Moving on from Queensland, up to a point, three items of polling to relate:
• The weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor’s two-party lead in from 52-48 to 50.5-49.5, from primary votes of Labor 30% (down two), Coalition 37.5% (up one), Greens 14% (up half) and One Nation 5.5% (steady). Based on 2022 election flows, Labor leads 51.5-48.5, in from 53-47. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1687.
• Roy Morgan also has a result on republicanism that points to the brittleness of the support for the concept that polls generally record when the issue is out of the limelight. In the wake of the royal visit, a forced-response SMS poll of 1312 respondents conducted last Tuesday and Wednesday broke 57-43 in favour of retaining the monarchy.
• RedBridge Group has a timely result of federal voting intention from Queensland (hat tip to comments regular Nadia88) that has Labor on 28%, compared with 27.4% at the 2022; the Coalition at 41%, compared with 39.6%; the Greens at 13%, compared with 12.9%; and One Nation at 10%, compared with 7.5%. The poll was conducted several weeks ago, from October 4 to 16, from a substantial sample of 2315, and the full release contains detailed demographic breakdowns. It also finds Anthony Albanese on 34% approval and 53% disapproval; Peter Dutton on 39% and 42%; Steven Miles on 35% and 35%; and David Crisafulli on 40% and 31%.
• If you’re a Crikey subscriber, you can read my review of the Queensland election wash-up.
https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/peter-dutton-photographed-with-the-chairmans-lounge-author-joe-aston/news-story/4acab93fec939313ce3f90872b885ca0
David Epstein, worked for Rudd, straight to Qantas, back to Albanese as principal private secretary, part of Albo’s
‘war room advising him on how to fight back over the Qantas controversy’.
Albo’s Ainslie Gotto?
What the hell is Marles doing about this ??
pathetic, the dutto luvvies are flaying 😆 😆
Boerwarsays: Friday, November 1, 2024 at 10:00 am
‘muskiemp says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 9:55 am
What is disgraceful is Crisafulli pulling the plug on the pumped hydro….’
====================
It is probably why Burnett stayed with Labor. It is a cruel blow to the local and regional economy
——————–
Burnett is LNP held with nearly a two thirds vote share 2PP. I think you mean Bundaberg.
“Dutton and the Greens and the Nationals and One Nation killed that stone dead with 60/40 on the Voice.”
I’m not sure about the role of the Greens in killing off the Voice, Boer, but it would be nice to see the government be a bit crazy-brave, a bit Whitlamesque, for a change about an issue of decency and philosophical importance . Risk being wedged by Dutton et al. on an issue that could be worth the fight.
muskiempsays:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 10:48 am
[Pulling the plug on the pumped hydro is just a vengeful act against renewables and global warming.]
Pulling the plug on not being around too long.
There’s a big difference between hating Labor enough and dismissing their superior infrastructure projects.
Bundaberg is still 700 ks and 8 electorates away from
the dead -as -a- Dodo pumped hydro.
Muskiemp
You raise a good point about how to defuse the flight upgrade situation. But then Albo needs to make that policy for everyone, with both Qantas and Virgin, so that there is no suggestion of favouritism.
That would be progress and a better outcome.
Topography of the Pioneer Valley is wrong for Pumped Hydro.
It’s another Labor boondoggle, like the canned Traveston Dam.
Nobody is going anyway in the leadership stakes.
The whole QANTAS thing is a poo throwing exercise and everyone gets covered in it. Although it wasn’t started by the opposition – It was started as a way to get publicity for a book – they probably should have not gone as hard on it as they did as it was always going to blow back on them.
It won’t turn into a Ute-gate saga as Dutts has not gone as hard as Turnbull did in 2009 – Turnbull crazily went for the kill when at best it was going to be a destabilising blow if the allegations had been true. And even then Ute-gate didn’t end Turnbull leadership – Climate Change legalisation did (as it did in 2018 too).
Fox Dutton outfoxed himself this time.
Quote: “A fox smells its own hole first”
‘Fargo61 says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 11:05 am
Boerwarsays: Friday, November 1, 2024 at 10:00 am
‘muskiemp says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 9:55 am
What is disgraceful is Crisafulli pulling the plug on the pumped hydro….’
====================
It is probably why Burnett stayed with Labor. It is a cruel blow to the local and regional economy
——————–
Burnett is LNP held with nearly a two thirds vote share 2PP. I think you mean Bundaberg.’
============
My bad. You’re right. Thanks.
‘Stuart says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 11:06 am
“Dutton and the Greens and the Nationals and One Nation killed that stone dead with 60/40 on the Voice.”
I’m not sure about the role of the Greens in killing off the Voice,
….’
===================
I am. The Extreme Greens were being obstructionist and spent 8 months actively and publicly opposing the Voice.
Rex Douglas says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 10:58 am
The deputy prime minister’s chief of staff has accused the government of ignoring her bullying complaint and stonewalling on her unresolved employment situation, appealing directly to the prime minister to intervene.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/nov/01/richard-marles-chief-of-staff-appeals-to-albanese-to-intervene-in-employment-standoff-ntwnfb
What the hell is Marles doing about this ??’
======================
Gaslighters will gaslight.
The LNP do not like the dams that the ALP propose.
muskiempsays:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 9:21 am
I can’t see corruption in the upgrades as they are basically open to all Ministers and shadow Ministers. Where as free flights by individuals such as Gina Rinehart, who only speaks to LNP, is a different story.
——————————-
The issue isn’t Albo getting upgrade but Aston reckoned Albo called Joyce to get the upgrade and Albo would have known if he ever asked Joyce for upgrade but it took his office days to say it didn’t happen.
Albo sends Mark Butler out to defend him against accusations by an an unnamed ministerial colleague of being a “sook” …
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/anthony-albanese-no-sook-over-qantas-upgrades-fiasco-mark-butler-declares/news-story/414e9c6883df5090c5903e5f960aece1?amp
Ya gotta laugh! 🙂
Player One
Yes, you gotta laugh at anything printed in The Australian.
Mexicanbeemersays:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 11:30 am
muskiempsays:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 9:21 am
I can’t see corruption in the upgrades as they are basically open to all Ministers and shadow Ministers. Where as free flights by individuals such as Gina Rinehart, who only speaks to LNP, is a different story.
——————————-
The issue isn’t Albo getting an upgrade but Aston reckoned Albo called Joyce to get the upgrade and Albo would have known if he ever asked Joyce for upgrade but it took his office days to say it didn’t happen.
====================================================
He needed to check with current and past staffers that it didn’t happen. Which obviously they then confirmed with him. Unlike Dutton who came out and said he never asked for free flights. Only to have to issue a correction afterwards, saying that his staff had done so on his behalf. Assuming you believe Dutton was unaware of them doing so in the first place?
Odds on who that ministerial colleague is…
Littlefinger – $1.95
Tanya – $2.10
Someone else – write your own ticket
Entropy
He needed to check with current and past staffers that it didn’t happen. Which obviously they then confirmed with him. Unlike Dutton who came out and said he never asked for free flights. Only to have to issue a correction afterwards, saying that his staff had done so on his behalf. Assuming you believe Dutton was unaware of them doing so in the first place?
—————————–
If that’s Dutton’s trip to Gina in the middle of the Dunkley byelection we already knew he went and it wasn’t that long ago for him to forget it.
muskiempsays:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 11:37 am
Player One
Yes, you gotta laugh at anything printed in The Australian.
=================================================
Player One believes anything negative against Labor, no matter how dubious the source. I suspect it helps justify preferencing the LNP first. Certainly see very few attacks on LNP politicians from that source. So in many ways Player One and The Australian have much in common.
Entropy @ #1222 Friday, November 1st, 2024 – 11:46 am
It always amazes me that nonsense like this gets posted. As I have pointed out many times, the reality is that I am critical of both sides of the duopoly. But on PB, criticism of the LNP is so expected, so common and so normalized that no-one even notices it. But criticize the ALP, and hoo boy do the partisans get all sooky!
Mexicanbeemersays:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 11:45 am
Entropy
He needed to check with current and past staffers that it didn’t happen. Which obviously they then confirmed with him. Unlike Dutton who came out and said he never asked for free flights. Only to have to issue a correction afterwards, saying that his staff had done so on his behalf. Assuming you believe Dutton was unaware of them doing so in the first place?
—————————–
If that’s Dutton’s trip to Gina in the middle of the Dunkley byelection we already knew he went and it wasn’t that long ago for him to forget it.
=========================================================
No, it was the trip to the Bali memorial. Even News Corp can’t ignore that story.
https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/peter-dutton-concedes-he-asked-billionaire-gina-rinehart-for-free-flights/news-story/25d8b05d7e6755ade01be665de017aaa
“On Tuesday, the Opposition Leader told journalists neither he nor his office had approached Ms Rinehart for a private flight taken in November 2022, but he backflipped on his answer two days later.”
B. S. Fairman says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 10:00 am
According to the ultra lefty –
Justice Angus Stewart has found that Hanson’s tweet, where she said Mehreen Faruqi should “piss off back to Pakistan”, is unlawful.
=======================
Not too sure if J.Stewart is a lefty, if meant. He was appointed to the Federal Court in 2019.
LNP were in power then.
A small article has appeared in the Australian, regarding a poll conducted by YouGov relating to the U.S. election.
Wondering if anyone with access could have a sneaky peak and see if there are any Federal Voting intentions numbers tucked away down the bottom of it pls.
Link here: https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a_GGL&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Finquirer%2Fwhy-australians-in-their-wisdom-would-vote-for-harris-over-trump%2Fnews-story%2F414a041c2fb3767d54dd26f89abfa050&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&v21=GROUPA-Segment-1-NOSCORE&V21spcbehaviour=append
We’re sort of due for a YouGov Federal poll. Last one was six weeks ago and the split was 30-39-14.
Nothing on the YouGov website nor their facebook page.
nadia88says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 11:53 am
B. S. Fairman says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 10:00 am
According to the ultra lefty –
Justice Angus Stewart has found that Hanson’s tweet, where she said Mehreen Faruqi should “piss off back to Pakistan”, is unlawful.
=======================
Not too sure if J.Stewart is a lefty, if meant. He was appointed to the Federal Court in 2019.
LNP were in power then.
_____________________________
I think ‘ultra lefty’ is a reference to the left-centre biased Guardian Australia. Originally posted around the same time as the story appeared on GA live blog, and uses the same text.
Entropy ennui
There is only one party where numbers are being counted and thats the diastrous federal labor government.
57-43 up now behind 49-51 now lets see how Newspoll etc in a couple of days go.
Stop hiding Albo we know you are unpopular so come out and lose some more votes.
I see the Vic Greens have lost a number in the LA with the mp for Prahran now seemingly an independent.
Noted banquo911 & BSF. Thks
The last I recall reading about Marles’s COS was that he said in parliament that it was inappropriate for him to comment as she had threatened legal action.
Has that changed, I wonder? Is legal action still a happening thing? Or is she maybe agitating for a payout? In either case, it would still not be appropriate for Marles or the PM to say or do anything. Processes must follow their defined courses.
Pied Piper
Same tired old rhetoric.
Luigi
The process is paralysed. That’s the problem.
Is there a report of the process being paralysed or are we just expected to think that’s the case?
That section of the Racial Discrimination Act that Hanson was found guilty of breaching, is extraordinarily wide:.
“ Offensive behaviour because of race, colour or national or ethnic origin
(1) It is unlawful for a person to do an act, otherwise than in private, if:
(a) the act is reasonably likely, in all the circumstances, to offend, insult, humiliate or intimidate another person or a group of people; and
(b) the act is done because of the race, colour or national or ethnic origin of the other person or of some or all of the people in the group.”
So presumably, if Rex Douglas says that “Australians are racists” and I’m offended, he is acting unlawfully!! Luckily, there’s no right to free speech in Australia.
Rakali @ #1235 Friday, November 1st, 2024 – 12:26 pm
I think truth would still be regarded as a valid defence.
https://www.themandarin.com.au/280161-woo-hoo-ill-process-this-monday-aps-reacts-to-chairmans-lounge-invitations/
Hmmm, door openers: Content, entertainment/ sports, lounges, trips, upgrades …
“Not too sure if J.Stewart is a lefty, if meant. He was appointed to the Federal Court in 2019.
LNP were in power then.”
Judges tend not to just wander in from some local party gathering
https://www5.austlii.edu.au/au/journals/NSWBarAssocNews/2019/80.pdf
Rakalisays:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 12:26 pm
That section of the Racial Discrimination Act that Hanson was found guilty of breaching, is extraordinarily wide:.
“ Offensive behaviour because of race, colour or national or ethnic origin
(1) It is unlawful for a person to do an act, otherwise than in private, if:
(a) the act is reasonably likely, in all the circumstances, to offend, insult, humiliate or intimidate another person or a group of people; and
(b) the act is done because of the race, colour or national or ethnic origin of the other person or of some or all of the people in the group.”
So presumably, if Rex Douglas says that “Australians are racists” and I’m offended, he is acting unlawfully!! Luckily, there’s no right to free speech in Australia.
————————-
It’s broad and all four anti-discrimination acts use similarly board language but many people see racism in the American political context not the Australian legal context.
Well, FTR, I do think a majority of Australians are either passively racist or unabashedly racist.
Player One
I think truth would still be regarded as a valid defence.
——-
But, are you saying that even saintly Green Senators are racists? or are you saying they are not Australians? You may be offensive in either case!
Rex Douglas says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 10:58 am
The deputy prime minister’s chief of staff has accused the government of ignoring her bullying complaint and stonewalling on her unresolved employment situation, appealing directly to the prime minister to intervene.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/nov/01/richard-marles-chief-of-staff-appeals-to-albanese-to-intervene-in-employment-standoff-ntwnfb
What the hell is Marles doing about this ??’
======================
Since that is clearly a matter for HR or, worst case, appeal to the PS commissioner, hopefully Albo is not interfering.
FWIW
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/nov/01/sam-hibbins-victorian-greens-co-deputy-leader-quits-staff-member-relationship-ntwnfb
Rex Douglassays:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 12:33 pm
Well, FTR, I do think a majority of Australians are either passively racist or unabashedly racist.
————
If that’s based on how the act describes racism you wouldn’t have a legal problem.
‘Socrates says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 12:36 pm
Rex Douglas says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 10:58 am
The deputy prime minister’s chief of staff has accused the government of ignoring her bullying complaint and stonewalling on her unresolved employment situation, appealing directly to the prime minister to intervene.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/nov/01/richard-marles-chief-of-staff-appeals-to-albanese-to-intervene-in-employment-standoff-ntwnfb
What the hell is Marles doing about this ??’
======================
Since that is clearly a matter for HR or, worst case, appeal to the PS commissioner, hopefully Albo is not interfering.’
===================
Integrity gaslighting.
This no longer has anything to do with Marles or Albanese. It is out of their hands, as it should be.
What Ms T and her lawyer are trying to use publicity to get an outcome they desire.
Trying to link a staff behaviour issue to the PM is shoddy stuff.
Naturally Integrity and The Greens Shit Sheet Guardian are up for it.
Badthinker
“Topography of the Pioneer Valley is wrong for Pumped Hydro.
It’s another Labor boondoggle, like the canned Traveston Dam.”
————————————————-
Really? On what basis do you say that?
By coincidence my brother is also an engineer who works for a major Qld power generator and we have discussed this scheme. The Pioneer / Burdekin Valey pumped hydro scheme (PHES) has by far the best potential for hydro power generation and storage in northern Qld. This is because of the large head (level) difference over a short distance, combined with large flow volume.
https://qldhydro.com.au/projects/pioneer-burdekin/
Rex: ‘Well, FTR, I do think a majority of Australians are either passively racist or unabashedly racist.’
I totally agree.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/factcheck/promisetracker
The ABC/ RMIT Promise Tracker for the 2022 Australian Federal Election lists 66.
Apparently out of these 27 have been delivered.
29 are in progress.
6 are stalled.
4 are broken.
… better get a move on! Must have a look if SBS has something like this.
‘VCT Et3e says:
Friday, November 1, 2024 at 12:48 pm
https://www.abc.net.au/news/factcheck/promisetracker
The ABC/ RMIT Promise Tracker for the 2022 Australian Federal Election lists 66.
Apparently out of these 27 have been delivered.
29 are in progress.
6 are stalled.
4 are broken.
… better get a move on!
….’
================
This is a great outcome. It would have been better had not Dutton and Bandt worked together to delay, block and wreck progress.