The Financial Review reports the final monthly Freshwater Strategy poll for the year (no link as of yet) has voting intention results identical to last time, with the Coalition leading 51-49 from primary votes of Labor 30%, Coalition 40%, Greens 14% and others 16%. Anthony Albanese is at 34% approval and 51% disapproval, up one on both counts, while Peter Dutton is steady on 37% and down one to 40%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister widens from 44-43 to 46-43, but a suite of questions on the leaders’ attributes produces better results for Dutton, including a 44% to 31% lead for being a strong leader. The poll was conducted Friday to Sunday from a sample of 1051.
UPDATE: Presumably paywalled report here. The poll finds 48% expect the Coalition to win the election, 18% in majority and 29% in minority, compared with 39% for Labor, 25% in minority and 14% in majority.
“Respected Alice Springs elder Benedict Stevens ‘beat partner with Aboriginal tool’”
“A respected Alice Springs traditional owner and director of a community organisation tasked with stamping out domestic and youth violence in the crime-ravaged outback city beat his long-term partner in an alcohol-fuelled assault earlier this year.
Lhere Artepe Aboriginal Corporation chair and Tangentyere Council director Benedict Stevens was handed a six-month suspended sentence in June after pleading guilty to aggravated assault following a violent incident in which he struck his partner in the head with a traditional Aboriginal foraging tool and left a large gash.”
““The defendant approached the victim and swung the wooden stick once at the victim, hitting (her) to the left eyebrow,” the statement reads. “As a result of the assault, the victim suffered a large laceration about 6cm in length and about 5cm wide.”
The daughter then grabbed the digging stick and pushed Mr Stevens away.
Police arrived at the house at 11.30pm and placed Mr Stevens under arrest for aggravated assault. Mr Stevens was issued a domestic violence order, while his partner was taken to Alice Springs hospital.”
“Mr Stevens is one of 14 directors at the Tangentyere Council, where he has been involved in domestic violence diversion programs.
Asked whether it was appropriate for him to be counselling other men on domestic violence, he said: “Yep.”
“Just letting them know you shouldn’t be doing this,” he said.”
“Multiple members of the Alice Springs Indigenous community slammed Mr Stevens for remaining on the Lhere Artepe board despite the incident, and have said it was an “open secret in the black community”.
“Why is somebody with serious domestic violence convictions sitting at the top of the food chain when you’ve got the (police) commissioner and Chief Minister talking about domestic violence in the town?” one person said.”
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/indigenous/respected-alice-springs-elder-benedict-stevens-beat-partner-with-aboriginal-tool/news-story/ab1edbb787d2cd55b57e406b29dad4bd
How is this in any way acceptable?
It is as bad as the NAAJA having a Chairman guilty of DV.
Can Labor realistically pick up any seats at the federal election? Any possible gains in QLD or NSW?
The federal lib/nats complain about and if they are are really concern
These days of cost of living , and wasteful use of taxpayers money
It would be better for Taxpayers if all lib/nats were forced in a merger to become one single political entity , instead of having seperate 2 Liberal party and 2National party leaders and deputy in house of reps and senate
National party policies are about 98/99% the same as Liberal party anyway
one
Liberal national party leader and deputy in the house of reps , and senate
Steve777 @ #950 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 6:27 pm
While I don’t like commenting on matters relating to the Middle East, I agree with this. There’s magnitudes of difference between these three acts. Likening act 3 to act 1 is ridiculous.
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
Gosh Tim Lane is such a good test match commentator. Tremendous stuff.
justif01says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 6:29 pm
Can Labor realistically pick up any seats at the federal election? Any possible gains in QLD or NSW?
————————————-
Maybe Sturt.
Justif01
‘ Can Labor realistically win any seats at the federal election? Any possible gains in QLD or NSW?“
I think Sturt in SA is a distinct possibility. With a little attention. An inactive Liberal MP sits on a 0.5% margin based on Antony Green’s pendulum. Labor (and Greens) are both campaigning for it. The State Labor government is riding high in SA. It would be great to see some Federal attention.
Will someone please tell Scott’s Mum that he is embarrassing himself on the internet, again.
Mexicanbeemer says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 5:52 pm
It’s unlikely a majority of houses in Kooyong have solar but this is the problem with climate policy because the rollout of rooftop solar has been too slow.
——————
You may be right about the rollout , the main point is that renewables are happening , where Dutton’s thought bubble , is expensive with nothing going to happen in the near future if it evercomes in
justif01 @ #952 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 6:29 pm
Probably not at this stage, to be honest. If they go better in 2025 in Queensland then they could have a shot at Brisbane and Griffith if they poll better than the Greens, or Longman if they get a few more points against the LNP.
In NSW they’re probably going to lose seats no matter what. They need at least an 0.4% swing toward them to hold Bennelong and the next target marginal seats there are Banks on 2.6%, Hughes on 3.5% and Lindsay on 6.1%.
FUBAR says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 6:34 pm
Scott says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 6:08 pm
Western Australia electoral commission must also be wrong , giving Liberal and National party primary vote separately
Will someone please tell Scott’s Mum that he is embarrassing himself on the internet, again.
———————
Does the western Australian electoral commission count the lib/nats as the same political party
If they do , than I m wrong about the Western Australian electoral commission
Steve and Kirsdarke
I’m not saying that criticising Israel is antisemitism, but there are some people out there (and I’ve occasionally seen it creep in here) where antisemitic tropes have crept into criticism of Israel and Netanyahu. It happens and people who feel quite strongly about what is happening in the Middle East need to be aware of it.
Given that we don’t know yet who is responsible for the clearly anti-semitic synagogue bombing, perhaps a better example might be going to Woollahra or Bondi to deface walls with anti-Israel slogans.
The fact that it is well known that these are places with a higher proportion of Jews than elsewhere makes this anti-semitic, even though the word “Israel” is used. The comparison would be someone going to Lakemba to post anti-Palestinian slogan and damage cars and deface mosques.
Please give this some thought rather than respond as if I were accusing either of you of antisemitism just because you criticise Israel (which I’m not doing).
Dr Doolittle says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 5:59 pm
Tell that to the lads who froze their arses off hanging around the Fulda Gap waiting for the Third Shock Army to roll over them. They fully expected to not survive and they knew their role was to die in place and cause as much delay prior to that in the slim hope of the US being able to reinforce Western Europe. Many bomber pilots had missions that were much further than their fuel capacity for a return to base and there was no tanker plan for them over the Warsaw Pact countries. I heard one F111 pilot who said they knew they were going to flame out and he was planning to get as close to the North Pole before dying.
Your glib flippancy about the real threat that existed is a disgrace.
FUBAR
In fact its looks like you embarrassed yourself
\
indeed the Western Australia Electoral commission
Counts Liberal and National party seperate
And there we go, India have avoided the follow-on. The match will most likely be a draw now. Our bowlers inability to efficiently close against tail-enders haunts us yet again.
Oakeshott Country says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 5:39 pm
How much extra did that cost to fix?
TPOF @ #963 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 6:40 pm
Alright, that’s fair. I really dislike this current thing that’s happening where genuine anti-semites who think the Holocaust was a good thing muddying the waters by mingling in with people who don’t like what’s happening at the moment in the I-P conflict.
Diogenes says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 5:02 pm
“I think a hydroelectric dam failure in China might kill more than a nuclear reactor meltdown would.”
————————————–
I’d have to agree. I am not in favour of nuclear power in Australia, but the safety risk is overblown.
The direct death toll at Chernobyl was less than 100. Perhaps another 4000 might die over coming decades from radiation induced cancers, although there is considerable debate on this.
Whereas floods from dam failures are instant and deadly. China has very heavily populated river valleys vulnerable to flooding throughout history. When the Baioquo(?) dam flooded in 1975 it drowned at least 20,000 people, with the final death toll never known due to a Mao era coverup.
Radiation risks are real but manageable. There has never been a meltdown of a Gen II or later design nuclear power plant. The design largely prevents them due to automatic scrambling of the core control roads in the event of failure.
Environmental degradation is a greater risk from nuclear. One UK scientist I worked with was the daughter of engineer/scientist parents who had worked on Windscale/Sellafield site in UK. Her mum had contracted Parkinsons and they knew dozens of people in the area who had suffered cancer.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windscale_fire
The best nuclear technology is quite safe, but it is French, Korean or Swedish, not UK. I remain mystified why the technical experts who became defence ministers in the current (Marles) and previous (Dutton) governments were so eager to sign us up to submarines with UK built nuclear reactors. I guess they knew best.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_and_radiation_accidents_and_incidents
The Canadian Conservatives have achieved a 65.4% FP vote on a swing to them of 29.2% in a Vancouver byelection in a previously Canadian Liberal held seat.
How can Trudeau stay as PM after this? His DPM told him to shove it yesterday.
The Canadians deserve a Federal Election immediately.
FUBAR. ”Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.”
OK, I made up the bits about coal atoms for humorous effect, unlike the numbers supporting nuclear energy in Australia, which while made up were (a) not funny and (b) meant to be believed.
FUBARsays:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 6:59 pm
The Canadian Conservatives have achieved a 65.4% FP vote on a swing to them of 29.2%.
How can Trudeau stay as PM after this? His DPM told him to shove it yesterday.
The Canadians deserve a Federal Election immediately.
================================================
I’m pretty sure Canada, like the USA, have fixed term elections. Do you want them to override the current norms. Just because you dislike the current government there?
Entropy @ #972 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 6:33 pm
No, he can call a snap election. He did so in 2021.
Not that I recommend it of course. Nor do I think he will do that. Just that it is constitutionally possible.
Entropy @ #972 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 7:03 pm
In Canada they can call snap elections at the Prime Minister’s request, just like in Australia (at least federally).
However, this by-election defeat is so massive that it would increase the chance of a Motion of No-Confidence being passed, since Trudeau’s Liberals hold a minority government. If the Conservatives, New Democrats and Bloc Quebecois agree to it, they can force an election against Trudeau’s wishes.
And you would be wrong:
“Timing of election
Historically, the prime minister could ask the governor general to call an election at virtually any time, although one had to be called no later than five years after the return of the writs under section 4 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms. In 2007, the Conservative Parliament passed an act requiring fixed election dates in Canada every four years.[2] This law does not curtail the power of the governor general to dissolve Parliament at any time, as was done for the 2008 election at the request of Prime Minister Stephen Harper.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_electoral_system
I was a bit slow because I wanted to include a reference.
Fubar
It was a quick fix of the cable. The tradie wanted to be paid cash.
TPOF and Kirsdarke.
Thank you for your considered comments.
Crimes are crimes, terrorism is terrorism. Both are reprehensible, attacks on peoples’ homes and places of worship particularly so, no matter by whom, no matter whose homes and places of worship.
I am very concerned that some political figures (we know who) are giving every indication of weaponising such crimes for political advantage.
Scott @ #928 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 5:46 pm
Amelia Hamer has a fight on her hands. Bougie surname to fight with tho. 😐
Oakeshott Country says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 7:09 pm
So, call out plus minimum charge – $250.
That’s a lot of power you have to sell back to the grid to make up.
I paid a tradie in cash today to come round and fix a jammed sash window. Otherwise I would have had to wait until the end of January. Now I have a window that is open and letting the sea breeze in after a very hot day.
#cashisking #winning
To put it in an Australian equivalence, today’s Canadian by-election result in Cloverfield-Langley City would be the equivalent of Boothby in SA (currently held 53-47 to Labor) to suddenly become 70-30 to the Coalition.
Trudeau’s position is unsustainable.
Kirsdarke @ #975 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 7:08 pm
Do they really want to elect a Trump Mini Me sycophant?
C@tmommasays:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 7:20 pm
Kirsdarke @ #975 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 7:08 pm
Entropy @ #972 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 7:03 pm
FUBARsays:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 6:59 pm
The Canadian Conservatives have achieved a 65.4% FP vote on a swing to them of 29.2%.
How can Trudeau stay as PM after this? His DPM told him to shove it yesterday.
The Canadians deserve a Federal Election immediately.
================================================
I’m pretty sure Canada, like the USA, have fixed term elections. Do you want them to override the current norms. Just because you dislike the current government there?
In Canada they can call snap elections at the Prime Minister’s request, just like in Australia (at least federally).
However, this by-election defeat is so massive that it would increase the chance of a Motion of No-Confidence being passed, since Trudeau’s Liberals hold a minority government. If the Conservatives, New Democrats and Bloc Quebecois agree to it, they can force an election against Trudeau’s wishes.
Do they really want to elect a Trump Mini Me sycophant?
================================================
Unfortunately they possibly will. Though i can’t see why the New Democrats or Bloc Quebecois would want to bring on quicker a far right Trumpian type Government. They have far more say under the current situation.
C@t,
According to the opinion polls, yes.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election
More efficient and longer lasting solar panels. Where does the advance of technology fit into the energy debate?
Researchers have created solar panels that work better and last longer by solving a hidden problem in an innovative type of solar cell, reported Tech Xplore.
The exciting development comes from an international team led by the University of Surrey in the U.K., which cracked the code for making more efficient solar cells using a material called perovskite. These enhanced cells can convert an impressive 23% of sunlight into usable electricity while lasting 66% longer than previous versions, according to research published in the journal Energy and Environmental Science.
https://www.thecooldown.com/green-tech/perovskite-solar-cells-longer-lasting-efficient/
I think we’re past the point of incredulity.
It’s not 2017 anymore. Trump is not an accident, nor are any of the other leaders who are like him. People, dissatisfied with the conventional, are embracing it all around the world. The various left of centre factions were too busy gatekeeping and having idiotic battles, that they didn’t offer a united front against it, nor a remedy for it. We lost. This is the world now for the next few years at least.
Kirsdarke says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 7:19 pm
When your DPM gives you the finger, I think that’s a fair sign as well.
This guy believes interest rates are going to dive.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6g4AfQWUso
In ten years the technology of renewables and batteries will be astounding. And it should be, considering the billions invested in it.
Looking forward to powering my house with a panel the size of a tv.
”Do they really want to elect a Trump Mini Me sycophant?”
The head article for this thread says Australians want to…
Don’t know about Canada.
Through much of its first term, opinion polling was disappointing for the government
Whose government was this statement in reference to?
Wat Tyler @ #987 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 7:25 pm
Not in Australia. Not in the UK. Not in Poland.
Fubar
You have expensive tradies – he took a pineapple
Well there you go. Final polls are in and the Conservatives win the by-election with 66.3% of the vote, Liberal Party distant second at 16%
At the 2021 election, the Liberals won that seat with 39.1% of the vote to the Conservatives 36.12%.
Trudeau is toast.
davesays:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 7:32 pm
In ten years the technology of renewables and batteries will be astounding. And it should be, considering the billions invested in it.
=========================================================
Billions have been invested in SMR’s and fusion too. Yet the results are less than astounding. In fact progress is pretty much non-existent.
Oakeshott Country says:
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 at 7:46 pm
Standard call-out fee in Perth for plumber/electrician etc is $180-$200 minimum and lucky to pay less than $100 an hour with a minimum first hour.
Had a power point installed last week $330 supply and install. Wanted another $900 to install five lights – install only. They may magically appear on the wall
I agree with C@t that the UK may very well be our best anchor point to reality once Trump’s second circus begins.
The usual rightwing trash are screeching for a recall at the moment, but Starmer has at least 400/650 seats until 2029.
There’s got to be a lot of cleaning up to do after what the Conservatives did to that country over 14 years, but he at least has 5 years to make a start of it. And who knows? Maybe after Nigel Farage and Kemi Badenoch finish their shit-fight for 2nd place then UK Labour might be worth giving another go?
For instance, today Badenoch said that a flat tax was an “attactive idea”.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/dec/16/flat-tax-rate-is-an-attractive-idea-kemi-badenoch-says
Dave
“ Looking forward to powering my house with a panel the size of a tv.”
That is physically impossible. The best current solar panels are around 20% efficient. If they got to 100% efficient, one perfect solar panel would replace five current ones. A home needs 15 to 20+ solar panels to replace all power including gas heating and/or AC. So we will never need less that 3 to 5 panels to fully power a modern home. There are 44 on our roof.
FUBAR @ #951 Tuesday, December 17th, 2024 – 6:27 pm
And the Northern Territory Country Liberal Party government is doing what about it and him?