The fortnightly Essential Research poll is notable in recording a four-point dip in Labor’s already soft primary vote 28%, although the dividend goes mostly to the Greens, up three to 14%, rather than the Coalition steady on 34%, with One Nation steady on 7% and a steady 6% undecided. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure is back to having Labor and the Coalition tied at 47% apiece, with the balance undecided, with Labor steady and the Coalition up a point. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1132.
Some insight into the government’s precarious position is provided by a suite of questions on prospects for the coming year, finding 67% expect the cost of living situation to worsen with only 11% expecting it to improve, with broadly negative sentiment also recorded in relation to employment and wages. Questions on Indigenous issues find a 58-42 split in favour of the proposition that Indigenous disadvantage is a result of “the personal decisions they make” against the alternative of “systemic” explanations, and a 59-41 split against establishing a Makaratta commission to negotiate a treaty.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has a 50-50 tie on respondent-allocated two-party preferred, erasing Labor’s 51.5-48.5 lead last time, from primary votes of Labor 29.5% (down one), Coalition 38% (up one), Greens 14% (up two) and One Nation 5% (down half). The pollster’s alternative two-party measure based on preference flows at the 2022 election has Labor ahead 51-49, in from 51.5-48.5 last week.
QR, I am one of those lefties 😉
And the reason I cant just let Alabama fuck it up is because more then they suffer.
The eternal curse of caring about the group is watching individuals fuck it up because they fell for dumb culture war shit; at least Murdoch and his ilk benefit from it.
A tradey voting Hanson? Dumb
Alabama I don’t care who you think as snobs I can think for myself and I think you’re insane you keep going on the rcp even though that there’s other pole aggregates that’s that has Harris up more honestly the reason why I only casually comments because I have better things to do then to listen to crazy people who think because of a 51 to 49 LNP means that Peter has it in the bag I live in Queensland there’s been times where it was 52 to 48 LNP and have lost we also had a Campbell Newman and look what happened to him just because if Peter does win he ain’t gonna be around for long no I have to go Alabama the secret meaning of the woke order about to take place and we’re planning on ways to cancel you
Lord bro just let Alabama vote lnp and if he wants just don’t come crying when get screwed over by the taxes anyway my election predict using that this moment it could go either way
Also granny anny Trump says he’s more beautiful than Harris so he’s got that going I suppose goodnight people and remember don’t drink the Kool-Aid
Can we get a BW listacle for balance please?
He can at least write a sentence properly, including correct punctuation and spelling…
Why can’t supporters of the loony right string together a few words coherently?
WHY MUST THE REALLY EXTREME LOONIES USE ALL CAPS?
meher baba at 7.39 pm, Stooge at 8.07 pm
“whether or not Dutton is a racist”
Definition: according to the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial Discrimination, racism is a scourge defined by its effects, not merely by the professed intention of its perpetrators.
The key phrase is “purpose or effect” in article 1/1 of the Convention.
So legally and politically racism is different to genocide, which requires declarations of intent.
There’s much evidence about the effects of Dutton’s actions and rhetoric entrenching racial discrimination against First Nations people in Australia.
Historians will focus on the main evidence in terms of such effects, namely Dutton’s Trumpian opposition to the proposed and defeated Voice.
For over 25 years the UN Committee monitoring states’ adherence to their obligations under the above convention has urged Australia to remove racial discrimination from Australia’s Constitution (section 51/26).
Dutton’s leadership of the No vote to the Voice undoubtedly made the task of removing racism from our Constitution more difficult. Because racism depends legally on effect not just intention, that fact makes Dutton a racist beyond doubt.
There is a mountain of other evidence confirming that view.
Alabama you kind of want an educated population you don’t want dumbasses to be doctors lawyers I mean I think a good country want educated people just as much as we need brick layers also Peter’s apparently looking at that legal advice because he got called a racist because that’s greater thin skin prime minister what say what you want about Anthony at least he doesn’t cry when people complain about him
I dunno, I thought when Kevin Bonham reported it was a ‘NSW (state)’ poll that means it’s a state poll in NSW. Call me old fashioned…
Rasmussen Report poll dated Aug 16.
Trump up 4 pts on National polling.
Tough stuff. Must be a fake poll.
Ok, i’m off . Will leave you be.
Remember, forget about attacking your enemy.
Try to understand why they think differently.
Then you will be able to defeat them
Griff says:
Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 9:54 pm
Did the au pair overstay their visa?
Gold Logie to be announced around 2am the way things are going.
Alabama you do realize that there’s polls that you can see on real clear politics that have Harris up by four or five like I need you to know that
That’s exactly the impression I got.
I think it’s a NSW State poll that everyone is getting excited about.
Someone correct me if I’m wrong.
Pied piper:
“By the way a recent poll was a shocker for the Teals most would lose their seats.”
The Poll That Shall Not Be Named?
Again … [citation needed].
Washington Examiner:
‘Harris puts sunbelt states Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona in play: Poll’
‘Harris continues to cut into Trump’s previous electoral lead with a favorable poll result for her across four Sun Belt states.’
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3125011/harris-puts-sunbelt-states-georgia-north-carolina-arizona-in-play-poll/
First we take Arizona
Then we take … Alabama? 😉
Washington Post:
‘Harris has opened up a second path to victory, according to The Post’s polling model’
‘The Democratic nominee could win in the Rust Belt or the Sun Belt and get to the White House, while Donald Trump must win in both geographic regions to triumph.’
‘A lot has changed in the presidential race over the last three weeks, according to The Washington Post’s polling average. …’
‘It is no exaggeration to state that Harris would be the favorite to win the White House, according to our polling model, if the presidential contest were held today.’
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/15/kamala-harris-polling-electoral-college-polling-model-donald-trump/
Liberal Party, NSW:
“In its Election Notice dated 9 August 2024, the NSW Electoral Commission wrongly published the formal notification of the election and called for nomination proposals five days before the close for nominations, instead of the required minimum of seven days.”
NSW Electoral Commission:
“The Commissioner does not consider there could have been a realistic possibility that officials of the New South Wales Division of the Liberal Party … could have been unaware of the nomination day or of the processes by which nominations could be made.”
Do you feel lucky, punks?
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08-18/mike-baird-heartbroken-nsw-liberal-council-nominations-error/104239546
New thread.
@piped pooper:
“ Michelle Bullock has smashed labor by saying interest rate cuts are off the table and in fact the reserve bank seriously considered raising them.
Unemployment is increasing,inflation is not coming down to target says reserve bank etc until later next year.
Only jobs being created are via public sector and the NDIS.
Meanwhile labor states spend like drunken sailors driving inflation up fed labor says and does nothing.”
__________
Except that Bullock came out and said that the present level of government spending wasn’t a factor of concern to the Reserve re inflation and interest rate settings … but hey, thank you (and Angus) for saying the ‘quiet part’ out loud: the LNP want to do Austerity spending cuts if elected. The scare campaigns write themselves.