The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor and the Coalition tied on two-party preferred, after Labor led 51-49 in the last Newspoll three weeks ago. Labor is down a point to 32%, the Coalition up one to 39%, the Greens down one to 12% and One Nation steady on 6%. Anthony Albanese is down a point on approval to 43% and steady on disapproval at 51%, while Peter Dutton is is down one to 40% and up one to 50%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is unchanged at 46-39. The poll also finds 22% expect a majority Labor government after the next election, 33% minority Labor, 24% minority Coalition and 21% majority Coalition. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1266.
Nine Newspapers has the monthly Resolve Strategic poll, showing Labor up a point to 29%, the Coalition down one to 37%, the Greens steady on 13% and One Nation down one to 6%, suggesting a two-party preferred very close to 50-50. Anthony Albanese’s combined very good and good rating is up two to 34%, with poor and very poor down three to 51%, while Peter Dutton is respectively up two to 41% and down two to 38%. Dutton maintains a one-point lead as preferred prime minister, which shifts from 35-34 to 36-35. The breakdowns show roguish-looking movements on gender that cancel each other out, with Labor up five among men to 32% and down four among women to 25%, and the Coalition down four among men to 39% and up two among women to 35%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1607.
Looming ahead are the usual fortnightly Essential Research poll on Tuesday and a big week in South Australia, where the Liberals will choose a new Opposition Leader tomorrow and a draft state redistribution will be published on Thursday.
Bizzcan
I posit that is correlation not causation on both cases.
Or are you suggesting that Labor’s losses were caused by those policies?
Labor can play both sides by letting gambling ads be played but not in the hour before and when the match is on.
Liberal v Liberal continues unabated.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/aug/13/scott-morrison-testifies-linda-reynolds-brittany-higgins-defamation-trial-ntwnfb
Boerwarsays:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 7:42 pm
Hello!
They destroyed Whitlam. Like they are destroying Albanese.
Do get real!
———
Only Albo is hurting Albo.
Mexicanbeemer says:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 7:46 pm
Boerwarsays:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 7:42 pm
Hello!
They destroyed Whitlam. Like they are destroying Albanese.
Do get real!
———
Only Albo is hurting Albo.
===============
True. He was a political fool to trust Dutton and Bandt on the Voice.
William Bowesays:
at 6:55 pm
So, the list of decision makers and influential people who ween’t wide eyed Monash fans included the G/G, who nixed his Death Sentences.
In no logical universe does “the Governor-General had the power to commute death sentences” plus “the GG favoured White over Monash” equal “the GG nixed his death sentences”, as you are attempting to assert here
Monash wanted s.98 amended so Death Sentences could be carried out without being nixed by Munro Ferguson.
Here it is:
http://www.diggerhistory.info/pages-discipline/details.htm
PageBoi says:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 6:04 pm
Griff
The Murphy report was unanimous that all gambling ads should be on phased out, no dissent from the coalition or anyone involved
We’ve had Bill shorten arguing that revenue to the sporting codes (who let’s remember pay NO tax) and the commercial TV networks is more important than the extremely well documented harms caused by gambling
It’s literally a case of profits before people
Prepare to be disappointed (again)
___________
Yes I am ready to be disappointed on this one. Although the disappointment isn’t as great as that I have for The Greens. Now that the Reason Party has disbanded I am looking for a new place to park my vote and I am not seeing fantastic options out there. I may need to reconcile with a choice that disappoints me least.
– ABC
Griff @ #757 Tuesday, August 13th, 2024 – 7:55 pm
You need look no further than the Teals.
Mavis @ #758 Tuesday, August 13th, 2024 – 8:00 pm
Just a few words missing, methinks – Ms Pelosi said that Mr Keating’s comments went against the interests of the US in the region.’
Player One says:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 8:01 pm
Griff @ #757 Tuesday, August 13th, 2024 – 7:55 pm
“I am looking for a new place to park my vote and I am not seeing fantastic options out there. I may need to reconcile with a choice that disappoints me least.”
You need look no further than the Teals.
_________
You know, I honestly would consider them as they tick a lot of boxes. When will they running for the Senate?
Player One says:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 8:01 pm
Griff @ #757 Tuesday, August 13th, 2024 – 7:55 pm
“I am looking for a new place to park my vote and I am not seeing fantastic options out there. I may need to reconcile with a choice that disappoints me least.”
You need look no further than the Teals.
_______
When are they running for the Senate?
Genuinely interesting stuff, Badthinker. So what actually happened — and which I would never have found implausible — was that Monash, in common with at least one other divisional commander, lobbied for the Australian government to drop its blanket opposition to the death penalty. From which you’ve conjured a typically strange narrative about the Governor-General (who never did anything more or less than what he was told to do by a Prime Minister acting with an eye to the conscription referendum) “nixing” death penalties arbitrarily imposed by a commander who plainly had no such power.
‘Bad thinker’ – 7:49pm
– you do realise that what you cut and paste – if it indeed an accurate account – just proves that your earlier posts on the topic are straight up lies?
Monash never imposed death penalties on anyone. He never had that power. At best the only case you have is that he – along with everyone else in high command it seems – wanted the law changed so that Courts-martial (not he personally) could impose the death penalty. … and it seems he was very late to that party – the soil had been tilled by more senior officers than he – and their pleas had been rejected by the government.
But by all means … keep digging. It’s a hoot.
Payman is setting up a party her appointment of the preference whisperer says it all.
It’s easier as a senator for her to set up a group of like minded candidates.
It seems I have a case of repetition. Apologies all.
Oh snap!
Bill Shorten has an occasional column in The West Australian.
I presume he is paid for it.
The way Seven West Media is going I’d be looking for payment in advance. Shares hit an all time low today.
But that might explain his concern for the impact on a gambling ad ban on free to air TV.
I’ll be really disappointed in Albanese if Labor doesn’t follow through with Peta Murphy’s recommendations.
But what is Dutton offering?
A policy free zone, except for a nuclear power plant or seven.
Mavis at 7.23pm.
I used heated language such as horrific, and yes probably not appropriate.
Albanese and this Labor administration has been disappointing. I know the Libs are not much better being up the holes of the mining industry, but I hope Labors addiction to the gambling industry will come to an end. It’s disgraceful, and it gets up my nose reading Mr Repetition posting all day long and ignoring things which count for a lot of us.
The Greens are good people, and they give a shit about other things like animals too. They don’t have thousands of dollars coming their way from gambling and mining, and they get shitted on by Mr Repetition and his hangers on all day.
I feel sad for poor puppies and dogs running around a race track so drunks and spivs can place bets.
Sorry. I realise you and most other Labor posters don’t like this either. Not trying to have a go, definitely not at you. Please everyone, give your family pet a big hug tonight.
Unfortunately for Payman, Group Ticket Voting has been abolished for the Senate, so I’m fairly sure that the ~1% vote her party would get without her running (her term is up for election in 2028) wouldn’t be of much consequence, unless of course it was something of a close race as Senate elections sometimes turn out to be.
I’m visiting a friend, so I have no control over household news sources. This morning I watched an interview on SkyNews Mornings with Senator Payman. It reminded me of that wildlife photo of a cheetah with its paw on the shoulder of a baby gazelle. “Do you realise how effed you are?”
Player One:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 8:04 pm
Mavis @ #758 Tuesday, August 13th, 2024 – 8:00 pm
Ms Pelosi said that Mr Keating’s comments went against the interests of the region.’ – ABC
No argument there but I think it’s a bit odd for Pelosi to comment at all as she’s now just a mere congresswoman. And she’s probably unware that she’s in for a Keating salvo.
PageBoisays:
Tuesday, August 13 7:39 pm
AE
So putting the moral issues and deep deep cynicism of that argument to one side, are you saying that the ALP is so afraid of its own shadow and so crap at politics that it’s not able to make a case for a policy….
_____________________
Yep, that’s what he is saying.
They will ignore anything that might result in a scare campaign being used against them.
Vlad:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 8:11 pm
Thanks for your thoughtful response. We all get carried away with politics from time to time. I think your heart’s in the right place and I’ve just given my dog Boogie a hug.
Andrew_Earlwood
Monash never imposed death penalties on anyone. He never had that power.
Go on.
He was the C-in-C.
If he didn’t want Courts-Martial imposing DSs, do you think they would have anyway?
… … and it seems he was very late to that party …
How so?
My links don’t indicate that and it was his own subordinates doing the Sentencing.
Do you have a contradictory source?
Victoria back-flips on youth crime.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fy2Cmq24n1I
Once again, The Shovel nails it.
Sorry ‘bad thinker’ but your last post is borderline incoherent.
Judging by the extract you quoted at the time that Monash spoke to Birdwood about the issue (the unavailability of the death penalty for deserters) he was a mere Divisional commander. Ie. a Major General.
He was never Commander in Chief – Haig was. Although he subsequently rose to being a Corp commander (Lt. General) he was still two rungs below C-in-C.
In any event your own source gives the lie to your claims. Monash never had the power to impose the death penalty and by the time he lead the 5 Australian Divisions as Corp Commander the issue was well and truly over.
But do keep digging. We are all enjoying the spectacle of you making a fool of yourself.
Griff @ #762 Tuesday, August 13th, 2024 – 8:06 pm
There is Pocock. I imagine there will be others.
Player Onesays:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 8:04 pm
Mavis @ #758 Tuesday, August 13th, 2024 – 8:00 pm
Ms Pelosi said that Mr Keating’s comments went against the interests of the region.’ – ABC
Just a few words missing, methinks – Ms Pelosi said that Mr Keating’s comments went against the interests of the US in the region.’
==================================================
I really don’t care what either Keating or Pelosi think of what Taiwan’s future should be. I only care what the people of Taiwan want their future to be and i respect their right to be in charge of their own destiny. So if Taiwan wants to remain a democracy and not be enslaved by Xi. I think we should respect their decision and help them keep it that way. No matter what any Xi supporter on here thinks.
The very Governor-General who Badthinker would have us believe was thwarting Monash in his crazed lust for death sentences (though no evidence has been offered that there was anything unusual in this regard under his command) was in fact of one mind with him on the subject.
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1031461X.2020.1741657
I very much enjoy this Ahab situation William has with badthinkers… alt history
Boerwar says:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 7:41 pm
The hold up on the Religious Discrimination bill is because the ALP is refusing to compromise. That’s fine. Their choice – but to claim it is being blocked by others is ignoring the reality that either the ALP compromises to get it through or the won’t. They decided that they won’t go forward with it without bipartisan support and then refuse to negotiate and compromise to get the bipartisan support. Where have we seen that before?
https://x.com/grogsgamut/status/1823238578035663147, anything from this gov on CGT, income tax threshold, negative gearing … at the next election
Griff says:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 5:43 pm
Yep! And I am not even talking about ethics here – I am talking about political goodwill.
Peta Murphy, when she was dying (at age 37), implored the government to outlaw gambling advertisements, in the same way that tobacco advertisements were outlawed two decades ago.
In the same way that (I remember) people said two decades ago that sports teams could not survive without tobacco advertisements, and then alcohol advertisements, the teams survived quite well.
Federal Labor has great story to tell – Peta Murphy, while knowing she was dying, was willing to take on one of the great evils* in our society ‘encouraging working class people to believe that gambling was fun, and aspirational”.
I am really disappointed that Federal Labor are not willing to try and turn this into a story that can capture the public imagination, and make them seem like a force for good.
It is a throw of the dice – it may work or it may not, but it is far better to regret the things you do, than the things you do not do.
Of course I realise that in the end, given that even Ninefax are upset about the loss of gaming advertising revenue, it would be a suicide mission. “In to the valley of death …”
But given that the Australian voters prefer Coalition government at least 75% of the time, maybe gambling reform is the ditch to die in.
Maybe in 13 years, the voters, after having thought about it, might be ready for gambling advertising reform.
But as a physicist, Dutton PM will be really sad for me. We have actually, in Australia, made great strides towards the renewable revolution during this term of the Federal Labor government. EVs are the new “cool”, supported by subsidies, as are solar panels and heat-pump hot water systems.
Dutton has been honest in his pitch to the voters that he will reverse the transition to renewables.
And, as someone who lives in a poorer suburb, the Albanese government bringing back the parenting payment for single parents until a child is 14 is one of the best social improvements for me in two decades.
And also, the fact that women who have abusive partners that they have escaped from, and share a child with, no longer need to ask their partner to contribute to the care of the child or risk losing their payment – well, that saves women’s lives.
So yeah, the Albanese government is really crap at telling the world what they have done – well basically they have done stuff that very few people really care about – as you said Meher Baba – , and yes, they should do a hell of a lot more, but I think it is all going to end in tears.
Just the way the world is now. Everyone hates the current government. It is the same in France, just a symptom of our times.
*I tried to find another word rather than “evil”, but nothing else came to mind.
@Griff
I know what I have to say is probably not that useful, and it pains me to agree that yes, Albo’s government has been quite shit for those of us who wanted something different from the Abbott-Turnbull-Morrison regime, but perhaps considering that voting Labor again in 2025 might help flip a few more seats in the Senate, in which the “Class of 2019” will be up for re-election, and that might make good policy changes more doable.
I know it’s somewhat pitiful to ask something like that, since all Albo’s been doing for the past year is look glum while same-as-usual misery has been going on regardless. But there’s only so much that can be done with what we have at the moment. The A-T-M Coalition government from 2013-2022 locked in so many political landmines that if Labor detonates any then it would make everything so much worse. And then meanwhile there’s the Green clowns to the side chanting “Ha-ha~ you can’t clear mines or do anything~ nya-nya~”
I think Australia can do so much more better than this, but the attitude of “Welp, Labor was imperfect, let’s vote for the Coalition for another decade” that’s been going on for the past 30 years hasn’t helped. And I’m angry at Labor too for this learned helplessness complex they’ve developed since the Beazley years.
Friendly reminder that Labor is not going to change their policy; they are happy with it as it is.
If they wanted it more “left”, they could cooperate with the Greens.
If they wanted it more “right”, then they can cooperate with the Coalition.
If Labor is re-elected, then, unless they make any statements to the contrary (worth more then a pinch of salt) then they will attempt to pass the same legislation that they have this term.
So if your happy with the proposed policies, go nuts and vote for them.
If you wish Labor policy would be better… well, why would they bother changing it?
Been Theresays:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 9:25 pm
Player Onesays:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 5:52 pm
Is an obsessive compulsion to make lists a sign of dementia?
Asking for a friend.
Not really.
If the lists are factual and corrective of any false or misleading information provided previously on here.
“But given that the Australian voters prefer Coalition government at least 75% of the time, maybe gambling reform is the ditch to die in.”
_____
Really?
That’s just absurd.
Let’s assume that federal Labor does what you say but as I think will happen then gets wiped out at the next election then what?
Gambling reform? Nope – repealed.
Renewables transition: dead.
Anything progressive at all achieved for a decade or more? Nope nope nope.
Labor thanked, or even remembered for its principled stand? Nope nope nope.
Nothing left but a Tory wasteland. A modern day brutopia!
How good is that!
Dont forget the NACC; voters wanted something other then a paper tiger… which Labor and the Coalition then worked together to ensure was as defanged as possible.
And Labor chose to work with the Coalition; the cross bench was keen for a strong NACC… but it was too strong for the taste of Labor…
Fraser could have repealed the ban on tobacco advertising, had control of both houses, and one of his ministers made submissions in favour of repeal, but didn’t and implemented the final phase of the ban in 1976.
The suggestion that Labor would lose because of a strong position on gambling advertising is a damning indictment. It may yet lose, but, like Sundance and Butch, it’s not drowning but the fall that would kill them.
My grandfather worked with Pat’s Dad Tiger O’Shane on the Cairns wharves, loading sugar bags onto the boats in the tropical heat day after day, 24/7.
I played Rugby League with her brothers for the mighty Cairns Kangaroos in the early eighties.
Her family is legend up there in the FNQ.
They had honour and principles that still stand, and I’m sending a link to something you should all see that sums up her mother,a lovely lady and what the family is all about.
Pat O’Shane as a magistrate exemplified the fairness and understanding for those disadvantaged, by whatever means, and that came a lot through her family upbringing.
Hope you are reading this Pat.
https://www.indigenousrights.net.au/people/pagination/gladys_oshane
Labors housing crisis caused by its crazy importation of people has caused more pain for working class and the poor via higher rents and homelessness.
Socially progressive eh?
It is unfortunate but the Albanese Government is starting to look like a third term government that has run out of ideas. Gaza and the Immigration court debacle seemed to have knocked the stuffing out of them. There is now a timidity about policy that is hard to fathom. And they have probably run out of parliamentary time to legislate anything much at all.
Pied Piper
The housing crisis caused by way too much demand and not enough supply has been building up for decades but it has come to a screeching crescendo in this term. It is not just a working class problem but well and truly a middle class one as well.
Blackburnpseph @ #794 Tuesday, August 13th, 2024 – 10:25 pm
Yeah, this timidity is pissing me right off. It’s as though Albanese’s government is treating parliament as though they’re merely guests and have no right to try to alter anything until the Coalition heads of the house return and continue what they were doing and bring back laws that allow pushing kids up chimneys or McDonald’s deep fryers or whatever Dickensian workhouse nightmares they want to bring back.
Pretty much right there Blackburnseph, and welcome.
Labor said a lot, going to do a lot, left it too late.
Still going to vote for them though, the others have got nothing, I mean nothing!
What’s your choice?
Kirsdarke says:
Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 10:43 pm
What’s your problem with working at MacDonalds?
Seriously??
https://www.illawarramercury.com.au/story/8239746/dapto-mcdonalds-under-fire-for-ripping-off-teenage-workers/
Happens everywhere, of course you are fine with that!
Hindus in Bangladesh shiver amid attacks: Soft targets, hard facts
There have been over 200 instances of attacks, including five killings, on minority Hindus in three days of chaos after the fall of the Sheikh Hasina regime in Bangladesh. Videos of attacks have flooded social media that have been questioned by fact-checkers. There is politics involved, but apolitical victims too. Here are the hard facts of how and why Hindus have been persecuted in Muslim-majority Bangladesh.
https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/attack-on-minorities-hindus-bangladesh-communal-violence-soft-target-social-media-sheikh-hasina-yunus-temples-2581491-2024-08-13
“In the three days of chaos and anarchy that descended upon Bangladesh on August 5 after Sheikh Hasina resigned as the Prime Minister and escaped a mob baying for her blood, there have been over 200 instances of targeted attacks on Hindus. Five Hindus have been killed and there have been several cases of sexual assault. Hindus have historically been a soft target in Muslim-majority Bangladesh but the violence this time is exceptional in scale and the fact that it might be difficult to bring the guilty to book.
advertisement
For at least three days, there were no law-enforcement personnel in Bangladesh. Police personnel are still not reporting to duty after angry mobs lynched dozens of cops in several districts. This was a window of opportunity for those who wanted to direct their hatred towards Hindus.
“Communal sentiments have always been present in Bangladesh. There are people who look for an opportunity to attack minorities, especially Hindus. Even during the Awami League regime, there were attacks on Hindus. Communalism is a hard fact of Bangladeshi society,” Anupam Debashis Roy, Bangladeshi author and activist, tells IndiaToday.In.”