Polls: Roy Morgan and RedBridge NSW state (open thread)

Rather surprising federal and New South Wales state poll results, plus the latest on a seemingly uneventful state by-election to be held the Saturday after next.

Two disturbances to an otherwise quiet week on the polling front:

• The usual weekly Roy Morgan poll is something of an outlier in recording a 53.5-46.5 lead for Labor, out from 52-48 last week and 51.5-48.5 in favour of the Coalition the week before. Despite this, Labor’s primary vote is actually down half a point to 30.5%, with the Coalition down one to 35%, the Greens up one-and-a-half to 15.5% and One Nation up one to 5.5%. We are also told that state breakdowns had Labor ahead 56-44 in New South Wales and 57.5% in Victoria and the Coalition ahead 53-47 in Queensland, which would respectively among to swings of 4.6%, 2.7% and 1.0% to Labor. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1687.

• As reported in the Daily Telegraph, RedBridge Group has a third state poll combining survey waves from February and May to follow on from its earlier results for Victoria and Queensland, this time for New South Wales from a sample of 1376. The result is perhaps surprisingly bleak for Chris Minns’ Labor government, which is credited with a two-partly lead of just 50.5-49.5, compared with its 54.3-45.7 winning margin at the March 2023 election. The primary votes are Labor 35%, compared with 37.0% at the election, Coalition 40%, compared with 35.4%, and Greens 11%, compared with 9.7%. Despite this, 40% separately rate the government’s performance as good or very good compared with 20% for poor and 32% for neither, while “the Liberal-National opposition led by Mark Speakman” scores 19% positive, 21% negative and 41% neither.

Staying in New South Wales, a by-election for the safe Nationals seat of Northern Tablelands will be held on June 22. The Nationals candidate is Brendan Moylan, a Moree solicitor who outgoing member Adam Marshall says was “overwhelmingly” preselected in a vote of around 200 local party members. Labor is not fielding a candidate, with Moylan’s competition consisting of Shooters Fishers and Farmers, the Greens and two independents.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

903 thoughts on “Polls: Roy Morgan and RedBridge NSW state (open thread)”

Comments Page 1 of 19
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  1. Does Morgan really warrant a new thread?

    I suppose one might hope that this thread will be more civil than the last one.

  2. I would say yes, Labor are pulling rabbits, there’s a bounce for a few days, then the realisation it’s more spin, reality sets in, there’s another rabbit, hopes go up again.
    I think that may be what’s happening with Morgan, because Greens are rising and so is Labor’s 2PP.
    Under the scrutiny of a campaign, Labor will be in a lot of trouble unless Liberals switch Dutton out for some dope.
    Which isn’t beyond the bounds … imo.

  3. lucky Jim has saved the govt’s bacon with tax cuts and prudent economic management – it’s all there in Morgan.

  4. A Future Made In Australia is ten pounds of shit in a 5 pound bag, how is that policy going to survive an election campaign?

  5. meher baba,
    The nastiness will continue as the Hard Men of the Right continue to come here to try and tear down the Left. It has ever been thus. On social media and in real life. I’ve met the Liberal stormtroopers, like all caps 1(FUBAR) and all caps 2(ALABAMA), and let me tell you, they are the equivalent of human pit bulls. I don’t scare easily but they scared me to my bones. Why was I targeted by them? For having the audacity to try and get to voters last before they went into the polling booth, with an anti Liberal message after the Libs’ candidate had just spent time with them on the line buttering them up with their sweet talk. I simply had the audacity to try and beat them at their own game. They didn’t like it at all. So they set the enforcers onto me.

    Anyway, good luck trying to get some more civility out of them on the blog because it’s obvious to me that they’ve got 1 or 2 here that are performing the same sort of task for the party.

  6. A minor piece of evidence that Australians like what Labor is doing. Bam first 50% of the posts on PB are LaBoR bAd! By the boring people here. You guys are so dull.

  7. Badthinker @ #6 Thursday, June 13th, 2024 – 6:13 am

    A Future Made In Australia is ten pounds of shit in a 5 pound bag, how is that policy going to survive an election campaign?

    Is that why you’re so keen to try and tear it down? If it was really as bad as you are trying to make it out to be then it would sink of its own accord. However, you know that poll after poll has it being popular with voters, and here you are. 🙂

  8. Climate change groups are scaling up their campaigns against Liberal candidates in key federal seats after Opposition Leader Peter Dutton refused to commit to a 2030 target to cut greenhouse gas emissions, raising the stakes in an election fight on the environment.

    Dutton dismissed the “teal” independents as fronts for the Greens and said he could win back their seats with his stance on climate change, setting up a crucial test in the former blue-ribbon Liberal electorates now held by crossbench MPs.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/it-makes-our-life-easier-climate-campaigns-seize-on-dutton-s-refusal-to-set-target-20240612-p5jl70.html

    We’ll see.

  9. ‘Fess,
    A lot of business people live in the Teals’ seats and they have views like this:

    Frank Calabria, the boss of energy giant Origin, says Australia needs to get on with an orderly transition from coal power to renewable energy and give investors certainty as Australia’s climate wars flare up ahead of the next federal election due by May next year.

    Opposition Leader Peter Dutton this week signalled he would scrap Australia’s legally binding 2030 climate target at the risk of undermining the Paris Agreement on climate change.

    Dutton escalated the country’s long-running climate policy battles on Wednesday by claiming that the Albanese government’s 2030 emissions target will “destroy the economy” and send families and businesses into bankruptcy.

    “His

    Dutton’s

    comments around destroying the economy – I don’t know where they come from,” Calabria said when asked if Origin had similar concerns about the impact of emissions targets.

    “The transition is obviously a significant undertaking. Clearly we are having to invest if we’re to achieve our goals for the climate over time. We will need to retire coal plants and introduce renewable energy,” Calabria said. “There’s a lot of merit in getting on with it.

    “The key thing is that it

    the transition

    is done in a way that’s orderly. Doing it an orderly way needs to include doing it in the most cost-efficient way for customers, both homes and businesses.”

    Calabria said he supported nuclear energy having a role in the grid, a solution pushed by the opposition leader, but believed it would be at least a decade before it becomes a viable alternative.

    He told financial analysts and investors on Wednesday that the energy transition was presenting the retailer with great growth opportunities, and Origin’s assets and capabilities gave it a competitive advantage.

    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/get-on-with-orderly-energy-transition-says-origin-boss-20240612-p5jl3o.html

    Also, you know whose energy plan will wreck the economy? Dutton’s. All those ‘growth opportunities’? Out the window and down the toilet.

  10. Something will likely happen this year it will not be the federal election
    Still picking October- December this year, where it will be the Angus Taylor show in federal liberal party leadership spill

  11. Even the RustedOns have given up on pretending there won’t be an election until next year.
    Albo going reactionary on Dutton’s 2030 stance won’t cut it with the 70% of voters not drinking the Green/Teal KoolAid.

  12. Sunak aide found to have put bet on the date of the UK general election days before it was announced.

    The right side of the political spectrum and its foot soldiers are so bereft personal integrity. That’s the type of person the righties here on PB think should run countries. I bet they even bore their families and partners with their verbal diarrhoea.

  13. When there is no federal election held in 2024 , the next propaganda for the federal lib/nats and propaganda media units ,
    Will be the most predictable propaganda – Minority/ hung parliament

  14. Scott @ 6.37am
    If Anus Taylor is the answer to the Liberal leadership problem, then it must haver been a stupid question.

  15. Badthinker @ #12 Thursday, June 13th, 2024 – 6:38 am

    Even the RustedOns have given up on pretending there won’t be an election until next year.
    Albo going reactionary on Dutton’s 2030 stance won’t cut it with the 70% of voters not drinking the Green/Teal KoolAid.

    You’re bad at arithmetic too. Add the Primary Vote of Labor and The Greens together and see what you get. 😐

  16. Jeez it must be galling for The Hancock Handbag’s fellow travelers to have their testicles so firmly in Gina’s fell hand. Spud is out-licking the Beetrooter and Well Done Angus is cooked – such great role models for the Patriarchy.

  17. Confessions @ #15 Thursday, June 13th, 2024 – 6:47 am

    C@t:

    Dutton has made it much easier for climate campaigners.

    He thinks he can appeal to their greed, as is the usual Liberal play, by conflating Cost of Living with the cost of going to Renewables.

    He also thinks people in seats like Hunter are stupid and want more of this in their lives:

    ‘Do you vacuum your lampshades?’ It was an idyllic town. Now it’s cursed by coal dust.

    A former local returns to the small NSW town of Muswellbrook, where he finds an expanded open-cut mining sector, a hollowed-out community and dust – everywhere.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/do-you-vacuum-your-lampshades-it-was-an-idyllic-town-now-it-s-cursed-by-coal-dust-20240430-p5fntw.html

    And the Coalition are trying to make people scared of a few wind turbines? 😐

  18. The NSW state poll is surprising and I wonder the validity of a headline 2PP in optional preferences. At the last state election a 2PP of 54.3 gave Labor a minority government, so what will 50.5 produce?

    The poll is also difficult to believe given the high rate of satisfaction in the government and an invisible opposition.

  19. Hamfisted Peter Dutton has gifted the Teals and Labor the issue which will keep on giving.

    Even the Greens could benefit, if they could get over their obsession with rents and the ME and rediscover their environmental roots. Unlikely whilst Bandt remains as leader.

    And the rumblings within the Liberal Party are increasing, with Angus Taylor starting to trail his coat. The NSW chapter of the party are growing less and less fond of Peovincial Pete..

    From David Crowe’s piece today…


    While Liberal frontbenchers have backed Dutton’s stance, some MPs expressed concern that it would cost the party votes in urban electorates in Melbourne, Sydney and south-east Queensland.

    “I don’t know what seats we are hoping to win with that position,” said Bridget Archer, the Liberal member for Bass in northern Tasmania.

    Archer said the government had legislated the 2030 target and any proposal to change that target should be put to voters before the election.

    Other Liberal MPs unwilling to speak on the record said the policy should have been discussed more widely before Dutton ruled out a 2030 target, given the way his policy could weaken support in city seats.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/it-makes-our-life-easier-climate-campaigns-seize-on-dutton-s-refusal-to-set-target-20240612-p5jl70.html

  20. Lead story in the Washington Post….

    The Southern Baptist Convention on Wednesday approved a measure opposing in vitro fertilization as “dehumanizing” and asking “the government to restrain” the practice, a sign of the broadening effort by conservative evangelicals and the antiabortion movement since the fall of Roe vs Wade.
    ….
    The voice vote on “On the Ethical Realities of Reproductive Technologies and the Dignity of the Human Embryo” was one of a raft of resolutions, which are understood as statements of Southern Baptist belief; they are not rules that come with enforcement mandates.

    “This isn’t a bottom-up change,” said Mary Ziegler, a law professor and historian of the antiabortion movement. “It aligns with the Southern Baptist Convention trying to figure out how ultraconservative it’s going to be on personhood,” she said of the Christian movement that sees embryos and fertilized eggs as human beings with legal rights.

    Ziegler said many leaders in the SBC and in the broader antiabortion movement have long opposed IVF, seeing it as a process that separates conception from the act of heterosexual sex and is disrespectful of human life. Church leaders have downplayed that view in public, however, since IVF is popular in the United States. Seventy percent of Americans in April told Pew Research they think IVF is a “good thing,” including 63 percent of White evangelicals, who line up ideologically in general with Southern Baptists.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2024/06/12/southern-baptists-ivf-women-pastors/

  21. Confessions @ #22 Thursday, June 13th, 2024 – 7:03 am

    C@t:

    I was just reading that article. It can’t be good for one’s health living in such an environment.

    I remember back in the day there were local groups, real ones not astro-turfed Liberal front groups, who were constantly in the media about the lung problems that stuff caused them and their kids.

    Sure Labor are in government now and that mining is still occurring, but at least they are trying to turn the Titanic around. And The Greens’ hands aren’t clean either, with their policy of ‘no new coal or gas, meaning that sites like Muswellbrook would still exist.

  22. Bad Thinker ”A Future Made In Australia is ten pounds of shit in a 5 pound bag, how is that policy going to survive an election campaign?”

    You mean with all the lies, distractions and scares that will be pumped out by the Liberal-National-Newscorp Coalition.

    Regarding the poll, the margin of error on a sample size of 1687 is about 2.5% and polls jump around, especially Morgan. Recent results are consistent with an underlying 51-49.

    We’ll see how it goes.

  23. Macca RB says:
    Thursday, June 13, 2024 at 6:53 am
    Scott @ 6.37am
    If Anus Taylor is the answer to the Liberal leadership problem, then it must haver been a stupid question.
    ———————————-
    That is how much strife the federal libs are in , Taylor seems be the only campaigner and communicator they go to

    Peter Dutton majority of time is hidden away from campaigning and communications

  24. Good morning Dawn Patrollers. I’m a bit snarky for some reason this morning.

    David Crowe tells us that climate change groups are scaling up their campaigns against Liberal candidates in key federal seats after Opposition Leader Peter Dutton refused to commit to a 2030 target to cut greenhouse gas emissions, raising the stakes in an election fight on the environment. The groups believe Dutton is making it easier for them.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/it-makes-our-life-easier-climate-campaigns-seize-on-dutton-s-refusal-to-set-target-20240612-p5jl70.html
    Simon Johanson writes that Frank Calabria, the boss of energy giant Origin, says Australia needs to get on with an orderly transition from coal power to renewable energy and give investors certainty as Australia’s climate wars flare up ahead of the next federal election due by May next year. I think Calabria is saying Dutton should just get out of the way.
    https://www.theage.com.au/business/companies/get-on-with-orderly-energy-transition-says-origin-boss-20240612-p5jl3o.html
    Just two years ago, Peter Dutton was committed to a 2030 emissions target. “So, what’s changed?”, asks David Speers.
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-13/dutton-climate-2030-target-emissions-uturn/103970166
    Peter Dutton has reignited Australia’s climate wars. The Guardian has fact-checked the major claims.
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jun/13/peter-dutton-has-reignited-australias-climate-wars-whats-he-saying-and-whats-the-reality
    Ian Lowe, an emeritus professor in the School of Environment and Science at Griffith University, declares that Peter Dutton’s energy policy is a political death wish – and utterly irresponsible in the face of the climate emergency.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/article/2024/jun/12/peter-duttons-energy-policy-is-a-political-death-wish-and-utterly-irresponsible-in-the-face-of-the-climate-emergency
    The Canberra Press Gallery is not a homogenous group although its members do seem to suffer from a fair amount of groupthink; preference for gotchas and speculation about what might happen next in politics; and heavy dependence on leaks and drops for copy. One part of it – the Murdoch part – subsumes this into propaganda and sneering opinion pieces, writes Noel Turnbull who wonders who prepared Dutton’s report on nuclear power.
    https://johnmenadue.com/who-prepared-duttons-report-on-nuclear-power/
    Obsessing over the inflation rate misses one key point: the economy is more than just how fast prices are rising, writes Greg Jericho who says those who salivate over other nations’ interest rates with barely any care for people losing their jobs really need to think about their priorities.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/article/2024/jun/13/australia-inflation-economy-interest-rates-explainer
    Steven Miles would blanch at the comparison, but there are some unfortunate parallels that can be drawn between the Queensland Premier and foundering UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, writes Paul Syvret.
    https://michaelwest.com.au/stephen-miles-channels-rishi-sunak/
    Murders, drive-by shootings and fire bombings can now be ordered anonymously using a secure black market app that is like an Airtasker for the underworld. Chris Vedelago writes that the app, which came online only months ago, could be the missing link connecting a recent surge in seemingly random and unsolved violent crimes suspected to be connected to multiple ongoing feuds between gangland players and extortion rackets.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/airtasker-for-the-underworld-criminals-order-murders-drive-bys-firebombings-on-secret-app-20240423-p5fm1n.html
    Tom McIlroy tells us that Health Minister Mark Butler has launched an urgent review into the $22 billion private hospital system, as it faces intense financial stress driven by rising labour and input costs and constrained revenue. Private hospital players including Ramsay Health Care, Healthscope and St John of God will be required to hand over detailed revenue and profit margin information under the guise of a “financial health check” being run by the Department of Health.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/private-hospitals-open-books-for-urgent-health-check-20240612-p5jl7t
    The ADF is facing a major shortfall as it tries to boost staff numbers. Natthew Knott wonders if generous housing policies could unlock a flood of new recruits.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/want-gen-z-to-sign-up-to-the-army-give-them-50-000-for-a-house-deposit-20240612-p5jl3w.html
    Peter Dutton has defended the performance of his shadow treasurer, Angus Taylor, over claims of political incompetence in a spiteful feud with frontbench colleague, Hollie Hughes. Dutton says “He’s not incompetent”. Well, we all know Taylor is something else!
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/he-is-not-incompetent-dutton-backs-taylor-hopes-dumped-senator-finds-new-seat-20240612-p5jl6y.html
    Wow! The South Australian premier, Peter Malinauskas, has announced plans to ban political donations from state elections, paving the way for nation-leading electoral reforms. The state’s electoral amendment bill announced on Wednesday night will ban electoral donations and gifts to registered political parties, members of parliament and candidates. The state will provide funding to allow parties and candidates to contest elections, run campaigns and promote political ideas. Malinauskas said his bill would put South Australia on the “cusp of becoming a world leader in ending the nexus between money and political power”.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jun/12/south-australia-introduces-world-leading-bill-to-ban-political-donations-from-elections
    The final report of a Senate inquiry into consulting services has raised further questions about what Carlton president Luke Sayers knew about the tax confidentiality breaches that occurred while he was in charge at PwC. While the report, released yesterday, did not target individuals involved in the PwC tax scandal, Greens senator Barbara Pocock said further evidence provided by the Australian Taxation Office to the inquiry cast former PwC senior executives in a bad light.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/entrepreneurship/tax-office-evidence-draws-carlton-boss-luke-sayers-further-into-pwc-scandal-20240612-p5jl7j.html
    The whooshing sound you heard across Australia on Wednesday afternoon came from within the nation’s accounting and consulting firms, which heaved a collective sigh of relief after reading the final report of the Senate inquiry into the sector sparked by the PwC tax leaks scandal, says the ASR’s Chanticleer.
    https://www.afr.com/chanticleer/big-four-can-t-be-allowed-to-stay-in-grey-zone-of-pwc-scandal-20240612-p5jlbh
    Olivia Ireland reports that private schools oppose the right to disconnect for their teachers and have made a submission to the Fair Work Commission” review of modern awards requested by Workplace Relations Minister Tony Burke last year.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/private-schools-oppose-right-to-disconnect-for-teachers-20240611-p5jksb.html
    Brindabella Christian College has been criticised for appearing to spend more than $100,000 on a robotic dog as it faces both a refinancing deal falling through and potentially being cut off from federal government funding. The school has failed to comply with a series of conditions imposed by the federal Education Department after the proprietors were found to be not fit and proper to operate a non-government school. It now faces the prospect of losing its government funding. A law unto itself, it seems.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8654423/brindabella-christian-college-under-fire-over-100k-robot-dog/?cs=14329
    Peter Dutton used a taxpayer-funded private jet to travel to a News Corp event in Tamworth, claiming $23,000 in travel expenses to speak at the summit where he criticised the government’s response to the cost-of-living crisis. Josh Gordon writes that, despite multiple flight connections daily between Canberra and Tamworth, it’s understood Dutton had a pre-existing commitment, meaning no commercial flight could get him to the Daily Telegraph’s annual “bush summit” in August 2023 in time.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jun/13/peter-dutton-took-23k-private-jet-to-tamworth-where-he-spoke-on-cost-of-living-crisis
    Bruce Lehrmann caused more than $13,000 in damage to a multimillion-dollar Sydney property he rented as part of an exclusive TV interview deal, a tribunal has been told. The guy must be a deadest dickhead!
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/bruce-lehrmann-caused-13k-in-property-damage-landlord-alleges-20240612-p5jl9i.html
    Britain’s economic recovery has ground to a halt in the run-up to the general election, a setback for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who has campaigned on evidence the economy is turning the corner.
    https://www.afr.com/world/europe/britain-s-economy-stalls-in-blow-for-sunak-20240612-p5jlat
    Rishi Sunak’s closest parliamentary aide placed a £100 bet on a July election just three days before the prime minister named the date, the Guardian can reveal. The Gambling Commission is understood to have launched an inquiry after Craig Williams, the prime minister’s parliamentary private secretary, who became an MP in 2019, placed a bet with the bookmaker Ladbrokes on Sunday 19 May in his local constituency of Montgomeryshire. It just gets worse for the Tories.
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/12/rishi-sunaks-closest-aide-placed-bet-on-election-date-days-before-announcement
    There is no recovery for the Conservative party in the UK until it purges itself of Reform-lite ideas, opines Justine Greening who says its cheap politics of envy distracts from the country’s most pressing issue: inequality.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jun/12/no-recovery-conservative-party-purge-reform-lite-ideas
    When Donald Trump was slapping tariffs on all things made in China, he left a back door open within the tariff wall. It now appears likely that Joe Biden will close it. Back in 2017, the Trump administration determined that solar cells were being imported into the US in such increased quantities that they were causing serious damage to America’s domestic industry, which had been virtually wiped out by cheap imports from China. Stephen Bartholomeusz explains how the US is turning up the heat on China.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/the-us-is-turning-up-the-heat-on-china-20240612-p5jl2k.html
    US Federal Reserve policymakers expect to cut interest rates just once this calendar year, two fewer than they thought in March, as they forecast inflation will take longer to reach their 2 per cent goal than previously thought. The Fed, as expected, kept the federal funds rate unchanged at between 5.25 per cent and 5.5 per cent yesterday and said there would not be any rate cuts until it was clearer that inflation was on a path towards its target.
    https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/fed-policymakers-see-one-rate-cut-in-2024-four-in-2025-20240613-p5jld5
    If you needed another example that this year’s US election will be unlike any other, look no further than the convictions of the former president and the current president’s son, writes Farrah Tomazin who describes the stark contrast between the two opponents when it comes to the rule of law in the US.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/hunter-biden-s-conviction-to-weigh-heavily-on-president-ahead-of-trump-rematch-20240612-p5jl3y.html

    Cartoon Corner

    Cathy Wilcox

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    Matt Golding



    Mark David

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    Bloody Spooner

    From the US
















  25. The NSW polling baffles me, Chris Minns seems to be well liked while Mark Speakman is invisible. I guess federal factors, like cost of living, are at play here. As ever, the Murdoch papers and 2GB are solidly anti Labor.

  26. Peter Dutton has decided to drop the pretence that the Coalition cares about Climate Change and that it intends to take any effective climate action. I suppose you could say at least it’s more honest. The trouble is, even from Opposition this decision will have a chilling effect on the transition to renewables as the uncertainty gumming up the works of transition continues. A return of the Coalition will stop the transition in its tracks.

  27. No surprise , the lib/nats propaganda media is quiet on this

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jun/13/peter-dutton-took-23k-private-jet-to-tamworth-where-he-spoke-on-cost-of-living-crisis
    Opposition leader Peter Dutton used a taxpayer-funded private jet to travel to a News Corp event in Tamworth, claiming $23,000 in travel expenses to speak at the summit where he criticised the government’s response to the cost-of-living crisis.

    Despite multiple flight connections daily between Canberra and Tamworth, it’s understood Dutton had a pre-existing commitment, meaning no commercial flight could get him to the Daily Telegraph’s annual “bush summit” in August 2023 in time.
    ———————-

  28. Thank you, BK and good morning all.

    ‘Brindabella Christian College has been criticised for appearing to spend more than $100,000 on a robotic dog as it faces both a refinancing deal falling through and potentially being cut off from federal government funding. The school has failed to comply with a series of conditions imposed by the federal Education Department after the proprietors were found to be not fit and proper to operate a non-government school. It now faces the prospect of losing its government funding. A law unto itself, it seems.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8654423/brindabella-christian-college-under-fire-over-100k-robot-dog/?cs=14329
    ——————————
    This crew makes cowboys look old hat.

  29. BW: “‘Brindabella Christian College has been criticised for appearing to spend more than $100,000 on a robotic dog as it faces both a refinancing deal falling through and potentially being cut off from federal government funding. ”

    (Warning, dad joke ahead). It’s moving from offering K-12 to K-9.

  30. Federal Reserve officials penciled in just one interest-rate cut for this year, indicating most are in no hurry to lower rates, even after a widely watched report Wednesday showed inflation improved last month.
    The central bank also held its benchmark rate steady, in a range between 5.25% and 5.5%, a move that was widely expected.
    New economic projections showed 15 of 19 officials expect the Fed will reduce rates this year, with that group roughly split between one or two rate cuts. The median, or midpoint, of those projections reflected expectations of one reduction.
    Fed officials meet four more times this year, in July, September, November and December, and the rate projections tempered investors’ expectations of a September cut. Those expectations rose earlier Wednesday after the inflation report.
    https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/cpi-report-fed-meeting-interest-rate-ef93c8b0

  31. Where’s the private investment in large scale renewables originate?
    Dunno, any chance most of it is from compulsory superannuation?

  32. A Senate inquiry has demanded a raft of new rules to regulate the federal government’s expansive use of consultants.

    What we know:

    * A federal parliamentary committee has concluded its investigation into the use of private consulting services and offered 12 recommendations in its final report (APH);

    * The inquiry was launched in the wake of the PwC tax leaks scandal in 2023, with the committee calling on PwC to disclose the “names and positions” of the staff involved (ABC);

    * Another recommendation is for new clauses in government contracts that explicitly require consulting firms to act in the public interest;

    * The report suggests that the finance minister publish consulting contracts worth $2m or more and provide the total cost of all contracts in each government department;

    * The recommendations are more modest than the Greens’ proposals for a cut to spending on consultants and restrictions on PwC from obtaining government contracts (The Guardian);

    * The inquiry found Australia spends more on consultancy services than any other nation proportionally, giving rise to conflicts of interest and transparency issues (The New Daily);

    * It is the latest indication of how a culture of outsourcing has created a shadow public service and captured government (The Monthly);

    *Consultants are continuing to win government contracts, with scandal-ridden firm KPMG given $1.3m to train the public service in ethics (The Saturday Paper);

    * The contract is worth much more than the dollar amount to KPMG, who will be training 300 top public servants and can use the sessions as “a kind of farming opportunity” (7am);

    * PwC faces 10 ongoing investigations, including a federal police inquiry, over the tax leak scandal (SMH).
    (The Monthly)

    I hope that at least some of this gets implemented. We don’t need a ‘Shadow Public Service’, we just need a well-functioning Public Service.

  33. The South Australian government plans to introduce what it describes as “world-leading” laws to ban political parties from receiving electoral donations at a state level but concedes the proposed reforms could be subject to a High Court challenge.
    The draft legislation proposes to ban registered South Australian political parties, members of parliament and political candidates from giving or receiving electoral donations and gifts.
    Loans to MPs, candidates and parties would also be banned, unless they came from a bank or other financial institution. The proposed laws would allow new political candidates and parties to receive donations of up to $2,700 to ensure they are not disadvantaged when contesting against established parties.
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-13/south-australia-electoral-donation-ban/103970046

  34. As you can see both from the European elections where the Green vote is declining and the US polls where there is a swing to Trump in just about every state, the era of climate alarmism is coming to a close.

    The Green and Teal vote in Australia is also going to decline in the long term. Dutton may simply have picked up on the world trend when the Left have not. The left and centre underestimate the silent majority at their peril.

  35. MelbourneMammoth @ #40 Thursday, June 13th, 2024 – 7:56 am

    As you can see both from the European elections where the Green vote is declining and the US polls where there is a swing to Trump in just about every state, the era of climate alarmism is coming to a close.

    The Green and Teal vote in Australia is also going to decline in the long term. Dutton may simply have picked up on the world trend when the Left have not. The left and centre underestimate the silent majority at their peril.

    Sure, Melbourne Mammoth:

  36. Badthinkersays:
    Thursday, June 13, 2024 at 7:53 am

    Where’s the private investment in large scale renewables originate?
    Dunno, any chance most of it is from compulsory superannuation?

    Your “slip is showing” beneath a well coordinated outfit.

  37. The Oz P1
    The Union strongarm grips Virgin
    TWU opposes Virgin hiring beancounter with MO of outsourcing labour.
    Danger here for the L-NP, TWU has a responsibility to it’s members to protect their jobs.

  38. “A Future Made In Australia is ten pounds of shit in a 5 pound bag, how is that policy going to survive an election campaign?”

    @Badthinker

    No the Liberals “Back in the black” was a 10 pound of shit.

  39. To those who think Mirrors, windmills and best wishes will keep the lights on after the last Coal Fired Power Station is dynamited in 2034, have a chat to someone who’s worked in a CBD office tower.
    There’ll be a whole lower floor of diesel generators just sitting there waiting for the power to go out.
    Then there’s hospitals, nursing homes, essential services infrastructure belching black clouds of smoke just to stave off dystopia.

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