” Housing affordability is a problem throughout the Western Democracies. Canada, NZ are no different to Australia.
What’s your solution?”
When the market fails, the Government needs to make up the shortfall. It used to do that. Build social housing. Ensure that we have sufficient home-grown skills to accomplish that. That will take some time, so our immigration program will need to help fill gaps here in the meantimd. Have a close look at the tax treatment of property investing. Houses are places for people to live, not stores of value like gold bullion or Picassos.
Cricket Australia breaks silence on not inviting Gavaskar for trophy presentation
Ind vs Aus: Cricket Australia (CA) broke their silence on not inviting legendary India cricketer Sunil Gavaskar to present Border Gavaskar Trophy (BGT) to Australia who beat India by 3-1 in the Test series.
https://www.indiatoday.in/sports/cricket/story/cricket-australia-sunil-gavaskar-border-gavaskar-trophy-aus-vs-ind-ind-vs-aus-2660229-2025-01-06?utm_source=Story_hp&utm_medium=Story&utm_campaign=home_Story
Steve777 says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 7:16 pm
Social housing is only for a very small sector of the market. What about all the other people who aren’t eligible and there isn’t the stock available for social housing?
Why would anyone invest in rental housing if it isn’t going to be treated like any other investment?
Confessions says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 7:10 pm
You think it is only an “it’s time” issue?
Wow.
If you only get monkeys why pay more than peanuts.
I don’t think it’s only the pay level stopping them. Being held publicly to account for what are often other people’s f-ups wouldn’t appeal. Even those who seem impressive before starting politics seem to blend in after a while
Stupid labor leader Albanese own goal keeping inflation high remember he hugged Modi!
News ltd now.
Australian Economy
‘Out of kilter’: Indian migrants fuel surge as Labor struggles to rein in numbers
A massive surge in migrants from India is hampering efforts to rein in overall numbers, fuelled by a controversial pact signed by Anthony Albanese after Covid.
Frank Chung
January 6, 2025 – 6:51PM
‘Consequences’ of migration under Anthony Albanese
A massive surge in migrants from India that has continued since Covid is hampering the government’s efforts to rein in overall numbers, while universities have emerged unscathed from failed efforts to put caps on international students.
There were 300,000 Indians holding temporary visas in Australia in the September quarter — by far the biggest single group — up from 200,000 in the same period in 2019.
The September figure included 115,000 Indians on student visas and 80,000 Indians on graduate visas.
Fuelling the surge in Indian students is an agreement signed in May 2023 by Prime Ministers Anthony Albanese and Narendra Modi, the Australia-India Migration and Mobility Partnership Agreement, which opened the doors to more Indian students as well as graduates and early-career professionals.
The pact means Indians can apply for five-year student visas, with no limit on the number who can study in Australia, and graduates can apply to work in Australia for up to eight years without visa sponsorship.
pied piper supports Dutton’s voting against capping the number of students.
FUBARsays:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 7:25 pm
Confessions says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 7:10 pm
You think it is only an “it’s time” issue?
Wow
————
There’s something about political leaders struggling to get past 10 years.
The Unions are big on the “no worse off” thing in employment agreements.
Not a word when the defined benefits superannuation and other conditions of service were cut for Federal Politicians – costing many millions in future earnings.
On Nukes:
Labor allowed uranium mining
Labor supported AUKUS and nuclear subs and waste that came with it
Basically how do you argue against nukes when you’ve gone well down the pathway to accepting them. Hence the failure of the three eyed fish meme.
The tech argument re smr’s has been lost with development of the technology well under way in both the states and China.
The only argument left is the economic one – the reference to extreme claims – like reactors won’t be built until 2070 and a claimed massive uptake of renewables that isn’t supported by fact means that argument has been lost in a blizzard of competing claims.
After all if we were on the verge of a renewables breakthrough the nsw Labor govt wouldn’t be paying origin energy to keep a coal fired plant going on the central coast (because its closure would mean widespread power blackouts).
The Beatification of President Carter is a little nauseating.
It’s going to be a giddy ride till a Federal election whenever.
The latest Morgan poll has an odd feel about the two party preferred “take away”.
I reckon the election campaign has begun “in earnest” although will qualify this by suggesting it began the morning after the last election, when the outgoing Morrison leftovers started apportioning blame for Australia’s mulplicity of ailments on the new Albanese Labor government and they need to take responsibility for these ailments.
I hope that their exists enough left wing, socialist, ratbag, Greenie, teal, “woke as fuck” partisans with a strong belief in the technological energy revolution to keep the coal burning, racist, dishonest, religious, climate deniers away from the government benches.
Nadia,
I would respectfully like to disagree in the specific case of “The Wombat”.
A pile-on is not, and should not be, posts from others on Poll Bludger who are disputing, with facts, the opinions presented by a poster, in this case “The Wombat”.
Socrates (sorry to drop you in this personally Soc) is a poster of long-standing, with specific expertise in transport infrastructure projects. He has often been critical of Labor state and Federal administrations.
So, when he provides evidence that refutes “The Wombat”‘s claim that only the Coalition really do regional infrastructure funding, this is not a pile-on.
It was rather a back and forth between Socrates and The Wombat discussing the issue.
Also, I guess we all have to calibrate each other here – who are we – why are we posting – are we discussing the polls, or are we players, seeking to influence others by fair means or foul…
So far I am liking the cut of your jib, which is why I take the time to disagree with you.
FUBAR says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 7:49 pm
The Beatification of President Carter is a little nauseating.
___________________________
Don’t worry, the Trump Coronation is just 2 weeks away will be the antidote
My goodness, L’twit: all this time I just had you pegged as an amoral irritant. In truth you are actually stupid.
The ‘debate’ transcends whether one is ‘for’ or ‘against’ nuclear power as an idea, or principle. The heart of it is whether nuclear power can actually be ‘a thing’ in time – and for what cost – to form part of the energy transition for our national grid. It simply can’t.
Nothing compared to back in 2004. Reaganmas seemed like it would never end that year.
LARS supports Dutton’s Plan to Build 7 nuclear power plants using taxpayer funds so that taxpayers can pay more for their electricity and so that people who privately invested in solar panels and can have their solar panels shut off.
It must make sense to LARS and to Dutton and to FUBAR and to Pied Piper.
FUBAR is looking forward to the anointing of Trump.
Given the allocation to Bruce, I think it’s a very good start to the election. Here’s the thing, on what grounds can Dutts complain? He’s been wedged into a position he’d prefer not be in. Having control of the treasury is surely a distinct adavantage. Don’t write Labor off!
Dr Fumbles Mcstupid says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 7:56 pm
We’ve got alive one here.
Wat Tyler says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 7:59 pm
Reagan actually did something – he won the Cold War. Possibly the greatest strategic victory in history apart from WWII.
Reagan tripled the national debt. Up there with Morrison.
Maybe FUBAR is looking forward to the coronation of Trump. After all, Trump is a much finer human than any other POTUS before or since. Much to be admired. The sort of shining light to whom the Coalition could rightly aspire.
Dutton.Gina.FUBAR.Musk.Vance.
Join the dots.
Boerwar says:
Monday, January 6, 2025 at 8:12 pm
You should get your meds reviewed.
Basically what it is is that Carter’s politics don’t match FUBAR’s so any respect for him should stop, even if it’s within a suitable period of mourning.
FUBAR admires Trump. Top Hole.
Despises Carter. Far too decent a human being, apparently.
FUBAR admires Dutton. And so on, ad nauseam.
WT
Yep. Standard Trump/Dutton tactics. Show utter contempt for decent human beings. Seek to appoint crooks, spivs, sleeve tuggers and the like.
Andrew_E
As I said earlier, I had pegged Lars as anti-Labor, but he has hidden his pro-Coalition enthusiasm carefully, until today.
And, if you are pro the Coalition energy policy, then you are anti-science. As demonstrated by Lars belief that the Frontier Energy costings showed that nuclear would be cheaper than renewables.
And it is not a pile-on if you can demonstrate that you have facts on your side. All opinions are NOT equal.
Although in this post-enlightenment, post-truth world, those of us who have made the effort to be scientifically and technologically literate feel like we are pushing shit up hill.
As an aside, today I’ve finished watching Wolf Hall, a historical drama series focused on the life of Thomas Cromwell based on the book series of Hilary Mantel.
I thoroughly recommend it, it’s a much better drama series on that time period than The Tudors.
To be fair, when Trump or Bush II die, plenty of people here will probably be cheering and groaning about the period of mourning being so long, and the excessive positive eulogising.
Edit: Obviously the objection to doing it for Trump would be more valid if he ends up doing some of the authoritarian/fascistic stuff that people fear he might do, or somehow ends democracy etc. I am just talking about if his presidency ends up just being four years of hard right wing governance with varying levels of success.
“Basically what it is is that Carter’s politics don’t match FUBAR’s so any respect for him should stop, even if it’s within a suitable period of mourning.”
____
Despite Carter being a military man, like FUBAR, he never mastered the ‘conservative’ art of punching down. You can see the problem from FUBAR’s POV, can’t you.
Re Lars @ 7:49.
” Labor allowed uranium mining”
Yes, so what? I have no proble with nuclear in principle.
”Labor supported AUKUS and nuclear subs and waste that came with it”
I am very skeptical about AUKUS. I doubt that any submarines will be flowing from it before 2040 or ever. But that is an entirely different issue. I have no problem in principle with Australia running a fleet a nuclear submarines.
”Basically how do you argue against nukes when you’ve gone well down the pathway to accepting them.”
A specious argument. I oppose building seven nuclear power stations for the same reason as I’d oppose building seven giant statues of John Howard. It’s a waste of money and serves no useful purpose.
”Hence the failure of the three eyed fish meme.” Irrelevant.
”The tech argument re smr’s has been lost with development of the technology well under way in both the states and China.”
to the extent that this is true, irrelevant. We should wait until we see how these attempts to develop the technology work before committing to their use. But you and I know it’s all about keeping coal and gas.
”The only argument left is the economic one – the reference to extreme claims – like reactors won’t be built until 2070” A lie. No one is saying that. If we put our mind to it and if the project is competently run, we could possibly have one running by 2045. Maybe we could have seven by 2055. But why would we bother when there are cheaper and quicker alternatives.
”and a claimed massive uptake of renewables that isn’t supported by fact.”
Then why are Liberals and their allies spreading lies and astroturfing against renewable projects if they don’t see them as a threat?
”After all if we were on the verge of a renewables breakthrough…”
renewables are proven technology. Unlike SMRs, they don’t need a breakthrough to be viable.
”…the nsw Labor govt wouldn’t be paying origin energy to keep a coal fired plant going on the central coast (because its closure would mean widespread power blackouts).”
necessary because of decades of inaction by Coalition Governments at Federal and State level.
The solution to housing is to massively cut migration. We have a growth in heads problem much faster than could ever be built (or would want to build, given concern of sprawl and gentrification).
Tie negative gearing and CGT discount to the migration cut if you want, these are more about housing composition (rent vs ownership) rather than affordability. In the currently 2023/24 housing forever war, people forget that wages rose by twice the rate of rent growth before the current migration boom.
But if course the above integrated package would be snipped and picked apart by the far left/right culture warriors and media backers.
Wat Tyler @ #2150 Monday, January 6th, 2025 – 8:26 pm
When Trump dies I’m going to spend the entire period celebrating. I’ll be rejoicing that protocol dictates flags at half mast for as long as they are going to be.